Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 8–15 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.3% 24.6–28.1% 24.1–28.6% 23.7–29.1% 22.9–29.9%
Venstre 19.5% 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.5% 17.0–21.9% 16.3–22.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 16.4% 15.0–18.0% 14.6–18.4% 14.3–18.8% 13.6–19.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 10.2% 9.0–11.5% 8.7–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 7.9–12.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 43–48 43–48 41–48 41–54
Venstre 34 34 32–39 32–39 32–39 29–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 29 25–32 25–32 25–32 24–34
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 17–21 17–21 17–21 15–24
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 9–11 9–12 9–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 9–11 9–12 8–13 6–14
Radikale Venstre 8 8 8–11 8–11 8–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 10 8–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
Alternativet 9 7 6–8 6–10 5–10 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 3% 99.7%  
42 0.6% 97%  
43 7% 96%  
44 23% 89%  
45 49% 66% Median
46 3% 17%  
47 4% 14% Last Result
48 8% 10%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.4% 1.3%  
51 0.2% 0.9%  
52 0.1% 0.7%  
53 0.1% 0.6%  
54 0.3% 0.5%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.8% 99.8%  
30 0.3% 99.0%  
31 0.7% 98.7%  
32 20% 98%  
33 8% 78%  
34 46% 70% Last Result, Median
35 1.1% 25%  
36 3% 24%  
37 6% 21%  
38 2% 15%  
39 12% 12%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.9%  
25 8% 98%  
26 6% 90%  
27 4% 84%  
28 2% 80%  
29 47% 77% Median
30 4% 31%  
31 7% 27%  
32 19% 20%  
33 0.1% 0.9%  
34 0.4% 0.8%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
15 1.3% 99.6%  
16 0.5% 98%  
17 71% 98% Median
18 2% 27%  
19 13% 25%  
20 0.2% 12%  
21 10% 11%  
22 0.1% 1.0%  
23 0.1% 0.9%  
24 0.8% 0.8%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100% Last Result
8 0.7% 99.7%  
9 20% 99.0%  
10 22% 79%  
11 50% 58% Median
12 3% 8%  
13 3% 4%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.1% 100%  
7 1.2% 98.9%  
8 3% 98%  
9 54% 95% Median
10 9% 41%  
11 23% 32%  
12 6% 9%  
13 1.0% 3% Last Result
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.8% 99.9%  
7 0.6% 99.2%  
8 50% 98.6% Last Result, Median
9 30% 49%  
10 5% 18%  
11 12% 14%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 2% 99.8% Last Result
7 5% 98%  
8 33% 93%  
9 2% 60%  
10 10% 59% Median
11 48% 49%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 4% 99.5%  
6 13% 96%  
7 68% 82% Median
8 5% 15%  
9 1.4% 10% Last Result
10 8% 8%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 3% 71%  
4 48% 69% Median
5 21% 21%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 88 27% 87–93 87–93 86–96 85–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 87 0.6% 82–88 82–88 79–89 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 87 0.6% 82–88 82–88 79–89 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 81 2% 80–87 80–87 80–87 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 0.4% 82–83 80–86 79–87 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 0.4% 82–83 80–86 79–87 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0.8% 78–84 78–84 75–86 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 73 0% 71–78 71–78 70–79 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 64 0% 63–66 63–68 62–69 61–74
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 54 0% 51–57 51–59 50–61 47–61
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 53 0% 53–57 53–57 52–57 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 45 0% 40–47 40–48 40–48 37–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 32–39 32–39 32–39 29–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
86 3% 99.4%  
87 19% 97%  
88 48% 78% Median
89 2% 30%  
90 2% 27% Majority
91 1.4% 25%  
92 7% 24%  
93 12% 17%  
94 2% 5%  
95 0.3% 3%  
96 0.9% 3%  
97 0.9% 2%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.9% 99.3%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 2% 97%  
82 12% 95%  
83 7% 83%  
84 1.4% 76%  
85 2% 75%  
86 2% 73% Median
87 48% 70%  
88 19% 22%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 0.9% 99.3%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 2% 97%  
82 12% 95%  
83 7% 83%  
84 1.4% 76%  
85 2% 75%  
86 2% 73% Median
87 48% 70%  
88 19% 22%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.7%  
79 0.2% 99.3%  
80 20% 99.1%  
81 48% 79% Median
82 10% 31%  
83 3% 22%  
84 0.9% 19%  
85 5% 18%  
86 1.2% 13%  
87 9% 12%  
88 0.4% 2%  
89 0.2% 2%  
90 0.9% 2% Majority
91 0% 0.8%  
92 0.6% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.4%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 0.2% 99.2%  
78 1.4% 99.0%  
79 1.0% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 94%  
82 13% 92% Median
83 71% 79%  
84 1.3% 9%  
85 0.2% 7%  
86 4% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.4% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.4%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 0.2% 99.2%  
78 1.4% 99.0%  
79 1.0% 98%  
80 2% 96%  
81 2% 94%  
82 13% 92% Median
83 71% 79%  
84 1.3% 9%  
85 0.2% 7%  
86 4% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.4% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 3% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 97%  
77 1.4% 97% Last Result
78 22% 96%  
79 0.4% 73%  
80 46% 73% Median
81 8% 27%  
82 3% 19%  
83 1.0% 16%  
84 10% 15%  
85 2% 5%  
86 0.8% 3%  
87 0.1% 2%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.7% 0.8% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 3% 99.4%  
71 26% 97%  
72 6% 71%  
73 46% 65% Median
74 0.3% 19%  
75 2% 19%  
76 4% 17%  
77 2% 12%  
78 8% 11%  
79 0.9% 3%  
80 0.5% 2%  
81 1.4% 2%  
82 0% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 2% 99.9%  
62 3% 98% Last Result
63 25% 95%  
64 49% 70% Median
65 3% 21%  
66 11% 18%  
67 2% 8%  
68 3% 6%  
69 1.2% 3%  
70 0.1% 2%  
71 0.3% 1.4%  
72 0.1% 1.1%  
73 0.3% 1.0%  
74 0.5% 0.7%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.8%  
48 1.1% 99.5%  
49 0.9% 98%  
50 0.5% 98%  
51 19% 97%  
52 7% 78%  
53 2% 70% Last Result, Median
54 50% 69%  
55 2% 18%  
56 1.3% 17%  
57 8% 15%  
58 2% 8%  
59 3% 5%  
60 0.1% 3%  
61 3% 3%  
62 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.8%  
52 4% 99.4%  
53 67% 95% Median
54 8% 28%  
55 6% 20% Last Result
56 4% 14%  
57 9% 11%  
58 0% 2%  
59 0.1% 2%  
60 0.4% 2%  
61 0.2% 1.2%  
62 0.5% 1.0%  
63 0.4% 0.6%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.9% 99.9%  
38 0.2% 99.0%  
39 0.2% 98.8%  
40 21% 98.5% Last Result
41 0.6% 78%  
42 0.6% 77%  
43 9% 76%  
44 2% 68% Median
45 49% 66%  
46 4% 17%  
47 8% 14%  
48 3% 5%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.8% 99.8%  
30 0.3% 99.0%  
31 0.7% 98.7%  
32 20% 98%  
33 8% 78%  
34 46% 70% Last Result, Median
35 1.1% 25%  
36 3% 24%  
37 6% 21%  
38 2% 15%  
39 12% 12%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations