Socialdemokraterne
Voting Intentions
Last result: 26.3% (General Election of 18 June 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 26.3% | 24.3–29.5% | 23.8–30.3% | 23.3–30.9% | 22.5–32.1% |
| 31 May–4 June 2019 | YouGov | 27.3% | 25.6–29.1% | 25.1–29.6% | 24.7–30.0% | 23.9–30.9% |
| 4 June 2019 | Gallup | 25.7% | 24.9–26.5% | 24.7–26.7% | 24.5–26.9% | 24.1–27.3% |
| 4 June 2019 | Epinion DR |
25.7% | 24.6–26.9% | 24.2–27.2% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.4–28.0% |
| 30 May–3 June 2019 | YouGov | 28.2% | 26.3–30.2% | 25.7–30.8% | 25.3–31.3% | 24.4–32.3% |
| 1–3 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
29.4% | 27.6–31.3% | 27.1–31.8% | 26.7–32.3% | 25.8–33.2% |
| 3 June 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
28.6% | 26.9–30.3% | 26.5–30.8% | 26.1–31.2% | 25.3–32.0% |
| 3 June 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
26.2% | 24.6–27.9% | 24.1–28.3% | 23.7–28.8% | 23.0–29.6% |
| 29 May–2 June 2019 | YouGov | 29.0% | 27.0–31.2% | 26.4–31.8% | 25.9–32.3% | 25.0–33.3% |
| 31 May–2 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
29.7% | 27.9–31.6% | 27.4–32.2% | 27.0–32.6% | 26.1–33.5% |
| 28 May–1 June 2019 | YouGov | 28.5% | 26.6–30.5% | 26.1–31.1% | 25.6–31.6% | 24.7–32.6% |
| 30 May–1 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.3% | 26.6–30.2% | 26.1–30.7% | 25.6–31.2% | 24.8–32.1% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.5% | 25.7–29.3% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.3% | 24.0–31.2% |
| 26–30 May 2019 | YouGov | 28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.5% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.4–31.8% |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.2% | 25.4–29.0% | 24.9–29.5% | 24.5–30.0% | 23.7–30.9% |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.7% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.5–28.0% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.3% |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Epinion DR |
26.1% | 24.8–27.5% | 24.4–27.9% | 24.1–28.3% | 23.5–28.9% |
| 25–29 May 2019 | YouGov | 26.2% | 24.4–28.1% | 24.0–28.6% | 23.5–29.1% | 22.7–29.9% |
| 27–29 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.1% | 25.4–29.0% | 24.9–29.5% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.6–30.8% |
| 24–28 May 2019 | YouGov | 26.3% | 24.5–28.2% | 24.0–28.7% | 23.6–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| 26–28 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.3% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.0% |
| 28 May 2019 | Gallup | 25.5% | 24.1–27.0% | 23.7–27.5% | 23.4–27.8% | 22.7–28.6% |
| 25–27 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.6% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.0% | 24.0–29.4% | 23.2–30.3% |
| 24–26 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.4% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.2–28.7% | 23.7–29.2% | 22.9–30.1% |
| 21–25 May 2019 | YouGov | 27.5% | 25.8–29.4% | 25.3–30.0% | 24.8–30.4% | 24.0–31.3% |
| 23–25 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.9% | 24.2–27.7% | 23.7–28.2% | 23.3–28.7% | 22.5–29.6% |
| 22–24 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.5% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| 21–23 May 2019 | YouGov | 26.8% | 25.0–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.1–29.7% | 23.3–30.6% |
| 21–23 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.1% | 25.4–29.0% | 24.9–29.5% | 24.5–30.0% | 23.7–30.9% |
| 20–23 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
26.7% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.1% | 24.0–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 20–22 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.6% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.0% | 24.0–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 22 May 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
26.6% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.0% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| 19–21 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–29.0% | 22.7–29.9% |
| 21 May 2019 | Gallup | 27.4% | 26.0–28.9% | 25.6–29.4% | 25.2–29.7% | 24.5–30.5% |
| 16–20 May 2019 | YouGov | 28.2% | 26.4–29.9% | 26.0–30.5% | 25.5–30.9% | 24.8–31.8% |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Epinion DR |
29.8% | 28.3–31.3% | 27.9–31.7% | 27.6–32.1% | 26.9–32.8% |
| 17–19 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.5% | 25.7–29.3% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.3% | 24.0–31.2% |
| 16–18 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.8% | 26.1–29.7% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.2–30.7% | 24.3–31.6% |
| 13–17 May 2019 | YouGov | 24.8% | 23.0–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.1–27.6% | 21.4–28.5% |
| 15–17 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.7% | 25.9–29.5% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.5% | 24.2–31.4% |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
28.8% | 27.2–30.5% | 26.7–31.0% | 26.3–31.5% | 25.6–32.3% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.8% | 26.1–29.7% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.1–30.7% | 24.3–31.6% |
| 15 May 2019 | YouGov | 26.6% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.3–29.1% | 23.9–29.6% | 23.0–30.5% |
| 13–15 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.6% | 26.8–30.4% | 26.3–31.0% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| 15 May 2019 | Gallup | 26.2% | 24.8–27.7% | 24.4–28.1% | 24.0–28.4% | 23.4–29.2% |
| 12–14 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 26.0–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
| 11–13 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.7% | 26.9–30.5% | 26.5–31.0% | 26.0–31.5% | 25.2–32.4% |
| 11–13 May 2019 | Epinion | 27.1% | 25.7–28.6% | 25.3–29.1% | 25.0–29.4% | 24.3–30.1% |
| 8–12 May 2019 | YouGov | 29.0% | 27.2–31.0% | 26.7–31.5% | 26.3–32.0% | 25.4–32.9% |
| 10–12 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.5% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–30.9% | 25.8–31.4% | 24.9–32.3% |
| 7–11 May 2019 | YouGov | 27.7% | 25.9–29.5% | 25.5–30.0% | 25.0–30.5% | 24.2–31.4% |
| 9–11 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.7% | 25.9–29.5% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.5% | 24.2–31.4% |
| 10 May 2019 | Norstat | 27.3% | 25.7–29.0% | 25.3–29.5% | 24.9–29.9% | 24.1–30.8% |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
24.7% | 23.0–26.5% | 22.5–27.0% | 22.1–27.4% | 21.3–28.3% |
| 7–9 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.9% | 26.1–29.8% | 25.6–30.3% | 25.2–30.7% | 24.4–31.7% |
| 5–8 May 2019 | YouGov | 26.4% | 24.7–28.3% | 24.2–28.8% | 23.8–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| 2–8 May 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
28.3% | 26.6–30.0% | 26.2–30.5% | 25.8–30.9% | 25.0–31.7% |
| 8 May 2019 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
24.4% | 23.1–25.8% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.4–26.5% | 21.8–27.2% |
| 7 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.2% | 23.5–27.0% | 23.0–27.5% | 22.6–28.0% | 21.8–28.9% |
| 7 May 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
27.5% | 25.8–29.3% | 25.3–29.8% | 24.9–30.2% | 24.1–31.1% |
| 7 May 2019 | Epinion DR |
28.0% | 26.6–29.5% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.9–30.3% | 25.2–31.0% |
| 28 April–5 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.5% | 25.7–29.3% | 25.3–29.8% | 24.8–30.3% | 24.0–31.1% |
| 1–3 May 2019 | YouGov | 22.9% | 21.7–24.3% | 21.3–24.7% | 21.0–25.0% | 20.4–25.7% |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
24.7% | 23.0–26.5% | 22.5–27.0% | 22.1–27.5% | 21.4–28.3% |
| 26–29 April 2019 | YouGov | 25.8% | 24.6–27.1% | 24.2–27.5% | 23.9–27.8% | 23.3–28.5% |
| 22–28 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.6% | 25.9–29.5% | 25.4–30.0% | 25.0–30.5% | 24.1–31.4% |
| 15–21 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.9% | 27.1–30.8% | 26.6–31.3% | 26.2–31.7% | 25.4–32.7% |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.8% |
| 8–13 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.5% | 26.8–30.4% | 26.3–30.9% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| 3–9 April 2019 | Epinion DR |
29.0% | 27.6–30.5% | 27.2–31.0% | 26.8–31.4% | 26.1–32.1% |
| 1–7 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.9% | 26.1–29.7% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.2–30.7% | 24.4–31.6% |
| 1 April 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
30.4% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.2–32.8% | 27.7–33.2% | 26.9–34.1% |
| 25–31 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.7% | 26.9–30.5% | 26.5–31.0% | 26.0–31.5% | 25.2–32.4% |
| 25–28 March 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.4% | 23.7–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.1–29.1% |
| 21–26 March 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
28.7% | 27.1–30.5% | 26.6–30.9% | 26.2–31.4% | 25.5–32.2% |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Epinion DR |
29.5% | 28.0–31.0% | 27.6–31.5% | 27.2–31.9% | 26.5–32.6% |
| 18–24 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.1% | 26.3–29.9% | 25.8–30.4% | 25.4–30.9% | 24.6–31.8% |
| 11–17 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.7% | 26.0–29.5% | 25.5–30.0% | 25.1–30.5% | 24.3–31.3% |
| 8–14 March 2019 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
26.0% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.9–28.2% | 23.3–29.0% |
| 4–9 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.6% | 26.9–30.5% | 26.4–31.0% | 26.0–31.5% | 25.1–32.4% |
| 25 February–3 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.0% | 26.3–29.8% | 25.8–30.4% | 25.3–30.8% | 24.5–31.7% |
| 25–28 February 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.1% | 21.0–28.0% |
| 19–25 February 2019 | Epinion DR |
28.2% | 26.7–29.7% | 26.4–30.1% | 26.0–30.5% | 25.3–31.2% |
| 18–24 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.1% | 26.4–29.9% | 25.9–30.5% | 25.4–30.9% | 24.6–31.8% |
| 11–17 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
29.0% | 27.2–30.8% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.8% | 25.4–32.7% |
| 4–9 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.3% | 26.5–30.1% | 26.0–30.7% | 25.6–31.1% | 24.8–32.0% |
| 28 January–3 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.5% | 25.7–29.3% | 25.3–29.8% | 24.8–30.3% | 24.0–31.1% |
| 28–31 January 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| 21–27 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.1% | 26.4–29.9% | 25.9–30.5% | 25.5–30.9% | 24.6–31.8% |
| 14–21 January 2019 | Epinion DR |
27.9% | 26.6–29.3% | 26.2–29.7% | 25.8–30.1% | 25.2–30.8% |
| 14–20 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.9% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.3–29.7% | 23.5–30.6% |
| 11–14 January 2019 | YouGov | 23.8% | 22.6–25.1% | 22.2–25.4% | 21.9–25.8% | 21.4–26.4% |
| 7–12 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.4% | 24.7–28.2% | 24.2–28.7% | 23.8–29.2% | 23.0–30.1% |
| 2–6 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.1% | 23.2–28.5% | 22.4–29.4% |
| 20 December 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.8% |
| 10–16 December 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.3% | 24.6–28.1% | 24.1–28.7% | 23.7–29.1% | 22.9–30.0% |
| 13 December 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
26.4% | 25.0–27.8% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.3–28.6% | 23.6–29.3% |
| 6–11 December 2018 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
26.6% | 25.0–28.3% | 24.6–28.7% | 24.2–29.1% | 23.4–29.9% |
| 7–9 December 2018 | YouGov | 25.0% | 23.7–26.4% | 23.3–26.8% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.4–27.9% |
| 3–8 December 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.1% | 23.2–28.5% | 22.4–29.4% |
| 26 November–2 December 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.8% | 23.9–29.2% | 23.1–30.1% |
| 29 November 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
24.6% | 23.0–26.4% | 22.6–26.9% | 22.2–27.3% | 21.4–28.1% |
| 19–25 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.0% | 24.3–27.7% | 23.8–28.2% | 23.4–28.7% | 22.7–29.5% |
| 12–17 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.8% | 23.9–29.2% | 23.1–30.1% |
| 7–15 November 2018 | Epinion DR |
26.5% | 25.1–28.0% | 24.7–28.4% | 24.4–28.8% | 23.7–29.5% |
| 5–10 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.3% | 25.6–29.1% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.7–30.1% | 23.9–31.0% |
| 29 October–5 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.8% | 26.0–29.6% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.1–30.6% | 24.3–31.5% |
| 22–28 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.8% | 25.1–28.6% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.2–29.6% | 23.4–30.5% |
| 22–25 October 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
22.6% | 20.9–24.5% | 20.4–25.1% | 20.0–25.5% | 19.2–26.5% |
| 16–24 October 2018 | Epinion DR |
27.5% | 26.1–29.0% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.3–29.8% | 24.6–30.5% |
| 15–21 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.3% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.7–30.1% | 23.9–31.0% |
| 8–14 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.3% | 26.6–30.2% | 26.1–30.7% | 25.7–31.2% | 24.8–32.1% |
| 11 October 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
27.1% | 25.8–28.5% | 25.4–29.0% | 25.0–29.3% | 24.4–30.0% |
| 3–9 October 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
26.8% | 25.2–28.5% | 24.8–29.0% | 24.4–29.4% | 23.6–30.2% |
| 1–6 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.5% | 25.8–29.4% | 25.3–29.9% | 24.9–30.3% | 24.1–31.2% |
| 1 October 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
26.9% | 25.3–28.6% | 24.8–29.1% | 24.4–29.5% | 23.6–30.3% |
| 24–30 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.9% | 25.2–28.7% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.3–29.7% | 23.5–30.6% |
| 27 September 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.1% | 23.2–27.0% | 22.7–27.6% | 22.3–28.0% | 21.4–29.0% |
| 17–23 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.1% | 24.4–27.9% | 23.9–28.4% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.7% |
| 11–18 September 2018 | Epinion DR |
26.6% | 25.2–28.1% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.4–28.9% | 23.8–29.6% |
| 10–16 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.8% | 23.9–29.2% | 23.1–30.1% |
| 6–11 September 2018 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
26.9% | 25.3–28.6% | 24.9–29.1% | 24.5–29.5% | 23.7–30.3% |
| 3–9 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.2% | 23.5–27.0% | 23.1–27.5% | 22.7–28.0% | 21.9–28.8% |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.2% | 24.5–28.0% | 24.1–28.5% | 23.6–29.0% | 22.8–29.9% |
| 27–30 August 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
23.6% | 21.9–25.3% | 21.5–25.8% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.3–27.1% |
| 20–26 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.6% | 24.9–28.4% | 24.4–28.9% | 24.0–29.4% | 23.2–30.3% |
| 13–19 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.6% |
| 10–17 August 2018 | Epinion DR |
26.4% | 25.0–27.9% | 24.6–28.3% | 24.3–28.6% | 23.6–29.3% |
| 6–11 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.6% |
| 30 July–5 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.2% | 23.5–27.0% | 23.1–27.5% | 22.6–28.0% | 21.9–28.9% |
| 25 June–1 July 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.7% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.5–28.0% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.3% |
| 25–28 June 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
22.9% | 21.3–24.6% | 20.8–25.1% | 20.4–25.6% | 19.7–26.4% |
| 18–24 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.3% | 24.6–28.1% | 24.1–28.6% | 23.7–29.0% | 22.9–29.9% |
| 15–23 June 2018 | Epinion DR |
25.9% | 24.6–27.3% | 24.2–27.7% | 23.9–28.1% | 23.2–28.7% |
| 11–16 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.4% | 25.7–29.2% | 25.2–29.8% | 24.7–30.2% | 23.9–31.1% |
| 11 June 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
25.4% | 23.8–27.2% | 23.3–27.7% | 22.9–28.1% | 22.1–29.0% |
| 4–10 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.3% | 25.5–29.1% | 25.0–29.6% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.0% |
| 28 May–3 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 24.0–28.5% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.8% |
| 21–27 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.2% | 24.5–28.0% | 24.0–28.5% | 23.6–29.0% | 22.8–29.8% |
| 17–23 May 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
26.9% | 25.3–28.5% | 24.8–29.0% | 24.4–29.4% | 23.7–30.3% |
| 14–19 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.2–27.6% | 22.8–28.1% | 22.0–28.9% |
| 7–13 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.7% | 25.0–28.5% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.3–30.4% |
| 30 April–6 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.7% | 26.0–29.6% | 25.5–30.1% | 25.1–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| 23–29 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.3% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.7–30.1% | 23.9–31.0% |
| 16–22 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.7% | 25.0–28.5% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.3–30.4% |
| 8–15 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.3% | 24.6–28.1% | 24.1–28.6% | 23.7–29.1% | 22.9–29.9% |
| 2–7 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
25.2% | 23.6–27.0% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.0% | 21.9–28.9% |
| 26–31 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.7% | 25.0–28.5% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.3–30.4% |
| 19–25 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
27.1% | 25.4–28.9% | 24.9–29.5% | 24.5–29.9% | 23.7–30.8% |
| 14–20 March 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.8–27.2% | 22.2–28.0% |
| 14–20 March 2018 | Epinion DR |
26.5% | 25.2–27.9% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.5–28.7% | 23.8–29.4% |
| 12–18 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.0% | 26.3–29.9% | 25.8–30.4% | 25.4–30.8% | 24.6–31.7% |
| 5–11 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
26.8% | 25.1–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.2–29.6% | 23.4–30.5% |
| 19–25 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.6% | 26.8–30.5% | 26.3–31.0% | 25.9–31.4% | 25.1–32.4% |
| 19–22 February 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.8% |
| 12–18 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.4% | 26.6–30.2% | 26.1–30.7% | 25.7–31.2% | 24.9–32.1% |
| 8–14 February 2018 | Epinion DR |
28.0% | 26.6–29.5% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.8–30.3% | 25.1–31.0% |
| 5–10 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
29.5% | 27.7–31.4% | 27.2–31.9% | 26.8–32.4% | 26.0–33.3% |
| 2–8 February 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
29.0% | 27.5–30.5% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.7–31.3% | 26.1–32.1% |
| 2–8 February 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
28.2% | 26.5–29.9% | 26.0–30.5% | 25.6–30.9% | 24.8–31.7% |
| 29 January–4 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
30.0% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.4% | 27.3–32.9% | 26.4–33.8% |
| 24–29 January 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
30.9% | 29.4–32.5% | 29.0–32.9% | 28.6–33.3% | 27.9–34.1% |
| 22–28 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.9% | 27.1–30.8% | 26.6–31.3% | 26.2–31.8% | 25.4–32.7% |
| 22–25 January 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
25.9% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.7–28.3% | 23.3–28.7% | 22.5–29.6% |
| 19–25 January 2018 | Epinion DR |
28.3% | 27.0–29.7% | 26.6–30.1% | 26.3–30.5% | 25.6–31.2% |
| 19–22 January 2018 | YouGov | 28.1% | 26.6–29.6% | 26.2–30.1% | 25.8–30.5% | 25.1–31.2% |
| 15–21 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.7% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.4–31.1% | 26.0–31.6% | 25.1–32.4% |
| 8–14 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
29.3% | 27.5–31.2% | 27.0–31.7% | 26.6–32.1% | 25.7–33.1% |
| 5–11 January 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
28.5% | 27.0–30.0% | 26.6–30.4% | 26.3–30.8% | 25.6–31.5% |
| 5–7 January 2018 | YouGov Metroxpress |
26.2% | 24.7–27.7% | 24.3–28.2% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.2–29.3% |
| 2–7 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
28.8% | 27.0–30.7% | 26.5–31.2% | 26.1–31.6% | 25.3–32.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 9% | 96% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 19% | 87% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 23% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 15% | 45% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 11% | 30% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 9% | 19% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 47 seats (General Election of 18 June 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 47 | 43–55 | 43–57 | 42–57 | 40–57 |
| 31 May–4 June 2019 | YouGov | 46 | 43–48 | 43–49 | 43–51 | 43–52 |
| 4 June 2019 | Gallup | 47 | 44–48 | 44–48 | 44–49 | 42–50 |
| 4 June 2019 | Epinion DR |
46 | 44–46 | 44–48 | 43–48 | 42–50 |
| 30 May–3 June 2019 | YouGov | 48 | 47–52 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 45–54 |
| 1–3 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
57 | 53–57 | 51–57 | 48–57 | 48–59 |
| 3 June 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
48 | 47–53 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–57 |
| 3 June 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
48 | 45–49 | 44–50 | 44–50 | 43–51 |
| 29 May–2 June 2019 | YouGov | 51 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 47–55 | 44–59 |
| 31 May–2 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
55 | 50–60 | 50–60 | 47–60 | 46–60 |
| 28 May–1 June 2019 | YouGov | 51 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–56 | 44–57 |
| 30 May–1 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 49–54 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 46–57 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 47–52 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 44–56 |
| 26–30 May 2019 | YouGov | 49 | 45–55 | 45–55 | 45–55 | 44–55 |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 45–50 | 45–52 | 43–55 | 42–56 |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
49 | 45–49 | 43–49 | 41–50 | 40–50 |
| 28–30 May 2019 | Epinion DR |
47 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 43–52 | 42–52 |
| 25–29 May 2019 | YouGov | 46 | 43–49 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 41–52 |
| 27–29 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 48–50 | 47–52 | 45–53 | 43–55 |
| 24–28 May 2019 | YouGov | 48 | 45–50 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 40–53 |
| 26–28 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 46–50 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 43–54 |
| 28 May 2019 | Gallup | 45 | 44–47 | 43–48 | 42–48 | 40–50 |
| 25–27 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 46–52 | 44–54 | 42–54 | 42–54 |
| 24–26 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 44–51 | 42–53 |
| 21–25 May 2019 | YouGov | 51 | 45–57 | 45–57 | 44–57 | 41–57 |
| 23–25 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 49–50 | 47–50 | 46–51 | 42–52 |
| 22–24 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 46–51 | 45–51 | 43–51 | 39–54 |
| 21–23 May 2019 | YouGov | 47 | 45–51 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 42–54 |
| 21–23 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 45–51 | 45–53 | 45–54 | 40–54 |
| 20–23 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
49 | 44–50 | 44–51 | 42–51 | 41–55 |
| 20–22 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 46–52 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 40–55 |
| 22 May 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
48 | 46–50 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 42–55 |
| 19–21 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 44–52 | 44–52 | 42–53 | 40–53 |
| 21 May 2019 | Gallup | 49 | 48–52 | 46–53 | 46–54 | 44–54 |
| 16–20 May 2019 | YouGov | 52 | 48–52 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–57 |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 45–49 | 43–51 | 42–51 | 41–55 |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Epinion DR |
52 | 48–55 | 48–55 | 48–55 | 48–57 |
| 17–19 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 46–51 | 43–51 | 43–52 | 42–55 |
| 16–18 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 47–52 | 47–52 | 46–54 | 43–55 |
| 13–17 May 2019 | YouGov | 43 | 39–47 | 39–49 | 39–50 | 39–50 |
| 15–17 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 48 | 48 | 45–49 | 43–54 |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
51 | 47–53 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 45–59 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
53 | 48–53 | 46–53 | 44–53 | 44–55 |
| 15 May 2019 | YouGov | 46 | 43–49 | 42–52 | 42–52 | 42–52 |
| 13–15 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 48 | 48–52 | 48–53 | 45–56 |
| 15 May 2019 | Gallup | 46 | 43–48 | 43–49 | 41–50 | 41–52 |
| 12–14 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 48–52 | 45–52 | 45–53 | 43–55 |
| 11–13 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 48–54 | 47–56 | 47–56 | 46–57 |
| 11–13 May 2019 | Epinion | 48 | 45–52 | 45–52 | 44–52 | 44–52 |
| 8–12 May 2019 | YouGov | 47 | 47–53 | 47–54 | 47–55 | 46–57 |
| 10–12 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 48–52 | 48–55 | 47–57 | 44–57 |
| 7–11 May 2019 | YouGov | 50 | 47–50 | 46–50 | 44–50 | 44–54 |
| 9–11 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 46–52 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–56 |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 49–53 | 47–53 | 46–55 | 43–56 |
| 10 May 2019 | Norstat | 50 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 45–53 | 44–55 |
| 8–10 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
42 | 42–45 | 40–47 | 39–47 | 36–50 |
| 7–9 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 44–56 | 44–57 |
| 5–8 May 2019 | YouGov | 49 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 41–51 | 41–52 |
| 2–8 May 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
49 | 49–53 | 47–54 | 47–56 | 44–57 |
| 8 May 2019 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
43 | 42–46 | 42–46 | 40–46 | 39–46 |
| 7 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
43 | 43–48 | 41–51 | 40–51 | 39–51 |
| 7 May 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
51 | 47–51 | 47–51 | 46–52 | 44–54 |
| 7 May 2019 | Epinion DR |
49 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 44–53 |
| 28 April–5 May 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 48–51 | 47–51 | 44–53 | 44–56 |
| 1–3 May 2019 | YouGov | 42 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 36–44 | 36–45 |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
44 | 41–44 | 41–46 | 41–48 | 38–48 |
| 26–29 April 2019 | YouGov | 48 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 41–50 |
| 22–28 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 46–51 | 46–52 | 45–52 | 43–56 |
| 15–21 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 48–55 | 48–58 | 47–58 | 44–58 |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
44 | 41–47 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 39–51 |
| 8–13 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 48–54 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 45–56 |
| 3–9 April 2019 | Epinion DR |
50 | 47–53 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–56 |
| 1–7 April 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 48–50 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 44–54 |
| 1 April 2019 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
54 | 53–57 | 52–59 | 50–59 | 48–60 |
| 25–31 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 47–54 | 47–56 | 47–57 | 44–57 |
| 25–28 March 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
45 | 41–48 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 39–51 |
| 21–26 March 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
50 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 47–55 |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Epinion DR |
54 | 51–56 | 49–56 | 47–56 | 47–59 |
| 18–24 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 46–54 | 44–59 |
| 11–17 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 46–55 | 45–55 | 44–55 | 42–55 |
| 8–14 March 2019 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
45 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 42–51 |
| 4–9 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 47–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 44–58 |
| 25 February–3 March 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 47–51 | 46–52 | 45–53 | 44–56 |
| 25–28 February 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
43 | 41–46 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 37–51 |
| 19–25 February 2019 | Epinion DR |
51 | 48–52 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 45–55 |
| 18–24 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 51–52 | 48–53 | 47–54 | 45–57 |
| 11–17 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
53 | 49–55 | 48–56 | 46–56 | 46–57 |
| 4–9 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 48–54 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 43–57 |
| 28 January–3 February 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 45–55 | 43–56 |
| 28–31 January 2019 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
46 | 43–47 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 |
| 21–27 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 46–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 |
| 14–21 January 2019 | Epinion DR |
49 | 47–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–54 |
| 14–20 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–54 | 42–55 |
| 11–14 January 2019 | YouGov | 41 | 41–43 | 41–44 | 40–45 | 37–45 |
| 7–12 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 43–51 | 41–52 |
| 2–6 January 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 42–48 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 20 December 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
44 | 42–46 | 41–46 | 39–48 | 39–49 |
| 10–16 December 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 44–48 | 43–49 | 43–49 | 40–53 |
| 13 December 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
49 | 44–51 | 44–51 | 44–51 | 42–51 |
| 6–11 December 2018 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
49 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 42–52 |
| 7–9 December 2018 | YouGov | 44 | 41–49 | 41–49 | 41–49 | 41–49 |
| 3–8 December 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 40–51 |
| 26 November–2 December 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 42–51 | 42–53 | 41–53 | 39–54 |
| 29 November 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
42 | 40–46 | 40–48 | 39–48 | 38–49 |
| 19–25 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–53 |
| 12–17 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 45–49 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 41–52 |
| 7–15 November 2018 | Epinion DR |
49 | 45–49 | 45–49 | 44–49 | 43–52 |
| 5–10 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 45–54 | 45–54 | 44–54 | 42–54 |
| 29 October–5 November 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–56 | 43–56 |
| 22–28 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 46–51 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 42–54 |
| 22–25 October 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
39 | 36–44 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 34–47 |
| 16–24 October 2018 | Epinion DR |
49 | 46–50 | 44–51 | 44–52 | 43–53 |
| 15–21 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 44–54 |
| 8–14 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 48–52 | 47–54 | 45–56 | 44–57 |
| 11 October 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
46 | 45–50 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 43–54 |
| 3–9 October 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
49 | 46–50 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 43–53 |
| 1–6 October 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 46–52 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 42–55 |
| 1 October 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
47 | 45–48 | 44–50 | 44–52 | 42–52 |
| 24–30 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 44–52 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| 27 September 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
46 | 42–46 | 38–46 | 38–46 | 38–49 |
| 17–23 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 42–49 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 40–52 |
| 11–18 September 2018 | Epinion DR |
46 | 46 | 46–49 | 45–49 | 41–54 |
| 10–16 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 43–49 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| 6–11 September 2018 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
46 | 43–51 | 43–52 | 43–52 | 42–54 |
| 3–9 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 43–47 | 42–47 | 40–49 | 38–50 |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 40–53 |
| 27–30 August 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
40 | 38–44 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| 20–26 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 43–52 | 42–53 |
| 13–19 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 43–47 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 |
| 10–17 August 2018 | Epinion DR |
47 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 42–53 |
| 6–11 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–54 |
| 30 July–5 August 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
44 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–53 |
| 25 June–1 July 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–50 | 39–52 |
| 25–28 June 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
40 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 35–47 |
| 18–24 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 45–49 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–54 |
| 15–23 June 2018 | Epinion DR |
47 | 44–48 | 43–48 | 43–49 | 40–50 |
| 11–16 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 42–54 | 42–54 |
| 11 June 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
46 | 42–49 | 39–50 | 39–50 | 39–52 |
| 4–10 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 46–52 | 44–52 | 44–53 | 41–54 |
| 28 May–3 June 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 42–48 | 42–48 | 42–49 | 42–52 |
| 21–27 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 42–52 |
| 17–23 May 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
48 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 42–52 | 41–55 |
| 14–19 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 39–52 |
| 7–13 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 45–49 | 43–50 | 43–51 | 42–53 |
| 30 April–6 May 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 46–50 | 46–51 | 46–54 | 43–55 |
| 23–29 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
46 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 44–52 | 44–53 |
| 16–22 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 44–50 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–54 |
| 8–15 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
45 | 43–48 | 43–48 | 41–48 | 41–54 |
| 2–7 April 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
44 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 |
| 26–31 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 44–51 | 42–52 | 42–52 | 42–52 |
| 19–25 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
50 | 45–52 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–55 |
| 14–20 March 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
43 | 42–48 | 41–48 | 39–48 | 39–48 |
| 14–20 March 2018 | Epinion DR |
49 | 45–49 | 45–50 | 45–52 | 43–52 |
| 12–18 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 47–50 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 44–55 |
| 5–11 March 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
47 | 46–47 | 46–49 | 44–50 | 43–53 |
| 19–25 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
49 | 47–53 | 47–53 | 47–55 | 45–56 |
| 19–22 February 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
46 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–53 |
| 12–18 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–57 |
| 8–14 February 2018 | Epinion DR |
51 | 47–52 | 47–52 | 46–52 | 46–53 |
| 5–10 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 49–56 | 49–57 | 48–57 | 46–57 |
| 2–8 February 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
52 | 49–55 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 47–57 |
| 2–8 February 2018 | Greens Analyseinstitut Børsen |
50 | 48–52 | 47–54 | 46–54 | 44–56 |
| 29 January–4 February 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 50–55 | 49–56 | 48–57 | 46–59 |
| 24–29 January 2018 | Norstat Altinget |
55 | 51–58 | 50–60 | 50–60 | 49–60 |
| 22–28 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
55 | 50–55 | 49–55 | 48–57 | 45–59 |
| 22–25 January 2018 | Megafon Politiken and TV 2 |
46 | 44–47 | 43–48 | 42–50 | 40–51 |
| 19–25 January 2018 | Epinion DR |
49 | 47–52 | 47–52 | 47–52 | 45–54 |
| 19–22 January 2018 | YouGov | 48 | 47–52 | 46–52 | 45–52 | 44–54 |
| 15–21 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
48 | 47–53 | 46–53 | 45–55 | 44–56 |
| 8–14 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
52 | 51–56 | 48–56 | 47–56 | 45–57 |
| 5–11 January 2018 | Kantar Gallup Berlingske |
52 | 49–53 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 45–55 |
| 5–7 January 2018 | YouGov Metroxpress |
45 | 44–48 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 40–51 |
| 2–7 January 2018 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
51 | 49–54 | 47–55 | 47–57 | 45–58 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 43 | 11% | 97% | |
| 44 | 6% | 86% | |
| 45 | 4% | 80% | |
| 46 | 23% | 77% | |
| 47 | 8% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 12% | 46% | |
| 49 | 15% | 33% | |
| 50 | 3% | 18% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 53 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 55 | 2% | 11% | |
| 56 | 2% | 9% | |
| 57 | 6% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |