Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 8–14 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.0% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9% 25.8–30.3% 25.1–31.0%
Venstre 19.5% 18.7% 17.5–20.0% 17.1–20.4% 16.8–20.7% 16.3–21.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.2% 16.0–18.5% 15.7–18.9% 15.4–19.2% 14.9–19.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.4% 4.4–6.6% 4.1–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 51 47–52 47–52 46–52 46–53
Venstre 34 31 30–32 30–33 29–34 29–36
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 30–33 30–34 30–34 27–34
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 9–11 9–11 8–11 7–12
Liberal Alliance 13 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 8–12
Alternativet 9 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 7–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 3% 99.6%  
47 7% 97% Last Result
48 32% 90%  
49 4% 57%  
50 0.7% 54%  
51 34% 53% Median
52 17% 19%  
53 1.5% 2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 5% 99.9%  
30 6% 95%  
31 55% 90% Median
32 30% 35%  
33 2% 5%  
34 2% 3% Last Result
35 0.4% 1.0%  
36 0.4% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.5% 99.8%  
28 0.9% 99.3%  
29 0.8% 98%  
30 33% 98%  
31 22% 64% Median
32 32% 42%  
33 2% 11%  
34 8% 8%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 17% 98%  
13 29% 81%  
14 35% 53% Last Result, Median
15 12% 18%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.9% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.1% 100% Last Result
8 3% 98.9%  
9 49% 96% Median
10 15% 47%  
11 31% 32%  
12 1.4% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 21% 99.8%  
9 11% 79%  
10 33% 67% Median
11 33% 35%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 5% 99.6% Last Result
9 31% 95%  
10 36% 63% Median
11 22% 28%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 33% 99.9%  
8 22% 67% Median
9 6% 45% Last Result
10 31% 40%  
11 8% 8%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100% Last Result
7 35% 98%  
8 8% 63%  
9 20% 55% Median
10 34% 34%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100% Last Result
1 0% 58%  
2 0% 58%  
3 0.1% 58%  
4 29% 58% Median
5 29% 29%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 91 96% 91–94 90–95 89–95 87–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 84 0% 81–84 81–86 81–86 79–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0% 81–84 80–85 80–86 79–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 0% 81–84 80–85 80–86 79–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0% 79–84 78–84 76–84 76–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0% 79–84 78–84 76–84 76–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0% 81–83 81–83 80–83 79–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 73 0% 72–74 72–74 71–75 70–77
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 70 0% 68–72 67–72 66–72 64–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 57–63 57–63 55–63 55–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 47–52 47–52 45–52 45–53
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 38–41 38–41 37–41 37–43
Venstre 34 31 0% 30–32 30–33 29–34 29–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100% Last Result
86 0.3% 100%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.4%  
89 3% 99.1%  
90 1.5% 96% Majority
91 62% 95%  
92 18% 33% Median
93 3% 15%  
94 7% 12%  
95 5% 5%  
96 0.5% 0.6%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.6% 99.8%  
80 1.0% 99.2%  
81 30% 98%  
82 5% 68%  
83 9% 63%  
84 48% 54% Median
85 0.7% 6%  
86 5% 5%  
87 0.6% 0.8%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.5% 99.9%  
80 5% 99.4%  
81 7% 95%  
82 3% 88%  
83 18% 85%  
84 62% 67%  
85 1.5% 5% Median
86 3% 4%  
87 0.3% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.5% 99.9%  
80 5% 99.4%  
81 7% 95%  
82 3% 88%  
83 18% 85%  
84 62% 67%  
85 1.5% 5% Median
86 3% 4%  
87 0.3% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 4% 100%  
77 0.1% 96%  
78 3% 96%  
79 44% 93%  
80 3% 48%  
81 9% 45% Median
82 0.8% 36%  
83 1.4% 35%  
84 32% 33%  
85 0.3% 1.4%  
86 0.9% 1.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 4% 100%  
77 0.1% 96%  
78 3% 96%  
79 44% 93%  
80 3% 48%  
81 9% 45% Median
82 0.8% 36%  
83 1.4% 35%  
84 32% 33%  
85 0.3% 1.4%  
86 0.9% 1.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
78 0% 99.6%  
79 2% 99.5%  
80 0.9% 98%  
81 50% 97%  
82 28% 47% Median
83 17% 19%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0.9% 1.4%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100% Last Result
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 1.1% 99.7%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 36% 96%  
73 20% 61%  
74 36% 41% Median
75 3% 4%  
76 1.2% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.6% 99.8%  
65 1.0% 99.2%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 97%  
68 34% 93%  
69 3% 59%  
70 38% 56% Median
71 1.2% 18%  
72 16% 17%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 3% 99.7% Last Result
56 0.5% 97%  
57 28% 96%  
58 7% 68%  
59 6% 61%  
60 4% 55%  
61 34% 51% Median
62 0.8% 17%  
63 16% 16%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 4% 100%  
46 0% 96%  
47 7% 96%  
48 19% 89%  
49 30% 70%  
50 4% 40% Median
51 0.9% 36%  
52 33% 35%  
53 1.5% 2% Last Result
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 5% 100%  
38 7% 95%  
39 30% 88%  
40 23% 58% Last Result, Median
41 33% 35%  
42 1.2% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.3% 0.4%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 5% 99.9%  
30 6% 95%  
31 55% 90% Median
32 30% 35%  
33 2% 5%  
34 2% 3% Last Result
35 0.4% 1.0%  
36 0.4% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations