Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 28 May–3 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
26.3% |
26.1% |
24.4–28.0% |
24.0–28.5% |
23.5–28.9% |
22.7–29.8% |
Venstre |
19.5% |
20.2% |
18.7–21.9% |
18.2–22.4% |
17.9–22.8% |
17.1–23.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
21.1% |
18.8% |
17.3–20.4% |
16.8–20.9% |
16.5–21.3% |
15.8–22.1% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
7.8% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.6% |
7.4–11.0% |
7.0–11.6% |
Radikale Venstre |
4.6% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–8.0% |
4.6–8.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
4.2% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
3.4% |
5.0% |
4.2–5.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.4–7.0% |
Liberal Alliance |
7.5% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.4% |
Alternativet |
4.8% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.4% |
Nye Borgerlige |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Kristendemokraterne |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
15% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
2% |
84% |
|
44 |
13% |
83% |
|
45 |
13% |
69% |
|
46 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
47 |
5% |
48% |
Last Result |
48 |
39% |
43% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
6% |
98% |
|
33 |
30% |
92% |
|
34 |
6% |
62% |
Last Result |
35 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
36 |
19% |
48% |
|
37 |
12% |
29% |
|
38 |
8% |
16% |
|
39 |
2% |
9% |
|
40 |
4% |
7% |
|
41 |
3% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
7% |
98% |
|
31 |
2% |
91% |
|
32 |
9% |
89% |
|
33 |
15% |
79% |
|
34 |
31% |
64% |
Median |
35 |
15% |
34% |
|
36 |
5% |
19% |
|
37 |
8% |
13% |
Last Result |
38 |
2% |
5% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
13% |
97% |
Last Result |
15 |
22% |
84% |
|
16 |
16% |
62% |
Median |
17 |
35% |
46% |
|
18 |
9% |
11% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
9 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
10 |
20% |
94% |
|
11 |
53% |
75% |
Median |
12 |
3% |
21% |
|
13 |
16% |
18% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
8 |
8% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
15% |
91% |
|
10 |
36% |
76% |
Median |
11 |
30% |
40% |
|
12 |
8% |
10% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
41% |
92% |
|
9 |
22% |
51% |
Median |
10 |
20% |
29% |
|
11 |
7% |
9% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
22% |
93% |
|
7 |
46% |
71% |
Median |
8 |
19% |
25% |
|
9 |
5% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
5 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
25% |
97% |
|
7 |
53% |
72% |
Median |
8 |
17% |
19% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
85 |
91 |
59% |
85–93 |
84–93 |
84–94 |
84–96 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
84 |
12% |
82–90 |
82–91 |
81–91 |
79–91 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne |
90 |
84 |
12% |
82–90 |
82–91 |
81–91 |
79–91 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige |
90 |
84 |
12% |
82–90 |
82–91 |
81–91 |
79–91 |
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
90 |
84 |
12% |
82–90 |
82–91 |
81–91 |
79–91 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
76 |
83 |
0.3% |
79–86 |
78–86 |
78–87 |
78–88 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
77 |
79 |
0% |
74–82 |
73–82 |
73–83 |
73–85 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
68 |
72 |
0% |
68–75 |
67–75 |
67–76 |
67–78 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
62 |
67 |
0% |
64–69 |
64–70 |
62–71 |
60–73 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
55 |
57 |
0% |
53–59 |
53–61 |
53–61 |
52–64 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
53 |
50 |
0% |
48–54 |
48–56 |
47–57 |
45–57 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
40 |
45 |
0% |
41–48 |
41–49 |
41–50 |
39–50 |
Venstre |
34 |
35 |
0% |
33–38 |
32–40 |
32–41 |
30–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
85 |
4% |
91% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
87 |
4% |
87% |
|
88 |
14% |
83% |
|
89 |
10% |
69% |
|
90 |
8% |
59% |
Median, Majority |
91 |
7% |
51% |
|
92 |
11% |
44% |
|
93 |
29% |
33% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
2% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
29% |
96% |
|
83 |
11% |
67% |
|
84 |
7% |
56% |
|
85 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
86 |
10% |
41% |
|
87 |
14% |
31% |
|
88 |
4% |
17% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
90 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
8% |
9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
29% |
96% |
|
83 |
11% |
67% |
|
84 |
7% |
56% |
|
85 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
86 |
10% |
41% |
|
87 |
14% |
31% |
|
88 |
4% |
17% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
90 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
8% |
9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
29% |
96% |
|
83 |
11% |
67% |
|
84 |
7% |
56% |
|
85 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
86 |
10% |
41% |
|
87 |
14% |
31% |
|
88 |
4% |
17% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
90 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
8% |
9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
29% |
96% |
|
83 |
11% |
67% |
|
84 |
7% |
56% |
|
85 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
86 |
10% |
41% |
|
87 |
14% |
31% |
|
88 |
4% |
17% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
90 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result, Majority |
91 |
8% |
9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
9% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
2% |
91% |
|
80 |
4% |
89% |
|
81 |
11% |
84% |
|
82 |
10% |
74% |
|
83 |
14% |
63% |
Median |
84 |
13% |
49% |
|
85 |
4% |
36% |
|
86 |
29% |
32% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
5% |
93% |
|
75 |
5% |
88% |
|
76 |
6% |
83% |
|
77 |
12% |
77% |
Last Result |
78 |
8% |
65% |
|
79 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
80 |
3% |
49% |
|
81 |
6% |
46% |
|
82 |
35% |
40% |
|
83 |
3% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
9% |
93% |
Last Result |
69 |
1.1% |
83% |
|
70 |
12% |
82% |
|
71 |
13% |
70% |
|
72 |
9% |
57% |
Median |
73 |
6% |
48% |
|
74 |
9% |
42% |
|
75 |
30% |
33% |
|
76 |
2% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
63 |
2% |
97% |
|
64 |
15% |
95% |
|
65 |
5% |
80% |
|
66 |
14% |
75% |
|
67 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
68 |
4% |
49% |
|
69 |
37% |
45% |
|
70 |
4% |
8% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
12% |
98% |
|
54 |
4% |
86% |
|
55 |
13% |
82% |
Last Result |
56 |
6% |
69% |
|
57 |
13% |
62% |
Median |
58 |
11% |
49% |
|
59 |
31% |
38% |
|
60 |
2% |
7% |
|
61 |
4% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
48 |
29% |
97% |
|
49 |
10% |
68% |
|
50 |
9% |
58% |
|
51 |
3% |
49% |
Median |
52 |
9% |
46% |
|
53 |
15% |
37% |
Last Result |
54 |
12% |
22% |
|
55 |
4% |
10% |
|
56 |
2% |
6% |
|
57 |
3% |
4% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
41 |
31% |
98% |
|
42 |
5% |
67% |
|
43 |
9% |
62% |
|
44 |
2% |
53% |
Median |
45 |
19% |
50% |
|
46 |
9% |
31% |
|
47 |
12% |
22% |
|
48 |
4% |
10% |
|
49 |
3% |
6% |
|
50 |
2% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
6% |
98% |
|
33 |
30% |
92% |
|
34 |
6% |
62% |
Last Result |
35 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
36 |
19% |
48% |
|
37 |
12% |
29% |
|
38 |
8% |
16% |
|
39 |
2% |
9% |
|
40 |
4% |
7% |
|
41 |
3% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 28 May–3 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1029
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.72%