Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 12–18 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.4% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.7% 25.7–31.2% 24.9–32.1%
Venstre 19.5% 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.2% 16.8–19.9% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 52 48–54 47–54 46–55 45–57
Venstre 34 34 33–38 33–39 32–40 31–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 30–35 29–36 28–38 27–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 13–16 12–17 12–17 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 9 7–11 7–11 6–11 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–10 6–11 6–11 6–11
Alternativet 9 8 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 1.1% 99.6%  
46 2% 98.6%  
47 4% 97% Last Result
48 12% 93%  
49 8% 81%  
50 6% 73%  
51 9% 67%  
52 42% 58% Median
53 4% 16%  
54 9% 13%  
55 1.4% 3%  
56 0.9% 2%  
57 0.4% 0.9%  
58 0.4% 0.5%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.6%  
32 2% 98%  
33 8% 96%  
34 40% 88% Last Result, Median
35 5% 48%  
36 16% 43%  
37 15% 27%  
38 6% 12%  
39 2% 5%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.4% 0.7%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.8% 99.6%  
28 3% 98.9%  
29 4% 96%  
30 7% 92%  
31 42% 86% Median
32 17% 44%  
33 7% 27%  
34 5% 20%  
35 8% 15%  
36 3% 7%  
37 0.8% 4% Last Result
38 3% 3%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 7% 99.4%  
13 7% 93%  
14 23% 86% Last Result
15 14% 63% Median
16 42% 49%  
17 5% 7%  
18 1.3% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.7% 100%  
7 5% 99.3%  
8 28% 94% Last Result
9 47% 67% Median
10 10% 19%  
11 8% 9%  
12 1.1% 1.5%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9%  
7 9% 97%  
8 13% 87%  
9 51% 74% Median
10 7% 23%  
11 15% 16%  
12 0.6% 0.8%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 6% 99.7%  
7 10% 93% Last Result
8 60% 83% Median
9 11% 23%  
10 7% 12%  
11 5% 5%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 7% 98%  
7 32% 91%  
8 42% 59% Median
9 13% 16% Last Result
10 3% 4%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 8% 99.8%  
6 7% 92% Last Result
7 23% 86%  
8 54% 62% Median
9 7% 9%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0.1% 13%  
4 7% 13%  
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 67% 86–94 85–95 84–95 83–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 9% 81–89 80–90 80–91 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 9% 81–89 80–90 80–91 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 1.0% 81–87 80–89 79–89 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 1.0% 81–87 80–89 79–89 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 85 0.6% 78–85 78–86 77–87 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.4% 77–85 77–86 75–87 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 70–77 69–77 67–79 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 64–70 64–72 63–73 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 61 0% 56–62 56–63 56–64 53–67
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 49–55 48–56 47–56 46–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 41–45 40–46 39–47 38–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 33–38 33–39 32–40 31–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 2% 99.3%  
85 6% 97% Last Result
86 7% 91%  
87 3% 84%  
88 6% 81%  
89 8% 75%  
90 4% 67% Majority
91 10% 63%  
92 8% 53% Median
93 35% 46%  
94 3% 10%  
95 5% 7%  
96 1.4% 2%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.5%  
99 0.3% 0.3%  
100 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.2% 99.5%  
79 1.4% 99.3%  
80 5% 98%  
81 3% 93%  
82 35% 90% Median
83 8% 54%  
84 10% 47%  
85 4% 37%  
86 8% 33%  
87 6% 25%  
88 3% 19%  
89 7% 16%  
90 6% 9% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.4% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.2% 99.5%  
79 1.4% 99.3%  
80 5% 98%  
81 3% 93%  
82 35% 90% Median
83 8% 54%  
84 11% 47%  
85 4% 36%  
86 8% 32%  
87 6% 24%  
88 2% 19%  
89 7% 16%  
90 6% 9% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.4% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.3% 99.4%  
79 2% 99.1%  
80 6% 97%  
81 3% 92%  
82 36% 88% Median
83 8% 52%  
84 11% 44%  
85 10% 34%  
86 7% 24%  
87 7% 17%  
88 2% 9%  
89 6% 7%  
90 0.2% 1.0% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.8%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.6%  
78 0.3% 99.4%  
79 2% 99.1%  
80 6% 97%  
81 3% 92%  
82 36% 88% Median
83 8% 52%  
84 12% 44%  
85 10% 33%  
86 7% 23%  
87 7% 16%  
88 2% 9%  
89 6% 7%  
90 0.2% 1.0% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0% 99.7%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
77 4% 99.0%  
78 7% 95%  
79 7% 89%  
80 7% 82%  
81 3% 75%  
82 5% 72%  
83 7% 68%  
84 10% 61% Median
85 42% 51%  
86 5% 9%  
87 1.4% 4%  
88 0.3% 2%  
89 1.5% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.6% Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.7%  
75 2% 98%  
76 0.8% 96%  
77 8% 95% Last Result
78 9% 88%  
79 6% 78%  
80 3% 73%  
81 9% 69%  
82 2% 61%  
83 12% 59% Median
84 37% 47%  
85 3% 11%  
86 5% 8%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.1% 1.0%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 2% 99.4%  
68 0.6% 97% Last Result
69 7% 97%  
70 7% 90%  
71 6% 83%  
72 8% 77%  
73 3% 69%  
74 5% 66%  
75 3% 61% Median
76 46% 57%  
77 7% 11%  
78 0.6% 4%  
79 2% 4%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.1% 0.5%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.4% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.5%  
62 0.2% 99.3% Last Result
63 4% 99.0%  
64 7% 95%  
65 9% 88%  
66 4% 79%  
67 8% 75%  
68 5% 67%  
69 38% 62% Median
70 16% 24%  
71 2% 8%  
72 2% 6%  
73 4% 4%  
74 0.3% 0.9%  
75 0.1% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.5%  
77 0.3% 0.3%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.8%  
54 1.0% 99.5%  
55 0.9% 98.5% Last Result
56 9% 98%  
57 5% 88%  
58 5% 83%  
59 18% 79%  
60 6% 61%  
61 37% 55% Median
62 11% 18%  
63 4% 7%  
64 1.0% 3%  
65 1.2% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.4% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 1.2% 99.7%  
47 1.3% 98%  
48 2% 97%  
49 5% 95%  
50 4% 89%  
51 43% 85% Median
52 16% 42%  
53 10% 27% Last Result
54 6% 16%  
55 4% 10%  
56 4% 6%  
57 1.5% 2%  
58 0.3% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.5% 99.7%  
39 3% 99.2%  
40 5% 96% Last Result
41 15% 91%  
42 37% 76% Median
43 5% 39%  
44 14% 34%  
45 12% 20%  
46 5% 8%  
47 2% 3%  
48 0.7% 1.4%  
49 0.4% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.6%  
32 2% 98%  
33 8% 96%  
34 40% 88% Last Result, Median
35 5% 48%  
36 16% 43%  
37 15% 27%  
38 6% 12%  
39 2% 5%  
40 3% 3%  
41 0.4% 0.7%  
42 0.2% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations