Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 4–10 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.3% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.0%
Venstre 19.5% 19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.7–21.8% 17.4–22.2% 16.7–23.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.8–22.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.1% 4.4–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 46–52 44–52 44–53 41–54
Venstre 34 36 32–39 32–39 30–39 30–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 31–36 30–36 30–37 28–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 13–17 13–18 12–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 11 9–13 9–13 9–14 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–10 8–11 8–12 6–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 7–10 6–10 6–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 4–10
Alternativet 9 7 6–8 6–9 5–10 5–11
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.0% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.0%  
43 0.2% 98.8%  
44 4% 98.6%  
45 3% 94%  
46 12% 91%  
47 5% 79% Last Result
48 18% 74%  
49 33% 56% Median
50 7% 23%  
51 4% 16%  
52 10% 12%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.9% 1.2%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.7%  
31 2% 97%  
32 7% 95%  
33 15% 88%  
34 11% 73% Last Result
35 5% 63%  
36 31% 57% Median
37 8% 26%  
38 2% 18%  
39 15% 16%  
40 0.7% 0.9%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.7% 99.9%  
29 1.0% 99.1%  
30 3% 98%  
31 8% 95%  
32 22% 87%  
33 11% 64%  
34 28% 54% Median
35 8% 26%  
36 14% 18%  
37 3% 4% Last Result
38 0.6% 0.9%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 3% 99.7%  
13 26% 97%  
14 22% 70% Last Result, Median
15 19% 48%  
16 11% 29%  
17 12% 18%  
18 5% 6%  
19 0.7% 0.9%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
9 23% 99.3%  
10 18% 76%  
11 11% 58% Median
12 18% 47%  
13 26% 30%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.4% 0.8%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.1% 100%  
7 1.0% 98.9% Last Result
8 28% 98%  
9 17% 70%  
10 45% 54% Median
11 5% 9%  
12 1.4% 4%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.9% 100%  
6 8% 99.1% Last Result
7 14% 91%  
8 34% 77% Median
9 30% 43%  
10 13% 13%  
11 0.5% 0.7%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.2% 100%  
5 5% 98.8%  
6 35% 93%  
7 20% 59% Median
8 32% 39%  
9 6% 7%  
10 0.9% 1.1%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 3% 99.8%  
6 18% 97%  
7 51% 79% Median
8 21% 28%  
9 3% 7% Last Result
10 3% 4%  
11 0.8% 0.8%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 70% 88–96 88–98 86–98 84–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 83 6% 81–88 81–92 78–92 76–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 2% 79–87 77–87 77–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 2% 79–87 77–87 77–89 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 1.0% 79–87 77–87 77–87 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 85 1.0% 79–87 77–87 77–87 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 79 0% 77–84 76–85 74–85 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 70–76 69–79 67–79 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 68 0% 67–73 65–75 64–75 62–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 57–63 55–65 55–65 53–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 51 0% 47–53 45–53 45–54 45–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 44 0% 40–47 39–47 39–47 38–49
Venstre 34 36 0% 32–39 32–39 30–39 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 1.1% 99.9%  
85 1.1% 98.8% Last Result
86 0.6% 98%  
87 0.9% 97%  
88 23% 96%  
89 3% 73%  
90 21% 70% Majority
91 19% 48% Median
92 8% 29%  
93 5% 22%  
94 4% 17%  
95 3% 13%  
96 4% 10%  
97 1.0% 6%  
98 5% 5%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 1.1% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.8% 98.9%  
78 1.1% 98%  
79 0.5% 97%  
80 1.1% 96%  
81 24% 95%  
82 5% 71%  
83 29% 67%  
84 6% 38% Median
85 8% 32%  
86 9% 24%  
87 4% 15%  
88 2% 11%  
89 4% 9%  
90 0.3% 6% Majority
91 0.2% 5%  
92 5% 5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 5% 99.8%  
78 1.0% 95%  
79 4% 94%  
80 3% 90%  
81 4% 87%  
82 5% 83%  
83 8% 78%  
84 19% 71%  
85 21% 52% Median
86 3% 30%  
87 23% 27%  
88 0.9% 4%  
89 0.6% 3%  
90 1.1% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 1.1% 1.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 5% 99.8%  
78 1.0% 95%  
79 4% 94%  
80 3% 90%  
81 4% 87%  
82 5% 83%  
83 8% 78%  
84 19% 71%  
85 21% 52% Median
86 3% 30%  
87 23% 27%  
88 0.9% 4%  
89 0.6% 3%  
90 1.1% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 1.1% 1.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 5% 99.8%  
78 1.0% 95%  
79 4% 94%  
80 3% 89%  
81 4% 86%  
82 5% 82%  
83 8% 77%  
84 19% 69%  
85 21% 51% Median
86 3% 30%  
87 24% 26%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.9% 1.0% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 5% 99.8%  
78 1.0% 95%  
79 4% 94%  
80 3% 89%  
81 4% 86%  
82 5% 82%  
83 8% 77%  
84 19% 69%  
85 21% 51% Median
86 3% 30%  
87 24% 26%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.9% 1.0% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 1.0% 99.9%  
74 2% 98.9%  
75 0.4% 97%  
76 2% 97%  
77 15% 95% Last Result
78 6% 80%  
79 30% 73%  
80 14% 43% Median
81 8% 29%  
82 6% 21%  
83 5% 15%  
84 3% 10%  
85 6% 7%  
86 0.9% 1.3%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.9% 100%  
66 1.3% 99.1%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 1.1% 97% Last Result
69 2% 96%  
70 17% 94%  
71 10% 77%  
72 29% 67%  
73 10% 38% Median
74 5% 27%  
75 7% 22%  
76 6% 15%  
77 3% 9%  
78 0.6% 6%  
79 5% 6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 1.0% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.5% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 2% 93%  
67 5% 91%  
68 38% 86%  
69 23% 48%  
70 8% 25% Median
71 3% 18%  
72 2% 14%  
73 3% 12%  
74 2% 9%  
75 7% 7%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 1.1% 99.9%  
54 0.7% 98.8%  
55 4% 98% Last Result
56 2% 94%  
57 4% 92%  
58 31% 88%  
59 13% 57%  
60 7% 44% Median
61 18% 37%  
62 4% 20%  
63 5% 15%  
64 3% 10%  
65 6% 7%  
66 1.1% 1.4%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.7%  
45 5% 99.6%  
46 3% 94%  
47 5% 91%  
48 12% 86%  
49 12% 74%  
50 8% 62%  
51 7% 54% Median
52 4% 47%  
53 40% 43% Last Result
54 1.0% 3%  
55 1.3% 2%  
56 0.2% 1.1%  
57 0.8% 0.9%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 8% 99.1%  
40 8% 91% Last Result
41 6% 83%  
42 11% 77%  
43 9% 66%  
44 10% 57% Median
45 26% 47%  
46 5% 21%  
47 14% 16%  
48 1.0% 2%  
49 0.7% 1.1%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.7%  
31 2% 97%  
32 7% 95%  
33 15% 88%  
34 11% 73% Last Result
35 5% 63%  
36 31% 57% Median
37 8% 26%  
38 2% 18%  
39 15% 16%  
40 0.7% 0.9%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations