Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 4–10 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
Venstre 23.4% 23.7% 22.1–25.5% 21.6–26.0% 21.2–26.4% 20.4–27.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.5% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 48–50 45–51 44–52 43–54
Venstre 43 42 39–43 39–47 38–49 37–50
Dansk Folkeparti 16 18 15–18 15–18 14–19 13–22
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–17 13–18 13–18 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–15 13–18 12–19 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 13–15 13–19 11–19 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 11–14 11–15 10–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 5 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 5 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 2% 99.7%  
44 2% 98%  
45 2% 96%  
46 0.4% 94%  
47 3% 93%  
48 0.5% 90% Last Result
49 77% 90% Median
50 3% 12%  
51 5% 9%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.0% 2%  
54 0.7% 1.0%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.6%  
38 2% 98.8%  
39 10% 97%  
40 2% 86%  
41 0.9% 85%  
42 73% 84% Median
43 3% 11% Last Result
44 2% 8%  
45 0.3% 6%  
46 0.1% 5%  
47 0.7% 5%  
48 0% 5%  
49 3% 5%  
50 1.2% 1.3%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.5%  
15 8% 96%  
16 16% 88% Last Result
17 1.5% 72%  
18 67% 71% Median
19 2% 4%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.4% 1.0%  
22 0.6% 0.6%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 9% 98%  
14 4% 90%  
15 72% 85% Median
16 3% 14% Last Result
17 3% 11%  
18 8% 8%  
19 0.1% 0.9%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.9%  
12 2% 98.9%  
13 3% 97%  
14 79% 94% Last Result, Median
15 7% 15%  
16 1.0% 8%  
17 2% 7%  
18 2% 5%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 1.3% 97%  
13 79% 96% Last Result, Median
14 3% 17%  
15 6% 14%  
16 2% 8%  
17 0.5% 6%  
18 0.2% 5%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.9% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.1%  
11 12% 95%  
12 8% 84% Last Result
13 5% 76%  
14 63% 71% Median
15 8% 9%  
16 0.3% 0.8%  
17 0.2% 0.5%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0.1% 21%  
4 4% 21% Last Result
5 15% 17%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 4% 84%  
5 79% 80% Last Result, Median
6 0.5% 0.8%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 6% 77%  
5 69% 71% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 15% 17%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 21% 21% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.4%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 97% 94–97 91–103 89–103 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 91 94% 91–96 89–98 86–98 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 5% 76–83 76–88 75–90 72–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 79 0.2% 78–81 72–84 72–86 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 76 0% 76–81 73–85 71–85 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 78 0% 78–81 75–82 74–83 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 74–79 72–80 72–82 69–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 74–79 72–80 72–82 69–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 74 0% 72–76 72–78 72–81 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 74–77 72–78 71–79 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 74–77 72–78 71–79 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 71–75 71–78 71–78 67–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 63–66 60–67 59–67 57–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 55–58 54–61 54–62 52–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 50–57 50–58 50–62 48–62
Venstre 43 42 0% 39–43 39–47 38–49 37–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.6%  
89 3% 99.6%  
90 1.0% 97% Majority
91 0.7% 96%  
92 1.0% 95%  
93 2% 94%  
94 7% 92%  
95 0.7% 84%  
96 71% 84% Last Result, Median
97 4% 13%  
98 0.4% 8%  
99 0.7% 8%  
100 0.7% 7%  
101 0.9% 6%  
102 0.3% 6%  
103 5% 5%  
104 0.3% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 2% 99.6%  
86 1.1% 98%  
87 0.5% 97%  
88 0.5% 96%  
89 2% 96%  
90 0.5% 94% Majority
91 71% 93% Last Result, Median
92 1.5% 22%  
93 2% 21%  
94 7% 19%  
95 1.3% 12%  
96 1.0% 11%  
97 4% 10%  
98 5% 6%  
99 0.2% 1.4%  
100 0.4% 1.2%  
101 0.6% 0.8%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 2% 99.3%  
74 0.1% 98%  
75 2% 98%  
76 8% 95%  
77 0.5% 87%  
78 0.8% 86%  
79 0.6% 86%  
80 0.9% 85% Last Result
81 71% 84% Median
82 1.2% 14%  
83 3% 12%  
84 4% 10%  
85 0.1% 6%  
86 0.2% 6%  
87 0.4% 6%  
88 0.3% 5%  
89 0.1% 5%  
90 5% 5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 5% 99.5%  
73 0.3% 95%  
74 0.9% 94%  
75 0.7% 94%  
76 0.7% 93%  
77 0.4% 92%  
78 4% 92%  
79 71% 87% Last Result, Median
80 0.7% 16%  
81 7% 16%  
82 2% 8%  
83 1.0% 6%  
84 0.7% 5%  
85 1.0% 4%  
86 3% 3%  
87 0% 0.4%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 1.3% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 98.5%  
71 2% 98%  
72 0.6% 96%  
73 1.0% 96%  
74 0.6% 95%  
75 2% 94% Last Result
76 76% 92% Median
77 0.3% 16%  
78 2% 15%  
79 2% 14%  
80 1.0% 12%  
81 0.9% 11%  
82 1.0% 10%  
83 0.3% 9%  
84 3% 8%  
85 5% 5%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.8% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.1%  
72 0.2% 98.9%  
73 0.4% 98.6%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 94%  
77 1.2% 92%  
78 71% 91% Last Result, Median
79 6% 20%  
80 0.3% 14%  
81 7% 14%  
82 4% 7%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.3% 1.2%  
85 0.7% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 0.7% 99.1%  
72 5% 98%  
73 0.7% 94%  
74 62% 93% Median
75 1.0% 31%  
76 8% 30%  
77 0.7% 22%  
78 4% 21%  
79 10% 17% Last Result
80 2% 7%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0% 1.0%  
85 0.8% 1.0%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 0.7% 99.1%  
72 5% 98%  
73 0.7% 94%  
74 62% 93% Median
75 1.0% 31%  
76 8% 30%  
77 0.7% 22%  
78 4% 21%  
79 10% 17% Last Result
80 2% 7%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0% 1.0%  
85 0.8% 1.0%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 0.4% 99.2%  
71 0.9% 98.8%  
72 12% 98%  
73 0.5% 86%  
74 62% 86% Median
75 11% 24% Last Result
76 4% 13%  
77 0.6% 10%  
78 5% 9%  
79 1.1% 4%  
80 0.2% 3%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.5% 1.4%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0% 0.9%  
85 0.7% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 1.3% 99.3%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 5% 97%  
73 0.9% 92%  
74 61% 91% Median
75 12% 31%  
76 9% 19%  
77 2% 10%  
78 5% 8%  
79 1.0% 3% Last Result
80 0.1% 2%  
81 0.1% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.4%  
83 0.3% 1.2%  
84 0% 0.9%  
85 0.8% 0.8%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 1.3% 99.3%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 5% 97%  
73 0.9% 92%  
74 61% 91% Median
75 12% 31%  
76 9% 19%  
77 2% 10%  
78 5% 8%  
79 1.0% 3% Last Result
80 0.1% 2%  
81 0.1% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.4%  
83 0.3% 1.2%  
84 0% 0.9%  
85 0.8% 0.8%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.4%  
69 0.3% 99.1%  
70 1.3% 98.8%  
71 12% 98%  
72 12% 86%  
73 0.7% 74%  
74 61% 73% Median
75 2% 12% Last Result
76 2% 10%  
77 2% 8%  
78 5% 6%  
79 0.5% 2%  
80 0.1% 1.1%  
81 0.1% 1.1%  
82 0.2% 0.9%  
83 0% 0.8%  
84 0% 0.8%  
85 0.7% 0.8%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.8%  
57 2% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 98%  
59 0.6% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 2% 95%  
62 2% 93%  
63 3% 91%  
64 75% 88% Last Result, Median
65 2% 13%  
66 2% 11%  
67 8% 9%  
68 0.3% 2%  
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.4% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.7%  
53 0.4% 99.2%  
54 6% 98.7%  
55 10% 92%  
56 62% 82% Median
57 10% 20%  
58 2% 10%  
59 1.0% 8% Last Result
60 0.6% 7%  
61 2% 7%  
62 3% 5%  
63 0.4% 2%  
64 0.7% 2%  
65 0% 0.8%  
66 0% 0.8%  
67 0.7% 0.8%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.8%  
48 0.3% 99.7%  
49 0.4% 99.4%  
50 11% 98.9%  
51 1.4% 88%  
52 1.3% 86%  
53 2% 85%  
54 6% 83%  
55 0.4% 77% Last Result
56 62% 76% Median
57 8% 14%  
58 0.9% 6%  
59 0.5% 5%  
60 0.4% 4%  
61 0.3% 4%  
62 3% 4%  
63 0% 0.4%  
64 0.4% 0.4%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.6%  
38 2% 98.8%  
39 10% 97%  
40 2% 86%  
41 0.9% 85%  
42 73% 84% Median
43 3% 11% Last Result
44 2% 8%  
45 0.3% 6%  
46 0.1% 5%  
47 0.7% 5%  
48 0% 5%  
49 3% 5%  
50 1.2% 1.3%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations