Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–24 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.3% 24.6–28.1% 24.1–28.6% 23.7–29.0% 22.9–29.9%
Venstre 19.5% 19.4% 17.9–21.0% 17.4–21.5% 17.1–21.9% 16.4–22.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 19.3% 17.8–20.9% 17.3–21.4% 17.0–21.8% 16.3–22.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.0%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 45–49 43–50 42–51 41–54
Venstre 34 35 33–37 31–37 31–39 29–41
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 32–36 31–37 31–38 30–40
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 15–18 14–18 13–19 13–21
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–12 9–13 8–13 8–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–10 7–11 7–11 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 10 6–10 6–10 6–11 5–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 7–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Alternativet 9 6 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 1.2% 99.6%  
42 2% 98%  
43 2% 96%  
44 3% 94%  
45 4% 91%  
46 14% 87%  
47 16% 73% Last Result
48 2% 57%  
49 50% 55% Median
50 2% 5%  
51 1.4% 3%  
52 0.3% 2%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.6% 0.9%  
55 0.3% 0.3%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.6% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.3%  
31 4% 98%  
32 4% 94%  
33 8% 90%  
34 3% 82% Last Result
35 49% 79% Median
36 14% 30%  
37 12% 16%  
38 1.0% 4%  
39 0.8% 3%  
40 0.3% 2%  
41 1.4% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.8%  
30 0.9% 99.5%  
31 4% 98.6%  
32 17% 95%  
33 50% 78% Median
34 4% 28%  
35 12% 24%  
36 5% 12%  
37 3% 7% Last Result
38 2% 3%  
39 0.6% 1.4%  
40 0.5% 0.8%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 3% 99.7%  
14 3% 97% Last Result
15 52% 94% Median
16 5% 42%  
17 19% 37%  
18 14% 18%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.8% 1.3%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 3% 99.5% Last Result
9 13% 96%  
10 51% 83% Median
11 20% 32%  
12 7% 12%  
13 4% 6%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 7% 99.6% Last Result
8 9% 93%  
9 21% 84%  
10 55% 63% Median
11 6% 8%  
12 1.2% 2%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 9% 99.4%  
7 8% 90%  
8 20% 82%  
9 9% 62%  
10 50% 53% Median
11 2% 3%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.4% 99.9%  
6 8% 98.5% Last Result
7 53% 91% Median
8 15% 38%  
9 21% 23%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 3% 99.7%  
6 69% 97% Median
7 11% 28%  
8 12% 17%  
9 4% 6% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 6% 6%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 90 76% 88–92 86–93 85–95 83–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 3% 83–87 82–89 80–90 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 85 3% 83–87 82–89 80–90 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 85 2% 83–86 81–88 79–89 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 85 2% 83–86 81–88 79–89 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 0.5% 80–85 79–86 78–87 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0% 77–81 76–84 74–85 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 74 0% 70–74 69–76 67–78 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 64–69 62–70 62–71 60–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 55–60 53–61 53–62 51–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 48–53 47–54 46–56 44–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 40–45 39–45 37–46 36–48
Venstre 34 35 0% 33–37 31–37 31–39 29–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.3% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.6%  
84 0.6% 99.2%  
85 1.2% 98.6% Last Result
86 3% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 4% 91%  
89 10% 87%  
90 60% 76% Median, Majority
91 6% 16%  
92 3% 10%  
93 3% 7%  
94 2% 5%  
95 0.9% 3%  
96 0.4% 2%  
97 1.1% 1.3%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 1.1% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 98.7%  
80 0.9% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 3% 95%  
83 3% 93%  
84 6% 90%  
85 60% 84% Median
86 10% 24%  
87 4% 13%  
88 4% 9%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.6% 1.4%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 1.1% 99.8%  
79 0.4% 98.7%  
80 0.9% 98%  
81 2% 97%  
82 3% 95%  
83 3% 93%  
84 6% 90%  
85 60% 84% Median
86 10% 24%  
87 4% 13%  
88 4% 9%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.6% 1.4%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.6%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 95%  
82 2% 94%  
83 4% 91%  
84 6% 87%  
85 60% 81% Median
86 11% 21%  
87 2% 10%  
88 3% 7%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.4% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.5% 1.1%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.6%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 95%  
82 2% 94%  
83 4% 91%  
84 6% 87%  
85 60% 81% Median
86 11% 21%  
87 2% 10%  
88 3% 7%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.4% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.5% 1.1%  
92 0.4% 0.6%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
77 0.7% 99.2%  
78 2% 98.5%  
79 3% 96%  
80 6% 94%  
81 3% 87%  
82 4% 84%  
83 9% 79%  
84 58% 70% Median
85 2% 12%  
86 5% 9%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.3% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.9% 99.7%  
74 2% 98.8%  
75 2% 97%  
76 2% 96%  
77 7% 93% Last Result
78 4% 86%  
79 16% 82%  
80 53% 66% Median
81 3% 13%  
82 3% 9%  
83 0.8% 6%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.3% 3%  
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 1.2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98%  
68 1.4% 96% Last Result
69 4% 95%  
70 7% 91%  
71 4% 84%  
72 3% 80%  
73 14% 77%  
74 54% 63% Median
75 2% 8%  
76 3% 6%  
77 0.7% 3%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.6% 0.7%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 0.9% 99.6%  
61 0.9% 98.7%  
62 4% 98% Last Result
63 2% 94%  
64 5% 92%  
65 11% 87%  
66 4% 76%  
67 13% 72%  
68 3% 59%  
69 51% 56% Median
70 1.0% 6%  
71 3% 5%  
72 0.1% 1.3%  
73 1.0% 1.1%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.6%  
52 1.0% 99.0%  
53 4% 98%  
54 3% 94%  
55 9% 91% Last Result
56 6% 82%  
57 3% 76%  
58 16% 73%  
59 46% 57% Median
60 2% 10%  
61 4% 8%  
62 3% 5%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.5% 0.8%  
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 1.3% 99.5%  
45 0.2% 98%  
46 1.4% 98%  
47 4% 97%  
48 5% 92%  
49 3% 87%  
50 5% 84%  
51 9% 79%  
52 49% 69% Median
53 13% 20% Last Result
54 3% 7%  
55 1.2% 4%  
56 1.3% 3%  
57 1.4% 2%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.5% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.5%  
37 2% 99.3%  
38 2% 97%  
39 4% 95%  
40 2% 91% Last Result
41 6% 89%  
42 51% 84% Median
43 5% 33%  
44 4% 28%  
45 21% 24%  
46 1.0% 3%  
47 0.3% 2%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.6% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.3%  
31 4% 98%  
32 4% 94%  
33 8% 90%  
34 3% 82% Last Result
35 49% 79% Median
36 14% 30%  
37 12% 16%  
38 1.0% 4%  
39 0.8% 3%  
40 0.3% 2%  
41 1.4% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations