Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | A | O | V | Ø | I | Å | B | F | C | K | D | E | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 June 2015 | General Election | 26.3% 47 |
21.1% 37 |
19.5% 34 |
7.8% 14 |
7.5% 13 |
4.8% 9 |
4.6% 8 |
4.2% 7 |
3.4% 6 |
0.8% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
N/A | Poll Average | 23–31% 42–57 |
9–14% 15–24 |
16–23% 29–41 |
7–10% 13–18 |
2–5% 0–10 |
2–5% 4–8 |
6–10% 11–18 |
6–10% 11–18 |
4–7% 7–12 |
1–3% 0–4 |
2–5% 0–10 |
0–1% 0 |
1–4% 0–7 |
31 May–4 June 2019 | YouGov | 25–30% 43–51 |
9–13% 18–23 |
16–21% 30–37 |
7–10% 12–19 |
2–4% 4–7 |
2–4% 4–6 |
6–9% 11–17 |
6–9% 10–14 |
3–6% 7–10 |
1–3% 0–4 |
4–6% 7–12 |
0–1% 0 |
2–4% 0–7 |
4 June 2019 | Gallup | 24–27% 44–49 |
10–12% 17–21 |
21–24% 37–42 |
7–9% 13–16 |
2–3% 4–6 |
2–3% 4–6 |
7–8% 12–15 |
7–8% 12–15 |
5–7% 10–13 |
2% 0–4 |
2–3% 4–6 |
1% 0 |
1% 0 |
4 June 2019 | Epinion DR |
24–27% 43–48 |
8–11% 15–19 |
19–22% 35–40 |
7–10% 13–18 |
2–3% 0–7 |
3–4% 4–8 |
8–10% 14–19 |
7–9% 13–16 |
5–7% 10–12 |
1–2% 0–4 |
2–3% 4–6 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0–4 |
1–3 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27–32% 48–57 |
8–12% 16–22 |
16–21% 29–39 |
7–10% 13–19 |
2–5% 4–9 |
2–4% 4–8 |
7–11% 13–18 |
7–11% 13–19 |
3–6% 6–10 |
1–3% 0–4 |
1–3% 0–5 |
0–1% 0 |
1–2% 0–4 |
3 June 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
26–31% 46–55 |
9–12% 16–22 |
16–20% 28–36 |
7–10% 13–18 |
3–5% 4–9 |
2–4% 0–6 |
6–9% 10–17 |
6–9% 11–16 |
3–6% 6–11 |
1–3% 0–5 |
3–5% 6–10 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0–6 |
3 June 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
24–29% 44–50 |
9–12% 17–21 |
17–21% 30–36 |
7–10% 13–17 |
2–4% 4–7 |
3–5% 6–10 |
5–8% 10–14 |
7–10% 13–17 |
4–7% 8–11 |
1–3% 0–5 |
2–4% 4–7 |
0–1% 0 |
2–4% 0–6 |
28–30 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
23–28% 41–50 |
10–14% 20–25 |
17–22% 32–40 |
7–11% 13–19 |
2–5% 4–8 |
2–5% 5–8 |
7–10% 12–18 |
6–9% 11–15 |
4–7% 8–12 |
1–2% 0 |
1–3% 0–6 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0–5 |
8 May 2019 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
22–26% 40–46 |
11–14% 19–25 |
16–20% 30–35 |
8–11% 15–19 |
3–5% 6–10 |
2–4% 4–7 |
7–10% 13–18 |
6–9% 12–15 |
4–6% 6–11 |
1–2% 0 |
2–4% 0–6 |
1–2% 0 |
3–4% 5–8 |
18 June 2015 | General Election | 26.3% 47 |
21.1% 37 |
19.5% 34 |
7.8% 14 |
7.5% 13 |
4.8% 9 |
4.6% 8 |
4.2% 7 |
3.4% 6 |
0.8% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Folketinget (95% confidence interval)
- A: Socialdemokraterne
- O: Dansk Folkeparti
- V: Venstre
- Ø: Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
- I: Liberal Alliance
- Å: Alternativet
- B: Radikale Venstre
- F: Socialistisk Folkeparti
- C: Det Konservative Folkeparti
- K: Kristendemokraterne
- D: Nye Borgerlige
- E: Klaus Riskær Pedersen
- P: Stram Kurs
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 26.3% | 24.3–29.5% | 23.8–30.3% | 23.3–30.9% | 22.5–32.1% |
Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 10.8% | 9.4–12.8% | 9.1–13.2% | 8.8–13.6% | 8.3–14.4% |
Venstre | 19.5% | 19.0% | 17.2–22.0% | 16.7–22.5% | 16.4–22.9% | 15.7–23.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.1% | 7.1–10.4% | 6.6–11.0% |
Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.1–4.7% | 1.9–5.1% |
Alternativet | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.6% | 1.8–5.2% |
Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.6–9.3% | 6.2–9.7% | 5.9–10.0% | 5.4–10.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.5% | 6.0–9.9% | 5.5–10.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.2% |
Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.7–3.0% |
Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 2.8% | 1.9–4.6% | 1.7–5.1% | 1.5–5.4% | 1.2–6.0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
Stram Kurs | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.1–3.4% | 1.0–3.7% | 0.9–3.9% | 0.8–4.3% |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
21.5–22.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
22.5–23.5% | 3% | 99.4% | |
23.5–24.5% | 9% | 96% | |
24.5–25.5% | 19% | 87% | |
25.5–26.5% | 23% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
26.5–27.5% | 15% | 45% | |
27.5–28.5% | 11% | 30% | |
28.5–29.5% | 9% | 19% | |
29.5–30.5% | 6% | 9% | |
30.5–31.5% | 3% | 4% | |
31.5–32.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
32.5–33.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 11% | 99.0% | |
9.5–10.5% | 29% | 88% | |
10.5–11.5% | 29% | 59% | Median |
11.5–12.5% | 17% | 30% | |
12.5–13.5% | 10% | 13% | |
13.5–14.5% | 3% | 3% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 3% | 99.6% | |
16.5–17.5% | 13% | 96% | |
17.5–18.5% | 23% | 84% | |
18.5–19.5% | 21% | 61% | Median |
19.5–20.5% | 15% | 40% | Last Result |
20.5–21.5% | 10% | 25% | |
21.5–22.5% | 10% | 14% | |
22.5–23.5% | 4% | 5% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 9% | 99.6% | |
7.5–8.5% | 42% | 91% | Last Result |
8.5–9.5% | 36% | 49% | Median |
9.5–10.5% | 12% | 13% | |
10.5–11.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 15% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 52% | 85% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 29% | 33% | |
4.5–5.5% | 4% | 4% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 15% | 99.9% | |
2.5–3.5% | 59% | 85% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 23% | 26% | |
4.5–5.5% | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
5.5–6.5% | 8% | 99.1% | |
6.5–7.5% | 26% | 91% | |
7.5–8.5% | 36% | 65% | Median |
8.5–9.5% | 23% | 29% | |
9.5–10.5% | 6% | 6% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
4.5–5.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 8% | 99.5% | |
6.5–7.5% | 33% | 91% | |
7.5–8.5% | 39% | 58% | Median |
8.5–9.5% | 15% | 20% | |
9.5–10.5% | 4% | 5% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
3.5–4.5% | 24% | 98% | |
4.5–5.5% | 38% | 75% | Median |
5.5–6.5% | 31% | 36% | |
6.5–7.5% | 6% | 6% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
0.5–1.5% | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
1.5–2.5% | 63% | 67% | Median |
2.5–3.5% | 4% | 4% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 3% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 30% | 97% | |
2.5–3.5% | 39% | 66% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 17% | 28% | |
4.5–5.5% | 9% | 11% | |
5.5–6.5% | 2% | 2% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
0.5–1.5% | 43% | 45% | |
1.5–2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 25% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 39% | 75% | Median |
2.5–3.5% | 29% | 37% | |
3.5–4.5% | 7% | 8% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 47 | 43–55 | 43–57 | 42–57 | 40–57 |
Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 20 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 15–25 |
Venstre | 34 | 34 | 30–40 | 30–40 | 29–41 | 28–42 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 16 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
Liberal Alliance | 13 | 6 | 4–8 | 0–8 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
Alternativet | 9 | 5 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 0–10 |
Radikale Venstre | 8 | 14 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 11–18 | 10–19 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 10–19 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 5 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stram Kurs | 0 | 4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
40 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
41 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
42 | 2% | 98.9% | |
43 | 11% | 97% | |
44 | 6% | 86% | |
45 | 4% | 80% | |
46 | 23% | 77% | |
47 | 8% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
48 | 12% | 46% | |
49 | 15% | 33% | |
50 | 3% | 18% | |
51 | 1.0% | 15% | |
52 | 0.9% | 14% | |
53 | 1.5% | 13% | |
54 | 0.8% | 12% | |
55 | 2% | 11% | |
56 | 2% | 9% | |
57 | 6% | 6% | |
58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
60 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
15 | 3% | 100% | |
16 | 7% | 97% | |
17 | 11% | 90% | |
18 | 11% | 78% | |
19 | 14% | 67% | |
20 | 19% | 53% | Median |
21 | 18% | 34% | |
22 | 6% | 16% | |
23 | 4% | 10% | |
24 | 5% | 6% | |
25 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
26 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
28 | 0% | 0% | |
29 | 0% | 0% | |
30 | 0% | 0% | |
31 | 0% | 0% | |
32 | 0% | 0% | |
33 | 0% | 0% | |
34 | 0% | 0% | |
35 | 0% | 0% | |
36 | 0% | 0% | |
37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
29 | 3% | 99.4% | |
30 | 10% | 97% | |
31 | 7% | 86% | |
32 | 11% | 79% | |
33 | 17% | 69% | |
34 | 17% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
35 | 3% | 34% | |
36 | 5% | 31% | |
37 | 5% | 27% | |
38 | 6% | 22% | |
39 | 3% | 16% | |
40 | 8% | 13% | |
41 | 3% | 4% | |
42 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
44 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
12 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
13 | 10% | 98.8% | |
14 | 14% | 89% | Last Result |
15 | 16% | 74% | |
16 | 30% | 58% | Median |
17 | 14% | 28% | |
18 | 12% | 14% | |
19 | 2% | 2% | |
20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
22 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 7% | 100% | |
1 | 0% | 93% | |
2 | 0% | 93% | |
3 | 0% | 93% | |
4 | 15% | 93% | |
5 | 26% | 78% | |
6 | 19% | 52% | Median |
7 | 17% | 32% | |
8 | 11% | 15% | |
9 | 1.1% | 5% | |
10 | 3% | 4% | |
11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
12 | 0% | 0% | |
13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
4 | 19% | 99.0% | |
5 | 31% | 80% | Median |
6 | 33% | 50% | |
7 | 6% | 16% | |
8 | 9% | 10% | |
9 | 0.2% | 1.0% | Last Result |
10 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
11 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
9 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
10 | 2% | 99.7% | |
11 | 6% | 98% | |
12 | 16% | 92% | |
13 | 11% | 76% | |
14 | 19% | 65% | Median |
15 | 22% | 47% | |
16 | 11% | 25% | |
17 | 4% | 14% | |
18 | 9% | 10% | |
19 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
8 | 0% | 100% | |
9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
10 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
11 | 2% | 98.7% | |
12 | 16% | 97% | |
13 | 15% | 81% | |
14 | 24% | 66% | Median |
15 | 25% | 42% | |
16 | 10% | 17% | |
17 | 1.0% | 7% | |
18 | 5% | 6% | |
19 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
23 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
6 | 2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
7 | 7% | 98% | |
8 | 16% | 91% | |
9 | 28% | 75% | Median |
10 | 20% | 47% | |
11 | 14% | 27% | |
12 | 13% | 14% | |
13 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 78% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 0% | 22% | |
2 | 0% | 22% | |
3 | 0.1% | 22% | |
4 | 21% | 22% | |
5 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 16% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 84% | |
2 | 0% | 84% | |
3 | 0% | 84% | |
4 | 15% | 84% | |
5 | 25% | 70% | Median |
6 | 21% | 45% | |
7 | 11% | 24% | |
8 | 3% | 13% | |
9 | 7% | 10% | |
10 | 2% | 3% | |
11 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
12 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
14 | 0% | 0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 49% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 51% | |
2 | 0% | 51% | |
3 | 0% | 51% | |
4 | 6% | 50% | Median |
5 | 19% | 44% | |
6 | 19% | 25% | |
7 | 5% | 6% | |
8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 85 | 96 | 98.7% | 91–108 | 90–109 | 90–110 | 88–112 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 76 | 91 | 61% | 85–101 | 85–104 | 84–104 | 83–107 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 77 | 82 | 11% | 77–92 | 77–94 | 76–94 | 74–96 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 62 | 75 | 5% | 71–85 | 70–90 | 69–90 | 68–90 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 77 | 0.7% | 72–86 | 71–89 | 70–89 | 69–90 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs | 90 | 79 | 0% | 67–84 | 66–85 | 65–85 | 63–87 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 75 | 0% | 67–82 | 66–84 | 65–85 | 62–85 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 75 | 0% | 67–82 | 66–84 | 65–85 | 62–85 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 73 | 0% | 66–80 | 65–81 | 65–82 | 62–83 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 73 | 0% | 66–80 | 65–81 | 65–82 | 62–83 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 69 | 0% | 65–76 | 62–79 | 62–80 | 62–81 |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 90 | 68 | 0% | 64–75 | 62–76 | 62–76 | 59–79 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 61 | 0% | 57–71 | 57–72 | 57–72 | 54–73 |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 53 | 49 | 0% | 45–55 | 44–57 | 44–57 | 41–59 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 43 | 0% | 39–51 | 39–52 | 37–52 | 36–54 |
Venstre | 34 | 34 | 0% | 30–40 | 30–40 | 29–41 | 28–42 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
86 | 0% | 100% | |
87 | 0% | 100% | |
88 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
89 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
90 | 5% | 98.7% | Majority |
91 | 8% | 93% | |
92 | 9% | 86% | |
93 | 13% | 77% | |
94 | 4% | 64% | |
95 | 3% | 60% | |
96 | 9% | 57% | Median |
97 | 4% | 48% | |
98 | 8% | 44% | |
99 | 6% | 36% | |
100 | 2% | 31% | |
101 | 0.7% | 29% | |
102 | 16% | 28% | |
103 | 0.6% | 12% | |
104 | 0.1% | 11% | |
105 | 0.3% | 11% | |
106 | 0.2% | 11% | |
107 | 0.1% | 11% | |
108 | 2% | 10% | |
109 | 5% | 9% | |
110 | 3% | 4% | |
111 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
112 | 0% | 0.5% | |
113 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
115 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
77 | 0% | 100% | |
78 | 0% | 100% | |
79 | 0% | 100% | |
80 | 0% | 100% | |
81 | 0% | 100% | |
82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
84 | 3% | 99.5% | |
85 | 11% | 96% | |
86 | 4% | 85% | |
87 | 3% | 81% | |
88 | 11% | 78% | |
89 | 6% | 67% | |
90 | 6% | 61% | Majority |
91 | 10% | 55% | Median |
92 | 7% | 44% | |
93 | 4% | 38% | |
94 | 5% | 33% | |
95 | 1.3% | 28% | |
96 | 14% | 27% | |
97 | 1.4% | 13% | |
98 | 0.2% | 11% | |
99 | 0.2% | 11% | |
100 | 0.4% | 11% | |
101 | 2% | 11% | |
102 | 2% | 9% | |
103 | 0.1% | 7% | |
104 | 5% | 7% | |
105 | 1.5% | 2% | |
106 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
107 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
110 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
75 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
76 | 3% | 98% | |
77 | 14% | 95% | Last Result |
78 | 8% | 82% | |
79 | 5% | 73% | |
80 | 6% | 68% | |
81 | 6% | 62% | |
82 | 6% | 56% | Median |
83 | 3% | 50% | |
84 | 11% | 47% | |
85 | 1.3% | 35% | |
86 | 9% | 34% | |
87 | 11% | 25% | |
88 | 2% | 14% | |
89 | 0.3% | 12% | |
90 | 0.3% | 11% | Majority |
91 | 0.5% | 11% | |
92 | 2% | 10% | |
93 | 0.1% | 8% | |
94 | 6% | 8% | |
95 | 1.5% | 2% | |
96 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
99 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
63 | 0% | 100% | |
64 | 0% | 100% | |
65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
68 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
69 | 4% | 99.5% | |
70 | 4% | 95% | |
71 | 2% | 91% | |
72 | 18% | 89% | |
73 | 11% | 71% | |
74 | 3% | 60% | |
75 | 11% | 56% | Median |
76 | 5% | 45% | |
77 | 6% | 41% | |
78 | 12% | 35% | |
79 | 8% | 22% | |
80 | 2% | 15% | |
81 | 1.0% | 13% | |
82 | 0.4% | 12% | |
83 | 0.3% | 11% | |
84 | 0.4% | 11% | |
85 | 2% | 11% | |
86 | 1.1% | 8% | |
87 | 0.1% | 7% | |
88 | 2% | 7% | |
89 | 0% | 5% | |
90 | 5% | 5% | Majority |
91 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
93 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
69 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
70 | 3% | 99.4% | |
71 | 5% | 96% | |
72 | 7% | 92% | |
73 | 9% | 85% | |
74 | 13% | 76% | |
75 | 8% | 64% | |
76 | 4% | 55% | |
77 | 3% | 52% | Median |
78 | 9% | 48% | |
79 | 7% | 39% | |
80 | 7% | 32% | |
81 | 11% | 26% | |
82 | 3% | 15% | |
83 | 0.2% | 12% | |
84 | 0.8% | 12% | |
85 | 1.1% | 11% | |
86 | 0.3% | 10% | |
87 | 4% | 10% | |
88 | 0.1% | 6% | |
89 | 5% | 6% | |
90 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Majority |
91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
94 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Nye Borgerlige – Stram Kurs
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
63 | 0% | 99.5% | |
64 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
65 | 3% | 99.3% | |
66 | 5% | 96% | |
67 | 2% | 91% | |
68 | 0.1% | 90% | |
69 | 0.2% | 89% | |
70 | 0.3% | 89% | |
71 | 0.1% | 89% | |
72 | 0.6% | 89% | |
73 | 16% | 88% | |
74 | 0.7% | 72% | |
75 | 2% | 71% | |
76 | 6% | 69% | |
77 | 8% | 64% | |
78 | 4% | 56% | Median |
79 | 9% | 52% | |
80 | 3% | 43% | |
81 | 4% | 40% | |
82 | 13% | 36% | |
83 | 9% | 23% | |
84 | 8% | 14% | |
85 | 5% | 7% | |
86 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
87 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
63 | 0% | 99.5% | |
64 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
65 | 3% | 99.1% | |
66 | 5% | 96% | |
67 | 2% | 91% | |
68 | 0.3% | 89% | |
69 | 0.4% | 89% | |
70 | 1.0% | 89% | |
71 | 3% | 88% | |
72 | 8% | 85% | |
73 | 24% | 77% | |
74 | 1.5% | 54% | Median |
75 | 4% | 52% | |
76 | 8% | 49% | |
77 | 20% | 41% | |
78 | 2% | 21% | |
79 | 5% | 19% | |
80 | 2% | 14% | |
81 | 1.1% | 12% | |
82 | 4% | 11% | |
83 | 1.3% | 7% | |
84 | 3% | 6% | |
85 | 3% | 3% | |
86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
88 | 0% | 0% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
63 | 0% | 99.5% | |
64 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
65 | 3% | 99.1% | |
66 | 5% | 96% | |
67 | 2% | 91% | |
68 | 0.3% | 89% | |
69 | 0.4% | 89% | |
70 | 1.0% | 89% | |
71 | 3% | 88% | |
72 | 8% | 85% | |
73 | 24% | 77% | |
74 | 1.5% | 54% | Median |
75 | 4% | 52% | |
76 | 8% | 48% | |
77 | 20% | 41% | |
78 | 2% | 21% | |
79 | 5% | 19% | |
80 | 2% | 14% | |
81 | 1.1% | 12% | |
82 | 4% | 11% | |
83 | 1.3% | 7% | |
84 | 3% | 6% | |
85 | 3% | 3% | |
86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
88 | 0% | 0% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Klaus Riskær Pedersen – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
62 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
63 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
65 | 3% | 98% | |
66 | 6% | 95% | |
67 | 0.8% | 89% | |
68 | 0.5% | 88% | |
69 | 1.0% | 88% | |
70 | 0.8% | 87% | |
71 | 4% | 86% | |
72 | 9% | 82% | |
73 | 27% | 73% | |
74 | 2% | 46% | Median |
75 | 5% | 44% | |
76 | 6% | 39% | |
77 | 16% | 33% | |
78 | 2% | 17% | |
79 | 3% | 14% | |
80 | 4% | 11% | |
81 | 3% | 8% | |
82 | 3% | 4% | |
83 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
86 | 0% | 0% | |
87 | 0% | 0% | |
88 | 0% | 0% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
62 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
63 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
64 | 0.4% | 98% | |
65 | 3% | 98% | |
66 | 6% | 95% | |
67 | 0.8% | 89% | |
68 | 0.5% | 88% | |
69 | 1.0% | 88% | |
70 | 0.8% | 87% | |
71 | 4% | 86% | |
72 | 9% | 82% | |
73 | 27% | 73% | |
74 | 2% | 46% | Median |
75 | 5% | 44% | |
76 | 6% | 39% | |
77 | 16% | 33% | |
78 | 2% | 17% | |
79 | 3% | 14% | |
80 | 4% | 11% | |
81 | 3% | 8% | |
82 | 3% | 4% | |
83 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
86 | 0% | 0% | |
87 | 0% | 0% | |
88 | 0% | 0% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
59 | 0% | 100% | |
60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
62 | 6% | 99.6% | |
63 | 0.6% | 94% | |
64 | 2% | 93% | |
65 | 4% | 92% | |
66 | 14% | 88% | |
67 | 4% | 74% | |
68 | 17% | 70% | |
69 | 5% | 53% | Median |
70 | 2% | 48% | |
71 | 12% | 46% | |
72 | 8% | 34% | |
73 | 10% | 25% | |
74 | 0.8% | 15% | |
75 | 2% | 15% | |
76 | 4% | 12% | |
77 | 1.1% | 9% | |
78 | 1.3% | 8% | |
79 | 2% | 6% | |
80 | 3% | 4% | |
81 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
84 | 0% | 0% | |
85 | 0% | 0% | |
86 | 0% | 0% | |
87 | 0% | 0% | |
88 | 0% | 0% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
59 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
60 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
61 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
62 | 6% | 98% | |
63 | 2% | 92% | |
64 | 2% | 90% | |
65 | 7% | 88% | |
66 | 14% | 81% | |
67 | 7% | 67% | |
68 | 16% | 60% | |
69 | 2% | 44% | Median |
70 | 2% | 42% | |
71 | 8% | 40% | |
72 | 8% | 32% | |
73 | 10% | 23% | |
74 | 0.8% | 13% | |
75 | 4% | 13% | |
76 | 7% | 9% | |
77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
78 | 1.1% | 2% | |
79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
82 | 0% | 0% | |
83 | 0% | 0% | |
84 | 0% | 0% | |
85 | 0% | 0% | |
86 | 0% | 0% | |
87 | 0% | 0% | |
88 | 0% | 0% | |
89 | 0% | 0% | |
90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
55 | 0.9% | 99.4% | Last Result |
56 | 0.6% | 98% | |
57 | 11% | 98% | |
58 | 6% | 87% | |
59 | 7% | 81% | |
60 | 23% | 74% | |
61 | 8% | 51% | Median |
62 | 7% | 43% | |
63 | 3% | 36% | |
64 | 15% | 32% | |
65 | 4% | 18% | |
66 | 1.1% | 14% | |
67 | 1.1% | 13% | |
68 | 1.0% | 12% | |
69 | 0.3% | 11% | |
70 | 0.2% | 11% | |
71 | 3% | 10% | |
72 | 5% | 7% | |
73 | 2% | 2% | |
74 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
75 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
42 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
43 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
44 | 7% | 98% | |
45 | 4% | 92% | |
46 | 12% | 87% | |
47 | 9% | 75% | |
48 | 14% | 67% | |
49 | 12% | 53% | Median |
50 | 8% | 41% | |
51 | 2% | 32% | |
52 | 10% | 31% | |
53 | 6% | 21% | Last Result |
54 | 2% | 15% | |
55 | 5% | 14% | |
56 | 2% | 9% | |
57 | 5% | 7% | |
58 | 1.2% | 2% | |
59 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
61 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
36 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
37 | 1.1% | 98% | |
38 | 2% | 97% | |
39 | 11% | 96% | |
40 | 8% | 85% | Last Result |
41 | 20% | 76% | |
42 | 3% | 57% | |
43 | 8% | 54% | Median |
44 | 14% | 46% | |
45 | 2% | 33% | |
46 | 4% | 30% | |
47 | 2% | 26% | |
48 | 0.7% | 24% | |
49 | 4% | 24% | |
50 | 9% | 20% | |
51 | 5% | 11% | |
52 | 4% | 6% | |
53 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
54 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
56 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
29 | 3% | 99.4% | |
30 | 10% | 97% | |
31 | 7% | 86% | |
32 | 11% | 79% | |
33 | 17% | 69% | |
34 | 17% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
35 | 3% | 34% | |
36 | 5% | 31% | |
37 | 5% | 27% | |
38 | 6% | 22% | |
39 | 3% | 16% | |
40 | 8% | 13% | |
41 | 3% | 4% | |
42 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
44 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 8
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 8,388,608
- Error estimate: 2.13%