Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 14–19 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.3% 23.6–27.1% 23.2–27.6% 22.8–28.1% 22.0–28.9%
Venstre 19.5% 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.3% 16.9–20.0% 16.4–20.4% 16.1–20.8% 15.4–21.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–8.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 43–49 42–50 42–50 39–52
Venstre 34 34 33–38 33–38 32–39 30–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 30–34 30–35 29–36 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 15–19 15–20 15–20 14–21
Radikale Venstre 8 9 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 9–12 8–12 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 7–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–9 4–9 4–10
Alternativet 9 7 5–7 5–7 4–8 0–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.6% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.2%  
41 0.5% 98.8%  
42 8% 98%  
43 8% 90%  
44 3% 82%  
45 8% 80%  
46 7% 72%  
47 4% 65% Last Result
48 51% 61% Median
49 0.6% 10%  
50 9% 9%  
51 0.2% 0.7%  
52 0.1% 0.5%  
53 0% 0.5%  
54 0.5% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.7% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.3%  
32 3% 98.8%  
33 7% 96%  
34 56% 89% Last Result, Median
35 9% 33%  
36 3% 24%  
37 11% 21%  
38 7% 11%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.2% 2%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.5% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.4%  
29 2% 98%  
30 14% 96%  
31 2% 82%  
32 7% 80%  
33 9% 72%  
34 53% 63% Median
35 5% 10%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.7% 1.2% Last Result
38 0.2% 0.5%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5% Last Result
15 17% 98%  
16 4% 81%  
17 53% 77% Median
18 6% 24%  
19 11% 17%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.5% 0.7%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9% Last Result
9 53% 98% Median
10 7% 44%  
11 24% 37%  
12 8% 13%  
13 3% 5%  
14 0.4% 1.4%  
15 1.0% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100% Last Result
8 8% 99.8%  
9 64% 92% Median
10 7% 27%  
11 7% 20%  
12 10% 13%  
13 2% 4%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.2% 99.8%  
8 5% 98.6%  
9 13% 94%  
10 64% 81% Median
11 16% 17%  
12 0.5% 1.0%  
13 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 2% 97%  
6 11% 95% Last Result
7 65% 84% Median
8 12% 18%  
9 5% 6%  
10 0.7% 0.9%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 2% 99.2%  
5 13% 97%  
6 25% 84%  
7 56% 60% Median
8 2% 4%  
9 1.3% 1.4% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 10% 11%  
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0.7% 0.9%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 78% 87–92 83–94 83–95 83–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 7% 83–88 81–92 80–92 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 7% 83–88 81–92 80–92 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 2% 81–86 77–88 77–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 1.1% 81–88 80–88 80–88 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 85 0.9% 81–88 80–88 80–88 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0% 77–82 72–83 72–84 72–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 71–75 66–78 66–78 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 63–69 62–71 61–71 60–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 53–60 53–61 51–61 50–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 50–55 48–55 48–57 46–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 40–44 39–46 39–47 37–49
Venstre 34 34 0% 33–38 33–38 32–39 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.7%  
83 5% 99.5%  
84 0.8% 94%  
85 0.5% 93% Last Result
86 1.0% 93%  
87 3% 92%  
88 9% 89%  
89 2% 80%  
90 60% 78% Median, Majority
91 5% 19%  
92 6% 13%  
93 0.9% 7%  
94 2% 6%  
95 3% 5%  
96 1.0% 2%  
97 0.6% 0.6%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.6% 100%  
79 1.0% 99.4%  
80 3% 98%  
81 2% 95%  
82 0.9% 94%  
83 6% 93%  
84 5% 87%  
85 60% 81% Median
86 2% 22%  
87 9% 20%  
88 3% 11%  
89 1.0% 8%  
90 0.5% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.8% 7%  
92 5% 6%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.6% 100%  
79 1.0% 99.4%  
80 3% 98%  
81 2% 95%  
82 1.0% 93%  
83 6% 92%  
84 5% 86%  
85 60% 81% Median
86 2% 21%  
87 8% 20%  
88 3% 11%  
89 1.1% 8%  
90 0.6% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 0.8% 6%  
92 5% 6%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
77 5% 99.6%  
78 0.3% 94%  
79 0.4% 94%  
80 1.2% 94%  
81 3% 93%  
82 8% 89%  
83 52% 81% Median
84 11% 29%  
85 3% 18%  
86 7% 15%  
87 1.1% 8%  
88 2% 7%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.3% 2% Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.7%  
79 1.2% 99.1%  
80 6% 98%  
81 2% 92%  
82 1.2% 90%  
83 6% 88%  
84 2% 83%  
85 59% 80% Median
86 2% 21%  
87 9% 19%  
88 8% 10%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.3% 1.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.7%  
79 1.2% 99.1%  
80 6% 98%  
81 2% 92%  
82 1.4% 90%  
83 6% 88%  
84 2% 82%  
85 59% 79% Median
86 2% 20%  
87 8% 18%  
88 8% 10%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.9% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 6% 99.6%  
73 0.3% 94%  
74 1.0% 94%  
75 1.3% 93%  
76 0.6% 91%  
77 9% 91% Last Result
78 4% 82%  
79 13% 78%  
80 2% 65%  
81 53% 63% Median
82 4% 11%  
83 3% 7%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.9% 1.0%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 5% 99.6%  
67 0.7% 95%  
68 0.9% 94% Last Result
69 0.9% 93%  
70 1.2% 92%  
71 7% 91%  
72 8% 84%  
73 10% 76%  
74 54% 67% Median
75 3% 13%  
76 3% 10%  
77 0.5% 7%  
78 5% 6%  
79 0.7% 0.8%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.2% 99.7%  
61 3% 99.5%  
62 5% 97% Last Result
63 7% 92%  
64 0.8% 85%  
65 1.4% 84%  
66 58% 83% Median
67 4% 25%  
68 4% 21%  
69 9% 18%  
70 3% 9%  
71 3% 6%  
72 0.5% 2%  
73 1.3% 2%  
74 0.1% 0.6%  
75 0% 0.5%  
76 0.5% 0.5%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.6%  
51 2% 99.3%  
52 0.7% 97%  
53 7% 96%  
54 8% 89%  
55 4% 81% Last Result
56 3% 77%  
57 57% 74% Median
58 3% 17%  
59 3% 13%  
60 2% 11%  
61 8% 9%  
62 0.5% 1.1%  
63 0.1% 0.6%  
64 0% 0.5%  
65 0% 0.5%  
66 0.5% 0.5%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 0.2% 99.5%  
47 0.7% 99.3%  
48 5% 98.6%  
49 2% 94%  
50 5% 92%  
51 56% 86% Median
52 1.3% 30%  
53 7% 29% Last Result
54 10% 22%  
55 8% 13%  
56 0.4% 5%  
57 2% 4%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.4% 100%  
37 0.5% 99.6%  
38 0.7% 99.1%  
39 5% 98%  
40 5% 93% Last Result
41 54% 88% Median
42 7% 34%  
43 5% 27%  
44 13% 21%  
45 3% 8%  
46 1.3% 5%  
47 1.3% 4%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 1.4% 2%  
50 0% 0.3%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.7% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.3%  
32 3% 98.8%  
33 7% 96%  
34 56% 89% Last Result, Median
35 9% 33%  
36 3% 24%  
37 11% 21%  
38 7% 11%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.2% 2%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations