Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 12–18 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 28.0% 26.3–29.9% 25.8–30.4% 25.4–30.8% 24.6–31.7%
Venstre 19.5% 18.9% 17.4–20.5% 17.0–21.0% 16.7–21.4% 16.0–22.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.1–21.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.6–12.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.5% 2.8–6.0%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 47–50 46–53 46–53 44–55
Venstre 34 31 31–35 30–37 29–37 28–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 30–34 30–35 29–35 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 16–18 16–19 15–20 13–21
Liberal Alliance 13 10 9–10 9–11 8–11 7–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 6–10 6–10 6–11
Radikale Venstre 8 8 7–9 6–9 6–11 6–11
Alternativet 9 9 7–9 7–9 6–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.4% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.5%  
45 0.2% 99.3%  
46 6% 99.1%  
47 5% 94% Last Result
48 3% 89%  
49 59% 86% Median
50 18% 27%  
51 3% 9%  
52 0.7% 6%  
53 3% 6%  
54 0.5% 2%  
55 1.2% 2%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.3% 99.9%  
29 3% 98.6%  
30 0.6% 95%  
31 53% 95% Median
32 1.5% 42%  
33 16% 40%  
34 10% 25% Last Result
35 6% 15%  
36 1.3% 9%  
37 6% 8%  
38 1.4% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.9%  
28 1.4% 99.2%  
29 0.7% 98%  
30 12% 97%  
31 8% 85%  
32 4% 77%  
33 17% 73%  
34 51% 57% Median
35 3% 6%  
36 0.1% 2%  
37 2% 2% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.0% Last Result
15 4% 98.9%  
16 54% 95% Median
17 1.4% 42%  
18 35% 40%  
19 2% 5%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.9% 1.0%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 2% 98%  
9 27% 95%  
10 58% 68% Median
11 9% 10%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 1.4% 99.6% Last Result
8 7% 98%  
9 16% 91%  
10 71% 75% Median
11 3% 3%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 15% 99.9% Last Result
7 2% 85%  
8 64% 82% Median
9 9% 18%  
10 8% 9%  
11 0.7% 1.0%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 6% 99.8%  
7 9% 93%  
8 57% 85% Last Result, Median
9 24% 28%  
10 1.2% 5%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 3% 99.2%  
7 33% 96%  
8 5% 63%  
9 57% 58% Last Result, Median
10 1.3% 1.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 1.1% 1.2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 92 92% 90–94 87–94 87–96 85–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 2% 80–85 80–86 80–88 78–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 83 0.5% 82–87 80–87 80–88 78–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.6% 81–85 81–88 79–88 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 0.6% 81–85 81–88 79–88 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.4% 81–85 80–88 78–88 77–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 0.4% 81–85 80–88 78–88 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 73–78 73–79 72–81 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 67 0% 65–69 62–69 62–70 61–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 56–59 53–59 53–61 53–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 48–53 47–57 47–57 47–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 39–44 38–47 38–47 37–47
Venstre 34 31 0% 31–35 30–37 29–37 28–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.2% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
86 0.7% 99.4%  
87 5% 98.7%  
88 0.3% 93%  
89 1.4% 93%  
90 3% 92% Majority
91 3% 89%  
92 61% 85% Median
93 5% 24%  
94 15% 20%  
95 2% 5%  
96 1.0% 3%  
97 1.3% 2%  
98 0.8% 0.8%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
78 0.6% 99.5%  
79 0.2% 98.9%  
80 9% 98.7%  
81 0.4% 90%  
82 2% 89%  
83 9% 88%  
84 53% 79% Median
85 19% 26%  
86 3% 8%  
87 1.2% 5%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.1% 2%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.5%  
79 0.3% 99.4%  
80 5% 99.0%  
81 3% 94%  
82 1.3% 91%  
83 53% 90% Median
84 4% 36%  
85 12% 33%  
86 0.6% 20%  
87 15% 20%  
88 4% 4%  
89 0.1% 0.6%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 99.2%  
79 1.0% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 15% 95%  
82 5% 80%  
83 61% 76% Median
84 3% 15%  
85 3% 11%  
86 1.4% 8%  
87 0.3% 7%  
88 5% 7%  
89 0.7% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 99.2%  
79 1.0% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 15% 95%  
82 5% 80%  
83 61% 76% Median
84 3% 15%  
85 3% 11%  
86 1.4% 8%  
87 0.3% 7%  
88 5% 7%  
89 0.7% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 97%  
80 2% 96%  
81 15% 95%  
82 5% 80%  
83 61% 75% Median
84 4% 14%  
85 3% 11%  
86 1.4% 8%  
87 0.3% 7%  
88 5% 6%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 97%  
80 2% 96%  
81 15% 95%  
82 5% 80%  
83 61% 75% Median
84 3% 14%  
85 3% 11%  
86 1.4% 8%  
87 0.3% 7%  
88 5% 6%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 99.6%  
71 0.2% 99.4%  
72 3% 99.3%  
73 7% 96%  
74 1.2% 90%  
75 53% 89% Median
76 12% 36%  
77 1.1% 24%  
78 15% 23%  
79 4% 8%  
80 1.1% 4%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.7% 0.7%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.7%  
62 6% 99.3% Last Result
63 3% 93%  
64 0.3% 91%  
65 1.1% 90%  
66 5% 89%  
67 59% 84% Median
68 4% 25%  
69 18% 22%  
70 1.0% 3%  
71 1.2% 2%  
72 0.5% 1.1%  
73 0.1% 0.6%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.8%  
53 6% 99.5%  
54 3% 94%  
55 0.8% 91% Last Result
56 1.4% 90%  
57 52% 89% Median
58 15% 37%  
59 18% 22%  
60 1.3% 4%  
61 0.7% 3%  
62 0.2% 2%  
63 1.2% 2%  
64 0.5% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.8%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 5% 99.5%  
48 16% 95%  
49 52% 79% Median
50 1.3% 27%  
51 3% 26%  
52 3% 23%  
53 13% 20% Last Result
54 0.6% 8%  
55 0.5% 7%  
56 1.0% 6%  
57 5% 5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.5% 99.9%  
38 5% 99.3%  
39 66% 95% Median
40 2% 29% Last Result
41 1.0% 27%  
42 10% 26%  
43 5% 16%  
44 3% 11%  
45 0.9% 8%  
46 1.3% 7%  
47 6% 6%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.3% 99.9%  
29 3% 98.6%  
30 0.6% 95%  
31 53% 95% Median
32 1.5% 42%  
33 16% 40%  
34 10% 25% Last Result
35 6% 15%  
36 1.3% 9%  
37 6% 8%  
38 1.4% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations