Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–8 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.9% 24.2–27.8% 23.7–28.3% 23.3–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
Venstre 23.4% 23.9% 22.2–25.7% 21.7–26.2% 21.3–26.6% 20.5–27.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 44–51 44–51 42–52 40–55
Venstre 43 43 40–46 39–47 38–48 37–49
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 15–20 14–20 13–21 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 13–18 13–18 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–17 11–17 11–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 0–6 0–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0–4 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.9% 99.9%  
41 1.0% 99.0%  
42 1.4% 98%  
43 2% 97%  
44 21% 95%  
45 8% 74%  
46 10% 66%  
47 19% 56% Median
48 11% 37% Last Result
49 6% 26%  
50 9% 20%  
51 6% 11%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.2% 1.0%  
55 0.7% 0.8%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 3% 97%  
40 7% 94%  
41 18% 87%  
42 12% 69%  
43 23% 57% Last Result, Median
44 4% 34%  
45 18% 30%  
46 5% 12%  
47 2% 7%  
48 3% 4%  
49 0.3% 0.7%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 3% 99.8%  
14 6% 97%  
15 16% 91%  
16 25% 74% Last Result, Median
17 25% 49%  
18 5% 25%  
19 4% 20%  
20 13% 16%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.0% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.0%  
13 14% 98%  
14 21% 84% Last Result
15 15% 63% Median
16 20% 48%  
17 21% 28%  
18 5% 7%  
19 1.1% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.1% 100%  
12 3% 98.9%  
13 9% 96% Last Result
14 11% 87%  
15 26% 77%  
16 30% 50% Median
17 12% 21%  
18 8% 9%  
19 0.6% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 8% 99.8%  
12 6% 92%  
13 23% 86%  
14 24% 63% Median
15 9% 39%  
16 12% 31% Last Result
17 15% 19%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.3% 100%  
11 7% 98.7%  
12 10% 92% Last Result
13 18% 82%  
14 24% 64% Median
15 26% 40%  
16 6% 14%  
17 7% 8%  
18 0.9% 1.0%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 35% 93% Last Result
5 40% 57% Median
6 13% 17%  
7 4% 5%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0% 61%  
4 31% 61% Median
5 26% 30% Last Result
6 4% 4%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 9% 10%  
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3% Last Result
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 88% 88–99 88–102 88–103 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 92 78% 88–96 87–97 86–100 85–100
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0.2% 74–87 74–87 74–87 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 77 0% 72–81 72–83 71–85 69–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 78 0% 75–83 73–83 71–84 70–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 78 0% 74–83 72–83 71–84 70–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 74–83 73–83 72–83 70–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 57–64 56–66 56–68 54–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 57–66 57–68 56–68 54–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 57 0% 53–60 52–61 51–63 50–65
Venstre 43 43 0% 40–46 39–47 38–48 37–49

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 10% 99.4%  
89 1.4% 89%  
90 11% 88% Majority
91 4% 77%  
92 3% 72%  
93 4% 69%  
94 11% 65%  
95 7% 54%  
96 11% 47% Last Result, Median
97 8% 37%  
98 10% 28%  
99 9% 19%  
100 4% 10%  
101 0.8% 6%  
102 2% 5%  
103 0.6% 3%  
104 2% 2%  
105 0.2% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 1.2% 99.5%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 12% 95%  
89 5% 83%  
90 19% 78% Majority
91 3% 59% Last Result
92 15% 56% Median
93 6% 41%  
94 19% 35%  
95 1.4% 15%  
96 4% 14%  
97 5% 10%  
98 0.3% 5%  
99 1.1% 5%  
100 3% 3%  
101 0.3% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.8%  
73 1.1% 99.3%  
74 9% 98%  
75 2% 89%  
76 3% 87%  
77 12% 84%  
78 5% 71%  
79 6% 66%  
80 11% 60% Last Result
81 10% 49%  
82 12% 39% Median
83 5% 27%  
84 7% 22%  
85 3% 16%  
86 0.6% 12%  
87 10% 12%  
88 1.2% 1.4%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.8% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 98.9%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 14% 97%  
73 2% 83%  
74 13% 82%  
75 6% 69%  
76 9% 63% Median
77 23% 53%  
78 5% 31% Last Result
79 10% 26%  
80 4% 16%  
81 5% 13%  
82 1.1% 8%  
83 2% 7%  
84 1.2% 5%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.8%  
71 3% 99.3%  
72 0.9% 96%  
73 3% 95%  
74 1.4% 92%  
75 12% 90%  
76 12% 78%  
77 13% 66%  
78 9% 53% Median
79 4% 44% Last Result
80 6% 40%  
81 18% 34%  
82 3% 17%  
83 10% 14%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.3% 2%  
87 1.2% 1.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.8%  
71 4% 99.1%  
72 1.0% 95%  
73 3% 94%  
74 1.5% 91%  
75 12% 90% Last Result
76 12% 77%  
77 13% 65%  
78 9% 52% Median
79 4% 42%  
80 5% 38%  
81 18% 33%  
82 3% 16%  
83 9% 13%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 0.2% 1.4%  
87 1.2% 1.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 1.3% 99.3%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 12% 94%  
75 5% 82% Last Result
76 15% 77%  
77 23% 62%  
78 5% 39% Median
79 11% 35%  
80 4% 24%  
81 2% 19%  
82 4% 17%  
83 12% 13%  
84 1.0% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 1.1% 99.8%  
55 1.1% 98.7%  
56 4% 98%  
57 3% 93%  
58 4% 90%  
59 13% 86% Last Result
60 5% 73%  
61 20% 68%  
62 12% 48% Median
63 12% 36%  
64 14% 24%  
65 4% 10%  
66 1.5% 6%  
67 2% 5%  
68 1.0% 3%  
69 0.3% 2%  
70 1.2% 1.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.8% 99.8%  
55 1.0% 99.0%  
56 0.9% 98%  
57 11% 97%  
58 14% 86%  
59 6% 72%  
60 13% 66%  
61 10% 53% Median
62 7% 43%  
63 5% 36%  
64 18% 31% Last Result
65 1.2% 13%  
66 4% 12%  
67 2% 8%  
68 3% 5%  
69 0.8% 2%  
70 1.0% 1.3%  
71 0.3% 0.3%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.7% 99.7%  
51 2% 99.0%  
52 3% 97%  
53 7% 95%  
54 8% 87%  
55 11% 80% Last Result
56 17% 69%  
57 8% 52% Median
58 19% 44%  
59 3% 25%  
60 14% 22%  
61 4% 9%  
62 2% 4%  
63 1.1% 3%  
64 0.2% 2%  
65 1.2% 1.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 3% 97%  
40 7% 94%  
41 18% 87%  
42 12% 69%  
43 23% 57% Last Result, Median
44 4% 34%  
45 18% 30%  
46 5% 12%  
47 2% 7%  
48 3% 4%  
49 0.3% 0.7%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations