Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 10–17 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.4% 25.0–27.9% 24.6–28.3% 24.3–28.6% 23.6–29.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 19.7% 18.4–21.0% 18.1–21.4% 17.8–21.7% 17.2–22.4%
Venstre 19.5% 18.4% 17.2–19.7% 16.9–20.1% 16.6–20.4% 16.0–21.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.8–5.6% 3.7–5.7% 3.4–6.1%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 2.9–5.5%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 43–50 43–50 43–50 42–53
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 32–36 32–39 32–39 31–39
Venstre 34 31 30–36 29–36 29–36 28–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 15–18 14–18 14–19 13–19
Radikale Venstre 8 9 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–9 7–9 6–10 6–10
Alternativet 9 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–10
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 1.0% 99.7%  
43 11% 98.7%  
44 5% 88%  
45 11% 83%  
46 17% 72%  
47 22% 55% Last Result, Median
48 4% 34%  
49 3% 30%  
50 25% 27%  
51 0.6% 1.4%  
52 0.1% 0.8%  
53 0.7% 0.7%  
54 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 1.4% 99.7%  
32 10% 98%  
33 29% 88%  
34 35% 60% Median
35 8% 24%  
36 8% 16%  
37 2% 8% Last Result
38 1.5% 7%  
39 5% 5%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 1.3% 99.8%  
29 5% 98%  
30 27% 93%  
31 20% 66% Median
32 2% 47%  
33 10% 45%  
34 6% 35% Last Result
35 17% 29%  
36 11% 12%  
37 0.5% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 1.1% 100%  
14 5% 98.8% Last Result
15 44% 94% Median
16 9% 50%  
17 28% 41%  
18 9% 13%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 7% 99.6% Last Result
9 66% 92% Median
10 11% 26%  
11 13% 15%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.7%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 2% 99.7%  
7 14% 98% Last Result
8 26% 83%  
9 45% 57% Median
10 11% 12%  
11 0.7% 0.7%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 2% 99.8%  
7 35% 97%  
8 17% 63% Median
9 41% 45%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.3% 100%  
7 44% 98.7%  
8 22% 55% Median
9 23% 32% Last Result
10 9% 10%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.5% 99.9%  
6 31% 99.4% Last Result
7 17% 68%  
8 37% 51% Median
9 14% 14%  
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 48% 97% Median
5 32% 49%  
6 16% 17%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 89 39% 86–90 85–90 84–93 83–94
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 7% 85–89 85–90 82–91 81–92
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 86 7% 85–89 85–90 82–91 81–92
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 81 0% 81–84 80–86 78–87 76–88
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 81 0% 81–84 80–86 78–87 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 80 0.1% 78–83 76–83 74–85 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 80 0% 76–81 75–81 74–83 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 71 0% 68–74 66–74 64–75 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 65 0% 61–68 60–68 60–68 59–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 56 0% 54–59 52–59 52–59 52–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 47 0% 46–50 45–50 44–51 43–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 38–42 37–43 36–43 35–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 30–36 29–36 29–36 28–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.6%  
84 4% 99.2%  
85 2% 95% Last Result
86 4% 93%  
87 14% 90%  
88 9% 76% Median
89 28% 67%  
90 34% 39% Majority
91 0.8% 5%  
92 1.1% 4%  
93 2% 3%  
94 1.2% 1.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 1.2% 99.8%  
82 2% 98.6%  
83 1.1% 97%  
84 0.8% 96%  
85 34% 95% Median
86 28% 61%  
87 9% 33%  
88 14% 24%  
89 4% 10%  
90 2% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 4% 5%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 1.2% 99.8%  
82 2% 98.6%  
83 1.1% 97%  
84 0.8% 96%  
85 34% 95% Median
86 28% 61%  
87 9% 33%  
88 14% 24%  
89 4% 10%  
90 2% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 4% 5%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.5% 99.8%  
77 2% 99.3%  
78 1.2% 98%  
79 1.1% 96%  
80 4% 95%  
81 46% 91% Median
82 30% 46%  
83 2% 15%  
84 5% 14%  
85 1.0% 9%  
86 4% 8%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.5% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.5% 99.8%  
77 2% 99.3%  
78 1.2% 98%  
79 1.1% 96%  
80 4% 95%  
81 46% 91% Median
82 30% 46%  
83 2% 15%  
84 5% 14%  
85 1.0% 9%  
86 4% 8%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.5% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 3% 100%  
75 1.4% 97%  
76 0.6% 96% Last Result
77 0.9% 95%  
78 5% 94%  
79 17% 89%  
80 23% 72% Median
81 5% 50%  
82 14% 45%  
83 27% 31%  
84 1.4% 4%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 0.9% 1.5%  
87 0.5% 0.6%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 1.1% 100%  
73 0.5% 98.8%  
74 3% 98%  
75 0.8% 95%  
76 7% 94%  
77 6% 88% Last Result
78 12% 82%  
79 5% 70% Median
80 29% 65%  
81 32% 36%  
82 1.2% 4%  
83 1.1% 3%  
84 1.4% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 3% 100%  
65 0.6% 97%  
66 1.3% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 6% 93% Last Result
69 5% 87%  
70 15% 82%  
71 20% 67% Median
72 6% 48%  
73 13% 41%  
74 25% 28%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.7% 1.5%  
77 0.7% 0.8%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 1.2% 99.8%  
60 6% 98.6%  
61 8% 93%  
62 9% 85% Last Result
63 7% 76%  
64 7% 69%  
65 27% 62% Median
66 6% 35%  
67 2% 29%  
68 26% 27%  
69 0.4% 1.3%  
70 0.4% 1.0%  
71 0.4% 0.5%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.4% 99.9%  
52 5% 99.5%  
53 4% 95%  
54 15% 91%  
55 18% 76% Last Result
56 21% 58% Median
57 2% 37%  
58 5% 35%  
59 28% 30%  
60 0.9% 2%  
61 0.3% 1.3%  
62 0.4% 0.9%  
63 0.4% 0.5%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 0.8% 99.6%  
44 2% 98.8%  
45 6% 97%  
46 7% 91%  
47 36% 84% Median
48 18% 48%  
49 15% 30%  
50 11% 14%  
51 1.2% 3%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
54 0.6% 0.6%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 2% 99.7%  
36 3% 98%  
37 5% 96%  
38 26% 90%  
39 11% 64% Median
40 21% 52% Last Result
41 17% 31%  
42 5% 15%  
43 8% 10%  
44 0.8% 2%  
45 1.1% 1.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 1.3% 99.8%  
29 5% 98%  
30 27% 93%  
31 20% 66% Median
32 2% 47%  
33 10% 45%  
34 6% 35% Last Result
35 17% 29%  
36 11% 12%  
37 0.5% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations