Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 29 January–4 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.4% 27.3–32.9% 26.4–33.8%
Venstre 19.5% 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.5% 17.0–21.9% 16.3–22.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 52 50–55 49–56 48–57 46–59
Venstre 34 33 31–36 29–37 29–38 29–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 30–35 30–36 29–37 28–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 12–16 11–16 11–17 11–18
Radikale Venstre 8 10 8–11 8–12 7–12 6–13
Alternativet 9 9 8–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.8% 99.9%  
47 0.6% 99.1% Last Result
48 3% 98.5%  
49 2% 95%  
50 12% 93%  
51 9% 81%  
52 28% 72% Median
53 5% 44%  
54 11% 39%  
55 18% 28%  
56 5% 9%  
57 2% 4%  
58 0.5% 2%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0.3% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.8%  
29 5% 99.7%  
30 4% 95%  
31 12% 90%  
32 9% 79%  
33 30% 70% Median
34 11% 40% Last Result
35 16% 29%  
36 6% 13%  
37 5% 8%  
38 1.3% 3%  
39 1.2% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.8%  
28 0.8% 99.6%  
29 2% 98.9%  
30 11% 96%  
31 18% 86%  
32 13% 68%  
33 38% 55% Median
34 7% 18%  
35 4% 10%  
36 3% 6%  
37 2% 4% Last Result
38 2% 2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.7%  
12 14% 94%  
13 5% 80%  
14 7% 75% Last Result
15 48% 68% Median
16 17% 19%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.8%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.3% 100%  
7 2% 98.7%  
8 32% 97% Last Result
9 15% 65%  
10 25% 50% Median
11 19% 25%  
12 5% 6%  
13 1.0% 1.2%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 2% 99.8%  
7 5% 98%  
8 23% 93%  
9 59% 70% Last Result, Median
10 10% 12%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 6% 99.6%  
7 22% 94% Last Result
8 48% 72% Median
9 18% 25%  
10 6% 7%  
11 0.9% 1.0%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.9% 100%  
6 15% 99.1%  
7 13% 84%  
8 49% 71% Median
9 18% 22%  
10 3% 4%  
11 0.8% 0.9%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100%  
6 23% 99.3% Last Result
7 23% 76%  
8 21% 53% Median
9 31% 32%  
10 0.2% 0.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 2% 13%  
5 11% 11%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 93 93% 90–97 88–98 87–99 85–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 5% 81–89 80–90 78–90 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 1.5% 78–85 77–87 76–88 76–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 1.4% 77–84 77–87 76–88 76–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 1.5% 78–85 77–87 76–88 76–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 1.4% 77–84 77–86 76–88 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 84 0.6% 81–86 79–87 77–87 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 71–78 71–78 69–79 68–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 70 0% 68–74 66–74 65–75 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 62 0% 59–66 58–67 57–68 56–70
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 46–52 44–53 44–53 43–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 38–43 37–45 36–45 36–47
Venstre 34 33 0% 31–36 29–37 29–38 29–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 1.3% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.9% 98.5%  
87 2% 98%  
88 1.4% 95%  
89 1.2% 94%  
90 5% 93% Majority
91 4% 87%  
92 23% 83%  
93 16% 60%  
94 16% 45% Median
95 11% 28%  
96 3% 18%  
97 9% 14%  
98 1.2% 5%  
99 4% 4%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100% Last Result
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 3% 99.7%  
79 1.0% 97%  
80 6% 96%  
81 3% 90%  
82 5% 88%  
83 22% 82%  
84 16% 60%  
85 5% 44% Median
86 20% 40%  
87 4% 19%  
88 3% 15%  
89 7% 12%  
90 4% 5% Majority
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 4% 99.7%  
77 1.2% 96%  
78 9% 95%  
79 3% 86%  
80 11% 82%  
81 16% 72%  
82 16% 55% Median
83 23% 40%  
84 4% 17%  
85 5% 13%  
86 1.2% 7%  
87 1.4% 6%  
88 2% 5%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 1.3% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 4% 99.6%  
77 7% 96%  
78 10% 89%  
79 4% 79%  
80 15% 75%  
81 16% 60%  
82 11% 44% Median
83 22% 33%  
84 4% 11%  
85 2% 8%  
86 0.8% 6%  
87 0.8% 5%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 1.3% 1.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 4% 99.7%  
77 1.2% 96%  
78 9% 95%  
79 3% 86%  
80 11% 82%  
81 16% 71%  
82 16% 55% Median
83 23% 40%  
84 5% 17%  
85 5% 12%  
86 1.2% 7%  
87 1.4% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 1.3% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 4% 99.6%  
77 7% 96%  
78 10% 89%  
79 4% 79%  
80 15% 75%  
81 16% 60%  
82 11% 44% Median
83 22% 33%  
84 4% 11%  
85 2% 7%  
86 0.8% 6%  
87 0.8% 5%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 1.3% 1.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 2% 99.9%  
77 2% 98% Last Result
78 1.1% 96%  
79 1.3% 95%  
80 0.7% 94%  
81 7% 93%  
82 2% 86%  
83 22% 84%  
84 31% 62% Median
85 1.3% 31%  
86 23% 30%  
87 5% 7%  
88 1.4% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.1% 0.6% Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.9% Last Result
69 2% 98.9%  
70 2% 97%  
71 7% 95%  
72 3% 88%  
73 2% 85%  
74 21% 84%  
75 31% 63% Median
76 1.4% 32%  
77 5% 30%  
78 23% 26%  
79 0.5% 3%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 1.0% 1.2%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.4% 99.6%  
65 4% 99.3%  
66 3% 96%  
67 2% 93%  
68 28% 91%  
69 10% 63%  
70 10% 53% Median
71 14% 44%  
72 12% 30%  
73 3% 18%  
74 11% 15%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 1.0% 1.1%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
56 0.9% 99.7%  
57 2% 98.8%  
58 3% 97%  
59 5% 94%  
60 29% 89%  
61 5% 60%  
62 8% 55% Median
63 20% 47%  
64 11% 27%  
65 1.3% 16%  
66 9% 15%  
67 4% 6%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.6% 1.3%  
70 0.6% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.9% 99.7%  
44 4% 98.8%  
45 2% 95%  
46 12% 92%  
47 4% 80%  
48 22% 77%  
49 21% 55% Median
50 19% 34%  
51 4% 15%  
52 6% 12%  
53 3% 6% Last Result
54 1.3% 2%  
55 0.8% 1.0%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 4% 99.8%  
37 4% 96%  
38 6% 92%  
39 3% 86%  
40 27% 83% Last Result
41 15% 56% Median
42 25% 41%  
43 6% 16%  
44 4% 10%  
45 4% 6%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 1.0% 1.1%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.8%  
29 5% 99.7%  
30 4% 95%  
31 12% 90%  
32 9% 79%  
33 30% 70% Median
34 11% 40% Last Result
35 16% 29%  
36 6% 13%  
37 5% 8%  
38 1.3% 3%  
39 1.2% 2%  
40 0.3% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations