Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 25 November–2 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.6% 24.9–28.4% 24.4–28.9% 24.0–29.4% 23.2–30.2%
Venstre 23.4% 22.9% 21.3–24.6% 20.9–25.1% 20.5–25.6% 19.7–26.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.8% 8.7–11.0% 8.4–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 45–52 44–53 42–54 42–55
Venstre 43 42 38–45 38–47 37–47 35–49
Dansk Folkeparti 16 18 16–20 15–21 15–21 13–22
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–18 13–19 13–20 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 10–16 10–17 10–17 9–18
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 2% 99.6%  
43 2% 97%  
44 2% 95%  
45 8% 93%  
46 6% 85%  
47 14% 79%  
48 21% 65% Last Result, Median
49 14% 44%  
50 8% 30%  
51 2% 22%  
52 15% 20%  
53 3% 5%  
54 1.5% 3%  
55 1.1% 1.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.7%  
36 0.7% 99.0%  
37 3% 98%  
38 18% 95%  
39 6% 78%  
40 7% 72%  
41 14% 65%  
42 15% 51% Median
43 15% 36% Last Result
44 7% 20%  
45 3% 13%  
46 2% 10%  
47 6% 8%  
48 0.4% 2%  
49 1.5% 2%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 1.5% 99.4%  
15 5% 98%  
16 20% 93% Last Result
17 11% 72%  
18 31% 61% Median
19 16% 30%  
20 8% 14%  
21 4% 6%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 1.5% 99.6%  
13 4% 98%  
14 15% 94%  
15 11% 79%  
16 34% 69% Last Result, Median
17 16% 35%  
18 10% 18%  
19 6% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 8% 99.0%  
13 20% 91%  
14 9% 72% Last Result
15 13% 62% Median
16 19% 49%  
17 15% 30%  
18 10% 15%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.5% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.3% 99.9%  
11 9% 98.5%  
12 20% 90%  
13 25% 70% Last Result, Median
14 13% 45%  
15 24% 32%  
16 6% 8%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 9% 99.4%  
11 15% 90%  
12 11% 75% Last Result
13 18% 64% Median
14 30% 46%  
15 6% 17%  
16 3% 11%  
17 7% 7%  
18 0.7% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100%  
1 0% 70%  
2 0% 70%  
3 0% 70%  
4 32% 70% Last Result, Median
5 27% 37%  
6 9% 11%  
7 1.2% 1.5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100%  
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0.4% 79%  
4 33% 79% Median
5 34% 46% Last Result
6 11% 13%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.3% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0.1% 6%  
4 5% 6% Last Result
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0.1% 5%  
4 4% 5%  
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 98% 92–102 91–104 90–104 88–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 92 88% 89–99 87–99 86–100 85–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0.2% 76–86 75–87 75–87 73–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 80 0% 76–85 74–86 73–87 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 76 0% 73–82 72–83 71–83 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 75 0% 71–80 71–82 70–83 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 75 0% 71–80 70–82 70–83 68–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 60–68 59–69 58–70 56–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 54–62 53–64 52–64 50–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 51–60 50–60 49–60 47–62
Venstre 43 42 0% 38–45 38–47 37–47 35–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.7% 99.8%  
89 0.7% 99.2%  
90 3% 98% Majority
91 2% 96%  
92 4% 93%  
93 3% 90%  
94 8% 87%  
95 8% 78%  
96 27% 70% Last Result, Median
97 6% 43%  
98 4% 37%  
99 10% 33%  
100 8% 23%  
101 6% 16%  
102 2% 10%  
103 2% 8%  
104 5% 6%  
105 0.3% 1.2%  
106 0.8% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 1.4% 99.7%  
86 2% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 2% 94%  
89 4% 92%  
90 4% 88% Majority
91 12% 84% Last Result
92 22% 72% Median
93 9% 50%  
94 11% 41%  
95 8% 30%  
96 7% 22%  
97 2% 15%  
98 2% 13%  
99 6% 10%  
100 3% 5%  
101 1.4% 2%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.5%  
74 0.6% 98.7%  
75 5% 98%  
76 4% 93%  
77 3% 89%  
78 11% 86%  
79 7% 75%  
80 19% 68% Last Result, Median
81 10% 48%  
82 7% 39%  
83 11% 32%  
84 3% 20%  
85 6% 17%  
86 3% 11%  
87 7% 8%  
88 0.5% 1.2%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 1.5% 99.5%  
73 2% 98%  
74 3% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 3% 91%  
77 15% 87%  
78 10% 72% Last Result
79 10% 62% Median
80 19% 52%  
81 8% 33%  
82 4% 25%  
83 8% 21%  
84 2% 13%  
85 3% 11%  
86 5% 8%  
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.2% 1.4%  
89 1.2% 1.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.6%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 95%  
73 4% 93%  
74 7% 89%  
75 7% 82% Last Result
76 26% 74% Median
77 9% 48%  
78 11% 40%  
79 7% 29%  
80 5% 22%  
81 2% 16%  
82 9% 14%  
83 4% 5%  
84 0.3% 1.2%  
85 0.8% 0.9%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 1.3% 99.4%  
70 3% 98%  
71 7% 95%  
72 7% 88%  
73 4% 81%  
74 11% 78%  
75 18% 66%  
76 8% 48%  
77 9% 40% Median
78 5% 31%  
79 11% 27% Last Result
80 7% 16%  
81 3% 9%  
82 2% 6%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.1% 1.2%  
85 0.7% 1.0%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 1.4% 99.2%  
70 4% 98%  
71 7% 94%  
72 7% 87%  
73 4% 79%  
74 11% 75%  
75 18% 64% Last Result
76 8% 46%  
77 10% 38% Median
78 5% 28%  
79 10% 24%  
80 6% 14%  
81 2% 8%  
82 2% 5%  
83 3% 3%  
84 0.1% 0.8%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.4% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 99.5%  
58 3% 99.0%  
59 3% 96%  
60 4% 93%  
61 3% 89%  
62 10% 86%  
63 8% 76%  
64 23% 68% Last Result, Median
65 12% 45%  
66 11% 33%  
67 1.5% 22%  
68 12% 21%  
69 6% 9%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.3% 1.0%  
72 0.5% 0.6%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.7%  
51 1.0% 99.1%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 96%  
54 6% 93%  
55 12% 87%  
56 9% 76%  
57 14% 66%  
58 10% 52%  
59 12% 41% Last Result, Median
60 11% 29%  
61 6% 19%  
62 5% 13%  
63 2% 9%  
64 5% 7%  
65 1.4% 2%  
66 0.5% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 1.1% 99.5%  
49 2% 98%  
50 3% 97%  
51 12% 94%  
52 15% 82%  
53 13% 67%  
54 8% 55%  
55 7% 47% Last Result, Median
56 14% 40%  
57 5% 26%  
58 4% 21%  
59 7% 18%  
60 8% 10%  
61 1.4% 2%  
62 0.2% 0.6%  
63 0% 0.4%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.7%  
36 0.7% 99.0%  
37 3% 98%  
38 18% 95%  
39 6% 78%  
40 7% 72%  
41 14% 65%  
42 15% 51% Median
43 15% 36% Last Result
44 7% 20%  
45 3% 13%  
46 2% 10%  
47 6% 8%  
48 0.4% 2%  
49 1.5% 2%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations