Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–25 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Venstre 23.4% 23.7% 22.0–25.4% 21.5–25.9% 21.1–26.4% 20.3–27.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–8.0% 4.5–8.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 48–52 47–53 45–54 44–55
Venstre 43 42 41–47 41–48 39–48 36–50
Dansk Folkeparti 16 17 17–19 16–19 15–19 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 14–17 13–17 13–17 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–17 13–17 12–18 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–15 12–16 12–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 9–13 9–14 9–14 9–15
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.8%  
44 2% 99.6%  
45 0.9% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 3% 95%  
48 24% 92% Last Result
49 12% 68%  
50 4% 56%  
51 38% 52% Median
52 4% 14%  
53 7% 10%  
54 0.5% 3%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.8% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.2%  
38 0.8% 99.0%  
39 2% 98%  
40 1.1% 96%  
41 10% 95%  
42 40% 85% Median
43 22% 45% Last Result
44 3% 23%  
45 7% 19%  
46 1.4% 12%  
47 1.5% 11%  
48 8% 9%  
49 0.7% 2%  
50 0.8% 1.0%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 1.3% 99.7%  
15 2% 98%  
16 5% 96% Last Result
17 46% 91% Median
18 17% 45%  
19 26% 28%  
20 1.0% 2%  
21 0.7% 1.2%  
22 0.2% 0.4%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 6% 98%  
14 3% 92% Last Result
15 29% 89%  
16 16% 61% Median
17 42% 44%  
18 0.7% 2%  
19 1.1% 1.2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.7%  
13 4% 96% Last Result
14 23% 92%  
15 43% 68% Median
16 13% 25%  
17 9% 13%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.9% 1.4%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 1.3% 99.9%  
12 6% 98.7%  
13 11% 92%  
14 69% 81% Median
15 7% 12%  
16 2% 5% Last Result
17 0.9% 4%  
18 0.5% 3%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.2% 99.9%  
9 26% 99.8%  
10 7% 74%  
11 45% 67% Median
12 6% 23% Last Result
13 10% 17%  
14 6% 7%  
15 0.7% 1.1%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 43% 84% Median
5 33% 41% Last Result
6 7% 8%  
7 1.0% 1.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100%  
1 0% 72%  
2 0% 72%  
3 0% 72%  
4 66% 72% Last Result, Median
5 5% 6%  
6 0.6% 0.7%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3% Last Result
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 99 99.4% 95–101 93–103 92–103 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 96 95% 91–98 89–98 88–99 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 86 7% 81–87 79–90 78–90 76–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 82 0% 77–83 76–85 75–85 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 80 0% 77–82 74–82 73–83 70–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 71–79 67–79 67–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 71–79 67–79 67–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 71–78 67–79 67–79 66–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 62–67 60–67 58–68 56–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 53–61 50–61 50–62 49–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 52–59 50–61 50–61 48–63
Venstre 43 42 0% 41–47 41–48 39–48 36–50

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.6%  
90 0.5% 99.4% Majority
91 1.3% 99.0%  
92 2% 98%  
93 2% 95%  
94 3% 94%  
95 1.1% 91%  
96 27% 90% Last Result
97 5% 62%  
98 7% 58%  
99 1.0% 51%  
100 2% 50% Median
101 38% 47%  
102 2% 9%  
103 5% 8%  
104 0.5% 2%  
105 0.3% 2%  
106 1.1% 1.4%  
107 0% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.3%  
109 0.3% 0.3%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.8%  
86 0.4% 99.5%  
87 1.2% 99.1%  
88 2% 98%  
89 1.3% 96%  
90 1.3% 95% Majority
91 23% 93% Last Result
92 5% 71%  
93 2% 66%  
94 3% 64%  
95 3% 61%  
96 8% 58% Median
97 37% 50%  
98 9% 12%  
99 0.6% 3%  
100 0.4% 2%  
101 1.2% 2%  
102 0.5% 0.8%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0.3% 0.3%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.6%  
76 0.3% 99.5%  
77 0.9% 99.2%  
78 3% 98%  
79 1.0% 96%  
80 1.0% 95% Last Result
81 5% 94%  
82 29% 89%  
83 5% 60%  
84 4% 55%  
85 0.9% 51%  
86 3% 50% Median
87 38% 47%  
88 1.5% 9%  
89 0.6% 7%  
90 5% 7% Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.8%  
73 0.7% 99.4%  
74 0.9% 98.7%  
75 1.0% 98% Last Result
76 5% 97%  
77 20% 91%  
78 6% 71%  
79 2% 65%  
80 2% 63%  
81 2% 61%  
82 10% 59% Median
83 40% 49%  
84 2% 9%  
85 5% 7%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0% 0.5%  
89 0.5% 0.5%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 0.5% 99.1%  
73 3% 98.6%  
74 1.4% 96%  
75 0.6% 95%  
76 2% 94%  
77 23% 92%  
78 3% 69% Last Result
79 14% 67%  
80 3% 53%  
81 2% 50% Median
82 45% 48%  
83 0.6% 3%  
84 0.3% 2%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 0.2% 2%  
87 1.3% 1.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 5% 99.6%  
68 0.4% 95%  
69 2% 94%  
70 0.5% 92%  
71 3% 92%  
72 1.2% 89%  
73 5% 88%  
74 40% 83% Median
75 21% 43%  
76 0.8% 22%  
77 5% 22%  
78 6% 17%  
79 8% 10% Last Result
80 0.4% 3%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.1%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.6% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 5% 99.6%  
68 0.4% 95%  
69 2% 94%  
70 0.5% 92%  
71 3% 92%  
72 1.2% 89%  
73 5% 88%  
74 40% 83% Median
75 21% 43%  
76 0.8% 22%  
77 5% 22%  
78 6% 17%  
79 8% 10% Last Result
80 0.4% 3%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.1%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.6% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 5% 99.5%  
68 0.6% 94%  
69 2% 94%  
70 0.8% 92%  
71 3% 91%  
72 1.2% 88%  
73 5% 87%  
74 40% 82% Median
75 21% 42% Last Result
76 0.8% 21%  
77 5% 21%  
78 6% 15%  
79 7% 9%  
80 0.3% 2%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.9%  
83 0% 0.8%  
84 0.6% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.8%  
57 0.5% 98%  
58 1.0% 98%  
59 0.7% 97%  
60 3% 96%  
61 3% 93%  
62 23% 91%  
63 10% 67%  
64 5% 58% Last Result
65 37% 53% Median
66 5% 16%  
67 7% 11%  
68 2% 4%  
69 0.3% 2%  
70 1.4% 2%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.6%  
50 5% 99.4%  
51 0.3% 94%  
52 3% 94%  
53 2% 91%  
54 1.5% 89%  
55 5% 87%  
56 21% 82%  
57 38% 61% Median
58 2% 24%  
59 6% 21% Last Result
60 3% 16%  
61 10% 13%  
62 0.9% 3%  
63 0.3% 2%  
64 0.1% 1.4%  
65 0.4% 1.3%  
66 0.2% 0.9%  
67 0.6% 0.6%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 0.9% 99.4%  
50 6% 98.5%  
51 0.6% 93%  
52 23% 92%  
53 39% 69% Median
54 2% 30%  
55 9% 28% Last Result
56 5% 19%  
57 1.4% 14%  
58 2% 12%  
59 1.5% 11%  
60 0.4% 9%  
61 8% 9%  
62 0.2% 1.1%  
63 0.8% 0.9%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.8% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.2%  
38 0.8% 99.0%  
39 2% 98%  
40 1.1% 96%  
41 10% 95%  
42 40% 85% Median
43 22% 45% Last Result
44 3% 23%  
45 7% 19%  
46 1.4% 12%  
47 1.5% 11%  
48 8% 9%  
49 0.7% 2%  
50 0.8% 1.0%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations