Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 30 July–5 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.1–27.5% 22.6–28.0% 21.9–28.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 20.7% 19.2–22.4% 18.7–22.9% 18.4–23.3% 17.6–24.2%
Venstre 19.5% 19.9% 18.4–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Alternativet 4.8% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 44 42–48 41–49 40–51 39–53
Dansk Folkeparti 37 37 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–43
Venstre 34 36 33–39 32–41 31–42 29–43
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 17 14–19 13–19 12–20 12–21
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 10 8–11 7–12 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 13 9 7–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Alternativet 9 6 5–8 5–8 4–9 4–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–8 4–9 4–9 0–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.8%  
39 0.5% 99.6%  
40 4% 99.0%  
41 5% 95%  
42 25% 90%  
43 8% 65%  
44 8% 57% Median
45 21% 49%  
46 13% 28%  
47 4% 15% Last Result
48 3% 11%  
49 3% 8%  
50 2% 5%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.3% 1.0%  
53 0.5% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.4% 100%  
31 0.6% 99.6%  
32 1.3% 99.0%  
33 6% 98%  
34 15% 92%  
35 8% 77%  
36 16% 69%  
37 8% 53% Last Result, Median
38 29% 45%  
39 6% 16%  
40 6% 9%  
41 2% 4%  
42 1.2% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.8%  
44 0.1% 0.4%  
45 0.3% 0.3%  
46 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.5% 100%  
30 0.8% 99.4%  
31 2% 98.6%  
32 5% 96%  
33 5% 92%  
34 10% 86% Last Result
35 15% 77%  
36 33% 62% Median
37 10% 28%  
38 5% 18%  
39 4% 13%  
40 2% 9%  
41 3% 7%  
42 3% 4%  
43 0.3% 0.6%  
44 0.3% 0.3%  
45 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 6% 97%  
14 6% 92% Last Result
15 11% 85%  
16 18% 74%  
17 8% 56% Median
18 35% 47%  
19 8% 13%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.1% 1.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.1% 100%  
8 3% 98.8% Last Result
9 21% 95%  
10 38% 74% Median
11 16% 36%  
12 16% 21%  
13 2% 5%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.9% 99.9%  
7 8% 99.0% Last Result
8 14% 91%  
9 25% 77%  
10 37% 52% Median
11 10% 15%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9%  
7 12% 98%  
8 35% 87%  
9 24% 51% Median
10 12% 28%  
11 12% 15%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.6% 0.7% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 4% 100%  
5 10% 96%  
6 46% 86% Median
7 20% 40%  
8 15% 20%  
9 4% 5% Last Result
10 1.2% 1.3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 8% 99.4%  
5 16% 91%  
6 27% 75% Last Result, Median
7 30% 48%  
8 12% 18%  
9 6% 6%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.6% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 89 24% 83–92 82–93 82–94 80–96
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 88 24% 83–92 82–93 81–94 80–96
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 89 24% 83–92 82–93 81–94 80–96
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 88 23% 83–92 82–93 81–94 80–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 86 22% 83–92 82–93 81–93 79–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 80 0.1% 76–85 75–86 74–87 73–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 76 0% 72–81 71–83 70–83 70–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 70 0% 66–75 65–76 64–77 64–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 64 0% 60–68 59–69 58–70 57–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 54 0% 52–58 51–60 50–60 49–62
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 47–55 46–56 45–57 44–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 38–46 38–47 37–48 36–49
Venstre 34 36 0% 33–39 32–41 31–42 29–43

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 2% 99.7%  
81 0.4% 98%  
82 4% 98%  
83 4% 93%  
84 4% 89%  
85 7% 85%  
86 10% 78%  
87 8% 68%  
88 11% 61% Median
89 26% 50%  
90 10% 24% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 14%  
92 2% 11%  
93 4% 9%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.3% 2%  
96 0.5% 0.6%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 2% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 98%  
82 4% 97%  
83 4% 93%  
84 4% 89%  
85 7% 85%  
86 10% 78%  
87 7% 68%  
88 11% 60% Median
89 26% 50%  
90 10% 24% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 13%  
92 2% 10%  
93 4% 9%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.2% 2%  
96 0.5% 0.6%  
97 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 2% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 98%  
82 5% 97%  
83 4% 93%  
84 4% 88%  
85 7% 85%  
86 9% 77%  
87 8% 68%  
88 11% 61% Median
89 26% 50%  
90 10% 24% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 14%  
92 2% 10%  
93 4% 9%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.2% 2%  
96 0.5% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 2% 99.7%  
81 0.5% 98%  
82 5% 97%  
83 5% 93%  
84 4% 88%  
85 7% 84%  
86 9% 77%  
87 8% 68%  
88 11% 60% Median
89 26% 50%  
90 10% 23% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 13%  
92 2% 10%  
93 4% 8%  
94 2% 4%  
95 1.2% 2%  
96 0.5% 0.5%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.5% 99.9%  
80 1.3% 99.4%  
81 2% 98%  
82 4% 96%  
83 2% 91%  
84 3% 89%  
85 10% 86% Last Result
86 26% 76%  
87 11% 50% Median
88 8% 39%  
89 10% 32%  
90 7% 22% Majority
91 4% 15%  
92 4% 11%  
93 4% 7%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.5% 99.8%  
74 3% 99.3%  
75 2% 97%  
76 5% 95% Last Result
77 2% 90%  
78 7% 88%  
79 14% 81%  
80 25% 67%  
81 10% 42% Median
82 8% 32%  
83 3% 25%  
84 10% 22%  
85 3% 12%  
86 6% 10%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 3% 99.7%  
71 2% 97%  
72 6% 95%  
73 3% 89%  
74 7% 86%  
75 9% 79%  
76 22% 71%  
77 11% 49% Last Result, Median
78 13% 38%  
79 4% 25%  
80 8% 21%  
81 6% 14%  
82 2% 8%  
83 5% 6%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0.2% 2%  
86 1.3% 1.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 3% 99.6%  
65 5% 96%  
66 4% 91%  
67 3% 88%  
68 9% 85% Last Result
69 4% 76%  
70 36% 72%  
71 7% 35% Median
72 8% 29%  
73 3% 21%  
74 6% 18%  
75 6% 11%  
76 2% 6%  
77 2% 4%  
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.1% 1.3%  
80 1.2% 1.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 1.1% 99.9%  
58 4% 98.8%  
59 0.8% 95%  
60 6% 94%  
61 3% 88%  
62 23% 85% Last Result
63 12% 62%  
64 10% 50% Median
65 4% 40%  
66 15% 37%  
67 9% 21%  
68 7% 12%  
69 2% 5%  
70 2% 4%  
71 0.7% 2%  
72 0.9% 1.4%  
73 0.3% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 1.3% 99.7%  
50 3% 98%  
51 3% 95%  
52 27% 93%  
53 5% 66%  
54 13% 61% Median
55 11% 48% Last Result
56 10% 37%  
57 13% 27%  
58 6% 15%  
59 2% 8%  
60 4% 6%  
61 0.6% 2%  
62 1.2% 2%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 1.1% 99.7%  
45 1.3% 98.6%  
46 4% 97%  
47 6% 93%  
48 4% 87%  
49 4% 82%  
50 12% 78%  
51 27% 67% Median
52 12% 40%  
53 10% 28% Last Result
54 8% 18%  
55 3% 10%  
56 4% 8%  
57 2% 4%  
58 1.2% 2%  
59 0% 0.5%  
60 0.5% 0.5%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.9% 99.6%  
37 2% 98.7%  
38 7% 96%  
39 6% 89%  
40 6% 83% Last Result
41 13% 77%  
42 10% 65% Median
43 30% 55%  
44 10% 25%  
45 4% 15%  
46 4% 12%  
47 3% 8%  
48 4% 4%  
49 0.4% 0.8%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.5% 100%  
30 0.8% 99.4%  
31 2% 98.6%  
32 5% 96%  
33 5% 92%  
34 10% 86% Last Result
35 15% 77%  
36 33% 62% Median
37 10% 28%  
38 5% 18%  
39 4% 13%  
40 2% 9%  
41 3% 7%  
42 3% 4%  
43 0.3% 0.6%  
44 0.3% 0.3%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations