Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 11–16 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 27.4% 25.7–29.2% 25.2–29.8% 24.7–30.2% 23.9–31.1%
Venstre 19.5% 19.9% 18.4–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 17.0–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 48 43–52 42–53 42–54 42–54
Venstre 34 36 32–39 31–40 31–40 30–42
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 31–36 31–37 30–37 29–39
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–18 14–18 11–19 11–20
Radikale Venstre 8 12 9–13 7–13 7–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–12 8–12 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 13 7 6–10 6–10 6–11 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–10
Alternativet 9 6 5–8 4–8 4–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 9% 99.5%  
43 6% 91%  
44 0.7% 84%  
45 5% 84%  
46 19% 79%  
47 4% 60% Last Result
48 19% 57% Median
49 8% 37%  
50 3% 29%  
51 13% 26%  
52 6% 13%  
53 3% 8%  
54 4% 4%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 8% 99.4%  
32 13% 92%  
33 4% 79%  
34 17% 74% Last Result
35 6% 58%  
36 7% 52% Median
37 8% 45%  
38 19% 37%  
39 10% 18%  
40 7% 8%  
41 0.6% 2%  
42 1.2% 1.3%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0% 99.6%  
29 1.0% 99.6%  
30 2% 98.6%  
31 18% 96%  
32 2% 78%  
33 27% 76% Median
34 15% 49%  
35 6% 34%  
36 21% 28%  
37 6% 7% Last Result
38 0.6% 2%  
39 0.7% 1.0%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 3% 100%  
12 1.1% 97%  
13 0.9% 96%  
14 12% 96% Last Result
15 26% 83%  
16 15% 57% Median
17 6% 43%  
18 34% 37%  
19 1.0% 3%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 8% 100%  
8 1.0% 92% Last Result
9 4% 91%  
10 4% 88%  
11 22% 83%  
12 47% 61% Median
13 13% 15%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.2% 100%  
7 3% 98.8% Last Result
8 25% 95%  
9 21% 71% Median
10 24% 50%  
11 16% 26%  
12 9% 10%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 20% 99.4%  
7 38% 79% Median
8 17% 41%  
9 8% 24%  
10 12% 15%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 5% 99.7%  
6 25% 95% Last Result
7 29% 71% Median
8 39% 41%  
9 1.5% 2%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 7% 100%  
5 20% 93%  
6 37% 73% Median
7 21% 36%  
8 14% 16%  
9 1.1% 1.4% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 60% 86–95 86–96 86–97 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 85 4% 79–89 79–89 79–91 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 2% 80–89 79–89 78–89 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 2% 80–89 79–89 78–89 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 2% 80–89 79–89 78–89 78–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 85 2% 80–89 79–89 78–89 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0% 74–84 73–85 73–85 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 67–77 66–79 66–79 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 64–72 64–75 64–75 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 55–62 55–64 55–65 52–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 46–54 45–55 45–55 45–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 39–46 38–47 38–47 37–47
Venstre 34 36 0% 32–39 31–40 31–40 30–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 1.2% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 98.5% Last Result
86 11% 98%  
87 1.0% 87%  
88 0.5% 86%  
89 26% 85%  
90 12% 60% Majority
91 6% 48% Median
92 11% 42%  
93 3% 31%  
94 7% 28%  
95 15% 21%  
96 2% 6%  
97 3% 4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
77 1.2% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 98.6%  
79 11% 98.5%  
80 1.0% 88%  
81 2% 87%  
82 1.2% 85%  
83 13% 83%  
84 18% 70%  
85 8% 53% Median
86 16% 45%  
87 11% 29%  
88 7% 18%  
89 6% 11%  
90 0.9% 4% Majority
91 3% 3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.8%  
79 2% 96%  
80 15% 94%  
81 7% 79%  
82 3% 72%  
83 11% 69% Median
84 6% 58%  
85 12% 52%  
86 26% 40%  
87 0.5% 15%  
88 1.0% 14%  
89 11% 13%  
90 0.2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 1.2% 1.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.8%  
79 2% 96%  
80 15% 94%  
81 6% 79%  
82 3% 72%  
83 11% 69% Median
84 6% 58%  
85 12% 52%  
86 26% 40%  
87 0.5% 15%  
88 1.0% 14%  
89 11% 13%  
90 0.2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 1.2% 1.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.8%  
79 2% 96%  
80 15% 94%  
81 7% 79%  
82 3% 72%  
83 11% 69% Median
84 6% 58%  
85 12% 52%  
86 26% 40%  
87 0.5% 15%  
88 1.0% 14%  
89 11% 13%  
90 0.2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 1.2% 1.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.8%  
79 2% 96%  
80 15% 94%  
81 6% 79%  
82 3% 72%  
83 11% 69% Median
84 6% 58%  
85 12% 52%  
86 26% 40%  
87 0.5% 14%  
88 1.0% 14%  
89 11% 13%  
90 0.2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 1.2% 1.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 9% 99.7%  
74 2% 90%  
75 2% 89%  
76 3% 87%  
77 24% 84% Last Result
78 7% 60%  
79 2% 53% Median
80 2% 52%  
81 11% 49%  
82 7% 38%  
83 11% 31%  
84 15% 20%  
85 4% 5%  
86 0.9% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 0.5%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 9% 99.8%  
67 2% 91%  
68 2% 89% Last Result
69 1.0% 87%  
70 3% 86%  
71 7% 83%  
72 18% 76%  
73 1.5% 58% Median
74 9% 56%  
75 11% 47%  
76 21% 37%  
77 7% 16%  
78 4% 9%  
79 5% 5%  
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.6% 100%  
62 1.5% 99.4% Last Result
63 0.2% 98%  
64 11% 98%  
65 7% 86%  
66 17% 79%  
67 2% 62%  
68 8% 60%  
69 17% 52% Median
70 0.3% 36%  
71 9% 35%  
72 18% 26%  
73 0.7% 9%  
74 0.2% 8%  
75 7% 8%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.8%  
53 0.4% 99.4%  
54 1.5% 99.0%  
55 15% 98% Last Result
56 4% 82%  
57 3% 78%  
58 21% 75%  
59 12% 55%  
60 8% 43% Median
61 15% 35%  
62 10% 19%  
63 1.2% 10%  
64 5% 8%  
65 3% 4%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 5% 99.6%  
46 11% 95%  
47 10% 84%  
48 9% 74%  
49 11% 66%  
50 4% 54% Median
51 5% 51%  
52 4% 46%  
53 27% 41% Last Result
54 7% 15%  
55 6% 8%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.7%  
37 1.2% 99.5%  
38 4% 98%  
39 10% 94%  
40 19% 85% Last Result
41 6% 65%  
42 13% 60%  
43 3% 46% Median
44 7% 44%  
45 0.9% 37%  
46 28% 36%  
47 8% 8%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 8% 99.4%  
32 13% 92%  
33 4% 79%  
34 17% 74% Last Result
35 6% 58%  
36 7% 52% Median
37 8% 45%  
38 19% 37%  
39 10% 18%  
40 7% 8%  
41 0.6% 2%  
42 1.2% 1.3%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations