Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 7–13 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.5% 23.3–30.4%
Venstre 19.5% 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–21.9% 17.5–22.3% 16.8–23.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.7% 15.5–20.1% 14.8–20.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–6.9% 3.8–7.5%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 45–49 43–50 43–51 42–53
Venstre 34 37 34–37 33–38 31–39 29–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 30–32 28–33 28–34 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 14–17 14–19 14–19 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 11 9–11 9–12 9–13 8–15
Liberal Alliance 13 10 8–10 8–11 8–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 8 11 9–11 9–11 8–12 7–14
Alternativet 9 6 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 6–7 5–8 5–8 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 99.6%  
43 4% 99.1%  
44 2% 95%  
45 4% 93%  
46 2% 88%  
47 20% 86% Last Result
48 3% 66%  
49 58% 64% Median
50 2% 6%  
51 1.3% 4%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.5% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.5% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.4%  
31 2% 98.6%  
32 2% 97%  
33 0.7% 95%  
34 6% 94% Last Result
35 2% 89%  
36 15% 87%  
37 63% 72% Median
38 5% 9%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.7% 2%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.9% 100%  
27 1.0% 99.0%  
28 5% 98%  
29 2% 93%  
30 4% 90%  
31 76% 87% Median
32 3% 11%  
33 5% 9%  
34 2% 4%  
35 1.1% 2%  
36 0.3% 0.9%  
37 0% 0.5% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.5%  
39 0.4% 0.4%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 57% 98% Last Result, Median
15 3% 41%  
16 7% 38%  
17 21% 30%  
18 4% 9%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100% Last Result
8 0.9% 99.9%  
9 18% 99.0%  
10 11% 81%  
11 61% 70% Median
12 5% 9%  
13 2% 4%  
14 1.4% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 8% 98%  
9 8% 90%  
10 74% 82% Median
11 5% 9%  
12 2% 4%  
13 2% 2% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 3% 98% Last Result
9 9% 95%  
10 24% 86%  
11 59% 62% Median
12 2% 4%  
13 1.0% 2%  
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 2% 99.7%  
6 60% 98% Median
7 4% 38%  
8 13% 33%  
9 20% 21% Last Result
10 0.7% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 7% 99.7%  
6 80% 93% Last Result, Median
7 5% 13%  
8 6% 8%  
9 1.1% 2%  
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0.2% 6%  
4 5% 6%  
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 91 87% 89–94 87–96 87–96 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 85 2% 81–86 80–88 80–89 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 1.1% 81–86 79–88 79–88 76–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 1.1% 81–86 79–88 79–88 76–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 0.7% 81–85 79–87 79–87 76–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 84 0.7% 81–85 79–87 79–87 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0.3% 79–83 78–85 77–86 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 72–76 71–78 70–79 67–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 71 0% 66–71 64–71 63–74 61–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 55–60 53–60 52–62 51–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 53 0% 51–53 49–55 48–57 45–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 42–43 39–45 38–46 36–47
Venstre 34 37 0% 34–37 33–38 31–39 29–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.6%  
85 0.5% 99.4% Last Result
86 1.1% 98.9%  
87 4% 98%  
88 3% 94%  
89 3% 91%  
90 2% 87% Majority
91 54% 85% Median
92 14% 32%  
93 8% 18%  
94 3% 10%  
95 2% 7%  
96 3% 5%  
97 0.3% 2%  
98 1.1% 2%  
99 0.4% 0.6%  
100 0% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.4% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
77 0.5% 99.5%  
78 0.5% 99.1%  
79 0.4% 98.6%  
80 4% 98%  
81 6% 94%  
82 1.4% 88%  
83 14% 87%  
84 8% 73%  
85 54% 66% Median
86 2% 12%  
87 3% 10%  
88 4% 7%  
89 1.1% 3%  
90 1.3% 2% Majority
91 0.4% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.8%  
77 1.1% 99.4%  
78 0.3% 98%  
79 3% 98%  
80 2% 95%  
81 3% 93%  
82 8% 90%  
83 14% 82%  
84 54% 68% Median
85 2% 15%  
86 3% 13%  
87 3% 9%  
88 4% 6%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.8%  
77 1.1% 99.4%  
78 0.3% 98%  
79 3% 98%  
80 2% 95%  
81 3% 93%  
82 8% 90%  
83 14% 82%  
84 54% 68% Median
85 2% 15%  
86 3% 13%  
87 3% 9%  
88 4% 6%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 1.2% 99.3%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 4% 98%  
80 2% 93%  
81 4% 92%  
82 8% 88%  
83 14% 80%  
84 56% 66% Median
85 2% 10%  
86 3% 8%  
87 3% 6%  
88 1.0% 2%  
89 0.8% 1.5%  
90 0.5% 0.7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 1.2% 99.3%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 4% 98%  
80 2% 93%  
81 4% 92%  
82 8% 88%  
83 14% 80%  
84 56% 66% Median
85 2% 10%  
86 3% 8%  
87 3% 6%  
88 1.0% 2%  
89 0.8% 1.5%  
90 0.5% 0.7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 99.5%  
76 0.9% 99.3%  
77 1.5% 98% Last Result
78 4% 97%  
79 4% 93%  
80 54% 89% Median
81 4% 35%  
82 14% 31%  
83 8% 17%  
84 3% 9%  
85 3% 7%  
86 1.4% 3%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.5% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.5%  
68 0.7% 99.4% Last Result
69 0.9% 98.7%  
70 0.5% 98%  
71 4% 97%  
72 4% 94%  
73 16% 89%  
74 62% 73% Median
75 1.3% 11%  
76 0.5% 10%  
77 4% 10%  
78 3% 6%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.5% 0.8%  
81 0% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.4% 100%  
61 0.5% 99.6%  
62 0.5% 99.1% Last Result
63 3% 98.6%  
64 3% 96%  
65 2% 93%  
66 15% 91%  
67 10% 77%  
68 2% 67%  
69 4% 65%  
70 2% 61%  
71 54% 59% Median
72 1.4% 5%  
73 0.6% 3%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.3% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.4% 100%  
51 0.7% 99.6%  
52 4% 98.9%  
53 2% 95%  
54 2% 93%  
55 3% 91% Last Result
56 3% 89%  
57 20% 86%  
58 3% 66%  
59 3% 63%  
60 57% 61% Median
61 1.0% 4%  
62 0.7% 3%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.9%  
46 1.2% 99.4%  
47 0.7% 98%  
48 1.5% 98%  
49 3% 96%  
50 0.8% 93%  
51 11% 92%  
52 13% 81%  
53 58% 67% Last Result, Median
54 2% 9%  
55 3% 7%  
56 1.1% 4%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.7% 0.9%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.4% 100%  
35 0% 99.6%  
36 0.2% 99.6%  
37 1.5% 99.4%  
38 2% 98%  
39 0.8% 95%  
40 2% 95% Last Result
41 2% 93%  
42 17% 91%  
43 66% 74% Median
44 3% 8%  
45 2% 6%  
46 2% 4%  
47 2% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.5% 99.9%  
30 0.8% 99.4%  
31 2% 98.6%  
32 2% 97%  
33 0.7% 95%  
34 6% 94% Last Result
35 2% 89%  
36 15% 87%  
37 63% 72% Median
38 5% 9%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.7% 2%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations