Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 8–14 February 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
28.0% |
26.6–29.5% |
26.2–29.9% |
25.8–30.3% |
25.1–31.0% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
18.7% |
17.5–20.0% |
17.1–20.4% |
16.8–20.7% |
16.3–21.3% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
17.2% |
16.0–18.5% |
15.7–18.9% |
15.4–19.2% |
14.9–19.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
8.0% |
7.2–9.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.5% |
6.4–9.9% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
5.4% |
4.7–6.2% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.4–6.6% |
4.1–7.0% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
5.3% |
4.6–6.1% |
4.4–6.3% |
4.3–6.5% |
4.0–6.9% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
5.1% |
4.4–5.9% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.3% |
3.8–6.7% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
4.8% |
4.2–5.6% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.9–6.0% |
3.6–6.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
4.6% |
4.0–5.3% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.1% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.7% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–2.9% |
1.3–3.2% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.1% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.4–1.2% |
0.3–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
7% |
97% |
Last Result |
48 |
32% |
90% |
|
49 |
4% |
57% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
54% |
|
51 |
34% |
53% |
Median |
52 |
17% |
19% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
6% |
95% |
|
31 |
55% |
90% |
Median |
32 |
30% |
35% |
|
33 |
2% |
5% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
30 |
33% |
98% |
|
31 |
22% |
64% |
Median |
32 |
32% |
42% |
|
33 |
2% |
11% |
|
34 |
8% |
8% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
2% |
100% |
|
12 |
17% |
98% |
|
13 |
29% |
81% |
|
14 |
35% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
12% |
18% |
|
16 |
5% |
6% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
49% |
96% |
Median |
10 |
15% |
47% |
|
11 |
31% |
32% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
21% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
11% |
79% |
|
10 |
33% |
67% |
Median |
11 |
33% |
35% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
5% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
9 |
31% |
95% |
|
10 |
36% |
63% |
Median |
11 |
22% |
28% |
|
12 |
5% |
5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
33% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
22% |
67% |
Median |
9 |
6% |
45% |
Last Result |
10 |
31% |
40% |
|
11 |
8% |
8% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
35% |
98% |
|
8 |
8% |
63% |
|
9 |
20% |
55% |
Median |
10 |
34% |
34% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
42% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
58% |
|
2 |
0% |
58% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
58% |
|
4 |
29% |
58% |
Median |
5 |
29% |
29% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet |
85 |
91 |
96% |
91–94 |
90–95 |
89–95 |
87–96 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
76 |
84 |
0% |
81–84 |
81–86 |
81–86 |
79–87 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
84 |
0% |
81–84 |
80–85 |
80–86 |
79–88 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
84 |
0% |
81–84 |
80–85 |
80–86 |
79–88 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
79 |
0% |
79–84 |
78–84 |
76–84 |
76–86 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
90 |
79 |
0% |
79–84 |
78–84 |
76–84 |
76–86 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
81 |
0% |
81–83 |
81–83 |
80–83 |
79–86 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
73 |
0% |
72–74 |
72–74 |
71–75 |
70–77 |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre |
62 |
70 |
0% |
68–72 |
67–72 |
66–72 |
64–72 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
61 |
0% |
57–63 |
57–63 |
55–63 |
55–63 |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
53 |
49 |
0% |
47–52 |
47–52 |
45–52 |
45–53 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
40 |
0% |
38–41 |
38–41 |
37–41 |
37–43 |
Venstre |
34 |
31 |
0% |
30–32 |
30–33 |
29–34 |
29–36 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
89 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
96% |
Majority |
91 |
62% |
95% |
|
92 |
18% |
33% |
Median |
93 |
3% |
15% |
|
94 |
7% |
12% |
|
95 |
5% |
5% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
81 |
30% |
98% |
|
82 |
5% |
68% |
|
83 |
9% |
63% |
|
84 |
48% |
54% |
Median |
85 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
86 |
5% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
81 |
7% |
95% |
|
82 |
3% |
88% |
|
83 |
18% |
85% |
|
84 |
62% |
67% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
5% |
Median |
86 |
3% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
81 |
7% |
95% |
|
82 |
3% |
88% |
|
83 |
18% |
85% |
|
84 |
62% |
67% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
5% |
Median |
86 |
3% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
4% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
78 |
3% |
96% |
|
79 |
44% |
93% |
|
80 |
3% |
48% |
|
81 |
9% |
45% |
Median |
82 |
0.8% |
36% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
35% |
|
84 |
32% |
33% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
86 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
4% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
78 |
3% |
96% |
|
79 |
44% |
93% |
|
80 |
3% |
48% |
|
81 |
9% |
45% |
Median |
82 |
0.8% |
36% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
35% |
|
84 |
32% |
33% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
86 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
81 |
50% |
97% |
|
82 |
28% |
47% |
Median |
83 |
17% |
19% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
72 |
36% |
96% |
|
73 |
20% |
61% |
|
74 |
36% |
41% |
Median |
75 |
3% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
4% |
97% |
|
68 |
34% |
93% |
|
69 |
3% |
59% |
|
70 |
38% |
56% |
Median |
71 |
1.2% |
18% |
|
72 |
16% |
17% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
57 |
28% |
96% |
|
58 |
7% |
68% |
|
59 |
6% |
61% |
|
60 |
4% |
55% |
|
61 |
34% |
51% |
Median |
62 |
0.8% |
17% |
|
63 |
16% |
16% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
4% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
96% |
|
47 |
7% |
96% |
|
48 |
19% |
89% |
|
49 |
30% |
70% |
|
50 |
4% |
40% |
Median |
51 |
0.9% |
36% |
|
52 |
33% |
35% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
5% |
100% |
|
38 |
7% |
95% |
|
39 |
30% |
88% |
|
40 |
23% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
41 |
33% |
35% |
|
42 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
6% |
95% |
|
31 |
55% |
90% |
Median |
32 |
30% |
35% |
|
33 |
2% |
5% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 February 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1573
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.27%