Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 9–15 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.4% 24.6–28.2% 24.2–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 23.0–30.0%
Venstre 23.4% 23.2% 21.5–24.9% 21.1–25.4% 20.7–25.8% 19.9–26.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 44–53 44–53 42–54 41–55
Venstre 43 42 39–45 38–46 37–47 36–49
Radikale Venstre 16 16 13–17 12–18 12–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–17 13–18 12–19 12–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–17 12–18 12–19 12–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.3% 99.8%  
42 2% 98%  
43 2% 97%  
44 13% 95%  
45 12% 82%  
46 7% 71%  
47 12% 64%  
48 6% 51% Last Result, Median
49 6% 45%  
50 5% 40%  
51 7% 35%  
52 3% 27%  
53 22% 25%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.7%  
37 3% 99.2%  
38 4% 97%  
39 8% 93%  
40 12% 84%  
41 10% 72%  
42 16% 62% Median
43 22% 46% Last Result
44 5% 24%  
45 12% 19%  
46 4% 7%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.1% 1.1%  
49 0.7% 1.0%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 7% 99.5%  
13 4% 92%  
14 11% 88%  
15 16% 78%  
16 29% 62% Last Result, Median
17 27% 32%  
18 2% 6%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 6% 97%  
14 35% 91% Last Result
15 17% 56% Median
16 11% 38%  
17 20% 27%  
18 2% 7%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.0% 1.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 10% 99.5%  
13 15% 90%  
14 35% 74% Median
15 13% 40%  
16 9% 26% Last Result
17 8% 17%  
18 5% 9%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.5% 99.9%  
12 6% 98% Last Result
13 18% 93%  
14 22% 75%  
15 42% 53% Median
16 5% 11%  
17 3% 6%  
18 2% 3%  
19 1.0% 1.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.9%  
11 4% 99.5%  
12 14% 95%  
13 25% 82% Last Result
14 10% 57% Median
15 32% 47%  
16 12% 16%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100%  
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0.2% 64%  
4 46% 64% Last Result, Median
5 15% 18%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0.3% 52%  
4 32% 51% Median
5 16% 19% Last Result
6 2% 3%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0.1% 45%  
4 33% 45% Last Result
5 11% 12%  
6 1.5% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 30% 49%  
5 17% 18%  
6 1.1% 1.1%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 94% 90–99 89–101 87–104 86–104
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 92 79% 88–99 86–99 85–100 83–101
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0.2% 75–83 74–85 72–86 70–88
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 78 0.2% 74–84 73–84 71–86 70–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 71–81 71–82 71–84 67–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 73–82 71–82 69–84 67–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 68–78 67–80 67–80 66–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 59–70 58–70 57–70 56–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 55–63 55–64 53–65 51–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 57 0% 52–60 52–60 51–62 50–63
Venstre 43 42 0% 39–45 38–46 37–47 36–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.3% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 1.3% 99.5%  
87 0.8% 98%  
88 1.3% 97%  
89 2% 96%  
90 10% 94% Majority
91 3% 84%  
92 3% 80%  
93 7% 78%  
94 7% 71%  
95 10% 64%  
96 9% 54% Last Result
97 6% 44% Median
98 9% 38%  
99 22% 29%  
100 2% 7%  
101 2% 5%  
102 0.4% 3%  
103 0.3% 3%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 2% 99.7%  
84 0.4% 98%  
85 0.5% 98%  
86 3% 97%  
87 3% 94%  
88 3% 92%  
89 9% 88%  
90 11% 79% Majority
91 12% 68% Last Result
92 8% 57%  
93 2% 49% Median
94 11% 47%  
95 3% 36%  
96 3% 33%  
97 4% 29%  
98 0.9% 25%  
99 21% 24%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.1% 1.3%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0% 0.2%  
104 0.2% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 2% 99.4%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 1.2% 97%  
74 6% 96%  
75 3% 91%  
76 1.0% 88%  
77 4% 87%  
78 13% 83%  
79 15% 70%  
80 6% 55% Last Result
81 6% 49% Median
82 33% 43%  
83 2% 10%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.2% 3%  
87 0.3% 2%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.3%  
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 4% 93%  
75 5% 89%  
76 5% 84%  
77 14% 79%  
78 18% 65% Last Result
79 8% 47% Median
80 3% 39%  
81 4% 36%  
82 5% 32%  
83 2% 27%  
84 21% 25%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.7% 3%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 0.2% 99.4%  
69 0.3% 99.2%  
70 1.1% 98.8%  
71 12% 98%  
72 1.2% 86%  
73 14% 85%  
74 5% 71%  
75 8% 66% Median
76 22% 59%  
77 9% 36%  
78 7% 27%  
79 5% 20% Last Result
80 4% 14%  
81 4% 11%  
82 2% 7%  
83 2% 5%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.6% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.5%  
69 2% 99.0%  
70 1.3% 97%  
71 1.5% 96%  
72 3% 95%  
73 7% 92%  
74 6% 85%  
75 16% 79% Last Result
76 2% 63%  
77 6% 61% Median
78 16% 55%  
79 5% 38%  
80 3% 34%  
81 2% 31%  
82 24% 28%  
83 2% 4%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.4% 0.6%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.8% 99.8%  
67 8% 99.0%  
68 2% 91%  
69 4% 89%  
70 3% 85%  
71 8% 82%  
72 2% 75%  
73 16% 73%  
74 8% 57%  
75 7% 49% Last Result, Median
76 22% 41%  
77 6% 19%  
78 6% 13%  
79 2% 8%  
80 4% 6%  
81 0.6% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.2%  
83 0.1% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.8%  
57 2% 98%  
58 5% 97%  
59 4% 91%  
60 7% 87%  
61 14% 80%  
62 7% 66%  
63 17% 59%  
64 6% 41% Last Result, Median
65 2% 35%  
66 4% 34%  
67 3% 30%  
68 3% 27%  
69 2% 25%  
70 22% 23%  
71 0.5% 0.8%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.3%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.9%  
52 0.8% 99.4%  
53 1.1% 98.6%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 14% 96%  
56 9% 83%  
57 7% 74%  
58 9% 67%  
59 5% 57% Last Result
60 13% 52%  
61 4% 39% Median
62 23% 35%  
63 2% 12%  
64 7% 10%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.3% 2%  
67 0.5% 1.4%  
68 0.8% 0.9%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.7%  
50 0.7% 99.6%  
51 2% 98.9%  
52 7% 96%  
53 5% 90%  
54 10% 85%  
55 16% 75% Last Result
56 5% 59%  
57 8% 53% Median
58 23% 45%  
59 6% 22%  
60 13% 16%  
61 1.1% 4%  
62 0.7% 3%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.7%  
37 3% 99.2%  
38 4% 97%  
39 8% 93%  
40 12% 84%  
41 10% 72%  
42 16% 62% Median
43 22% 46% Last Result
44 5% 24%  
45 12% 19%  
46 4% 7%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.1% 1.1%  
49 0.7% 1.0%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations