Opinion Poll by YouGov for Metroxpress, 5–7 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.2% 24.7–27.7% 24.3–28.2% 23.9–28.5% 23.2–29.3%
Venstre 19.5% 18.8% 17.5–20.2% 17.1–20.6% 16.8–20.9% 16.2–21.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.0% 15.8–18.4% 15.4–18.7% 15.2–19.1% 14.6–19.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.2% 7.3–9.3% 7.1–9.5% 6.9–9.8% 6.5–10.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.8% 5.4–8.0% 5.1–8.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.5% 3.8–6.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.4% 3.0–5.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.8% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.0% 2.7–5.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 44–48 43–49 42–49 40–51
Venstre 34 33 31–35 30–35 29–35 29–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 29 28–32 28–32 27–33 25–34
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 12–16 12–16 12–17 12–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 12 11–13 10–14 9–14 9–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–10 8–11 8–11 7–12
Alternativet 9 8 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
Radikale Venstre 8 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 7–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 8 6–9 6–10 5–10 5–10
Liberal Alliance 13 7 7–8 6–8 5–9 5–10
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.6% 99.9%  
41 1.0% 99.3%  
42 2% 98%  
43 1.2% 96%  
44 25% 95%  
45 45% 70% Median
46 10% 25%  
47 2% 15% Last Result
48 4% 13%  
49 8% 9%  
50 0.8% 1.4%  
51 0.5% 0.6%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 3% 99.6%  
30 3% 97%  
31 28% 94%  
32 9% 66%  
33 13% 56% Median
34 33% 44% Last Result
35 9% 11%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.6%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.4% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.6%  
26 0.7% 99.4%  
27 3% 98.6%  
28 37% 96%  
29 15% 59% Median
30 12% 44%  
31 8% 32%  
32 21% 24%  
33 3% 4%  
34 0.3% 0.5%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 15% 99.8%  
13 32% 85%  
14 1.4% 53% Last Result
15 10% 51% Median
16 38% 41%  
17 1.3% 3%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 4% 99.9%  
10 4% 96%  
11 35% 92%  
12 21% 57% Median
13 31% 36%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
8 33% 99.1%  
9 25% 66% Median
10 33% 41%  
11 6% 7%  
12 1.4% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.3% 99.9%  
7 47% 98.6%  
8 13% 52% Median
9 17% 39% Last Result
10 21% 22%  
11 1.1% 1.3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 99.9%  
7 12% 99.6%  
8 29% 87% Last Result
9 36% 58% Median
10 16% 23%  
11 7% 7%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 7% 97%  
7 2% 89%  
8 51% 88% Median
9 30% 36%  
10 6% 6%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 3% 99.8%  
6 5% 97%  
7 76% 92% Median
8 13% 16%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 90 72% 86–91 86–92 84–93 82–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 90 90 72% 86–91 86–92 84–93 82–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre 85 85 4% 84–89 83–89 82–91 81–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0% 78–83 78–84 77–85 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 82 0% 78–83 78–84 77–85 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 77 0% 74–79 74–81 74–83 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 78 0% 75–80 75–80 75–82 73–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 67–71 67–72 66–74 64–75
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 62 0% 62–66 61–68 61–68 57–69
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 54 0% 52–57 51–59 51–59 48–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 52 0% 49–54 49–54 48–56 46–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 45 0% 42–47 42–47 42–47 40–49
Venstre 34 33 0% 31–35 30–35 29–35 29–37

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.9% 99.9%  
83 1.1% 99.1%  
84 0.7% 98%  
85 1.4% 97%  
86 7% 96%  
87 6% 89%  
88 2% 82%  
89 9% 81% Median
90 57% 72% Last Result, Majority
91 10% 15%  
92 3% 6%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.5% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.9% 99.9%  
83 1.1% 99.1%  
84 0.7% 98%  
85 1.4% 97%  
86 7% 96%  
87 6% 89%  
88 2% 82%  
89 9% 81% Median
90 57% 72% Last Result, Majority
91 10% 15%  
92 3% 6%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.5% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.5% 99.8%  
82 2% 99.3%  
83 3% 97%  
84 10% 94%  
85 57% 85% Last Result
86 9% 28% Median
87 2% 19%  
88 6% 18%  
89 7% 11%  
90 1.4% 4% Majority
91 0.7% 3%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.9% 0.9%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.3% 99.8%  
76 1.0% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 8% 96%  
79 5% 88%  
80 3% 83%  
81 27% 80% Median
82 38% 53%  
83 8% 15%  
84 2% 6%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.6% 1.4%  
87 0.7% 0.8%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.3% 99.8%  
76 1.0% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 8% 96%  
79 5% 88%  
80 3% 83%  
81 27% 80% Median
82 38% 53%  
83 8% 15%  
84 2% 6%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.6% 1.4%  
87 0.7% 0.8%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.5%  
73 0.4% 98.8%  
74 11% 98%  
75 4% 88%  
76 32% 83%  
77 25% 52% Last Result, Median
78 6% 27%  
79 14% 20%  
80 0.7% 7%  
81 3% 6%  
82 0.4% 3%  
83 1.5% 3%  
84 1.0% 1.4%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.7%  
74 1.0% 98.9%  
75 22% 98%  
76 1.5% 76% Last Result
77 14% 74%  
78 42% 60% Median
79 6% 18%  
80 7% 12%  
81 1.3% 4%  
82 1.5% 3%  
83 0.2% 2%  
84 0.4% 1.5%  
85 1.1% 1.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 1.0% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 98%  
67 33% 97%  
68 2% 64% Last Result
69 34% 62% Median
70 17% 28%  
71 5% 11%  
72 2% 6%  
73 0.8% 4%  
74 1.3% 3%  
75 1.1% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.5%  
77 0.4% 0.4%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.4% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.6%  
58 0.8% 99.4%  
59 0.5% 98.7%  
60 0.5% 98%  
61 5% 98%  
62 54% 92% Last Result
63 6% 38% Median
64 7% 32%  
65 11% 25%  
66 5% 14%  
67 1.4% 9%  
68 7% 8%  
69 0.6% 0.8%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.4% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.6%  
49 1.1% 99.3%  
50 0.6% 98%  
51 5% 98%  
52 23% 93%  
53 5% 69%  
54 36% 64% Median
55 4% 27% Last Result
56 12% 23%  
57 2% 11%  
58 1.4% 9%  
59 7% 7%  
60 0.4% 0.4%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.3% 99.6%  
47 0.4% 99.4%  
48 1.5% 98.9%  
49 32% 97%  
50 5% 66%  
51 5% 61%  
52 14% 56% Median
53 2% 41% Last Result
54 35% 40%  
55 1.2% 4%  
56 3% 3%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.6% 99.6% Last Result
41 0.9% 99.0%  
42 32% 98%  
43 5% 66%  
44 8% 61%  
45 10% 52% Median
46 6% 42%  
47 34% 36%  
48 1.4% 2%  
49 0.6% 0.8%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.9%  
29 3% 99.6%  
30 3% 97%  
31 28% 94%  
32 9% 66%  
33 13% 56% Median
34 33% 44% Last Result
35 9% 11%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.6%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations