Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 19–25 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.1% 25.4–28.9% 24.9–29.5% 24.5–29.9% 23.7–30.8%
Venstre 19.5% 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 50 45–52 45–52 44–53 43–55
Venstre 34 32 30–34 29–35 29–36 28–38
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 31–35 31–35 30–37 28–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 16–19 15–19 15–20 13–22
Liberal Alliance 13 9 9–12 9–12 8–12 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–13
Alternativet 9 7 7–8 6–9 5–9 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.5% 99.7%  
44 2% 99.2%  
45 21% 97%  
46 6% 76%  
47 3% 70% Last Result
48 4% 68%  
49 8% 63%  
50 20% 55% Median
51 10% 35%  
52 22% 25%  
53 1.3% 3%  
54 0.5% 2%  
55 1.1% 1.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.5% 99.8%  
29 8% 98%  
30 2% 91%  
31 24% 88%  
32 22% 64% Median
33 26% 42%  
34 6% 15% Last Result
35 5% 9%  
36 3% 5%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 0.7% 1.0%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.4% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.6%  
29 0.7% 99.2%  
30 3% 98.5%  
31 6% 96%  
32 10% 90%  
33 32% 79% Median
34 22% 47%  
35 21% 25%  
36 2% 4%  
37 1.3% 3% Last Result
38 1.0% 1.2%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 2% 99.3% Last Result
15 5% 98%  
16 43% 93%  
17 13% 51% Median
18 25% 38%  
19 9% 13%  
20 2% 4%  
21 0.9% 1.4%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.9%  
8 2% 99.0%  
9 47% 97% Median
10 9% 50%  
11 15% 41%  
12 24% 26%  
13 1.0% 2% Last Result
14 1.2% 1.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.4% 99.8% Last Result
8 15% 98%  
9 30% 83%  
10 24% 53% Median
11 24% 29%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.5% 0.9%  
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.5% 99.9%  
7 5% 99.4%  
8 44% 94% Last Result
9 14% 50% Median
10 29% 36%  
11 6% 7%  
12 0.4% 1.1%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 2% 99.7%  
6 6% 97%  
7 51% 91% Median
8 32% 40%  
9 7% 8% Last Result
10 0.3% 1.1%  
11 0.7% 0.8%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 5% 99.8%  
6 15% 95% Last Result
7 44% 79% Median
8 31% 35%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 1.0% 5%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 92 88% 89–94 88–95 87–96 85–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 85 2% 81–87 81–88 79–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 1.0% 81–86 80–87 79–88 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 1.0% 81–86 80–86 79–88 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.9% 81–86 79–86 77–88 76–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 0.9% 81–86 79–86 77–88 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 0.9% 81–85 80–86 78–87 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 73–78 72–79 71–80 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 69 0% 64–70 63–71 62–72 61–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 58 0% 55–60 53–61 53–62 52–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 47–52 46–53 45–54 43–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 36–42 36–43 35–43 34–45
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–34 29–35 29–36 28–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
86 0.5% 99.0%  
87 2% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 7% 95%  
90 3% 88% Majority
91 22% 85%  
92 35% 63%  
93 7% 28% Median
94 12% 20%  
95 4% 8%  
96 3% 4%  
97 0.4% 2%  
98 1.1% 1.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100% Last Result
77 0.6% 99.9%  
78 0.7% 99.3%  
79 1.1% 98.6%  
80 2% 97%  
81 6% 95%  
82 3% 89%  
83 20% 87%  
84 5% 67%  
85 37% 62%  
86 10% 25% Median
87 8% 15%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0.5% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 99.8%  
78 0.4% 98.7%  
79 3% 98%  
80 4% 96%  
81 12% 92% Median
82 7% 80%  
83 35% 72%  
84 22% 37%  
85 3% 15%  
86 7% 12%  
87 2% 5%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.7% 1.0% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 98.7%  
79 3% 98%  
80 4% 96%  
81 12% 92% Median
82 7% 79%  
83 35% 72%  
84 23% 37%  
85 2% 14%  
86 7% 12%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.5% 1.5%  
90 0.7% 1.0% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 2% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 98%  
78 0.6% 97%  
79 3% 96%  
80 3% 93%  
81 12% 90% Median
82 7% 78%  
83 36% 71%  
84 22% 35%  
85 3% 13%  
86 6% 11%  
87 2% 5%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.5% 1.4%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 2% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 98%  
78 0.6% 97%  
79 3% 96%  
80 3% 93%  
81 12% 90% Median
82 7% 78%  
83 36% 71%  
84 22% 35%  
85 2% 13%  
86 6% 10%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.5% 1.4%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.9% 99.6% Last Result
78 2% 98.7%  
79 2% 97%  
80 3% 95%  
81 22% 92%  
82 10% 70%  
83 4% 60%  
84 40% 56% Median
85 9% 16%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.2% 1.0%  
90 0.8% 0.9% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
69 1.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 98.6%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 4% 97%  
73 21% 93%  
74 5% 71%  
75 7% 66%  
76 10% 59%  
77 35% 50% Median
78 8% 15%  
79 2% 6%  
80 3% 5%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 1.3% 1.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.8% 99.7%  
62 2% 98.9% Last Result
63 2% 97%  
64 5% 95%  
65 20% 90%  
66 6% 70%  
67 3% 64%  
68 9% 61%  
69 40% 53% Median
70 7% 13%  
71 2% 6%  
72 1.2% 4%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 1.1% 99.6%  
53 6% 98.6%  
54 3% 93%  
55 21% 90% Last Result
56 3% 69%  
57 3% 67%  
58 16% 64%  
59 8% 48% Median
60 30% 40%  
61 6% 9%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 1.2% 2%  
64 0.1% 0.5%  
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.5% 99.9%  
44 0.6% 99.5%  
45 2% 98.9%  
46 3% 97%  
47 5% 93%  
48 20% 88% Median
49 10% 68%  
50 42% 59%  
51 6% 17%  
52 3% 11%  
53 4% 8% Last Result
54 2% 4%  
55 0.7% 1.4%  
56 0.6% 0.8%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 1.1% 99.9%  
35 2% 98.8%  
36 7% 97%  
37 3% 90%  
38 24% 87%  
39 22% 63% Median
40 9% 41% Last Result
41 22% 33%  
42 4% 11%  
43 5% 7%  
44 1.0% 2%  
45 0.4% 0.8%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.5% 99.8%  
29 8% 98%  
30 2% 91%  
31 24% 88%  
32 22% 64% Median
33 26% 42%  
34 6% 15% Last Result
35 5% 9%  
36 3% 5%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 0.7% 1.0%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations