Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 15–21 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.7% 26.9–30.6% 26.4–31.1% 26.0–31.6% 25.1–32.4%
Venstre 19.5% 20.7% 19.2–22.4% 18.7–22.9% 18.4–23.3% 17.6–24.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 16.5% 15.1–18.1% 14.7–18.5% 14.3–18.9% 13.7–19.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 47–53 46–53 45–55 44–56
Venstre 34 35 34–40 33–40 32–41 30–43
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 26–32 26–33 25–33 25–35
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
Liberal Alliance 13 10 7–11 7–11 6–12 6–12
Radikale Venstre 8 9 7–11 7–11 7–11 7–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–10 8–11 8–11 7–11
Alternativet 9 8 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 5–9 5–9 5–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 2% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 98%  
46 6% 97%  
47 2% 91% Last Result
48 44% 89% Median
49 5% 45%  
50 6% 40%  
51 10% 35%  
52 11% 25%  
53 9% 13%  
54 0.4% 4%  
55 3% 4%  
56 0.5% 0.8%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.9% 100%  
31 1.3% 99.1%  
32 3% 98%  
33 2% 95%  
34 40% 93% Last Result
35 6% 53% Median
36 11% 47%  
37 3% 36%  
38 3% 34%  
39 20% 31%  
40 8% 11%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.2% 1.0%  
43 0.6% 0.8%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.8%  
25 4% 99.6%  
26 8% 96%  
27 13% 87%  
28 7% 75%  
29 5% 67%  
30 5% 63%  
31 46% 58% Median
32 3% 12%  
33 7% 9%  
34 0.7% 1.5%  
35 0.4% 0.8%  
36 0.1% 0.4%  
37 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.7%  
13 5% 99.4%  
14 5% 95% Last Result
15 4% 89%  
16 51% 85% Median
17 24% 34%  
18 3% 10%  
19 6% 7%  
20 0.7% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 3% 100%  
7 13% 97%  
8 10% 84%  
9 16% 74%  
10 48% 59% Median
11 7% 10%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 10% 99.5%  
8 5% 90% Last Result
9 52% 85% Median
10 17% 33%  
11 14% 16%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
8 9% 99.0%  
9 25% 90%  
10 58% 66% Median
11 7% 7%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 13% 98%  
7 21% 85%  
8 60% 64% Median
9 3% 4% Last Result
10 0.7% 1.3%  
11 0.5% 0.5%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 16% 99.5%  
6 8% 83% Last Result
7 22% 76%  
8 7% 54% Median
9 46% 47%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0.1% 8%  
4 6% 8%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 87% 88–96 88–97 86–99 83–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 8% 80–89 80–90 80–91 76–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 82 2% 79–87 78–89 77–89 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 1.5% 79–87 78–87 76–89 75–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 1.5% 79–87 78–87 76–89 75–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.2% 79–87 76–87 76–88 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 84 0.2% 79–87 76–87 76–88 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 71–80 71–81 70–83 68–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 65–72 63–73 63–74 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 56–63 55–64 55–65 52–66
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 53 0% 50–56 49–57 48–58 47–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 40–46 40–48 39–48 37–48
Venstre 34 35 0% 34–40 33–40 32–41 30–43

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.7% 100%  
84 0.5% 99.2%  
85 0.2% 98.7% Last Result
86 2% 98.5%  
87 0.5% 96%  
88 8% 96%  
89 0.7% 87%  
90 2% 87% Majority
91 41% 85% Median
92 9% 44%  
93 8% 35%  
94 4% 27%  
95 10% 23%  
96 7% 13%  
97 1.5% 6%  
98 1.1% 5%  
99 2% 3%  
100 1.4% 2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.6% 99.1%  
78 0.1% 98.6%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 9% 98%  
81 1.3% 89%  
82 1.4% 88%  
83 42% 86% Median
84 0.9% 45%  
85 12% 44%  
86 8% 32%  
87 2% 24%  
88 11% 23%  
89 3% 11%  
90 3% 8% Majority
91 2% 4%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 1.3% 1.4%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.7% 99.9%  
76 2% 99.2%  
77 2% 98% Last Result
78 0.6% 95%  
79 7% 95%  
80 1.3% 87%  
81 2% 86%  
82 48% 84% Median
83 4% 36%  
84 12% 32%  
85 3% 20%  
86 6% 17%  
87 3% 11%  
88 3% 8%  
89 4% 6%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 1.0% 1.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.4% 99.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 1.1% 97%  
78 1.5% 95%  
79 7% 94%  
80 10% 87%  
81 4% 77%  
82 8% 73%  
83 9% 65%  
84 41% 56% Median
85 2% 15%  
86 0.7% 13%  
87 8% 13%  
88 0.5% 4%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.2% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.5% 1.3%  
92 0.7% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.4% 99.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 1.1% 97%  
78 2% 95%  
79 7% 94%  
80 10% 87%  
81 4% 77%  
82 8% 73%  
83 9% 65%  
84 41% 56% Median
85 2% 15%  
86 0.7% 13%  
87 8% 13%  
88 0.5% 4%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.2% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.5% 1.3%  
92 0.7% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 1.4% 99.3%  
76 3% 98%  
77 1.1% 95%  
78 2% 94%  
79 9% 92%  
80 9% 83%  
81 4% 73%  
82 8% 69%  
83 8% 62%  
84 40% 54% Median
85 2% 14%  
86 0.9% 12%  
87 8% 11%  
88 1.1% 4%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 1.5% 99.3%  
76 3% 98%  
77 1.1% 95%  
78 2% 94%  
79 9% 92%  
80 9% 83%  
81 4% 73%  
82 8% 69%  
83 8% 61%  
84 40% 54% Median
85 1.5% 14%  
86 0.9% 12%  
87 8% 11%  
88 1.1% 4%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.8% 99.8% Last Result
69 1.2% 99.0%  
70 0.8% 98%  
71 9% 97%  
72 0.6% 88%  
73 2% 87%  
74 41% 86% Median
75 7% 44%  
76 8% 37%  
77 10% 29%  
78 7% 20%  
79 1.3% 12%  
80 3% 11%  
81 3% 8%  
82 0.4% 5%  
83 4% 4%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.7% 100%  
62 0.6% 99.2% Last Result
63 6% 98.6%  
64 0.3% 92%  
65 3% 92%  
66 3% 89%  
67 40% 86% Median
68 5% 46%  
69 7% 41%  
70 7% 34%  
71 15% 27%  
72 4% 12%  
73 5% 8%  
74 3% 3%  
75 0.3% 0.7%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 1.2% 100%  
53 0.4% 98.8%  
54 0.3% 98%  
55 6% 98% Last Result
56 3% 92%  
57 42% 89% Median
58 2% 47%  
59 11% 45%  
60 10% 34%  
61 2% 24%  
62 12% 23%  
63 5% 10%  
64 2% 5%  
65 3% 3%  
66 0.3% 0.7%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 1.4% 99.5%  
48 3% 98%  
49 3% 95%  
50 3% 92%  
51 7% 88%  
52 7% 81%  
53 49% 75% Last Result, Median
54 12% 25%  
55 1.1% 13%  
56 3% 12%  
57 6% 9%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 2% 99.5%  
39 2% 98%  
40 7% 95% Last Result
41 2% 89%  
42 5% 86%  
43 41% 81% Median
44 6% 40%  
45 8% 34%  
46 18% 26%  
47 3% 8%  
48 5% 5%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.9% 100%  
31 1.3% 99.1%  
32 3% 98%  
33 2% 95%  
34 40% 93% Last Result
35 6% 53% Median
36 11% 47%  
37 3% 36%  
38 3% 34%  
39 20% 31%  
40 8% 11%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.2% 1.0%  
43 0.6% 0.8%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations