Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 28 May–3 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.1% 24.4–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.8%
Venstre 19.5% 20.2% 18.7–21.9% 18.2–22.4% 17.9–22.8% 17.1–23.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.8–22.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 42–48 42–48 42–49 42–52
Venstre 34 35 33–38 32–40 32–41 30–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 31–37 30–37 30–39 29–39
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 14–18 13–18 12–20
Radikale Venstre 8 11 10–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 8–14
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 7–12
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–9
Alternativet 9 7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 15% 99.5%  
43 2% 84%  
44 13% 83%  
45 13% 69%  
46 8% 56% Median
47 5% 48% Last Result
48 39% 43%  
49 2% 4%  
50 0.7% 2%  
51 0.4% 1.0%  
52 0.4% 0.6%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 0.8% 99.3%  
32 6% 98%  
33 30% 92%  
34 6% 62% Last Result
35 8% 56% Median
36 19% 48%  
37 12% 29%  
38 8% 16%  
39 2% 9%  
40 4% 7%  
41 3% 3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.7%  
30 7% 98%  
31 2% 91%  
32 9% 89%  
33 15% 79%  
34 31% 64% Median
35 15% 34%  
36 5% 19%  
37 8% 13% Last Result
38 2% 5%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.2% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.7% 100%  
13 2% 99.3%  
14 13% 97% Last Result
15 22% 84%  
16 16% 62% Median
17 35% 46%  
18 9% 11%  
19 0.6% 2%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
9 5% 99.3%  
10 20% 94%  
11 53% 75% Median
12 3% 21%  
13 16% 18%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100% Last Result
8 8% 99.7%  
9 15% 91%  
10 36% 76% Median
11 30% 40%  
12 8% 10%  
13 0.6% 1.2%  
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100% Last Result
7 8% 99.6%  
8 41% 92%  
9 22% 51% Median
10 20% 29%  
11 7% 9%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 7% 99.6%  
6 22% 93%  
7 46% 71% Median
8 19% 25%  
9 5% 5%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 3% 99.6%  
6 25% 97%  
7 53% 72% Median
8 17% 19%  
9 2% 2% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 91 59% 85–93 84–93 84–94 84–96
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 12% 82–90 82–91 81–91 79–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 12% 82–90 82–91 81–91 79–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 12% 82–90 82–91 81–91 79–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 84 12% 82–90 82–91 81–91 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 0.3% 79–86 78–86 78–87 78–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 74–82 73–82 73–83 73–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 68–75 67–75 67–76 67–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 64–69 64–70 62–71 60–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 53–59 53–61 53–61 52–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 50 0% 48–54 48–56 47–57 45–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 45 0% 41–48 41–49 41–50 39–50
Venstre 34 35 0% 33–38 32–40 32–41 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 8% 99.6%  
85 4% 91% Last Result
86 0.7% 88%  
87 4% 87%  
88 14% 83%  
89 10% 69%  
90 8% 59% Median, Majority
91 7% 51%  
92 11% 44%  
93 29% 33%  
94 2% 4%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0.2% 0.5%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 2% 99.5%  
81 2% 98%  
82 29% 96%  
83 11% 67%  
84 7% 56%  
85 8% 49% Median
86 10% 41%  
87 14% 31%  
88 4% 17%  
89 0.7% 13%  
90 4% 12% Last Result, Majority
91 8% 9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 2% 99.5%  
81 2% 98%  
82 29% 96%  
83 11% 67%  
84 7% 56%  
85 8% 49% Median
86 10% 41%  
87 14% 31%  
88 4% 17%  
89 0.7% 13%  
90 4% 12% Last Result, Majority
91 8% 9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 2% 99.5%  
81 2% 98%  
82 29% 96%  
83 11% 67%  
84 7% 56%  
85 8% 49% Median
86 10% 41%  
87 14% 31%  
88 4% 17%  
89 0.7% 13%  
90 4% 12% Last Result, Majority
91 8% 9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 2% 99.5%  
81 2% 98%  
82 29% 96%  
83 11% 67%  
84 7% 56%  
85 8% 49% Median
86 10% 41%  
87 14% 31%  
88 4% 17%  
89 0.7% 13%  
90 4% 12% Last Result, Majority
91 8% 9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100% Last Result
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 9% 99.7%  
79 2% 91%  
80 4% 89%  
81 11% 84%  
82 10% 74%  
83 14% 63% Median
84 13% 49%  
85 4% 36%  
86 29% 32%  
87 1.5% 3%  
88 1.0% 1.4%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.3% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 7% 99.7%  
74 5% 93%  
75 5% 88%  
76 6% 83%  
77 12% 77% Last Result
78 8% 65%  
79 7% 56% Median
80 3% 49%  
81 6% 46%  
82 35% 40%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.3% 1.2%  
85 0.7% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 7% 99.7%  
68 9% 93% Last Result
69 1.1% 83%  
70 12% 82%  
71 13% 70%  
72 9% 57% Median
73 6% 48%  
74 9% 42%  
75 30% 33%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.4% 1.3%  
78 0.7% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.5% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.5%  
62 2% 99.2% Last Result
63 2% 97%  
64 15% 95%  
65 5% 80%  
66 14% 75%  
67 12% 61% Median
68 4% 49%  
69 37% 45%  
70 4% 8%  
71 2% 4%  
72 2% 2%  
73 0.3% 0.7%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 2% 99.7%  
53 12% 98%  
54 4% 86%  
55 13% 82% Last Result
56 6% 69%  
57 13% 62% Median
58 11% 49%  
59 31% 38%  
60 2% 7%  
61 4% 6%  
62 0.3% 1.2%  
63 0.4% 0.9%  
64 0.4% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 99.8%  
46 1.2% 99.5%  
47 0.8% 98%  
48 29% 97%  
49 10% 68%  
50 9% 58%  
51 3% 49% Median
52 9% 46%  
53 15% 37% Last Result
54 12% 22%  
55 4% 10%  
56 2% 6%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.5% 99.8%  
40 1.1% 99.2% Last Result
41 31% 98%  
42 5% 67%  
43 9% 62%  
44 2% 53% Median
45 19% 50%  
46 9% 31%  
47 12% 22%  
48 4% 10%  
49 3% 6%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 0.8% 99.3%  
32 6% 98%  
33 30% 92%  
34 6% 62% Last Result
35 8% 56% Median
36 19% 48%  
37 12% 29%  
38 8% 16%  
39 2% 9%  
40 4% 7%  
41 3% 3%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations