Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 21–27 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.6–29.0% 22.8–29.8%
Venstre 19.5% 20.8% 19.2–22.5% 18.8–23.0% 18.4–23.4% 17.7–24.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.8% 17.3–20.5% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 45–50 44–50 43–50 42–52
Venstre 34 39 36–39 36–39 34–41 33–43
Dansk Folkeparti 37 35 31–36 31–36 31–37 29–40
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 16–18 16–19 16–20 14–20
Radikale Venstre 8 9 9 8–10 8–11 7–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–7 6–8 6–9 6–10
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–8 7–8 7–9 5–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.8%  
43 4% 99.5%  
44 3% 96%  
45 45% 93% Median
46 2% 48%  
47 2% 46% Last Result
48 27% 43%  
49 0.9% 16%  
50 13% 15%  
51 0.2% 2%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.4% Last Result
35 0.7% 97%  
36 27% 96%  
37 14% 70%  
38 4% 56%  
39 48% 52% Median
40 0.9% 4%  
41 0.8% 3%  
42 0.8% 2%  
43 1.2% 1.3%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.4% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.5%  
30 0.7% 99.3%  
31 15% 98.6%  
32 4% 84%  
33 1.3% 80%  
34 1.4% 78%  
35 48% 77% Median
36 26% 29%  
37 0.6% 3% Last Result
38 0.3% 2%  
39 0.6% 2%  
40 1.1% 1.2%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.9% Last Result
15 0.7% 99.0%  
16 27% 98%  
17 61% 71% Median
18 4% 10%  
19 2% 6%  
20 4% 4%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.2% 100%  
8 9% 98.8% Last Result
9 83% 90% Median
10 3% 7%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8% Last Result
8 6% 98%  
9 59% 92% Median
10 31% 33%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.7% 0.9%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 30% 99.6% Last Result
7 64% 70% Median
8 3% 6%  
9 2% 3%  
10 0.4% 0.8%  
11 0.2% 0.4%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 0.8% 99.2%  
7 47% 98%  
8 46% 51% Median
9 4% 5%  
10 0.4% 0.8%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 2% 99.9%  
5 5% 98%  
6 32% 93%  
7 59% 62% Median
8 2% 2%  
9 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 87 18% 87–92 86–92 84–92 83–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 90 88 3% 83–88 83–89 83–91 81–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 88 3% 83–88 83–89 83–90 81–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 88 3% 83–88 83–89 83–90 81–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 88 3% 83–88 83–89 83–90 81–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 81 0.2% 80–85 79–85 79–86 78–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 78 0% 78–83 77–83 76–83 73–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 71 0% 71–76 71–76 70–77 67–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 63 0% 63–68 62–68 59–68 59–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 54 0% 54–59 52–59 51–59 51–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 53 0% 50–54 50–55 49–56 48–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 46 0% 42–46 42–47 42–48 40–50
Venstre 34 39 0% 36–39 36–39 34–41 33–43

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 2% 99.4%  
85 0.8% 97% Last Result
86 6% 97%  
87 45% 91% Median
88 3% 46%  
89 25% 44%  
90 0.7% 18% Majority
91 0.8% 17%  
92 14% 17%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 1.4% 2%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 1.4% 99.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 14% 98%  
84 0.8% 83%  
85 0.7% 83%  
86 25% 82%  
87 3% 56%  
88 45% 54%  
89 6% 9% Median
90 0.8% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 1.4% 99.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 14% 98%  
84 0.8% 83%  
85 0.7% 82%  
86 25% 82%  
87 3% 56%  
88 45% 53%  
89 6% 9% Median
90 0.7% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 1.4% 99.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 14% 98%  
84 0.8% 83%  
85 0.7% 82%  
86 25% 82%  
87 3% 56%  
88 45% 53%  
89 6% 9% Median
90 0.8% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8%  
81 1.4% 99.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 14% 98%  
84 0.8% 83%  
85 0.7% 82%  
86 25% 82%  
87 3% 56%  
88 45% 53%  
89 6% 9% Median
90 0.7% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100% Last Result
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 1.0% 99.7%  
79 5% 98.6%  
80 43% 94% Median
81 3% 50%  
82 3% 47%  
83 25% 44%  
84 2% 19%  
85 13% 16%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.4% 2%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.6% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.2%  
75 0.8% 98.8%  
76 2% 98%  
77 2% 96% Last Result
78 49% 95% Median
79 2% 46%  
80 26% 44%  
81 0.6% 18%  
82 2% 17%  
83 13% 15%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 1.5% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.7% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.2% Last Result
69 1.1% 99.1%  
70 0.6% 98%  
71 49% 97% Median
72 0.7% 49%  
73 4% 48%  
74 26% 44%  
75 1.3% 18%  
76 14% 16%  
77 0.7% 3%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 3% 100%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 0.1% 97%  
62 2% 96% Last Result
63 47% 94% Median
64 2% 48%  
65 2% 46%  
66 1.2% 44%  
67 26% 43%  
68 14% 17%  
69 0.4% 2%  
70 0.3% 2%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 3% 99.7%  
52 2% 97%  
53 2% 95%  
54 43% 93% Median
55 4% 50% Last Result
56 1.4% 45%  
57 26% 44%  
58 3% 18%  
59 13% 15%  
60 0.2% 2%  
61 1.4% 2%  
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.8%  
48 0.6% 99.6%  
49 2% 99.1%  
50 25% 97%  
51 3% 72%  
52 14% 69%  
53 43% 54% Last Result
54 5% 11% Median
55 3% 6%  
56 1.0% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.5%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 1.4% 99.8% Last Result
41 0.7% 98%  
42 26% 98%  
43 2% 72%  
44 13% 69%  
45 3% 56%  
46 48% 54% Median
47 2% 5%  
48 1.4% 3%  
49 0.7% 2%  
50 1.3% 1.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.4% Last Result
35 0.7% 97%  
36 27% 96%  
37 14% 70%  
38 4% 56%  
39 48% 52% Median
40 0.9% 4%  
41 0.8% 3%  
42 0.8% 2%  
43 1.2% 1.3%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations