Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 11 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.4% 23.8–27.2% 23.3–27.7% 22.9–28.1% 22.1–29.0%
Venstre 19.5% 20.1% 18.6–21.8% 18.2–22.2% 17.8–22.6% 17.1–23.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.0% 15.6–18.5% 15.2–19.0% 14.8–19.3% 14.2–20.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.9% 7.9–10.1% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 4.0–7.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 42–49 39–50 39–50 39–52
Venstre 34 37 33–39 32–42 32–42 31–42
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 28–32 27–35 27–35 25–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–17 13–18 13–19 12–21
Radikale Venstre 8 12 9–15 9–16 9–16 9–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 6–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–10 5–10 5–10 5–12
Alternativet 9 7 5–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 7% 99.7%  
40 0.1% 93%  
41 3% 93%  
42 2% 90%  
43 24% 88%  
44 6% 64%  
45 5% 58%  
46 35% 53% Median
47 1.3% 18% Last Result
48 4% 17%  
49 8% 13%  
50 4% 5%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 0.5% 0.9%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.8%  
32 3% 98%  
33 10% 95%  
34 4% 84% Last Result
35 24% 80%  
36 6% 57%  
37 22% 50% Median
38 16% 29%  
39 6% 13%  
40 1.2% 7%  
41 0.1% 5%  
42 5% 5%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 1.1% 99.9%  
26 0.5% 98.8%  
27 6% 98%  
28 3% 93%  
29 28% 90%  
30 8% 62%  
31 16% 54% Median
32 29% 38%  
33 3% 9%  
34 1.3% 6%  
35 4% 5%  
36 0.7% 1.1%  
37 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.8%  
13 6% 99.3%  
14 7% 94% Last Result
15 25% 87%  
16 40% 62% Median
17 16% 22%  
18 4% 6%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.2% 0.9%  
21 0.7% 0.7%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100% Last Result
9 24% 99.9%  
10 4% 76%  
11 22% 72%  
12 22% 50% Median
13 5% 28%  
14 9% 23%  
15 6% 14%  
16 7% 7%  
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.8% 100%  
7 0.7% 99.2% Last Result
8 21% 98.5%  
9 22% 77%  
10 16% 55% Median
11 34% 39%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.7% 1.0%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100% Last Result
7 13% 98%  
8 27% 85%  
9 17% 57% Median
10 32% 40%  
11 8% 8%  
12 0.4% 0.7%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 5% 100%  
6 16% 95%  
7 45% 79% Median
8 15% 35%  
9 10% 20%  
10 9% 10%  
11 0.4% 1.4%  
12 1.0% 1.0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 16% 99.9%  
6 9% 83%  
7 28% 75% Median
8 36% 47%  
9 8% 11% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 0% 57%  
2 0% 57%  
3 0% 57%  
4 29% 57% Median
5 26% 27%  
6 0.7% 0.8%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.6% 0.7%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 57% 85–94 85–94 85–98 84–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 3% 79–86 78–87 78–91 77–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 22% 81–90 81–90 77–90 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 22% 81–90 81–90 77–90 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.4% 80–88 78–89 77–89 75–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 90 82 0.4% 80–88 78–89 77–89 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 78 0.1% 73–82 71–83 71–85 71–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 68–75 64–75 64–78 64–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 63–71 62–72 62–73 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 55 0% 54–62 53–62 53–63 50–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 53 52 0% 50–57 49–58 47–60 45–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 45 0% 43–47 41–50 40–51 39–51
Venstre 34 37 0% 33–39 32–42 32–42 31–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 21% 99.3% Last Result
86 8% 78%  
87 9% 71%  
88 3% 61%  
89 0.9% 58%  
90 24% 57% Majority
91 8% 33% Median
92 4% 25%  
93 9% 21%  
94 8% 13%  
95 0.6% 5%  
96 0.3% 4%  
97 0.7% 4%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.2% 0.8%  
100 0.5% 0.6%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
77 0.3% 99.6%  
78 7% 99.3%  
79 9% 93%  
80 23% 84%  
81 5% 61%  
82 23% 56%  
83 2% 32%  
84 7% 31% Median
85 9% 23%  
86 8% 14%  
87 2% 6%  
88 0.6% 5%  
89 0.5% 4%  
90 0.4% 3% Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.5% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 2% 99.2%  
78 0.7% 97%  
79 0.3% 96%  
80 0.6% 96%  
81 8% 95%  
82 9% 87%  
83 4% 79%  
84 8% 75%  
85 24% 67%  
86 0.9% 43%  
87 3% 42%  
88 9% 39% Median
89 8% 29%  
90 21% 22% Last Result, Majority
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 2% 99.2%  
78 0.7% 97%  
79 0.4% 96%  
80 0.7% 96%  
81 8% 95%  
82 9% 87%  
83 4% 79%  
84 8% 75%  
85 24% 67%  
86 0.9% 43%  
87 3% 42%  
88 9% 38% Median
89 8% 29%  
90 21% 22% Last Result, Majority
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.7%  
76 0.4% 99.2%  
77 2% 98.7%  
78 3% 96%  
79 2% 94%  
80 3% 92%  
81 30% 89%  
82 11% 60%  
83 0.9% 49%  
84 8% 48% Median
85 25% 40%  
86 0.5% 15%  
87 0.5% 14%  
88 9% 14%  
89 5% 5%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.6% 99.7%  
76 0.5% 99.1%  
77 2% 98.6%  
78 3% 96%  
79 2% 94%  
80 3% 92%  
81 30% 89%  
82 11% 59%  
83 1.1% 48%  
84 8% 47% Median
85 25% 40%  
86 0.5% 14%  
87 0.4% 14%  
88 8% 13%  
89 5% 5%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 6% 99.7%  
72 2% 94%  
73 16% 92%  
74 0.4% 76%  
75 5% 75%  
76 17% 70%  
77 2% 53% Last Result
78 8% 51%  
79 2% 43% Median
80 3% 41%  
81 22% 38%  
82 10% 16%  
83 2% 6%  
84 0.1% 4%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.2% 0.9%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 7% 99.7%  
65 0.3% 93%  
66 2% 93%  
67 0.5% 91%  
68 23% 90% Last Result
69 21% 67%  
70 2% 46%  
71 1.3% 44%  
72 3% 42% Median
73 25% 39%  
74 2% 14%  
75 8% 12%  
76 0.3% 4%  
77 0.5% 4%  
78 3% 4%  
79 0.5% 1.0%  
80 0.4% 0.5%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 8% 99.4% Last Result
63 7% 91%  
64 17% 84%  
65 1.0% 67%  
66 29% 66%  
67 12% 38%  
68 4% 26% Median
69 0.7% 22%  
70 8% 21%  
71 8% 14%  
72 2% 6%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.3% 1.1%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 0.3% 99.4%  
52 0.7% 99.1%  
53 6% 98%  
54 8% 93%  
55 41% 84% Last Result
56 4% 44%  
57 10% 39%  
58 2% 29% Median
59 6% 28%  
60 9% 22%  
61 1.4% 13%  
62 7% 11%  
63 3% 4%  
64 0.3% 0.8%  
65 0.5% 0.5%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.5%  
47 2% 99.1%  
48 2% 97%  
49 4% 95%  
50 18% 91%  
51 4% 73%  
52 23% 69%  
53 24% 47% Last Result, Median
54 7% 23%  
55 0.7% 16%  
56 2% 15%  
57 8% 13%  
58 0.6% 5%  
59 0.1% 5%  
60 5% 5%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.8%  
40 1.2% 98% Last Result
41 3% 97%  
42 4% 94%  
43 4% 90%  
44 20% 86%  
45 23% 66%  
46 27% 43% Median
47 9% 16%  
48 2% 7%  
49 0.1% 6%  
50 0.7% 5%  
51 5% 5%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.8%  
32 3% 98%  
33 10% 95%  
34 4% 84% Last Result
35 24% 80%  
36 6% 57%  
37 22% 50% Median
38 16% 29%  
39 6% 13%  
40 1.2% 7%  
41 0.1% 5%  
42 5% 5%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations