Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 16–22 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.2% 22.1–29.1%
Venstre 23.4% 23.8% 22.2–25.6% 21.7–26.1% 21.3–26.5% 20.6–27.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 43–50 43–51 41–52 41–54
Venstre 43 43 40–45 38–47 38–48 37–50
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 16 13–18 12–19 12–19 12–21
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 12–17 11–18 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 11–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Alternativet 5 5 4–6 4–7 0–7 0–8
Stram Kurs 0 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 3% 99.6%  
42 2% 97%  
43 14% 95%  
44 18% 81%  
45 12% 63%  
46 8% 51% Median
47 8% 42%  
48 3% 35% Last Result
49 4% 31%  
50 22% 27%  
51 2% 5%  
52 0.5% 3%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.3% 0.8%  
55 0% 0.4%  
56 0.4% 0.4%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.8%  
38 6% 99.5%  
39 1.3% 93%  
40 5% 92%  
41 18% 86%  
42 15% 69%  
43 16% 54% Last Result, Median
44 8% 38%  
45 20% 30%  
46 2% 10%  
47 3% 8%  
48 3% 5%  
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.7%  
13 3% 99.1%  
14 18% 96%  
15 13% 78%  
16 34% 66% Last Result, Median
17 21% 32%  
18 4% 10%  
19 6% 6%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 8% 99.8%  
13 4% 92%  
14 5% 88%  
15 31% 83%  
16 21% 52% Last Result, Median
17 15% 32%  
18 7% 16%  
19 7% 10%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.6% 0.7%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.9%  
12 8% 98.8% Last Result
13 8% 91%  
14 19% 83%  
15 22% 64% Median
16 8% 41%  
17 24% 33%  
18 7% 9%  
19 0.6% 1.5%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 4% 99.8%  
12 11% 96%  
13 17% 85% Last Result
14 22% 68% Median
15 32% 46%  
16 7% 14%  
17 3% 8%  
18 4% 5%  
19 0.5% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9%  
11 12% 99.0%  
12 8% 87%  
13 10% 79%  
14 32% 69% Last Result, Median
15 24% 37%  
16 10% 13%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 1.0%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 15% 96%  
5 46% 81% Last Result, Median
6 28% 35%  
7 6% 7%  
8 0.6% 0.7%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 55% 74% Median
5 12% 19%  
6 6% 7%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 18% 21% Last Result
5 3% 3%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Median
1 0% 22%  
2 0% 22%  
3 0.3% 22%  
4 20% 22% Last Result
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 94 98% 92–99 91–100 90–102 87–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 89 46% 87–94 86–96 85–98 83–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 79 0.2% 76–84 75–84 73–86 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 75 0% 73–81 71–82 70–83 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 72–79 70–80 69–82 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 72–79 70–80 69–82 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 71–79 68–80 68–82 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 74 0% 71–79 70–79 68–81 68–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 58–67 58–67 57–69 56–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 54–63 52–63 51–65 51–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 54–63 52–63 51–63 51–66
Venstre 43 43 0% 40–45 38–47 38–48 37–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.3% 99.7%  
88 0.3% 99.4%  
89 1.2% 99.0%  
90 0.7% 98% Majority
91 4% 97%  
92 18% 93%  
93 24% 75%  
94 6% 51%  
95 3% 45% Median
96 4% 42% Last Result
97 2% 38%  
98 3% 36%  
99 27% 33%  
100 1.5% 6%  
101 0.5% 5%  
102 2% 4%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.7%  
105 0.4% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0.1% 99.7%  
83 0.5% 99.6%  
84 2% 99.2%  
85 2% 98%  
86 4% 96%  
87 13% 92%  
88 24% 80%  
89 9% 56%  
90 5% 46% Median, Majority
91 3% 41% Last Result
92 1.5% 38%  
93 21% 37%  
94 8% 16%  
95 3% 8%  
96 0.6% 5%  
97 2% 5%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.5% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.2%  
74 0.3% 97%  
75 4% 97%  
76 15% 92%  
77 3% 77%  
78 19% 74%  
79 5% 55% Median
80 13% 50% Last Result
81 7% 36%  
82 12% 29%  
83 2% 17%  
84 12% 16%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.2% 1.4%  
88 0.6% 1.2%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 2% 99.4%  
71 2% 97%  
72 5% 95%  
73 27% 90%  
74 7% 63%  
75 10% 56%  
76 5% 46% Median
77 2% 41%  
78 16% 38% Last Result
79 1.1% 22%  
80 4% 21%  
81 11% 17%  
82 2% 6%  
83 3% 4%  
84 1.1% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.5%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.9%  
68 1.5% 99.2%  
69 1.4% 98%  
70 1.3% 96%  
71 5% 95%  
72 16% 90%  
73 7% 75%  
74 6% 68% Median
75 2% 62%  
76 14% 60%  
77 5% 46%  
78 15% 42%  
79 20% 27% Last Result
80 3% 7%  
81 0.9% 4%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.2% 0.8%  
84 0.3% 0.6%  
85 0.3% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.2%  
69 1.5% 98%  
70 1.3% 96%  
71 5% 95%  
72 16% 90%  
73 7% 75%  
74 6% 68% Median
75 2% 62%  
76 14% 60%  
77 5% 46%  
78 15% 41%  
79 20% 27% Last Result
80 3% 7%  
81 0.9% 4%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.2% 0.8%  
84 0.3% 0.6%  
85 0.3% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 1.1% 99.8%  
68 5% 98.7%  
69 2% 94%  
70 1.5% 92%  
71 5% 91%  
72 12% 86%  
73 9% 73%  
74 17% 65% Median
75 3% 47% Last Result
76 14% 44%  
77 3% 30%  
78 4% 28%  
79 18% 24%  
80 3% 6%  
81 0.5% 3%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 3% 99.5%  
69 0.7% 96%  
70 3% 95%  
71 15% 92%  
72 4% 78%  
73 15% 74%  
74 13% 58% Median
75 3% 45% Last Result
76 21% 42%  
77 1.2% 20%  
78 5% 19%  
79 9% 14%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.1% 3%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.2% 1.0%  
84 0.6% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.8% 99.7%  
57 1.5% 98.8%  
58 11% 97%  
59 26% 86%  
60 9% 60%  
61 5% 51%  
62 3% 46% Median
63 5% 43%  
64 2% 38% Last Result
65 10% 36%  
66 7% 26%  
67 15% 19%  
68 0.8% 4%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0% 0.6%  
71 0.2% 0.6%  
72 0% 0.4%  
73 0.4% 0.4%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 4% 99.9%  
52 3% 96%  
53 1.1% 93%  
54 3% 92%  
55 2% 89%  
56 3% 86%  
57 4% 83%  
58 26% 79% Median
59 7% 52% Last Result
60 14% 46%  
61 5% 32%  
62 13% 27%  
63 9% 13%  
64 2% 4%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.4% 1.0%  
67 0.4% 0.6%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 4% 99.8%  
52 4% 96%  
53 1.3% 92%  
54 6% 91%  
55 5% 85% Last Result
56 13% 81%  
57 6% 68%  
58 25% 62% Median
59 4% 37%  
60 6% 33%  
61 4% 27%  
62 13% 23%  
63 9% 10%  
64 0.3% 2%  
65 0.7% 1.5%  
66 0.3% 0.7%  
67 0.4% 0.5%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.8%  
38 6% 99.5%  
39 1.3% 93%  
40 5% 92%  
41 18% 86%  
42 15% 69%  
43 16% 54% Last Result, Median
44 8% 38%  
45 20% 30%  
46 2% 10%  
47 3% 8%  
48 3% 5%  
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations