Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 26–31 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.3–30.4%
Venstre 19.5% 19.1% 17.6–20.7% 17.1–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.2% 15.9–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.8–11.3% 7.3–12.0%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.5%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 44–51 42–52 42–52 42–52
Venstre 34 33 31–38 31–38 30–39 29–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 31–34 29–35 28–35 27–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 18 15–19 15–20 15–21 14–21
Radikale Venstre 8 11 8–13 8–13 7–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–12 8–12 7–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–10 7–12 7–12 6–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–10 6–11 6–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 6–9 5–10 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 6% 99.9%  
43 0.9% 94%  
44 5% 94%  
45 4% 88%  
46 8% 84%  
47 6% 76% Last Result
48 25% 70% Median
49 6% 45%  
50 1.3% 38%  
51 32% 37%  
52 5% 5%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.9%  
30 3% 99.4%  
31 11% 97%  
32 29% 86%  
33 23% 57% Median
34 6% 34% Last Result
35 12% 29%  
36 5% 17%  
37 2% 12%  
38 6% 10%  
39 4% 5%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 1.2% 99.9%  
28 3% 98.7%  
29 1.4% 95%  
30 0.9% 94%  
31 15% 93%  
32 35% 78% Median
33 24% 43%  
34 13% 19%  
35 4% 6%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0% 0.3% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.7% Last Result
15 9% 98%  
16 16% 89%  
17 18% 72%  
18 18% 54% Median
19 30% 37%  
20 4% 7%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 4% 99.9%  
8 10% 96% Last Result
9 9% 86%  
10 10% 77%  
11 50% 67% Median
12 2% 17%  
13 14% 15%  
14 0.8% 0.9%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8% Last Result
8 22% 96%  
9 45% 74% Median
10 10% 29%  
11 7% 19%  
12 11% 12%  
13 1.2% 1.2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.7% 100%  
7 31% 99.3%  
8 31% 68% Median
9 16% 37%  
10 15% 21%  
11 0.9% 7%  
12 5% 6%  
13 1.2% 1.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 11% 99.8% Last Result
7 40% 88% Median
8 24% 49%  
9 9% 25%  
10 10% 16%  
11 6% 7%  
12 0.5% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 5% 100%  
6 26% 95%  
7 35% 69% Median
8 23% 34%  
9 7% 11% Last Result
10 4% 4%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 94 84% 87–97 85–97 85–97 83–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 7% 78–88 78–90 78–90 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 7% 78–88 78–90 78–90 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 81 7% 78–88 78–90 78–90 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 7% 78–87 78–90 78–90 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 87 28% 80–90 79–90 78–90 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.1% 77–86 75–86 74–86 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 71–79 69–79 67–79 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 63–71 62–72 62–72 61–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 54–62 53–64 52–64 51–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 49 0% 46–56 46–56 46–57 45–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 39–46 38–46 38–48 36–49
Venstre 34 33 0% 31–38 31–38 30–39 29–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.7% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.3%  
85 7% 99.2% Last Result
86 3% 93%  
87 0.2% 90%  
88 3% 90%  
89 4% 87%  
90 11% 84% Majority
91 10% 73%  
92 5% 63%  
93 5% 57% Median
94 9% 52%  
95 9% 43%  
96 6% 34%  
97 27% 28%  
98 1.0% 1.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 27% 98.9%  
79 6% 72%  
80 9% 66% Median
81 9% 57%  
82 5% 48%  
83 5% 43%  
84 10% 37%  
85 11% 27%  
86 4% 16%  
87 3% 13%  
88 0.2% 10%  
89 3% 10%  
90 7% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.8%  
92 0.7% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.0% 99.8%  
78 27% 98.8%  
79 6% 72%  
80 9% 66% Median
81 10% 57%  
82 5% 47%  
83 6% 42%  
84 10% 36%  
85 11% 26%  
86 4% 16%  
87 2% 12%  
88 0.1% 10%  
89 2% 10%  
90 7% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.8%  
92 0.7% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 27% 98.9%  
79 6% 72%  
80 9% 66% Median
81 9% 57%  
82 5% 48%  
83 5% 43%  
84 10% 37%  
85 11% 27%  
86 4% 16%  
87 3% 13%  
88 0.2% 10%  
89 2% 10%  
90 7% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.8%  
92 0.7% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.0% 99.8%  
78 27% 98.8%  
79 6% 72%  
80 9% 66% Median
81 10% 57%  
82 5% 47%  
83 6% 42%  
84 10% 36%  
85 11% 26%  
86 4% 15%  
87 2% 12%  
88 0.1% 10%  
89 2% 10%  
90 7% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.8%  
92 0.7% 0.7%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.8% 99.9%  
78 4% 99.1%  
79 0.1% 95%  
80 6% 95%  
81 8% 89%  
82 3% 81%  
83 7% 78%  
84 11% 71%  
85 1.5% 60%  
86 4% 58% Median
87 12% 55%  
88 12% 43%  
89 2% 30%  
90 27% 28% Majority
91 0.3% 0.3%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.7% 100%  
73 0% 99.3%  
74 4% 99.3%  
75 0.4% 95%  
76 3% 95%  
77 3% 92% Last Result
78 3% 90%  
79 5% 87%  
80 2% 82%  
81 7% 79%  
82 22% 72% Median
83 15% 50%  
84 3% 35%  
85 3% 31%  
86 27% 28%  
87 1.1% 1.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.7% 99.9%  
67 4% 99.2%  
68 0.1% 95% Last Result
69 0.4% 95%  
70 2% 95%  
71 7% 93%  
72 7% 86%  
73 7% 79%  
74 12% 72%  
75 9% 60% Median
76 13% 51%  
77 9% 38%  
78 0.2% 29%  
79 28% 29%  
80 1.1% 1.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 1.5% 99.9%  
62 6% 98% Last Result
63 8% 92%  
64 2% 84%  
65 4% 81%  
66 11% 78%  
67 4% 67%  
68 2% 63% Median
69 16% 61%  
70 0.5% 44%  
71 37% 44%  
72 6% 7%  
73 0.8% 1.3%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 1.4% 99.9%  
52 3% 98%  
53 5% 96%  
54 4% 91%  
55 9% 87% Last Result
56 7% 78%  
57 6% 71%  
58 3% 65%  
59 12% 62% Median
60 5% 50%  
61 10% 44%  
62 27% 35%  
63 3% 8%  
64 5% 5%  
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 2% 99.9%  
46 32% 98%  
47 0.3% 67%  
48 8% 67% Median
49 11% 58%  
50 8% 47%  
51 14% 39%  
52 3% 25%  
53 3% 22% Last Result
54 7% 19%  
55 2% 13%  
56 7% 11%  
57 2% 4%  
58 1.0% 1.0%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.7% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.3%  
38 6% 99.0%  
39 37% 93%  
40 2% 56% Last Result, Median
41 17% 54%  
42 5% 37%  
43 9% 32%  
44 7% 23%  
45 5% 16%  
46 6% 11%  
47 0.1% 5%  
48 2% 4%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.9%  
30 3% 99.4%  
31 11% 97%  
32 29% 86%  
33 23% 57% Median
34 6% 34% Last Result
35 12% 29%  
36 5% 17%  
37 2% 12%  
38 6% 10%  
39 4% 5%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations