Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23–29 April 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 26.3% | 27.3% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.7–30.1% | 23.9–31.0% |
| Venstre | 19.5% | 19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.1–22.4% |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 21.1% | 16.4% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.6–18.4% | 14.3–18.8% | 13.6–19.6% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.0% |
| Liberal Alliance | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Alternativet | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Radikale Venstre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.1% |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne | 47 | 46 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 44–52 | 44–53 |
| Venstre | 34 | 38 | 30–38 | 30–38 | 29–38 | 29–38 |
| Dansk Folkeparti | 37 | 29 | 29–31 | 28–32 | 27–32 | 26–32 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | 14 | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–20 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti | 7 | 11 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 9–15 |
| Liberal Alliance | 13 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
| Alternativet | 9 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| Radikale Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti | 6 | 9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| Nye Borgerlige | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kristendemokraterne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 11% | 93% | |
| 46 | 40% | 82% | Median |
| 47 | 15% | 42% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.2% | 27% | |
| 49 | 2% | 26% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 51 | 21% | 24% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 9% | 97% | |
| 31 | 6% | 88% | |
| 32 | 0% | 83% | |
| 33 | 18% | 83% | |
| 34 | 2% | 64% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 37 | 10% | 62% | |
| 38 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 5% | 97% | |
| 29 | 50% | 93% | Median |
| 30 | 18% | 43% | |
| 31 | 19% | 25% | |
| 32 | 6% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 11% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 15 | 48% | 89% | Median |
| 16 | 10% | 41% | |
| 17 | 9% | 31% | |
| 18 | 20% | 21% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 11 | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 12 | 5% | 40% | |
| 13 | 13% | 35% | |
| 14 | 12% | 22% | |
| 15 | 10% | 10% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 32% | 98% | |
| 10 | 9% | 66% | |
| 11 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 12 | 47% | 49% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 42% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 9 | 33% | 39% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 11 | 6% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 7 | 4% | 92% | |
| 8 | 59% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 28% | 30% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 19% | 97% | Last Result |
| 7 | 19% | 78% | |
| 8 | 8% | 59% | |
| 9 | 48% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre | 85 | 90 | 59% | 87–97 | 87–97 | 87–98 | 87–102 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet | 77 | 82 | 3% | 79–88 | 79–88 | 79–91 | 79–92 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 76 | 81 | 1.1% | 80–89 | 80–89 | 80–89 | 80–93 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 85 | 0% | 78–88 | 78–88 | 77–88 | 73–88 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne | 90 | 85 | 0% | 78–88 | 78–88 | 77–88 | 73–88 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige | 90 | 85 | 0% | 78–88 | 78–88 | 77–88 | 73–88 |
| Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 90 | 85 | 0% | 78–88 | 78–88 | 77–88 | 73–88 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti | 68 | 73 | 0% | 72–80 | 72–80 | 72–82 | 72–83 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre | 62 | 65 | 0% | 65–71 | 65–71 | 65–71 | 64–76 |
| Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre | 55 | 54 | 0% | 52–60 | 52–60 | 52–60 | 51–62 |
| Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 53 | 54 | 0% | 48–59 | 48–59 | 48–59 | 46–59 |
| Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti | 40 | 45 | 0% | 39–47 | 39–47 | 37–47 | 36–47 |
| Venstre | 34 | 38 | 0% | 30–38 | 30–38 | 29–38 | 29–38 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 39% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 61% | Median |
| 89 | 1.2% | 60% | |
| 90 | 11% | 59% | Majority |
| 91 | 8% | 48% | |
| 92 | 7% | 40% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 34% | |
| 94 | 2% | 33% | |
| 95 | 8% | 32% | |
| 96 | 3% | 24% | |
| 97 | 18% | 21% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 40% | 100% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 60% | Median |
| 81 | 0.4% | 59% | |
| 82 | 11% | 59% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 48% | |
| 84 | 6% | 47% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 41% | |
| 86 | 15% | 40% | |
| 87 | 2% | 26% | |
| 88 | 21% | 24% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 40% | 99.9% | Median |
| 81 | 16% | 60% | |
| 82 | 9% | 44% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 35% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 35% | |
| 85 | 2% | 34% | |
| 86 | 8% | 32% | |
| 87 | 3% | 24% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 89 | 20% | 21% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 91 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 18% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 79% | |
| 80 | 8% | 76% | |
| 81 | 2% | 68% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 83 | 7% | 66% | |
| 84 | 8% | 60% | |
| 85 | 11% | 52% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 40% | Median |
| 88 | 39% | 39% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 18% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 79% | |
| 80 | 8% | 76% | |
| 81 | 2% | 68% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 83 | 7% | 66% | |
| 84 | 8% | 60% | |
| 85 | 11% | 52% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 40% | Median |
| 88 | 39% | 39% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 18% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 79% | |
| 80 | 8% | 76% | |
| 81 | 2% | 68% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 83 | 7% | 66% | |
| 84 | 8% | 60% | |
| 85 | 11% | 52% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 40% | Median |
| 88 | 39% | 39% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 78 | 18% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 79% | |
| 80 | 8% | 76% | |
| 81 | 2% | 68% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 83 | 7% | 66% | |
| 84 | 8% | 60% | |
| 85 | 11% | 52% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 40% | Median |
| 88 | 39% | 39% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 40% | 99.9% | Median |
| 73 | 17% | 60% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 42% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 42% | |
| 77 | 15% | 41% | |
| 78 | 2% | 26% | |
| 79 | 3% | 24% | |
| 80 | 18% | 21% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 53% | 99.2% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 67 | 11% | 46% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 35% | |
| 69 | 3% | 35% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 71 | 30% | 32% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 52 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 12% | 87% | |
| 54 | 40% | 75% | Median |
| 55 | 0.3% | 35% | Last Result |
| 56 | 10% | 35% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 59 | 3% | 24% | |
| 60 | 19% | 21% | |
| 61 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 18% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 10% | 81% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 51 | 8% | 71% | |
| 52 | 2% | 62% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 61% | Last Result |
| 54 | 12% | 61% | |
| 55 | 7% | 49% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 41% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 40% | Median |
| 59 | 40% | 40% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 39 | 31% | 97% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 66% | Last Result |
| 41 | 1.0% | 65% | |
| 42 | 3% | 64% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 61% | |
| 44 | 10% | 61% | |
| 45 | 11% | 51% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 40% | |
| 47 | 40% | 40% | Median |
| 48 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 9% | 97% | |
| 31 | 6% | 88% | |
| 32 | 0% | 83% | |
| 33 | 18% | 83% | |
| 34 | 2% | 64% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 37 | 10% | 62% | |
| 38 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 April 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1036
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.63%