Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 5–10 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 29.5% 27.7–31.4% 27.2–31.9% 26.8–32.4% 26.0–33.3%
Venstre 19.5% 19.1% 17.6–20.7% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.9–22.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 52 49–56 49–57 48–57 46–57
Venstre 34 35 32–36 31–37 31–38 30–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 31–36 29–36 29–37 28–39
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 13 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–18
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 6–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 7–10 7–11 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.8% 99.8%  
47 0.5% 99.0% Last Result
48 2% 98%  
49 8% 97%  
50 7% 88%  
51 27% 81%  
52 4% 54% Median
53 10% 50%  
54 15% 40%  
55 1.1% 25%  
56 19% 24%  
57 5% 5%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.7%  
30 2% 99.5%  
31 6% 98%  
32 5% 91%  
33 25% 86%  
34 9% 61% Last Result
35 34% 52% Median
36 13% 18%  
37 1.5% 5%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.6% 0.7%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 1.3% 99.9%  
29 4% 98.5%  
30 1.1% 94%  
31 4% 93%  
32 6% 89%  
33 26% 82%  
34 21% 57% Median
35 2% 35%  
36 29% 33%  
37 2% 4% Last Result
38 0.7% 2%  
39 0.8% 0.9%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 8% 99.7%  
12 7% 92%  
13 51% 85% Median
14 9% 34% Last Result
15 15% 26%  
16 6% 11%  
17 4% 5%  
18 1.3% 1.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 0.2% 99.7%  
7 2% 99.5%  
8 29% 98% Last Result
9 39% 69% Median
10 19% 30%  
11 10% 11%  
12 0.5% 1.2%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 10% 98% Last Result
8 18% 87%  
9 51% 70% Median
10 10% 18%  
11 4% 8%  
12 3% 4%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 7% 98%  
7 28% 91%  
8 18% 64% Median
9 36% 45%  
10 8% 9%  
11 1.2% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 34% 98% Last Result
7 29% 64% Median
8 17% 35%  
9 10% 18%  
10 8% 8%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 6% 99.9%  
6 34% 94%  
7 26% 60% Median
8 8% 34%  
9 25% 26% Last Result
10 1.0% 1.5%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 7% 7%  
5 0.3% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 85% 88–94 86–95 86–96 85–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.9% 81–87 80–89 79–89 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.2% 80–86 79–89 79–89 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 0.9% 81–87 80–89 79–89 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 0.2% 80–86 79–89 79–89 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 85 1.3% 81–87 79–89 79–89 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.2% 78–84 76–86 76–87 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 72–79 69–79 69–79 69–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 71 0% 68–74 67–76 67–76 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 62 0% 59–65 59–66 56–67 55–68
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 46–53 46–53 44–54 42–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 39–43 38–45 38–47 36–47
Venstre 34 35 0% 32–36 31–37 31–38 30–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
86 7% 99.1%  
87 2% 92%  
88 2% 90%  
89 4% 88%  
90 24% 85% Median, Majority
91 5% 60%  
92 22% 55%  
93 21% 34%  
94 5% 12%  
95 4% 8%  
96 3% 4%  
97 0.3% 1.1%  
98 0.5% 0.8%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.5% 99.7%  
78 0.3% 99.2%  
79 3% 98.9%  
80 4% 96%  
81 5% 92%  
82 21% 88%  
83 22% 66%  
84 5% 45% Median
85 24% 40%  
86 4% 15%  
87 2% 12%  
88 2% 10%  
89 7% 8%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 1.1% 99.5%  
78 0.6% 98%  
79 6% 98%  
80 4% 91%  
81 4% 87%  
82 21% 83%  
83 19% 62%  
84 5% 43% Median
85 24% 38%  
86 4% 14%  
87 0.8% 10%  
88 2% 9%  
89 7% 7%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.5% 99.7%  
78 0.3% 99.2%  
79 3% 98.9%  
80 4% 96%  
81 5% 92%  
82 21% 87%  
83 22% 66%  
84 5% 44% Median
85 24% 40%  
86 3% 15%  
87 2% 12%  
88 2% 10%  
89 7% 8%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 1.2% 99.5%  
78 0.6% 98%  
79 6% 98%  
80 4% 91%  
81 4% 87%  
82 21% 83%  
83 19% 62%  
84 5% 43% Median
85 24% 38%  
86 4% 13%  
87 0.8% 10%  
88 2% 9%  
89 7% 7%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100% Last Result
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.8% 99.8%  
79 7% 99.0%  
80 0.7% 92%  
81 24% 91%  
82 4% 67%  
83 3% 63% Median
84 9% 59%  
85 8% 51%  
86 13% 43%  
87 20% 30%  
88 2% 10%  
89 6% 8%  
90 0.6% 1.3% Majority
91 0.5% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 8% 99.8%  
77 0.7% 92% Last Result
78 3% 91%  
79 2% 88%  
80 1.0% 86%  
81 12% 85% Median
82 22% 73%  
83 15% 50%  
84 27% 35%  
85 2% 9%  
86 3% 7%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
69 8% 99.8%  
70 1.1% 92%  
71 0.6% 91%  
72 3% 90%  
73 25% 87%  
74 11% 62% Median
75 4% 51%  
76 5% 47%  
77 13% 43%  
78 19% 29%  
79 8% 10%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.7% 99.8%  
65 0.3% 99.0%  
66 0.8% 98.8%  
67 8% 98%  
68 29% 90%  
69 6% 61%  
70 5% 55% Median
71 15% 50%  
72 6% 35%  
73 2% 29%  
74 19% 27%  
75 2% 8%  
76 5% 6%  
77 0.5% 0.7%  
78 0% 0.3%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
56 1.5% 99.0%  
57 0.4% 97%  
58 1.2% 97%  
59 33% 96%  
60 2% 63%  
61 9% 61% Median
62 9% 52%  
63 16% 44%  
64 3% 28%  
65 19% 25%  
66 1.4% 6%  
67 3% 4%  
68 0.4% 0.7%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.5% 100%  
43 2% 99.4%  
44 0.6% 98%  
45 2% 97%  
46 17% 96%  
47 3% 78%  
48 6% 75%  
49 5% 69%  
50 21% 65% Median
51 31% 44%  
52 1.3% 13%  
53 8% 11% Last Result
54 3% 4%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.9% 99.8%  
37 0.7% 98.9%  
38 4% 98%  
39 18% 95%  
40 3% 77% Last Result
41 13% 73%  
42 44% 61% Median
43 7% 17%  
44 3% 9%  
45 2% 6%  
46 1.1% 4%  
47 3% 3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.7%  
30 2% 99.5%  
31 6% 98%  
32 5% 91%  
33 25% 86%  
34 9% 61% Last Result
35 34% 52% Median
36 13% 18%  
37 1.5% 5%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.6% 0.7%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations