Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 6–11 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.6–29.6%
Venstre 19.5% 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.4% 16.8–23.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 19.4% 17.9–21.0% 17.4–21.5% 17.1–21.9% 16.4–22.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.6–11.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 43–48 42–49 42–50 41–54
Venstre 34 36 33–38 32–39 31–40 30–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 36 32–37 31–38 31–39 30–40
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 13–17 13–17 13–17 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
Liberal Alliance 13 11 8–11 8–12 7–12 6–12
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–11 8–11 7–12 6–13
Alternativet 9 7 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 1.0% 99.6%  
42 5% 98.6%  
43 33% 94%  
44 1.4% 61%  
45 5% 59%  
46 3% 54%  
47 9% 51% Last Result, Median
48 32% 42%  
49 5% 10%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.0% 2%  
52 0.5% 1.5%  
53 0.5% 1.0%  
54 0.1% 0.5%  
55 0.4% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.3%  
32 6% 97%  
33 22% 91%  
34 9% 69% Last Result
35 7% 60%  
36 37% 53% Median
37 6% 16%  
38 2% 10%  
39 5% 9%  
40 3% 4%  
41 0.3% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.7% 99.7%  
31 5% 99.0%  
32 9% 94%  
33 10% 85%  
34 4% 75%  
35 7% 71%  
36 23% 64% Median
37 36% 42% Last Result
38 3% 5%  
39 0.3% 3%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.8%  
13 13% 98.6%  
14 9% 86% Last Result
15 12% 77%  
16 24% 65% Median
17 39% 41%  
18 1.1% 2%  
19 1.0% 1.3%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8% Last Result
8 23% 98%  
9 47% 75% Median
10 12% 28%  
11 13% 16%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.8% 100%  
7 2% 99.2%  
8 10% 97%  
9 13% 88%  
10 10% 75%  
11 59% 65% Median
12 6% 6%  
13 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.1% 100%  
7 3% 98.9%  
8 9% 96% Last Result
9 54% 87% Median
10 21% 33%  
11 9% 12%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.5% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 10% 98%  
7 59% 88% Median
8 11% 29%  
9 15% 18% Last Result
10 2% 3%  
11 0.1% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 9% 99.3%  
6 48% 90% Last Result, Median
7 29% 42%  
8 11% 13%  
9 1.0% 2%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 1.0% 9%  
4 8% 8%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 85 88 15% 85–90 85–92 84–93 81–95
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 87 34% 85–90 83–90 82–91 80–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 87 34% 85–90 83–90 82–91 80–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 87 33% 83–90 82–90 81–91 79–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 87 32% 83–90 82–90 81–91 79–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 76 80 0.1% 78–83 77–84 76–85 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 78 0% 76–81 76–82 74–83 71–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 70 0% 69–74 68–74 67–75 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 62 65 0% 61–68 61–69 61–70 59–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 55 0% 52–59 52–59 51–60 50–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 52 0% 49–55 48–55 48–57 46–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 39–45 38–46 38–47 36–48
Venstre 34 36 0% 33–38 32–39 31–40 30–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.8% 99.8%  
82 0.3% 99.0%  
83 1.0% 98.7%  
84 2% 98%  
85 30% 96% Last Result
86 6% 66%  
87 7% 60%  
88 23% 53% Median
89 15% 30%  
90 6% 15% Majority
91 4% 9%  
92 2% 6%  
93 2% 4%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.6% 0.8%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.6% 99.8%  
81 1.3% 99.2%  
82 2% 98%  
83 2% 96%  
84 4% 94%  
85 6% 91%  
86 15% 85%  
87 23% 70%  
88 7% 47%  
89 6% 40% Median
90 30% 34% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 4%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.3%  
94 0.8% 1.0%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.6% 99.8%  
81 1.3% 99.2%  
82 2% 98%  
83 2% 96%  
84 4% 94%  
85 6% 91%  
86 15% 85%  
87 23% 70%  
88 7% 47%  
89 6% 40% Median
90 30% 34% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 4%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.3% 1.3%  
94 0.8% 1.0%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.6% 99.9%  
80 0.7% 99.3%  
81 3% 98.6%  
82 2% 95%  
83 5% 93%  
84 3% 88%  
85 4% 84%  
86 14% 80%  
87 22% 67%  
88 7% 45%  
89 6% 38% Median
90 30% 33% Last Result, Majority
91 0.6% 3%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.2% 1.0%  
94 0.6% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.6% 99.9%  
80 0.7% 99.3%  
81 3% 98.6%  
82 2% 95%  
83 5% 93%  
84 3% 88%  
85 4% 84%  
86 14% 80%  
87 22% 67%  
88 7% 45%  
89 6% 38% Median
90 30% 32% Last Result, Majority
91 0.6% 3%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.2% 1.0%  
94 0.6% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.4%  
76 3% 99.0% Last Result
77 3% 96%  
78 34% 93%  
79 5% 59%  
80 9% 54%  
81 22% 45% Median
82 8% 23%  
83 5% 15%  
84 6% 9%  
85 1.0% 3%  
86 0.9% 2%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.0%  
73 1.1% 98.9%  
74 0.8% 98%  
75 1.5% 97%  
76 31% 96%  
77 9% 64% Last Result
78 9% 55%  
79 25% 47% Median
80 9% 22%  
81 5% 13%  
82 3% 8%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0.3% 1.5%  
86 0.4% 1.2%  
87 0.7% 0.7%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.6% 99.5%  
66 1.1% 98.9%  
67 2% 98%  
68 5% 96% Last Result
69 34% 92%  
70 9% 57%  
71 8% 48%  
72 22% 41% Median
73 6% 18%  
74 9% 12%  
75 1.0% 3%  
76 0.7% 2%  
77 0.4% 2%  
78 0.2% 1.1%  
79 0.5% 0.9%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.8% 99.7%  
60 0.4% 99.0%  
61 30% 98.6%  
62 4% 68% Last Result
63 1.4% 64%  
64 10% 63%  
65 19% 53% Median
66 11% 34%  
67 10% 23%  
68 5% 13%  
69 3% 8%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.8% 1.2%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 0.2% 99.6%  
51 2% 99.4%  
52 30% 97%  
53 9% 67%  
54 4% 58%  
55 6% 54% Last Result
56 4% 48% Median
57 22% 44%  
58 10% 22%  
59 7% 12%  
60 3% 5%  
61 0.8% 2%  
62 0.3% 1.0%  
63 0.5% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 1.0% 99.8%  
47 0.7% 98.8%  
48 4% 98%  
49 10% 94%  
50 10% 84%  
51 20% 74%  
52 5% 54%  
53 34% 49% Last Result, Median
54 3% 15%  
55 8% 12%  
56 1.0% 4%  
57 3% 3%  
58 0.5% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.6%  
37 0.3% 99.4%  
38 8% 99.1%  
39 4% 91%  
40 28% 87% Last Result
41 6% 59%  
42 30% 53% Median
43 3% 23%  
44 9% 20%  
45 2% 11%  
46 5% 9%  
47 3% 4%  
48 0.2% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.3%  
32 6% 97%  
33 22% 91%  
34 9% 69% Last Result
35 7% 60%  
36 37% 53% Median
37 6% 16%  
38 2% 10%  
39 5% 9%  
40 3% 4%  
41 0.3% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations