Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 22–28 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.4–32.7%
Venstre 19.5% 20.3% 18.7–21.9% 18.3–22.4% 17.9–22.8% 17.2–23.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.3% 15.9–18.9% 15.5–19.4% 15.1–19.8% 14.4–20.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 55 50–55 49–55 48–57 45–59
Venstre 34 37 34–37 33–38 33–39 32–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 30 28–33 27–34 26–34 26–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 13–15 12–16 12–16 11–18
Radikale Venstre 8 11 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–10 7–11 7–12 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 7 7–9 7–10 6–10 5–11
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 99.8%  
46 0.2% 99.2%  
47 0.5% 98.9% Last Result
48 1.2% 98%  
49 3% 97%  
50 10% 94%  
51 7% 84%  
52 6% 78%  
53 8% 71%  
54 2% 63%  
55 56% 61% Median
56 1.2% 5%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.2% 1.2%  
59 0.9% 0.9%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.2% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.5%  
33 5% 98%  
34 10% 93% Last Result
35 9% 83%  
36 5% 74%  
37 61% 69% Median
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.3% 1.3%  
41 0.8% 1.0%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 3% 99.7%  
27 3% 97%  
28 9% 94%  
29 5% 85%  
30 58% 80% Median
31 5% 22%  
32 5% 17%  
33 2% 12%  
34 8% 10%  
35 1.1% 2%  
36 1.1% 1.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.9%  
12 5% 98.8%  
13 8% 94%  
14 64% 87% Last Result, Median
15 13% 23%  
16 8% 10%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 5% 99.5%  
8 10% 94% Last Result
9 5% 84%  
10 14% 79%  
11 62% 64% Median
12 2% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.0% 99.9%  
7 16% 99.0% Last Result
8 64% 83% Median
9 7% 19%  
10 7% 12%  
11 0.9% 5%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 2% 99.5%  
7 61% 97% Median
8 19% 36%  
9 10% 17%  
10 5% 6%  
11 0.6% 1.0%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.1% 100%  
6 9% 98.9%  
7 64% 90% Median
8 14% 26%  
9 8% 12% Last Result
10 2% 4%  
11 0.7% 2%  
12 1.0% 1.0%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 2% 99.8%  
6 60% 98% Last Result, Median
7 12% 38%  
8 18% 26%  
9 8% 8%  
10 0.4% 0.8%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 16% 18%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 95 85% 87–96 86–96 86–96 86–99
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0.4% 79–88 79–89 79–89 76–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 80 0.4% 79–88 79–89 79–89 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 88 1.3% 80–88 80–89 79–89 78–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 0.2% 79–86 78–86 78–88 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 80 0.1% 79–85 78–85 76–87 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 80 0.1% 79–85 78–85 76–87 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 77 0% 72–78 71–79 70–80 68–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 74 0% 66–74 65–74 65–74 63–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 66 0% 58–66 58–66 57–66 55–69
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 49–54 48–55 48–56 46–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 41–45 40–46 40–47 38–49
Venstre 34 37 0% 34–37 33–38 33–39 32–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
86 7% 99.6%  
87 3% 92%  
88 2% 89%  
89 2% 87%  
90 2% 85% Majority
91 4% 83%  
92 0.9% 79%  
93 5% 78%  
94 5% 73%  
95 58% 69% Median
96 8% 10%  
97 1.0% 2%  
98 0.4% 1.4%  
99 0.9% 1.0%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.9% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.0%  
78 1.0% 98.6%  
79 8% 98%  
80 58% 90% Median
81 5% 31%  
82 5% 27%  
83 0.9% 22%  
84 4% 21%  
85 2% 17%  
86 2% 15%  
87 2% 13%  
88 3% 11%  
89 7% 8%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.9% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.0%  
78 1.0% 98.6%  
79 8% 98%  
80 58% 90% Median
81 5% 31%  
82 5% 27%  
83 0.9% 22%  
84 4% 21%  
85 2% 17%  
86 2% 15%  
87 2% 13%  
88 3% 11%  
89 7% 8%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 3% 99.3%  
80 8% 96%  
81 2% 88%  
82 3% 86%  
83 4% 82%  
84 3% 78%  
85 6% 76%  
86 2% 70%  
87 1.1% 68%  
88 61% 67% Median
89 5% 6%  
90 1.1% 1.3% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 0.8% 99.4%  
77 1.0% 98.6% Last Result
78 7% 98%  
79 2% 90%  
80 5% 88%  
81 4% 84%  
82 2% 80%  
83 4% 78%  
84 61% 74% Median
85 0.4% 13%  
86 7% 12%  
87 2% 5%  
88 2% 3%  
89 1.1% 1.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 3% 99.4%  
77 0.6% 97%  
78 2% 96%  
79 8% 95%  
80 60% 86% Median
81 5% 27%  
82 5% 22%  
83 0.9% 17%  
84 4% 16%  
85 8% 12%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.3% 3%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 3% 99.4%  
77 0.6% 97%  
78 2% 96%  
79 8% 95%  
80 60% 86% Median
81 5% 27%  
82 5% 22%  
83 0.9% 17%  
84 4% 16%  
85 8% 12%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.3% 3%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 1.3% 99.8% Last Result
69 0.5% 98.5%  
70 1.4% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 10% 95%  
73 4% 85%  
74 7% 81%  
75 2% 75%  
76 4% 72%  
77 58% 69% Median
78 2% 10%  
79 5% 8%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.8% Last Result
63 1.0% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 98.8%  
65 7% 98.6%  
66 2% 91%  
67 3% 90%  
68 4% 87%  
69 3% 83%  
70 7% 80%  
71 4% 73%  
72 2% 69%  
73 6% 67%  
74 58% 61% Median
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.5% 1.1%  
77 0.6% 0.7%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
56 1.0% 99.1%  
57 2% 98%  
58 8% 96%  
59 2% 88%  
60 2% 85%  
61 8% 83%  
62 6% 75%  
63 6% 69%  
64 0.6% 63%  
65 4% 62%  
66 56% 58% Median
67 1.2% 2%  
68 0% 0.7%  
69 0.6% 0.6%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 99.6%  
47 0.8% 98%  
48 6% 98%  
49 3% 91%  
50 60% 89% Median
51 13% 29%  
52 3% 17%  
53 3% 14% Last Result
54 4% 11%  
55 4% 6%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.6% 0.9%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 1.3% 99.8%  
39 0.9% 98%  
40 4% 98% Last Result
41 6% 94%  
42 8% 87%  
43 65% 80% Median
44 5% 15%  
45 0.4% 10%  
46 5% 10%  
47 3% 5%  
48 0.7% 2%  
49 0.6% 0.8%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.2% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.5%  
33 5% 98%  
34 10% 93% Last Result
35 9% 83%  
36 5% 74%  
37 61% 69% Median
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.3% 1.3%  
41 0.8% 1.0%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations