Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 2–8 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.2% 26.5–29.9% 26.0–30.5% 25.6–30.9% 24.8–31.7%
Venstre 19.5% 19.8% 18.3–21.4% 17.9–21.8% 17.5–22.2% 16.9–23.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 16.5% 15.1–18.0% 14.7–18.4% 14.4–18.7% 13.8–19.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.7% 7.6–11.0% 7.1–11.6%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.1% 4.2–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.7–7.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.5–6.0% 3.2–6.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 48–52 47–54 46–54 44–56
Venstre 34 34 32–38 31–38 30–39 30–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 28 27–32 26–32 26–33 25–34
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–19 15–19 14–19 13–20
Liberal Alliance 13 10 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–11
Alternativet 9 7 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.5% 99.7%  
45 1.3% 99.2%  
46 0.9% 98%  
47 6% 97% Last Result
48 2% 91%  
49 27% 89%  
50 28% 62% Median
51 6% 34%  
52 19% 28%  
53 3% 9%  
54 4% 6%  
55 0.9% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.7%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.7%  
31 2% 96%  
32 16% 95%  
33 22% 79%  
34 17% 57% Last Result, Median
35 9% 41%  
36 18% 32%  
37 4% 15%  
38 7% 11%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 1.0%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 1.0% 99.8%  
26 4% 98.8%  
27 20% 95%  
28 28% 75% Median
29 4% 47%  
30 15% 43%  
31 5% 28%  
32 18% 23%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.4% 2%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.7%  
14 3% 98.6% Last Result
15 21% 95%  
16 19% 75%  
17 27% 56% Median
18 7% 29%  
19 20% 22%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 9% 95%  
9 32% 87%  
10 43% 55% Median
11 9% 12%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 3% 99.7%  
8 15% 97% Last Result
9 43% 81% Median
10 21% 39%  
11 12% 18%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 3% 99.8% Last Result
7 26% 97%  
8 40% 71% Median
9 18% 31%  
10 11% 13%  
11 1.4% 2%  
12 0.8% 0.8%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 4% 99.6%  
7 36% 96% Last Result
8 13% 60% Median
9 35% 48%  
10 12% 13%  
11 1.0% 1.3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 7% 99.4%  
7 62% 93% Median
8 16% 31%  
9 10% 14% Last Result
10 3% 5%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 45% 47%  
5 2% 3%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 93 91% 90–94 87–96 85–96 84–99
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 4% 81–85 79–88 79–90 76–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 4% 81–85 79–88 79–90 76–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 85 0.6% 82–86 79–87 78–88 76–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.2% 80–85 78–87 77–87 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0.3% 78–85 77–86 77–86 76–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 0.3% 78–85 77–86 77–86 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 72–77 70–79 69–79 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 68 0% 65–70 63–71 62–71 61–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 57–63 55–63 55–63 53–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 50–55 49–56 49–57 47–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 40–46 40–47 40–47 37–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 32–38 31–38 30–39 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.9% 99.7%  
85 3% 98.8% Last Result
86 0.8% 96%  
87 0.7% 95%  
88 2% 95%  
89 3% 93%  
90 12% 91% Majority
91 14% 78% Median
92 12% 64%  
93 36% 52%  
94 8% 15%  
95 2% 8%  
96 4% 6%  
97 1.2% 2%  
98 0.2% 0.7%  
99 0.4% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 1.2% 99.3%  
79 4% 98%  
80 2% 94% Median
81 8% 92%  
82 36% 85%  
83 12% 48%  
84 14% 36%  
85 12% 22%  
86 3% 9%  
87 2% 7%  
88 0.7% 5%  
89 0.8% 5%  
90 3% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.9% 1.2%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 1.2% 99.3%  
79 4% 98%  
80 2% 94% Median
81 8% 92%  
82 36% 85%  
83 12% 48%  
84 14% 36%  
85 12% 22%  
86 3% 9%  
87 2% 7%  
88 0.7% 5%  
89 0.8% 5%  
90 3% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.9% 1.2%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
77 1.3% 99.3%  
78 2% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 1.0% 94%  
81 2% 93%  
82 1.4% 91%  
83 14% 89%  
84 20% 75% Median
85 11% 55%  
86 37% 45%  
87 3% 8%  
88 4% 5%  
89 0.2% 0.8%  
90 0.1% 0.6% Majority
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.5%  
93 0.4% 0.4%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.3%  
76 0.5% 99.2%  
77 3% 98.7% Last Result
78 0.7% 95%  
79 1.5% 95%  
80 8% 93%  
81 15% 85%  
82 8% 71% Median
83 35% 62%  
84 17% 27%  
85 2% 10%  
86 3% 9%  
87 4% 6%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.8% 1.0%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 1.0% 99.6%  
77 5% 98.6%  
78 17% 94%  
79 5% 76%  
80 11% 72% Median
81 12% 61%  
82 21% 49%  
83 12% 28%  
84 5% 15%  
85 4% 10%  
86 4% 6%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 1.0% 99.6%  
77 5% 98.6%  
78 17% 94%  
79 5% 76%  
80 11% 72% Median
81 12% 61%  
82 21% 49%  
83 12% 28%  
84 5% 15%  
85 4% 10%  
86 4% 6%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.6% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.2% Last Result
69 2% 98.7%  
70 2% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 9% 93%  
73 2% 84%  
74 15% 81%  
75 13% 66% Median
76 27% 53%  
77 17% 26%  
78 4% 9%  
79 4% 5%  
80 0.7% 1.3%  
81 0.1% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.8% 99.6%  
62 2% 98.8% Last Result
63 3% 97%  
64 2% 94%  
65 4% 93%  
66 2% 89%  
67 27% 86% Median
68 27% 59%  
69 19% 32%  
70 6% 13%  
71 5% 7%  
72 1.2% 2%  
73 0.2% 0.8%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 0.5% 99.6%  
54 1.1% 99.1%  
55 4% 98% Last Result
56 2% 94%  
57 3% 92%  
58 28% 89%  
59 2% 61% Median
60 24% 59%  
61 22% 35%  
62 1.3% 13%  
63 10% 12%  
64 0.8% 1.5%  
65 0.5% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.7% 99.2%  
49 5% 98.6%  
50 36% 94%  
51 5% 57%  
52 18% 52% Median
53 5% 34% Last Result
54 14% 30%  
55 6% 16%  
56 7% 10%  
57 0.4% 3%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.5% 0.6%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.5% 99.9%  
38 0.4% 99.4%  
39 1.2% 99.0%  
40 35% 98% Last Result
41 6% 63%  
42 11% 58% Median
43 11% 46%  
44 11% 35%  
45 13% 24%  
46 2% 11%  
47 6% 8%  
48 1.1% 2%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.5%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.7%  
31 2% 96%  
32 16% 95%  
33 22% 79%  
34 17% 57% Last Result, Median
35 9% 41%  
36 18% 32%  
37 4% 15%  
38 7% 11%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 1.0%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations