Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–7 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.1–31.6% 25.3–32.5%
Venstre 19.5% 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.2–22.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.3–19.1% 14.9–19.5% 14.3–20.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 49–54 47–55 47–57 45–58
Venstre 34 35 31–36 31–38 30–39 29–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 28–33 28–34 27–35 26–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 10 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–14
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Alternativet 9 8 7–10 7–11 7–12 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 6–10 6–11 6–11 6–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.7%  
46 1.2% 99.1%  
47 3% 98% Last Result
48 5% 95%  
49 16% 90%  
50 12% 74%  
51 31% 62% Median
52 7% 31%  
53 7% 23%  
54 8% 16%  
55 4% 9%  
56 1.2% 5%  
57 2% 3%  
58 1.3% 1.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.8%  
30 2% 99.3%  
31 8% 97%  
32 10% 89%  
33 7% 79%  
34 17% 73% Last Result
35 42% 56% Median
36 5% 14%  
37 1.0% 9%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.4% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.9%  
26 0.6% 99.6%  
27 3% 99.0%  
28 12% 96%  
29 7% 84%  
30 15% 77%  
31 37% 62% Median
32 9% 24%  
33 9% 15%  
34 2% 6%  
35 3% 3%  
36 0.4% 0.7%  
37 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.8%  
13 4% 98.6%  
14 8% 94% Last Result
15 15% 86%  
16 20% 71%  
17 39% 51% Median
18 6% 11%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.1% 1.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 17% 97% Last Result
9 18% 80%  
10 36% 62% Median
11 17% 26%  
12 7% 9%  
13 1.2% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.6% 100%  
7 10% 99.4%  
8 41% 90% Median
9 14% 49%  
10 12% 34%  
11 19% 22%  
12 2% 4%  
13 1.3% 2% Last Result
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 10% 98%  
8 43% 89% Median
9 21% 46% Last Result
10 18% 25%  
11 5% 7%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 10% 99.8%  
7 21% 89% Last Result
8 8% 69%  
9 49% 60% Median
10 4% 12%  
11 7% 7%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 2% 99.8%  
6 43% 97% Last Result
7 29% 55% Median
8 11% 26%  
9 14% 15%  
10 1.2% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 95 94% 90–97 89–98 88–100 87–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 86 7% 82–88 80–90 80–91 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 85 4% 81–87 80–89 79–90 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0.1% 78–85 77–86 75–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0.1% 78–85 76–85 75–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 80 0.1% 78–85 77–86 75–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 80 0.1% 78–85 76–85 75–87 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 72–79 71–80 70–81 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 65–73 65–74 64–75 62–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 58–63 56–65 55–66 54–68
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 48–53 47–55 46–56 44–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 39–44 38–45 37–45 36–47
Venstre 34 35 0% 31–36 31–38 30–39 29–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100% Last Result
86 0.4% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.5%  
88 3% 99.3%  
89 3% 97%  
90 5% 94% Majority
91 7% 89%  
92 9% 81%  
93 6% 72%  
94 4% 66%  
95 46% 62% Median
96 5% 17%  
97 4% 12%  
98 3% 8%  
99 2% 5%  
100 2% 3%  
101 1.0% 1.4%  
102 0.4% 0.4%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.7%  
79 1.5% 99.4%  
80 4% 98%  
81 3% 94%  
82 9% 91%  
83 7% 82%  
84 10% 75%  
85 10% 65%  
86 11% 55%  
87 29% 44% Median
88 6% 15%  
89 2% 8%  
90 3% 7% Majority
91 3% 3%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.6% Last Result
78 1.0% 99.4%  
79 3% 98%  
80 5% 96%  
81 4% 91%  
82 13% 87%  
83 8% 73%  
84 12% 65%  
85 26% 53% Median
86 7% 27%  
87 11% 20%  
88 2% 8%  
89 2% 6%  
90 3% 4% Majority
91 0.9% 1.3%  
92 0.4% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 1.0% 99.6%  
75 2% 98.6%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 5% 88%  
80 46% 83%  
81 4% 38% Median
82 6% 34%  
83 9% 28%  
84 7% 19%  
85 5% 11%  
86 3% 6%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 1.0% 99.6%  
75 2% 98.6%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 5% 88%  
80 46% 83%  
81 4% 37% Median
82 7% 34%  
83 9% 27%  
84 7% 17%  
85 5% 10%  
86 2% 5%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 1.0% 99.6%  
75 2% 98.6%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 5% 88%  
80 46% 83%  
81 4% 38% Median
82 6% 34%  
83 9% 28%  
84 7% 19%  
85 5% 11%  
86 3% 6%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 1.0% 99.6%  
75 2% 98.6%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 5% 88%  
80 46% 83%  
81 4% 37% Median
82 7% 34%  
83 9% 27%  
84 7% 17%  
85 5% 10%  
86 2% 5%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
69 0.7% 99.6%  
70 2% 98.9%  
71 4% 96%  
72 10% 93%  
73 3% 83%  
74 17% 80%  
75 11% 63%  
76 4% 51%  
77 26% 47% Median
78 8% 21%  
79 5% 13%  
80 3% 8%  
81 2% 4%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
63 0.2% 99.4%  
64 3% 99.1%  
65 7% 96%  
66 5% 89%  
67 5% 84%  
68 8% 78%  
69 21% 70%  
70 29% 50% Median
71 7% 21%  
72 3% 13%  
73 5% 10%  
74 2% 6%  
75 3% 4%  
76 0.7% 1.1%  
77 0.3% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.4% 99.8%  
55 3% 99.4% Last Result
56 2% 97%  
57 1.1% 95%  
58 6% 94%  
59 11% 88%  
60 16% 77%  
61 27% 61% Median
62 19% 34%  
63 6% 15%  
64 3% 9%  
65 2% 6%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 0.9% 1.3%  
69 0.4% 0.4%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.6% 99.9%  
45 1.4% 99.3%  
46 2% 98%  
47 4% 95%  
48 5% 91%  
49 35% 86%  
50 16% 51% Median
51 5% 35%  
52 16% 30%  
53 5% 14% Last Result
54 2% 9%  
55 3% 7%  
56 3% 4%  
57 0.7% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 2% 99.6%  
37 1.3% 98%  
38 3% 97%  
39 5% 94%  
40 10% 89% Last Result
41 51% 79%  
42 11% 28% Median
43 6% 17%  
44 5% 11%  
45 4% 6%  
46 1.4% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.8%  
30 2% 99.3%  
31 8% 97%  
32 10% 89%  
33 7% 79%  
34 17% 73% Last Result
35 42% 56% Median
36 5% 14%  
37 1.0% 9%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.4% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations