Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 15–23 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.9% 24.6–27.3% 24.2–27.7% 23.9–28.1% 23.2–28.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.8% 17.6–20.1% 17.3–20.5% 17.0–20.8% 16.5–21.4%
Venstre 19.5% 18.1% 16.9–19.4% 16.6–19.7% 16.3–20.0% 15.8–20.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.7% 7.9–9.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.1–10.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–6.9% 4.9–7.1% 4.6–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.3–7.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.2% 3.7–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.6–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.0–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 44–48 43–48 43–49 40–50
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 32–34 31–35 31–37 29–37
Venstre 34 32 30–34 30–35 29–35 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–17 14–17 13–17 13–19
Radikale Venstre 8 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 8–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 12 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 13 9 9–11 8–12 8–12 8–13
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 9 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
Alternativet 9 6 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.6% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.4%  
42 0.6% 99.2%  
43 8% 98.6%  
44 6% 90%  
45 3% 84%  
46 8% 81%  
47 52% 74% Last Result, Median
48 18% 21%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.5% 0.9%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.5%  
31 7% 98%  
32 7% 91%  
33 57% 84% Median
34 18% 27%  
35 6% 10%  
36 0.8% 4%  
37 3% 3% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.3%  
39 0% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.8% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.2%  
29 1.3% 98.7%  
30 19% 97%  
31 5% 78%  
32 58% 73% Median
33 1.5% 15%  
34 7% 14% Last Result
35 5% 6%  
36 0.4% 1.2%  
37 0.2% 0.7%  
38 0.5% 0.5%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 4% 99.7%  
14 8% 95% Last Result
15 18% 87%  
16 54% 69% Median
17 14% 15%  
18 0.8% 1.3%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.7% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.3%  
10 10% 97%  
11 65% 86% Median
12 6% 21%  
13 15% 16%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 4% 100%  
9 10% 96%  
10 6% 86%  
11 11% 80%  
12 65% 69% Median
13 1.3% 3%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 6% 99.7%  
9 53% 94% Median
10 29% 41%  
11 4% 12%  
12 7% 9%  
13 1.3% 1.4% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.9% 100%  
6 17% 99.1% Last Result
7 16% 82%  
8 7% 66%  
9 55% 59% Median
10 4% 4%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.3% 100%  
6 57% 98.7% Median
7 23% 42%  
8 15% 19%  
9 3% 4% Last Result
10 1.0% 1.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 20%  
2 0% 20%  
3 0.6% 20%  
4 14% 20%  
5 5% 6%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 81% 87–95 86–95 85–95 85–96
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 3% 80–88 80–89 80–90 79–90
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 3% 80–88 80–89 80–90 79–90
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 3% 80–85 80–85 78–90 77–90
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 3% 80–85 80–85 78–90 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 86 0% 79–88 79–88 79–88 77–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 81 0% 75–82 75–82 75–83 73–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 75 0% 69–75 68–75 68–75 66–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 70 0% 64–73 64–73 62–73 62–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 58 0% 54–61 53–61 53–61 53–61
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 46–52 46–53 46–53 45–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 36–42 36–42 36–42 35–46
Venstre 34 32 0% 30–34 30–35 29–35 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 3% 99.7% Last Result
86 6% 97%  
87 4% 90%  
88 1.3% 86%  
89 4% 85%  
90 2% 81% Majority
91 3% 79%  
92 56% 76% Median
93 4% 20%  
94 3% 16%  
95 13% 14%  
96 0.7% 0.7%  
97 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.7% 100%  
80 13% 99.3%  
81 3% 86%  
82 4% 84%  
83 56% 80% Median
84 3% 24%  
85 2% 21%  
86 4% 19%  
87 1.3% 15%  
88 4% 14%  
89 6% 10%  
90 3% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.7% 100%  
80 13% 99.3%  
81 3% 86%  
82 4% 84%  
83 56% 80% Median
84 3% 24%  
85 2% 21%  
86 4% 19%  
87 1.3% 15%  
88 4% 14%  
89 6% 10%  
90 3% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 2% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 13% 95%  
81 2% 82%  
82 6% 80%  
83 59% 74% Median
84 5% 15%  
85 6% 11%  
86 1.0% 5%  
87 0.3% 4%  
88 0.2% 3%  
89 0.1% 3%  
90 3% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 2% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 13% 95%  
81 2% 82%  
82 6% 80%  
83 59% 74% Median
84 5% 15%  
85 6% 11%  
86 1.0% 5%  
87 0.3% 4%  
88 0.2% 3%  
89 0.1% 3%  
90 3% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
77 0.8% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.1%  
79 9% 98.8%  
80 2% 90%  
81 6% 88%  
82 3% 82%  
83 2% 78%  
84 7% 77%  
85 1.3% 70%  
86 54% 68% Median
87 1.4% 14%  
88 13% 13%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.7% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.2%  
75 10% 98.7%  
76 2% 89%  
77 1.4% 86% Last Result
78 0.6% 85%  
79 4% 84%  
80 4% 80%  
81 57% 76% Median
82 17% 20%  
83 2% 3%  
84 1.2% 1.4%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 1.3% 99.9%  
67 0.7% 98.6%  
68 4% 98% Last Result
69 7% 94%  
70 2% 86%  
71 5% 85%  
72 2% 80%  
73 8% 78%  
74 2% 69%  
75 66% 68% Median
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.5%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 3% 99.9% Last Result
63 2% 97%  
64 6% 95%  
65 3% 89%  
66 7% 87%  
67 4% 79%  
68 2% 75%  
69 2% 73%  
70 55% 71% Median
71 3% 16%  
72 0.2% 13%  
73 13% 13%  
74 0.3% 0.3%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 8% 99.7%  
54 2% 92%  
55 4% 90% Last Result
56 4% 86%  
57 9% 82%  
58 52% 73% Median
59 5% 21%  
60 1.3% 16%  
61 14% 14%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.4% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.6%  
46 15% 99.2%  
47 2% 85%  
48 7% 82%  
49 6% 76%  
50 50% 69% Median
51 4% 19%  
52 10% 15%  
53 4% 5% Last Result
54 0.5% 1.3%  
55 0.7% 0.9%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 1.3% 99.9%  
36 14% 98.7%  
37 4% 85%  
38 5% 81%  
39 5% 77%  
40 5% 72% Last Result
41 55% 67% Median
42 10% 12%  
43 0.6% 1.4%  
44 0.1% 0.8%  
45 0% 0.7%  
46 0.6% 0.7%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.8% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.2%  
29 1.3% 98.7%  
30 19% 97%  
31 5% 78%  
32 58% 73% Median
33 1.5% 15%  
34 7% 14% Last Result
35 5% 6%  
36 0.4% 1.2%  
37 0.2% 0.7%  
38 0.5% 0.5%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations