Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 16–22 April 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.3–30.4%
Venstre 19.5% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 15.6% 14.2–17.1% 13.8–17.5% 13.5–17.9% 12.9–18.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.9% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 44–50 44–51 43–52 42–54
Venstre 34 37 33–39 32–41 31–41 30–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 27 24–30 24–31 24–31 24–33
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 9–15
Liberal Alliance 13 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 8–16
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–11 7–12 7–13 7–13
Alternativet 9 8 6–9 6–10 6–11 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 0.9% 99.7%  
43 2% 98.7%  
44 7% 97%  
45 6% 89%  
46 8% 83%  
47 21% 75% Last Result
48 19% 54% Median
49 9% 34%  
50 19% 25%  
51 2% 7%  
52 3% 5%  
53 1.0% 2%  
54 0.6% 0.8%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 4% 99.4%  
32 4% 95%  
33 5% 91%  
34 6% 86% Last Result
35 11% 80%  
36 15% 69%  
37 13% 53% Median
38 28% 40%  
39 5% 12%  
40 1.4% 7%  
41 6% 6%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.8%  
24 12% 99.6%  
25 3% 88%  
26 12% 85%  
27 38% 74% Median
28 9% 36%  
29 7% 27%  
30 13% 20%  
31 4% 6%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.4% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 3% 99.4%  
14 7% 97% Last Result
15 6% 90%  
16 54% 84% Median
17 17% 30%  
18 7% 13%  
19 4% 6%  
20 0.9% 2%  
21 0.7% 0.8%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 0.2% 100%  
9 6% 99.8%  
10 10% 94%  
11 19% 84%  
12 32% 65% Median
13 24% 33%  
14 7% 9%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 4% 99.9%  
9 19% 96%  
10 10% 77%  
11 40% 67% Median
12 14% 26%  
13 9% 12% Last Result
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 1.5%  
16 0.8% 0.8%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 10% 99.8%  
8 31% 90% Last Result
9 9% 59% Median
10 20% 49%  
11 20% 29%  
12 6% 9%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.4% 100%  
6 20% 98.6%  
7 23% 79%  
8 21% 56% Median
9 27% 35% Last Result
10 6% 9%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 4% 99.5%  
6 22% 96% Last Result
7 37% 74% Median
8 29% 37%  
9 6% 8%  
10 1.3% 1.4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0.1% 5%  
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 93 91% 90–96 88–97 88–98 87–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 86 2% 82–88 81–89 81–89 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 84 1.3% 80–87 80–87 79–89 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.3% 79–85 78–87 77–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.3% 78–85 78–87 77–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 0.3% 79–85 78–87 77–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.3% 78–85 78–87 77–87 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 72–78 71–79 71–80 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 70 0% 66–72 65–73 64–73 62–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 54–60 53–61 53–61 51–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 55 0% 51–57 50–58 49–58 47–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 44 0% 40–46 39–47 38–47 37–48
Venstre 34 37 0% 33–39 32–41 31–41 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100% Last Result
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.9% 99.6%  
88 6% 98.7%  
89 1.5% 92%  
90 4% 91% Majority
91 8% 87%  
92 21% 79%  
93 15% 57% Median
94 16% 42%  
95 14% 27%  
96 7% 13%  
97 4% 7%  
98 1.3% 3%  
99 0.2% 1.4%  
100 0.4% 1.2%  
101 0.8% 0.9%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.4%  
80 1.2% 99.1%  
81 7% 98%  
82 8% 91%  
83 5% 83%  
84 16% 78%  
85 7% 62% Median
86 30% 54%  
87 7% 24%  
88 9% 17%  
89 6% 8%  
90 1.0% 2% Majority
91 0.5% 1.4%  
92 0.7% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 99.6% Last Result
78 1.0% 98.8%  
79 1.3% 98%  
80 10% 97%  
81 9% 87%  
82 4% 78%  
83 8% 74%  
84 40% 66% Median
85 12% 26%  
86 3% 14%  
87 7% 11%  
88 2% 5%  
89 1.3% 3%  
90 0.2% 1.3% Majority
91 0.3% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.8%  
93 0.5% 0.5%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.8% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.1%  
76 0.2% 98.8%  
77 1.3% 98.6%  
78 4% 97%  
79 7% 93%  
80 14% 87%  
81 16% 73%  
82 15% 58% Median
83 21% 43%  
84 8% 21%  
85 4% 13%  
86 1.5% 9%  
87 6% 8%  
88 0.9% 1.3%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.8% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.1%  
76 0.4% 98.7%  
77 2% 98%  
78 8% 97%  
79 7% 88%  
80 13% 82%  
81 15% 68%  
82 11% 53% Median
83 21% 42%  
84 8% 21%  
85 4% 13%  
86 1.4% 9%  
87 6% 8%  
88 0.9% 1.3%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.8% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.1%  
76 0.2% 98.7%  
77 1.3% 98.5%  
78 4% 97%  
79 7% 93%  
80 14% 87%  
81 16% 73%  
82 15% 57% Median
83 21% 42%  
84 8% 21%  
85 3% 13%  
86 1.4% 9%  
87 6% 8%  
88 0.9% 1.3%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.8% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.1%  
76 0.4% 98.7%  
77 2% 98%  
78 8% 97%  
79 7% 88%  
80 13% 82%  
81 16% 68%  
82 11% 53% Median
83 21% 42%  
84 8% 21%  
85 3% 12%  
86 1.4% 9%  
87 6% 8%  
88 0.9% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.7% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.2%  
71 7% 98.7%  
72 4% 91%  
73 5% 88%  
74 11% 83%  
75 10% 72%  
76 21% 62% Median
77 10% 41%  
78 24% 31%  
79 4% 7%  
80 0.8% 3%  
81 1.4% 2%  
82 0.3% 1.0%  
83 0.1% 0.7%  
84 0.6% 0.6%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
63 0.5% 99.3%  
64 2% 98.7%  
65 6% 97%  
66 8% 91%  
67 13% 83%  
68 12% 70%  
69 5% 58% Median
70 33% 53%  
71 4% 20%  
72 8% 16%  
73 6% 8%  
74 1.0% 2%  
75 0.4% 0.9%  
76 0.4% 0.5%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 0.7% 99.6%  
52 1.2% 98.9%  
53 4% 98%  
54 7% 94%  
55 12% 87% Last Result
56 10% 75%  
57 16% 65% Median
58 28% 49%  
59 8% 21%  
60 6% 13%  
61 5% 8%  
62 1.1% 2%  
63 0.5% 1.0%  
64 0.3% 0.5%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.6% 99.8%  
48 0.3% 99.2%  
49 2% 99.0%  
50 3% 97%  
51 12% 94%  
52 9% 82%  
53 13% 73% Last Result
54 8% 60%  
55 7% 52% Median
56 19% 45%  
57 17% 26%  
58 7% 9%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 0.7% 1.0%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.4% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.5%  
38 4% 99.3%  
39 4% 95%  
40 6% 91% Last Result
41 4% 85%  
42 12% 82%  
43 15% 70%  
44 8% 55% Median
45 28% 47%  
46 11% 19%  
47 7% 8%  
48 1.4% 2%  
49 0.3% 0.5%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 4% 99.4%  
32 4% 95%  
33 5% 91%  
34 6% 86% Last Result
35 11% 80%  
36 15% 69%  
37 13% 53% Median
38 28% 40%  
39 5% 12%  
40 1.4% 7%  
41 6% 6%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations