Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 8–14 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.1% 25.7–33.1%
Venstre 19.5% 19.9% 18.4–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.3% 15.8–18.9% 15.4–19.3% 15.1–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 52 51–56 48–56 47–56 45–57
Venstre 34 35 34–37 33–40 32–41 30–42
Dansk Folkeparti 37 29 28–34 27–34 26–34 26–35
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 13–19 13–19 13–20 13–22
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 8 9 7–10 7–10 6–11 5–11
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 6–8 6–9 6–10 5–11
Alternativet 9 8 7–9 7–9 6–9 5–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 5–8 5–8 5–9 5–10
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.6% 99.9%  
46 0.8% 99.2%  
47 3% 98% Last Result
48 2% 96%  
49 1.2% 94%  
50 2% 93%  
51 23% 90%  
52 41% 68% Median
53 3% 26%  
54 3% 23%  
55 5% 20%  
56 13% 15%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 0.7% 99.4%  
32 3% 98.7%  
33 5% 96%  
34 4% 91% Last Result
35 55% 87% Median
36 19% 32%  
37 3% 13%  
38 3% 10%  
39 2% 7%  
40 1.1% 5%  
41 3% 4%  
42 1.0% 1.0%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 2% 99.6%  
27 3% 97%  
28 30% 94%  
29 18% 64% Median
30 6% 46%  
31 1.3% 40%  
32 2% 39%  
33 17% 37%  
34 19% 20%  
35 0.4% 0.8%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
38 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 16% 99.9%  
14 2% 84% Last Result
15 3% 82%  
16 40% 79% Median
17 4% 39%  
18 4% 35%  
19 26% 31%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.6% 1.1%  
22 0.5% 0.5%  
23 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 29% 99.4%  
9 20% 70% Median
10 38% 50%  
11 5% 12%  
12 6% 7%  
13 0.9% 1.3% Last Result
14 0.2% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 2% 99.4%  
7 8% 97%  
8 23% 90% Last Result
9 43% 67% Median
10 19% 24%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 22% 98%  
7 10% 76% Last Result
8 57% 66% Median
9 5% 9%  
10 2% 4%  
11 1.3% 2%  
12 0.5% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.0% 99.9%  
6 3% 98.8%  
7 28% 95%  
8 45% 67% Median
9 20% 22% Last Result
10 1.5% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 31% 99.8%  
6 6% 69% Last Result
7 28% 63% Median
8 30% 35%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 93 92% 90–96 89–96 89–96 87–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 85 1.0% 82–88 81–88 80–89 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 0.8% 80–88 80–88 79–88 78–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 0.3% 79–85 79–86 79–86 76–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.3% 79–85 79–86 79–86 76–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 0.3% 79–85 79–86 79–86 76–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.3% 79–85 79–86 79–86 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 77 0% 73–80 73–80 71–81 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 65–72 65–72 64–73 62–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 59–64 57–64 55–65 53–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 50–55 50–56 50–58 47–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 40–45 40–47 39–48 37–48
Venstre 34 35 0% 34–37 33–40 32–41 30–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.2% 99.7%  
87 0.6% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.0%  
89 7% 98.7%  
90 23% 92% Majority
91 15% 69%  
92 3% 54%  
93 2% 51% Median
94 2% 49%  
95 5% 47%  
96 41% 42%  
97 0.2% 1.2%  
98 0.3% 1.0%  
99 0.4% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.6% 99.7%  
80 2% 99.1%  
81 6% 97%  
82 16% 92%  
83 23% 76%  
84 2% 53%  
85 2% 52% Median
86 2% 50%  
87 3% 48%  
88 41% 45%  
89 4% 5%  
90 0.3% 1.0% Majority
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
78 0.8% 99.8%  
79 3% 99.0%  
80 18% 96%  
81 4% 78%  
82 17% 75%  
83 2% 57%  
84 6% 55% Median
85 3% 49%  
86 1.4% 47%  
87 28% 45%  
88 16% 17%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.6% 0.8% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 0.2% 99.0%  
79 41% 98.8%  
80 5% 58% Median
81 2% 53%  
82 2% 51%  
83 3% 49%  
84 15% 46%  
85 23% 31%  
86 7% 8%  
87 0.3% 1.3%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 0.2% 99.0%  
79 41% 98.8%  
80 5% 58% Median
81 2% 53%  
82 2% 51%  
83 3% 49%  
84 15% 46%  
85 23% 31%  
86 7% 8%  
87 0.3% 1.3%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 0.3% 99.0%  
79 41% 98.8%  
80 5% 58% Median
81 2% 53%  
82 2% 51%  
83 3% 49%  
84 15% 46%  
85 23% 31%  
86 7% 8%  
87 0.3% 1.3%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 0.3% 99.0%  
79 41% 98.8%  
80 5% 58% Median
81 2% 53%  
82 2% 51%  
83 3% 49%  
84 15% 46%  
85 23% 31%  
86 7% 8%  
87 0.3% 1.3%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9% Last Result
69 0% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.9%  
71 0.5% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 35% 96%  
74 2% 61%  
75 6% 59%  
76 2% 53% Median
77 2% 52%  
78 2% 49%  
79 29% 47%  
80 15% 19%  
81 2% 3%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.8% 99.5% Last Result
63 0.5% 98.7%  
64 3% 98%  
65 7% 96%  
66 1.0% 89%  
67 22% 88%  
68 0.6% 66%  
69 42% 65% Median
70 5% 24%  
71 2% 18%  
72 14% 17%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.3% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.7% 99.4%  
55 2% 98.7% Last Result
56 0.6% 97%  
57 2% 96%  
58 3% 94%  
59 6% 91%  
60 4% 85%  
61 56% 81% Median
62 6% 24%  
63 1.4% 19%  
64 14% 17%  
65 1.3% 3%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0% 99.8%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 0.8% 99.3%  
49 1.0% 98%  
50 17% 98%  
51 59% 81% Median
52 5% 22%  
53 2% 17% Last Result
54 2% 14%  
55 4% 12%  
56 5% 8%  
57 0.1% 4%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.8%  
37 0.4% 99.7%  
38 1.1% 99.2%  
39 0.8% 98%  
40 18% 97% Last Result
41 20% 79%  
42 18% 59% Median
43 26% 41%  
44 4% 14%  
45 2% 10%  
46 1.4% 8%  
47 3% 7%  
48 3% 3%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 0.7% 99.4%  
32 3% 98.7%  
33 5% 96%  
34 4% 91% Last Result
35 55% 87% Median
36 19% 32%  
37 3% 13%  
38 3% 10%  
39 2% 7%  
40 1.1% 5%  
41 3% 4%  
42 1.0% 1.0%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations