Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 21–27 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
26.2% |
24.5–28.0% |
24.0–28.5% |
23.6–29.0% |
22.8–29.8% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
20.8% |
19.2–22.5% |
18.8–23.0% |
18.4–23.4% |
17.7–24.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
18.8% |
17.3–20.5% |
16.9–21.0% |
16.6–21.4% |
15.9–22.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.8% |
8.7–11.1% |
8.4–11.4% |
8.1–11.8% |
7.6–12.4% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.6–7.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.4–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
3% |
96% |
|
45 |
45% |
93% |
Median |
46 |
2% |
48% |
|
47 |
2% |
46% |
Last Result |
48 |
27% |
43% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
16% |
|
50 |
13% |
15% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
52 |
2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
36 |
27% |
96% |
|
37 |
14% |
70% |
|
38 |
4% |
56% |
|
39 |
48% |
52% |
Median |
40 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
31 |
15% |
98.6% |
|
32 |
4% |
84% |
|
33 |
1.3% |
80% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
78% |
|
35 |
48% |
77% |
Median |
36 |
26% |
29% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
3% |
Last Result |
38 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
27% |
98% |
|
17 |
61% |
71% |
Median |
18 |
4% |
10% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
|
20 |
4% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
9% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
83% |
90% |
Median |
10 |
3% |
7% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
8 |
6% |
98% |
|
9 |
59% |
92% |
Median |
10 |
31% |
33% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
30% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
7 |
64% |
70% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
6% |
|
9 |
2% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
7 |
47% |
98% |
|
8 |
46% |
51% |
Median |
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
5% |
98% |
|
6 |
32% |
93% |
|
7 |
59% |
62% |
Median |
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
87 |
18% |
87–92 |
86–92 |
84–92 |
83–94 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
88 |
3% |
83–88 |
83–89 |
83–91 |
81–92 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
88 |
3% |
83–88 |
83–89 |
83–90 |
81–92 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
88 |
3% |
83–88 |
83–89 |
83–90 |
81–91 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
88 |
3% |
83–88 |
83–89 |
83–90 |
81–91 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
81 |
0.2% |
80–85 |
79–85 |
79–86 |
78–88 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
78 |
0% |
78–83 |
77–83 |
76–83 |
73–85 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
71 |
0% |
71–76 |
71–76 |
70–77 |
67–79 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
63 |
0% |
63–68 |
62–68 |
59–68 |
59–71 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
54 |
0% |
54–59 |
52–59 |
51–59 |
51–61 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
53 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–55 |
49–56 |
48–57 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
46 |
0% |
42–46 |
42–47 |
42–48 |
40–50 |
Venstre |
34 |
39 |
0% |
36–39 |
36–39 |
34–41 |
33–43 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
97% |
Last Result |
86 |
6% |
97% |
|
87 |
45% |
91% |
Median |
88 |
3% |
46% |
|
89 |
25% |
44% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
18% |
Majority |
91 |
0.8% |
17% |
|
92 |
14% |
17% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
83 |
14% |
98% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
83% |
|
86 |
25% |
82% |
|
87 |
3% |
56% |
|
88 |
45% |
54% |
|
89 |
6% |
9% |
Median |
90 |
0.8% |
3% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
2% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
83 |
14% |
98% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
86 |
25% |
82% |
|
87 |
3% |
56% |
|
88 |
45% |
53% |
|
89 |
6% |
9% |
Median |
90 |
0.7% |
3% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
2% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
83 |
14% |
98% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
86 |
25% |
82% |
|
87 |
3% |
56% |
|
88 |
45% |
53% |
|
89 |
6% |
9% |
Median |
90 |
0.8% |
3% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
2% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
83 |
14% |
98% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
83% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
86 |
25% |
82% |
|
87 |
3% |
56% |
|
88 |
45% |
53% |
|
89 |
6% |
9% |
Median |
90 |
0.7% |
3% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
2% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
80 |
43% |
94% |
Median |
81 |
3% |
50% |
|
82 |
3% |
47% |
|
83 |
25% |
44% |
|
84 |
2% |
19% |
|
85 |
13% |
16% |
|
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
76 |
2% |
98% |
|
77 |
2% |
96% |
Last Result |
78 |
49% |
95% |
Median |
79 |
2% |
46% |
|
80 |
26% |
44% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
18% |
|
82 |
2% |
17% |
|
83 |
13% |
15% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
69 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
71 |
49% |
97% |
Median |
72 |
0.7% |
49% |
|
73 |
4% |
48% |
|
74 |
26% |
44% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
18% |
|
76 |
14% |
16% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
3% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
Last Result |
63 |
47% |
94% |
Median |
64 |
2% |
48% |
|
65 |
2% |
46% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
44% |
|
67 |
26% |
43% |
|
68 |
14% |
17% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
2% |
95% |
|
54 |
43% |
93% |
Median |
55 |
4% |
50% |
Last Result |
56 |
1.4% |
45% |
|
57 |
26% |
44% |
|
58 |
3% |
18% |
|
59 |
13% |
15% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
50 |
25% |
97% |
|
51 |
3% |
72% |
|
52 |
14% |
69% |
|
53 |
43% |
54% |
Last Result |
54 |
5% |
11% |
Median |
55 |
3% |
6% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
57 |
2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
41 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
42 |
26% |
98% |
|
43 |
2% |
72% |
|
44 |
13% |
69% |
|
45 |
3% |
56% |
|
46 |
48% |
54% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
5% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
36 |
27% |
96% |
|
37 |
14% |
70% |
|
38 |
4% |
56% |
|
39 |
48% |
52% |
Median |
40 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1024
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.94%