Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 5–11 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.8% 25.1–28.7% 24.6–29.2% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
Venstre 19.5% 19.5% 18.0–21.1% 17.5–21.6% 17.2–22.0% 16.5–22.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.2–20.1% 15.8–20.5% 15.1–21.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 4.0–7.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 46–47 46–49 44–50 43–53
Venstre 34 34 33–39 32–39 32–39 30–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 35 32–35 30–35 29–35 28–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 18 14–18 14–18 13–18 13–19
Liberal Alliance 13 9 9–11 9–12 8–12 7–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–10 8–10 7–11 7–13
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–9 8–10 7–10 7–11
Alternativet 9 8 8–9 8–9 7–9 6–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 6–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0% 99.8%  
43 2% 99.7%  
44 0.2% 98%  
45 1.4% 97%  
46 10% 96%  
47 77% 86% Last Result, Median
48 2% 9%  
49 3% 7%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.2% 2%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 1.2% 1.5%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.3%  
32 7% 98%  
33 28% 91%  
34 44% 62% Last Result, Median
35 2% 18%  
36 1.1% 16%  
37 2% 15%  
38 2% 13%  
39 10% 11%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 0.8% 99.5%  
29 3% 98.7%  
30 3% 95%  
31 3% 93%  
32 9% 90%  
33 11% 81%  
34 0.5% 70%  
35 68% 70% Median
36 0% 1.2%  
37 0.1% 1.2% Last Result
38 1.1% 1.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 4% 99.9%  
14 13% 96% Last Result
15 2% 83%  
16 5% 81%  
17 9% 76%  
18 67% 67% Median
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 3% 99.5%  
9 77% 96% Median
10 8% 19%  
11 4% 11%  
12 7% 7%  
13 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 2% 99.7% Last Result
8 46% 97%  
9 9% 51% Median
10 38% 43%  
11 3% 5%  
12 0.7% 1.2%  
13 0.5% 0.5%  
14 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.3% 99.9%  
7 2% 99.5%  
8 31% 97% Last Result
9 57% 66% Median
10 8% 9%  
11 0.6% 1.1%  
12 0.1% 0.5%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 1.3% 99.6%  
7 2% 98%  
8 55% 97% Median
9 40% 42% Last Result
10 1.2% 1.4%  
11 0% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 28% 99.8% Last Result
7 56% 72% Median
8 11% 16%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.9% 2%  
11 0.6% 1.0%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 3% 6%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 90 81% 87–92 87–92 86–94 84–96
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 2% 83–88 83–88 81–89 79–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 2% 83–88 83–88 81–89 79–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 1.5% 83–88 80–88 80–89 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 85 1.5% 83–88 80–88 80–89 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 82 0% 79–83 78–83 78–86 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0.3% 78–84 78–84 77–85 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 73 0% 70–75 69–75 69–77 67–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 65 0% 64–66 64–66 63–70 60–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 56 0% 55–57 55–58 53–60 51–61
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 48–55 48–55 48–57 47–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 39–46 39–46 39–48 37–48
Venstre 34 34 0% 33–39 32–39 32–39 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 0.9% 99.6%  
85 0.8% 98.7% Last Result
86 2% 98%  
87 12% 96%  
88 2% 84%  
89 0.8% 82%  
90 44% 81% Majority
91 3% 36% Median
92 30% 33%  
93 0.9% 4%  
94 0.7% 3%  
95 1.5% 2%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.6%  
80 1.5% 99.5%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 0.9% 97%  
83 30% 96%  
84 3% 67%  
85 44% 64% Median
86 0.8% 19%  
87 2% 18%  
88 12% 16%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.8% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.9% 1.3%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.6%  
80 1.5% 99.4%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 0.9% 97%  
83 30% 96%  
84 3% 67%  
85 44% 64% Median
86 0.8% 19%  
87 2% 18%  
88 12% 16%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.8% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.9% 1.3%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.8%  
79 1.1% 99.2%  
80 3% 98%  
81 0.7% 95%  
82 1.1% 94%  
83 30% 93%  
84 3% 63%  
85 43% 60% Median
86 0.5% 17%  
87 3% 17%  
88 10% 14%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.6% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.8%  
79 1.1% 99.2%  
80 4% 98%  
81 0.7% 95%  
82 1.1% 94%  
83 30% 93%  
84 3% 63%  
85 43% 60% Median
86 0.5% 17%  
87 3% 17%  
88 10% 14%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.6% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.6% 99.6%  
76 0.3% 99.1% Last Result
77 0.8% 98.8%  
78 4% 98%  
79 12% 94%  
80 0.9% 82%  
81 4% 81%  
82 42% 78%  
83 31% 35% Median
84 0.9% 4%  
85 0.6% 3%  
86 1.2% 3%  
87 0.4% 1.3%  
88 0.7% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.6%  
76 1.2% 99.6%  
77 2% 98% Last Result
78 12% 96%  
79 2% 84%  
80 2% 82%  
81 42% 80%  
82 9% 38% Median
83 1.2% 29%  
84 25% 28%  
85 0.9% 3%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.1% 2%  
88 1.1% 1.4%  
89 0% 0.3%  
90 0.3% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.9% 99.6%  
68 0.2% 98.7% Last Result
69 5% 98.5%  
70 10% 94%  
71 3% 84%  
72 1.3% 81%  
73 49% 80%  
74 3% 31% Median
75 25% 28%  
76 0.4% 3%  
77 0.6% 3%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.4% 0.6%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.6% 99.9%  
61 0.9% 99.3%  
62 0.3% 98% Last Result
63 1.0% 98%  
64 45% 97%  
65 38% 52% Median
66 9% 14%  
67 0.5% 5%  
68 1.2% 4%  
69 0.4% 3%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.6% 1.0%  
72 0.3% 0.4%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.7% 99.9%  
52 2% 99.2%  
53 0.5% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 35% 95% Last Result
56 45% 60% Median
57 10% 15%  
58 1.0% 5%  
59 1.3% 4%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.6% 0.9%  
62 0% 0.3%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.6% 99.9%  
48 25% 99.3%  
49 3% 75%  
50 43% 72% Median
51 7% 29%  
52 4% 22%  
53 2% 18% Last Result
54 2% 16%  
55 9% 14%  
56 2% 5%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.1% 1.1%  
59 0.6% 0.9%  
60 0.3% 0.4%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.6% 99.9%  
38 1.0% 99.3%  
39 30% 98%  
40 2% 68% Last Result
41 45% 66% Median
42 3% 21%  
43 2% 18%  
44 2% 16%  
45 0.7% 14%  
46 10% 13%  
47 0.7% 3%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.3%  
32 7% 98%  
33 28% 91%  
34 44% 62% Last Result, Median
35 2% 18%  
36 1.1% 16%  
37 2% 15%  
38 2% 13%  
39 10% 11%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations