Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 30 April–6 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.7% 26.0–29.6% 25.5–30.1% 25.1–30.6% 24.2–31.5%
Venstre 19.5% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.8–22.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.8–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.7% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 46–50 46–51 46–54 43–55
Venstre 34 34 31–34 31–35 30–37 28–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 29–33 27–33 26–33 25–35
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 20 17–20 16–20 15–20 13–21
Liberal Alliance 13 10 10–13 10–13 9–14 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–11 8–11 8–13 8–15
Radikale Venstre 8 7 7–10 7–11 7–12 7–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 8 6–10 5–10 5–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–7 6–9 5–9 4–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 1.2% 99.9%  
44 0.6% 98.7%  
45 0.3% 98%  
46 67% 98% Median
47 15% 31% Last Result
48 1.5% 16%  
49 2% 15%  
50 4% 13%  
51 5% 9%  
52 1.3% 4%  
53 0.1% 3%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.3% 0.7%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.4%  
30 3% 99.2%  
31 7% 96%  
32 1.1% 89%  
33 17% 88%  
34 63% 71% Last Result, Median
35 3% 8%  
36 0.5% 4%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.1% 2%  
39 0.1% 0.7%  
40 0.7% 0.7%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 2% 100%  
26 2% 98%  
27 1.5% 96%  
28 4% 94%  
29 15% 90%  
30 3% 75%  
31 6% 72%  
32 2% 67%  
33 64% 65% Median
34 0.9% 2%  
35 0.6% 0.8%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
38 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.6%  
14 0.5% 98.8% Last Result
15 1.5% 98%  
16 7% 97%  
17 7% 90%  
18 16% 83%  
19 2% 68%  
20 64% 66% Median
21 2% 2%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.7%  
9 3% 99.1%  
10 65% 96% Median
11 4% 30%  
12 5% 26%  
13 16% 21% Last Result
14 3% 5%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
8 6% 99.7%  
9 8% 94%  
10 63% 86% Median
11 18% 22%  
12 2% 4%  
13 0.3% 3%  
14 0.3% 2%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 64% 99.9% Median
8 4% 36% Last Result
9 6% 32%  
10 20% 26%  
11 2% 5%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.8% 0.9%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 2% 99.8%  
6 3% 97% Last Result
7 4% 94%  
8 81% 91% Median
9 3% 10%  
10 6% 6%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 1.2% 99.8%  
5 3% 98.6%  
6 20% 95%  
7 66% 76% Median
8 4% 10%  
9 4% 5% Last Result
10 0.8% 1.5%  
11 0.6% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 90 96% 90–94 90–96 89–97 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 83 5% 83–87 82–89 81–90 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 1.1% 81–84 80–86 79–87 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 0.4% 81–85 79–85 78–86 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 0.4% 81–85 79–85 78–86 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 0.4% 81–85 79–85 78–86 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 85 0.4% 81–85 79–85 78–86 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 76 0% 75–78 72–79 72–81 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 63 0% 63–71 63–72 63–74 62–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 53 0% 53–60 53–62 53–63 52–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 51–54 50–56 48–57 46–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 41–42 38–43 36–45 35–48
Venstre 34 34 0% 31–34 31–35 30–37 28–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
86 0.8% 99.6%  
87 0.2% 98.8%  
88 1.0% 98.6%  
89 1.2% 98%  
90 64% 96% Median, Majority
91 5% 32%  
92 13% 27%  
93 3% 14%  
94 2% 10%  
95 2% 8%  
96 3% 6%  
97 0.8% 3%  
98 0.3% 2%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 1.3% 1.3%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.6%  
81 2% 99.2%  
82 5% 97%  
83 63% 93% Median
84 0.7% 30%  
85 4% 29%  
86 13% 25%  
87 4% 12%  
88 0.6% 8%  
89 2% 7%  
90 3% 5% Majority
91 0.4% 2%  
92 0.8% 1.5%  
93 0.2% 0.7%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.5% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.4%  
77 0.2% 99.1% Last Result
78 0.4% 98.9%  
79 2% 98.5%  
80 3% 97%  
81 5% 94%  
82 13% 89%  
83 63% 76% Median
84 4% 13%  
85 0.2% 9%  
86 4% 8%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0.3% 1.5%  
90 0% 1.1% Majority
91 1.1% 1.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.3% 100%  
76 0.4% 98.7%  
77 0.3% 98%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 3% 97%  
80 2% 94%  
81 2% 92%  
82 3% 90%  
83 13% 86%  
84 5% 73%  
85 64% 68% Median
86 1.2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.2% 1.4%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.3% 100%  
76 0.5% 98.7%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 3% 97%  
80 2% 94%  
81 2% 92%  
82 4% 90%  
83 13% 86%  
84 5% 73%  
85 64% 67% Median
86 0.7% 3%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.2% 1.4%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.3% 100%  
76 0.4% 98.7%  
77 0.4% 98%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 3% 97%  
80 2% 94%  
81 2% 92%  
82 3% 90%  
83 13% 86%  
84 5% 73%  
85 64% 68% Median
86 1.2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.2% 1.4%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.3% 100%  
76 0.5% 98.7%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 3% 97%  
80 2% 94%  
81 2% 92%  
82 4% 90%  
83 13% 86%  
84 5% 73%  
85 64% 67% Median
86 0.7% 3%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.2% 1.4%  
89 0.8% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.5% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 0.7% 99.0%  
72 5% 98%  
73 0.5% 93%  
74 1.0% 93%  
75 3% 92%  
76 78% 89% Median
77 0.2% 11%  
78 3% 11%  
79 3% 7%  
80 2% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.1% 1.3%  
83 0.7% 1.2%  
84 0.1% 0.6%  
85 0.5% 0.5%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
63 63% 99.5% Median
64 2% 37%  
65 4% 35%  
66 1.4% 31%  
67 3% 29%  
68 14% 26%  
69 2% 12%  
70 0% 10%  
71 3% 10%  
72 2% 7%  
73 0.7% 5%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.5% 1.0%  
76 0.5% 0.5%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.7% 99.9%  
53 62% 99.2% Median
54 1.4% 37%  
55 0.7% 36% Last Result
56 5% 35%  
57 16% 30%  
58 0.6% 13%  
59 2% 13%  
60 2% 11%  
61 2% 9%  
62 3% 6%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.6% 1.3%  
65 0.6% 0.7%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.9% 99.9%  
47 1.0% 98.9%  
48 2% 98%  
49 1.3% 96%  
50 0.8% 95%  
51 5% 94%  
52 63% 89% Median
53 5% 27% Last Result
54 14% 22%  
55 1.1% 8%  
56 4% 7%  
57 3% 3%  
58 0% 0.7%  
59 0.7% 0.7%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.5% 99.9%  
36 3% 99.4%  
37 1.1% 96%  
38 1.2% 95%  
39 2% 94%  
40 1.3% 92% Last Result
41 17% 91%  
42 64% 74% Median
43 5% 9%  
44 0.4% 4%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0% 0.8%  
47 0.1% 0.7%  
48 0.6% 0.6%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.4%  
30 3% 99.2%  
31 7% 96%  
32 1.1% 89%  
33 17% 88%  
34 63% 71% Last Result, Median
35 3% 8%  
36 0.5% 4%  
37 2% 4%  
38 1.1% 2%  
39 0.1% 0.7%  
40 0.7% 0.7%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations