Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 25 June–1 July 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.7% 24.0–27.5% 23.5–28.0% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.8–21.9% 17.5–22.3% 16.8–23.2%
Venstre 19.5% 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.4% 17.0–21.8% 16.3–22.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.4–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 42–49 42–50 41–50 39–52
Dansk Folkeparti 37 35 32–39 30–39 30–40 30–41
Venstre 34 34 31–37 30–38 30–39 29–42
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 14 13–18 12–18 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–14 10–14 9–14 9–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 13 10 7–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 6–9 5–9 5–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 5–9 5–9 5–9 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.6% 99.9%  
40 0.7% 99.4%  
41 2% 98.7%  
42 8% 97%  
43 5% 89%  
44 14% 84%  
45 20% 70%  
46 5% 50% Median
47 26% 45% Last Result
48 4% 18%  
49 9% 14%  
50 4% 6%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 1.1% 1.2%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 5% 99.7%  
31 4% 95%  
32 9% 91%  
33 11% 82%  
34 12% 71%  
35 18% 60% Median
36 13% 41%  
37 9% 28% Last Result
38 8% 19%  
39 9% 12%  
40 1.3% 3%  
41 1.2% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.5%  
43 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 1.2% 99.7%  
30 5% 98%  
31 8% 93%  
32 9% 86%  
33 22% 77%  
34 13% 54% Last Result, Median
35 9% 41%  
36 20% 32%  
37 5% 12%  
38 3% 6%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.9% 2%  
41 0.3% 1.0%  
42 0.7% 0.7%  
43 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 5% 98%  
13 29% 93%  
14 21% 64% Last Result, Median
15 9% 43%  
16 16% 35%  
17 8% 19%  
18 9% 10%  
19 0.7% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.8%  
10 18% 97%  
11 16% 80%  
12 16% 63% Median
13 24% 47%  
14 21% 23%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.6%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.7% 100%  
7 6% 99.3% Last Result
8 24% 93%  
9 15% 69%  
10 34% 54% Median
11 10% 20%  
12 9% 10%  
13 0.9% 1.1%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.6% 100%  
7 18% 99.4%  
8 10% 81%  
9 14% 71%  
10 21% 57% Median
11 21% 36%  
12 15% 15%  
13 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 3% 99.8%  
6 23% 97%  
7 30% 74% Median
8 27% 44%  
9 14% 16% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.8% 100%  
5 15% 99.1%  
6 25% 85% Last Result
7 26% 59% Median
8 23% 34%  
9 10% 10%  
10 0.5% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 89 45% 87–91 86–93 84–97 80–98
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 4% 84–88 82–89 78–91 77–95
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 4% 84–88 81–89 78–91 77–95
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 86 4% 84–88 82–89 78–91 77–95
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 86 4% 84–88 81–89 78–91 77–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 0.9% 79–85 78–87 77–89 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 77 0% 74–80 74–81 73–85 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 67–73 66–75 65–77 63–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 64–71 63–73 62–73 61–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 55–61 53–63 53–64 51–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 47–54 47–54 45–55 43–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 38–45 37–45 36–46 35–48
Venstre 34 34 0% 31–37 30–38 30–39 29–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.5% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.1% 99.4%  
83 0.3% 99.3%  
84 2% 99.0%  
85 2% 97% Last Result
86 5% 96%  
87 3% 91%  
88 21% 87%  
89 22% 67% Median
90 23% 45% Majority
91 12% 21%  
92 2% 9%  
93 2% 7%  
94 1.3% 5%  
95 0.3% 4%  
96 0.3% 3%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.8% 1.0%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 0.3% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 1.3% 96%  
82 2% 95%  
83 2% 93%  
84 12% 91%  
85 23% 79%  
86 22% 55% Median
87 21% 33%  
88 3% 13%  
89 5% 9%  
90 2% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.1% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.6%  
95 0.5% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 0.3% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 1.5% 96%  
82 2% 95%  
83 2% 93%  
84 12% 90%  
85 24% 78%  
86 22% 54% Median
87 21% 33%  
88 3% 12%  
89 4% 9%  
90 1.5% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.1% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.6%  
95 0.5% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 0.3% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 1.3% 96%  
82 2% 95%  
83 2% 93%  
84 12% 90%  
85 23% 78%  
86 22% 55% Median
87 21% 33%  
88 3% 12%  
89 5% 9%  
90 1.5% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.3% 1.0%  
93 0.1% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.6%  
95 0.5% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100%  
77 0.8% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.0%  
79 0.3% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 1.5% 96%  
82 2% 95%  
83 3% 93%  
84 12% 90%  
85 24% 78%  
86 22% 54% Median
87 21% 32%  
88 3% 12%  
89 4% 9%  
90 1.5% 4% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.3% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.7%  
94 0.1% 0.6%  
95 0.5% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.0% 99.9%  
76 1.3% 98.9% Last Result
77 2% 98%  
78 2% 96%  
79 9% 94%  
80 8% 85%  
81 26% 76%  
82 5% 51% Median
83 23% 46%  
84 11% 23%  
85 3% 11%  
86 2% 8%  
87 1.1% 6%  
88 1.4% 4%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.7% 0.9% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.5% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 0.1% 99.2%  
71 0.7% 99.1%  
72 0.7% 98%  
73 2% 98%  
74 10% 96%  
75 19% 86%  
76 12% 67%  
77 6% 54% Last Result, Median
78 13% 48%  
79 19% 35%  
80 10% 17%  
81 2% 7%  
82 0.3% 4%  
83 0.8% 4%  
84 0.2% 3%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.3% 100%  
63 0.9% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 98.8%  
65 2% 98%  
66 5% 96%  
67 15% 91%  
68 15% 76% Last Result
69 14% 61%  
70 8% 47% Median
71 8% 39%  
72 4% 31%  
73 18% 27%  
74 3% 9%  
75 2% 5%  
76 0.2% 4%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.8% 99.6%  
62 4% 98.8% Last Result
63 2% 95%  
64 5% 93%  
65 7% 88%  
66 17% 81%  
67 20% 64%  
68 18% 44% Median
69 6% 26%  
70 8% 20%  
71 2% 11%  
72 4% 9%  
73 4% 5%  
74 1.3% 2%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.8%  
52 0.8% 99.4%  
53 4% 98.6%  
54 3% 94%  
55 6% 92% Last Result
56 10% 85%  
57 28% 75%  
58 13% 47% Median
59 7% 33%  
60 11% 26%  
61 5% 15%  
62 0.6% 9%  
63 5% 9%  
64 3% 4%  
65 1.0% 1.2%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.7% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.2%  
45 2% 98.8%  
46 2% 97%  
47 9% 95%  
48 6% 86%  
49 11% 79%  
50 17% 69%  
51 6% 52% Median
52 27% 46%  
53 8% 18% Last Result
54 7% 10%  
55 3% 3%  
56 0.5% 0.9%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 2% 99.6%  
36 1.2% 98%  
37 5% 97%  
38 17% 91%  
39 6% 75%  
40 8% 69% Last Result
41 13% 61% Median
42 28% 48%  
43 6% 21%  
44 1.3% 15%  
45 10% 14%  
46 2% 4%  
47 0.7% 1.3%  
48 0.3% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 1.2% 99.7%  
30 5% 98%  
31 8% 93%  
32 9% 86%  
33 22% 77%  
34 13% 54% Last Result, Median
35 9% 41%  
36 20% 32%  
37 5% 12%  
38 3% 6%  
39 2% 4%  
40 0.9% 2%  
41 0.3% 1.0%  
42 0.7% 0.7%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations