Opinion Poll by Gallup, 12 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.9% 24.5–27.5% 24.1–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.1–29.0%
Venstre 23.4% 23.3% 21.9–24.8% 21.6–25.2% 21.2–25.5% 20.6–26.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.4% 7.6–9.4% 7.3–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.7–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.2% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.5–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.7% 6.9–8.7% 6.7–9.0% 6.5–9.2% 6.1–9.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.8% 6.0–7.7% 5.8–8.0% 5.6–8.2% 5.3–8.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–5.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.8–2.5%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 47–52 46–52 45–52 43–52
Venstre 43 44 40–48 40–48 39–48 38–48
Radikale Venstre 16 15 12–17 12–18 12–18 12–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 13–19 13–19 12–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–16 12–17 12–17 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–13 11–14 11–15 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.8%  
44 0.5% 99.2%  
45 2% 98.8%  
46 5% 97%  
47 9% 92%  
48 39% 83% Last Result, Median
49 27% 45%  
50 0.9% 18%  
51 2% 17%  
52 15% 15%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.5% 99.8%  
39 2% 99.4%  
40 8% 97%  
41 17% 90%  
42 10% 73%  
43 10% 63% Last Result
44 12% 53% Median
45 4% 41%  
46 3% 37%  
47 10% 34%  
48 24% 24%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 12% 99.9%  
13 5% 87%  
14 12% 82%  
15 40% 71% Median
16 16% 31% Last Result
17 5% 15%  
18 9% 9%  
19 0.4% 0.8%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9% Last Result
13 8% 97%  
14 12% 89%  
15 36% 77% Median
16 9% 42%  
17 17% 33%  
18 5% 15%  
19 10% 10%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.3% 100%  
12 4% 98.7%  
13 1.4% 95% Last Result
14 24% 93%  
15 56% 70% Median
16 8% 14%  
17 3% 6%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 11% 99.3%  
13 18% 88%  
14 40% 70% Median
15 20% 30%  
16 5% 11% Last Result
17 5% 5%  
18 0.1% 0.3%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.8%  
11 7% 98%  
12 36% 92%  
13 47% 56% Median
14 5% 9% Last Result
15 3% 4%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100% Last Result
5 9% 99.7%  
6 16% 90%  
7 45% 74% Median
8 26% 30%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 22% 56% Median
5 27% 33% Last Result
6 5% 6%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 9% 10% Last Result
5 0.8% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 5% 5%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 94 99.4% 91–96 91–98 91–99 89–101
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 91 71% 89–95 87–96 86–96 85–97
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0% 79–84 77–84 76–84 74–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0% 79–84 77–84 76–84 74–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0% 78–84 77–84 76–84 74–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0% 79–84 77–84 76–84 74–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 78–84 77–84 76–84 74–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 78 0% 76–82 76–82 74–83 74–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 76 0% 74–79 74–81 73–82 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 76 0% 74–78 71–79 69–79 69–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 74 0% 71–77 71–78 69–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 71–77 70–77 69–78 66–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 61–67 61–68 60–70 58–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 57–63 55–63 54–63 52–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 60 0% 55–63 54–63 54–63 52–63
Venstre 43 44 0% 40–48 40–48 39–48 38–48

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.2% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.2% 99.6%  
90 2% 99.4% Majority
91 24% 98%  
92 5% 74%  
93 12% 70%  
94 28% 58%  
95 16% 30% Median
96 7% 14% Last Result
97 2% 7%  
98 3% 6%  
99 0.5% 3%  
100 1.2% 2%  
101 1.1% 1.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.2% 100%  
83 0% 99.8%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.7% 99.7%  
86 2% 98.9%  
87 4% 97%  
88 0.7% 94%  
89 22% 93%  
90 8% 71% Majority
91 36% 63% Last Result, Median
92 3% 27%  
93 13% 25%  
94 2% 12%  
95 3% 10%  
96 6% 8%  
97 0.9% 1.3%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.9%  
75 1.2% 98.9%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 2% 94%  
79 7% 93% Last Result
80 16% 86% Median
81 28% 70%  
82 12% 42%  
83 5% 30%  
84 24% 26%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.9%  
75 1.2% 98.9%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 2% 94%  
79 7% 93% Last Result
80 16% 86% Median
81 28% 70%  
82 12% 42%  
83 5% 30%  
84 24% 26%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.8%  
75 1.2% 98.7%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 6% 97%  
78 2% 91%  
79 7% 89% Last Result
80 16% 82% Median
81 26% 66%  
82 12% 41%  
83 4% 29%  
84 24% 25%  
85 0.8% 1.0%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.9%  
75 1.2% 98.9%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 2% 94%  
79 7% 93% Last Result
80 16% 86% Median
81 28% 70%  
82 12% 42%  
83 5% 30%  
84 24% 26%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.8%  
75 1.2% 98.7%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 6% 97%  
78 2% 91%  
79 7% 89% Last Result
80 16% 82% Median
81 26% 66%  
82 12% 41%  
83 4% 29%  
84 24% 25%  
85 0.8% 1.0%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 3% 99.6%  
75 0.8% 97%  
76 26% 96%  
77 2% 70%  
78 20% 69%  
79 12% 49%  
80 12% 37% Last Result, Median
81 7% 25%  
82 13% 18%  
83 2% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.9% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.0%  
71 0.2% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 0.4% 98%  
74 21% 97%  
75 10% 76%  
76 40% 66% Median
77 3% 26%  
78 4% 23% Last Result
79 11% 19%  
80 1.5% 7%  
81 0.9% 6%  
82 4% 5%  
83 0% 0.6%  
84 0.4% 0.6%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 3% 99.8%  
70 1.2% 97%  
71 0.8% 96%  
72 0.9% 95%  
73 2% 94%  
74 6% 92%  
75 13% 86% Last Result
76 34% 74% Median
77 16% 40%  
78 17% 24%  
79 6% 6%  
80 0.4% 0.7%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.9% 100%  
67 0% 99.1%  
68 1.4% 99.0%  
69 0.8% 98%  
70 0.8% 97%  
71 7% 96%  
72 8% 89%  
73 25% 82% Median
74 11% 57%  
75 5% 46% Last Result
76 11% 41%  
77 25% 30%  
78 4% 5%  
79 1.2% 2%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.9% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.0%  
68 1.4% 98.9%  
69 0.9% 98%  
70 4% 97%  
71 8% 93%  
72 8% 85%  
73 25% 78% Median
74 8% 53%  
75 5% 45% Last Result
76 11% 40%  
77 25% 29%  
78 4% 4%  
79 0.4% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 1.4% 99.8%  
59 0.3% 98%  
60 0.6% 98%  
61 17% 97%  
62 5% 80%  
63 37% 75% Median
64 14% 38% Last Result
65 3% 23%  
66 4% 21%  
67 12% 17%  
68 0.3% 5%  
69 0.3% 5%  
70 4% 4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.8% 99.8%  
53 0.5% 99.0%  
54 1.4% 98.5%  
55 5% 97%  
56 0.9% 92%  
57 7% 91%  
58 21% 84%  
59 4% 63% Last Result, Median
60 7% 59%  
61 12% 52%  
62 1.1% 39%  
63 37% 38%  
64 0.7% 1.0%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.9% 99.8%  
53 0.8% 98.9%  
54 4% 98%  
55 5% 95% Last Result
56 2% 89%  
57 9% 88%  
58 19% 79%  
59 7% 60% Median
60 7% 53%  
61 10% 45%  
62 0.9% 35%  
63 34% 34%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.5% 99.8%  
39 2% 99.4%  
40 8% 97%  
41 17% 90%  
42 10% 73%  
43 10% 63% Last Result
44 12% 53% Median
45 4% 41%  
46 3% 37%  
47 10% 34%  
48 24% 24%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations