Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–7 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.2% 23.6–27.0% 23.1–27.6% 22.7–28.0% 21.9–28.9%
Venstre 19.5% 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.6–21.6% 17.2–22.1% 16.5–22.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.4% 15.2–19.8% 14.5–20.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 44 42–48 41–49 40–50 39–51
Venstre 34 35 32–37 30–38 30–39 30–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 29–33 27–34 27–36 26–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 17–21 16–21 15–21 13–23
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–12 8–12 8–12 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–9 6–10 6–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 8 7–9 7–10 6–10 5–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.7% 99.7%  
40 2% 99.1%  
41 5% 97%  
42 25% 92%  
43 16% 68%  
44 2% 51% Median
45 5% 49%  
46 26% 44%  
47 7% 19% Last Result
48 6% 12%  
49 2% 5%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.3% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 6% 99.6%  
31 4% 94%  
32 2% 90%  
33 26% 88%  
34 8% 62% Last Result
35 23% 54% Median
36 10% 31%  
37 14% 20%  
38 2% 6%  
39 2% 4%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.1% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 0.8% 99.5%  
27 4% 98.7%  
28 3% 95%  
29 7% 92%  
30 7% 85%  
31 34% 78% Median
32 6% 44%  
33 28% 38%  
34 5% 9%  
35 1.1% 4%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 2% 99.5% Last Result
15 1.0% 98%  
16 4% 97%  
17 46% 93% Median
18 15% 47%  
19 6% 32%  
20 6% 26%  
21 17% 20%  
22 1.5% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.7%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.0% 100%  
8 5% 98.9% Last Result
9 29% 94%  
10 41% 64% Median
11 10% 23%  
12 12% 13%  
13 1.1% 2%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 7% 99.5% Last Result
8 23% 93%  
9 23% 70% Median
10 31% 47%  
11 3% 16%  
12 11% 12%  
13 1.2% 1.2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9% Last Result
7 13% 98%  
8 20% 85%  
9 29% 65% Median
10 29% 36%  
11 5% 7%  
12 1.4% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 5% 99.7%  
7 10% 95%  
8 53% 85% Median
9 25% 32%  
10 4% 7%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.6%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100%  
6 4% 99.3%  
7 22% 96%  
8 24% 74% Median
9 40% 49% Last Result
10 6% 9%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 40%  
2 0% 40%  
3 0.1% 40%  
4 30% 40%  
5 9% 10%  
6 0.4% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 50% 87–94 87–95 85–96 83–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 3% 81–88 80–88 79–90 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 3% 81–88 80–88 79–90 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.8% 79–86 78–87 77–88 74–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 84 0.8% 79–86 78–87 77–88 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 0.5% 79–85 78–87 77–88 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 77–84 77–85 75–86 73–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 68–75 68–77 67–77 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 65 0% 60–67 60–68 59–69 56–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 54 0% 52–58 51–59 50–60 48–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 51 0% 48–55 47–56 47–57 44–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 40–46 39–47 39–48 37–50
Venstre 34 35 0% 32–37 30–38 30–39 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 1.1% 99.5%  
85 2% 98% Last Result
86 1.4% 97%  
87 8% 95%  
88 5% 87% Median
89 31% 82%  
90 3% 50% Majority
91 27% 47%  
92 6% 21%  
93 4% 15%  
94 3% 11%  
95 5% 8%  
96 1.3% 4%  
97 1.2% 2%  
98 1.0% 1.0%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 1.2% 99.0%  
79 1.3% 98%  
80 5% 96%  
81 3% 92%  
82 4% 89%  
83 6% 85% Median
84 27% 79%  
85 3% 53%  
86 31% 50%  
87 5% 18%  
88 8% 13%  
89 1.4% 5%  
90 2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 1.1% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 1.2% 99.0%  
79 1.3% 98%  
80 5% 96%  
81 3% 92%  
82 4% 89%  
83 6% 85% Median
84 27% 79%  
85 3% 52%  
86 31% 50%  
87 5% 18%  
88 8% 13%  
89 1.4% 5%  
90 2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.9%  
75 1.4% 99.4%  
76 0.2% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 2% 92%  
80 7% 90%  
81 3% 83%  
82 20% 80%  
83 10% 60% Median
84 24% 51%  
85 3% 26%  
86 15% 24%  
87 4% 9%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.5% 1.3%  
90 0.6% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.9%  
75 1.4% 99.4%  
76 0.2% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 2% 92%  
80 7% 90%  
81 3% 83%  
82 20% 80%  
83 10% 60% Median
84 24% 51%  
85 2% 26%  
86 15% 24%  
87 4% 9%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.5% 1.3%  
90 0.6% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.6% 99.5% Last Result
77 2% 98.9%  
78 6% 97%  
79 3% 91%  
80 12% 88% Median
81 17% 76%  
82 36% 59%  
83 2% 23%  
84 4% 21%  
85 9% 16%  
86 2% 8%  
87 2% 6%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 99.7%  
74 0.9% 99.3%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 13% 95% Last Result
78 7% 83% Median
79 26% 75%  
80 4% 50%  
81 7% 45%  
82 22% 39%  
83 4% 17%  
84 5% 12%  
85 4% 7%  
86 3% 3%  
87 0.5% 0.9%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.7%  
66 0.9% 99.4%  
67 2% 98%  
68 10% 96% Last Result
69 6% 86%  
70 2% 80% Median
71 18% 78%  
72 17% 60%  
73 23% 43%  
74 3% 19%  
75 7% 17%  
76 4% 9%  
77 4% 5%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.7%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 1.0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 98.9%  
58 0.7% 98.9%  
59 2% 98%  
60 17% 96%  
61 5% 79%  
62 5% 74% Last Result
63 8% 69% Median
64 9% 61%  
65 35% 52%  
66 4% 17%  
67 6% 14%  
68 3% 8%  
69 2% 5%  
70 1.1% 2%  
71 0.9% 1.3%  
72 0.3% 0.4%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 1.4% 99.9%  
49 0.5% 98.5%  
50 2% 98%  
51 2% 96%  
52 22% 94%  
53 13% 72%  
54 10% 58% Median
55 25% 49% Last Result
56 3% 24%  
57 8% 21%  
58 6% 13%  
59 3% 7%  
60 0.8% 3%  
61 1.4% 2%  
62 0.7% 1.0%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.6% 100%  
45 1.3% 99.4%  
46 0.4% 98%  
47 4% 98%  
48 6% 94%  
49 3% 88%  
50 4% 85%  
51 46% 82%  
52 8% 36% Median
53 3% 28% Last Result
54 6% 25%  
55 13% 20%  
56 4% 7%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.6% 1.2%  
59 0.4% 0.6%  
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.8% 99.9%  
38 2% 99.0%  
39 6% 98%  
40 2% 92% Last Result
41 4% 89%  
42 5% 85%  
43 43% 80%  
44 6% 36% Median
45 10% 30%  
46 14% 21%  
47 2% 7%  
48 4% 5%  
49 0.4% 1.2%  
50 0.5% 0.8%  
51 0.3% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 6% 99.6%  
31 4% 94%  
32 2% 90%  
33 26% 88%  
34 8% 62% Last Result
35 23% 54% Median
36 10% 31%  
37 14% 20%  
38 2% 6%  
39 2% 4%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.1% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations