Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 11–18 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
Venstre 23.4% 24.3% 22.6–26.1% 22.2–26.6% 21.8–27.0% 21.0–27.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 47–52 46–53 46–54 44–55
Venstre 43 45 43–48 42–49 40–49 38–50
Dansk Folkeparti 16 17 14–17 14–18 14–18 13–20
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–18 13–18 12–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–15 12–15 12–17 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Alternativet 5 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 1.1% 99.8%  
45 0.8% 98.6%  
46 6% 98%  
47 14% 92%  
48 12% 78% Last Result
49 5% 66%  
50 3% 61%  
51 48% 58% Median
52 5% 10%  
53 0.7% 5%  
54 4% 5%  
55 0.3% 0.7%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.5% 99.8%  
39 1.5% 99.3%  
40 1.2% 98%  
41 0.6% 97%  
42 3% 96%  
43 11% 93% Last Result
44 12% 82%  
45 51% 69% Median
46 5% 19%  
47 2% 14%  
48 7% 12%  
49 5% 6%  
50 0.7% 1.0%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.4% 99.8%  
14 20% 98%  
15 1.4% 79%  
16 15% 77% Last Result
17 55% 62% Median
18 6% 7%  
19 0.7% 2%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.8%  
13 6% 98.9%  
14 3% 93%  
15 18% 90%  
16 50% 72% Last Result, Median
17 8% 22%  
18 10% 14%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.4% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.4%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9%  
13 5% 97% Last Result
14 17% 92%  
15 50% 75% Median
16 3% 25%  
17 2% 22%  
18 18% 20%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 1.4% 99.1%  
12 6% 98%  
13 8% 92%  
14 60% 84% Last Result, Median
15 19% 24%  
16 2% 5%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.8% 1.0%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 5% 99.1%  
11 53% 94% Median
12 16% 41% Last Result
13 9% 25%  
14 12% 16%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.7% 0.9%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 21% 91%  
5 20% 69% Last Result, Median
6 48% 49%  
7 1.0% 1.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 9% 18% Last Result
5 9% 9%  
6 0.5% 0.6%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 0% 27%  
4 15% 27%  
5 12% 12%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3% Last Result
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 102 99.9% 96–102 95–102 94–103 92–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 96 98% 92–97 91–99 90–102 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 0.4% 80–86 77–86 77–87 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0.1% 77–81 74–83 73–85 73–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 81 0.1% 76–81 75–84 75–84 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 69–78 69–79 69–80 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 73 0% 69–78 69–79 69–80 69–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 73 0% 69–78 69–79 69–80 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 69–78 69–79 69–80 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 63–67 60–69 60–71 59–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 55–62 55–63 55–64 52–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 55–60 54–61 51–62 50–63
Venstre 43 45 0% 43–48 42–49 40–49 38–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.5% 99.6%  
93 1.2% 99.0%  
94 3% 98%  
95 5% 95%  
96 14% 91% Last Result
97 3% 77%  
98 7% 74%  
99 4% 67%  
100 2% 63%  
101 1.2% 61% Median
102 57% 60%  
103 1.0% 3%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.3%  
106 0.9% 1.1%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.6% 99.6%  
89 0.5% 99.0%  
90 2% 98% Majority
91 4% 96% Last Result
92 16% 92%  
93 6% 77%  
94 3% 71%  
95 5% 68%  
96 45% 63% Median
97 11% 18%  
98 2% 7%  
99 0.9% 6%  
100 0.9% 5%  
101 0.6% 4%  
102 3% 3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 5% 99.6%  
78 1.2% 95%  
79 2% 93%  
80 4% 92% Last Result
81 11% 87%  
82 4% 76%  
83 4% 72%  
84 12% 68%  
85 7% 56% Median
86 46% 49%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.9% 1.3%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.7%  
73 4% 99.5%  
74 1.1% 96%  
75 0.9% 95% Last Result
76 4% 94%  
77 16% 90%  
78 2% 74%  
79 13% 73%  
80 49% 60% Median
81 3% 10%  
82 2% 7%  
83 2% 6%  
84 0.8% 4%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.7%  
73 0.4% 99.5%  
74 2% 99.1%  
75 5% 98%  
76 3% 93%  
77 3% 89%  
78 13% 86% Last Result
79 15% 74%  
80 5% 58%  
81 46% 53% Median
82 1.5% 8%  
83 0.6% 6%  
84 4% 6%  
85 0.4% 1.4%  
86 0.3% 1.0%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 10% 99.7%  
70 0.7% 90%  
71 1.3% 89%  
72 1.4% 88%  
73 48% 86% Median
74 11% 38%  
75 4% 27%  
76 4% 23%  
77 8% 20%  
78 3% 12%  
79 5% 9% Last Result
80 3% 4%  
81 0.7% 1.3%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 10% 99.5%  
70 0.7% 89%  
71 1.2% 89%  
72 3% 87%  
73 48% 85% Median
74 11% 36%  
75 4% 26% Last Result
76 3% 21%  
77 8% 18%  
78 2% 10%  
79 5% 8%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.4% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 10% 99.7%  
70 0.8% 90%  
71 1.3% 89%  
72 1.4% 87%  
73 48% 86% Median
74 11% 38%  
75 4% 27%  
76 4% 23%  
77 8% 19%  
78 3% 11%  
79 5% 9% Last Result
80 3% 4%  
81 0.7% 1.3%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 10% 99.5%  
70 0.8% 89%  
71 1.2% 88%  
72 3% 87%  
73 48% 85% Median
74 11% 36%  
75 4% 25% Last Result
76 3% 21%  
77 8% 18%  
78 2% 10%  
79 5% 8%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.4% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 5% 98%  
61 1.3% 94%  
62 2% 92%  
63 11% 90%  
64 3% 79% Last Result
65 18% 76%  
66 3% 58%  
67 47% 56% Median
68 2% 9%  
69 2% 6%  
70 1.1% 5%  
71 3% 4%  
72 0.3% 0.7%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0% 0.3%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.7%  
53 0.5% 99.2%  
54 0.9% 98.7%  
55 10% 98%  
56 49% 88% Median
57 2% 38%  
58 11% 36%  
59 5% 25% Last Result
60 5% 21%  
61 5% 16%  
62 3% 11%  
63 5% 8%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.7%  
51 2% 99.2%  
52 0.7% 97%  
53 1.0% 97%  
54 2% 96%  
55 14% 94% Last Result
56 49% 80% Median
57 3% 32%  
58 15% 29%  
59 3% 14%  
60 3% 12%  
61 5% 9%  
62 4% 4%  
63 0.6% 0.8%  
64 0% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.5% 99.8%  
39 1.5% 99.3%  
40 1.2% 98%  
41 0.6% 97%  
42 3% 96%  
43 11% 93% Last Result
44 12% 82%  
45 51% 69% Median
46 5% 19%  
47 2% 14%  
48 7% 12%  
49 5% 6%  
50 0.7% 1.0%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations