Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 19–25 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.6% 26.8–30.5% 26.3–31.0% 25.9–31.4% 25.1–32.4%
Venstre 19.5% 20.1% 18.6–21.8% 18.2–22.3% 17.8–22.7% 17.1–23.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.6% 16.1–19.2% 15.7–19.6% 15.4–20.1% 14.7–20.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.8% 2.9–6.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 47–53 47–53 47–55 45–56
Venstre 34 34 32–38 32–39 31–40 31–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 30–33 29–33 27–35 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–19 13–19 12–19 12–19
Liberal Alliance 13 10 10–12 9–12 8–12 8–14
Radikale Venstre 8 9 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 7–8 7–9 7–10 5–11
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–9 6–10 6–11 6–11
Alternativet 9 7 7–8 7–9 6–10 5–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 99.5%  
47 43% 98% Last Result
48 0.9% 56%  
49 36% 55% Median
50 7% 19%  
51 1.0% 13%  
52 0.6% 12%  
53 7% 11%  
54 0.3% 4%  
55 3% 4%  
56 0.5% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 4% 99.6%  
32 8% 96%  
33 30% 88%  
34 39% 58% Last Result, Median
35 3% 18%  
36 3% 16%  
37 2% 13%  
38 4% 11%  
39 2% 7%  
40 3% 5%  
41 1.5% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 3% 99.8%  
28 2% 97%  
29 5% 96%  
30 3% 91%  
31 5% 88%  
32 39% 83% Median
33 41% 44%  
34 0.9% 3%  
35 0.9% 3%  
36 1.0% 2%  
37 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 4% 100%  
13 3% 96%  
14 4% 94% Last Result
15 2% 90%  
16 5% 88%  
17 38% 83% Median
18 3% 45%  
19 42% 42%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 3% 99.5%  
9 3% 97%  
10 45% 93% Median
11 6% 48%  
12 40% 42%  
13 1.1% 2% Last Result
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.1% 99.9%  
7 11% 98.8%  
8 13% 88% Last Result
9 73% 75% Median
10 2% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 2% 99.5% Last Result
7 49% 98% Median
8 39% 48%  
9 6% 9%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.6% 0.7%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 5% 99.6%  
7 35% 95% Last Result
8 11% 60% Median
9 43% 49%  
10 2% 6%  
11 4% 4%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.0% 99.9%  
6 4% 98.9%  
7 53% 95% Median
8 37% 42%  
9 2% 5% Last Result
10 1.4% 3%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 1.0% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 87% 88–92 87–93 84–94 81–96
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 4% 83–87 82–88 81–91 79–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 4% 83–87 82–88 81–91 79–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 4% 83–87 82–88 81–91 79–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 84 4% 83–87 82–88 81–91 79–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 82 0.1% 79–85 78–85 76–87 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 0.1% 80–85 79–85 76–87 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 72–77 70–78 68–79 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 65 0% 64–68 63–68 62–71 61–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 56–60 56–60 55–62 53–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 51–55 50–58 50–60 48–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 39–45 39–48 39–48 38–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 32–38 32–39 31–40 31–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.2% 100%  
81 0.4% 99.8%  
82 0.2% 99.4%  
83 0.3% 99.2%  
84 3% 99.0%  
85 0.7% 96% Last Result
86 0.5% 96%  
87 3% 95%  
88 4% 93%  
89 2% 89%  
90 32% 87% Median, Majority
91 40% 55%  
92 8% 15%  
93 4% 7%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.1% 0.8%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.1% 99.3%  
81 2% 99.2%  
82 4% 97%  
83 8% 93% Median
84 40% 85%  
85 32% 45%  
86 2% 13%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 0.5% 5%  
90 0.7% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.8%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.5%  
80 0.1% 99.2%  
81 2% 99.2%  
82 4% 97%  
83 8% 93% Median
84 40% 85%  
85 32% 44%  
86 2% 12%  
87 4% 10%  
88 2% 6%  
89 0.5% 5%  
90 0.7% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 0.2% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.8%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.1% 99.2%  
81 2% 99.2%  
82 4% 97%  
83 8% 93% Median
84 40% 85%  
85 32% 45%  
86 2% 13%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 0.5% 5%  
90 0.7% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.8%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.5%  
80 0.1% 99.2%  
81 2% 99.2%  
82 4% 97%  
83 8% 93% Median
84 40% 85%  
85 32% 44%  
86 2% 12%  
87 4% 10%  
88 2% 6%  
89 0.5% 5%  
90 0.7% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 0.2% 1.0%  
93 0.2% 0.8%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.6% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.3%  
76 3% 99.0%  
77 0.2% 96% Last Result
78 1.3% 96%  
79 5% 95%  
80 3% 90%  
81 29% 87% Median
82 41% 58%  
83 2% 17%  
84 2% 15%  
85 10% 13%  
86 0.5% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 3% 99.7% Last Result
77 0.3% 97%  
78 0.1% 96%  
79 5% 96%  
80 2% 92%  
81 3% 89%  
82 30% 86%  
83 0.9% 56% Median
84 40% 55%  
85 12% 15%  
86 0.6% 3%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.6% Last Result
69 0.9% 97%  
70 1.3% 96%  
71 3% 95%  
72 4% 92%  
73 30% 88%  
74 3% 58% Median
75 39% 55%  
76 0.6% 16%  
77 6% 15%  
78 6% 9%  
79 0.5% 3%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.6%  
62 2% 99.3% Last Result
63 2% 97%  
64 5% 95%  
65 68% 90%  
66 1.1% 22% Median
67 4% 20%  
68 12% 16%  
69 0.8% 4%  
70 0.5% 4%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.4% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.3% 99.4%  
55 2% 99.1% Last Result
56 42% 97%  
57 9% 55%  
58 31% 46% Median
59 2% 15%  
60 8% 12%  
61 0.4% 5%  
62 3% 4%  
63 0.1% 2%  
64 1.1% 1.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.6%  
49 0.2% 99.3%  
50 5% 99.1%  
51 44% 95% Median
52 0.8% 50%  
53 30% 49% Last Result
54 8% 20%  
55 3% 12%  
56 2% 9%  
57 2% 7%  
58 2% 5%  
59 1.0% 4%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 1.0% 99.5%  
39 10% 98.5%  
40 0.4% 89% Last Result
41 67% 88% Median
42 3% 21%  
43 0.7% 19%  
44 5% 18%  
45 3% 13%  
46 1.3% 10%  
47 3% 8%  
48 5% 6%  
49 0.6% 1.0%  
50 0% 0.4%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 4% 99.6%  
32 8% 96%  
33 30% 88%  
34 39% 58% Last Result, Median
35 3% 18%  
36 3% 16%  
37 2% 13%  
38 4% 11%  
39 2% 7%  
40 3% 5%  
41 1.5% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations