Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 13–19 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.6–29.6%
Venstre 19.5% 20.4% 18.8–22.1% 18.4–22.5% 18.0–22.9% 17.3–23.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 17.0–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.5–4.7% 2.2–5.1%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 43–47 42–48 41–49 40–51
Venstre 34 36 34–38 34–39 33–40 32–42
Dansk Folkeparti 37 34 32–36 32–37 31–37 29–39
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 9 8–10 8–11 8–12 7–13
Alternativet 9 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–8 7–9 7–10 6–11
Liberal Alliance 13 7 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.7% 99.9%  
41 3% 99.3%  
42 3% 96%  
43 6% 93%  
44 30% 87%  
45 15% 57% Median
46 8% 42%  
47 26% 34% Last Result
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 0.5% 1.4%  
51 0.6% 0.9%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.9%  
32 2% 99.5%  
33 2% 98%  
34 12% 96% Last Result
35 6% 84%  
36 29% 78% Median
37 24% 50%  
38 17% 26%  
39 6% 9%  
40 1.0% 3%  
41 0.4% 2%  
42 1.1% 1.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.8%  
29 0.4% 99.6%  
30 0.8% 99.2%  
31 3% 98%  
32 17% 96%  
33 11% 79%  
34 34% 68% Median
35 4% 34%  
36 22% 29%  
37 5% 7% Last Result
38 1.3% 2%  
39 0.7% 0.8%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.9%  
13 2% 98%  
14 30% 97% Last Result
15 30% 66% Median
16 10% 36%  
17 16% 26%  
18 8% 10%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.0% 99.8%  
8 10% 98.9% Last Result
9 39% 89% Median
10 42% 50%  
11 4% 8%  
12 3% 5%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.5% 99.9%  
7 6% 99.4%  
8 32% 94%  
9 26% 61% Last Result, Median
10 27% 36%  
11 8% 8%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 1.1% 99.8%  
7 34% 98.7% Last Result
8 56% 65% Median
9 4% 9%  
10 3% 4%  
11 0.7% 1.1%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9%  
7 64% 97% Median
8 15% 33%  
9 16% 18%  
10 0.8% 1.5%  
11 0.4% 0.7%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100%  
4 1.1% 99.9%  
5 43% 98.9%  
6 9% 56% Last Result, Median
7 34% 46%  
8 11% 12%  
9 0.5% 0.6%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 58% 89% Median
5 28% 30%  
6 1.5% 3%  
7 1.1% 1.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 34% 85–92 85–93 83–94 80–94
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 86 34% 85–92 85–93 83–94 80–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 89 11% 83–90 82–90 81–92 81–95
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 6% 82–88 81–90 79–90 77–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 6% 82–88 81–90 79–90 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 79 0% 75–81 74–81 72–83 72–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 79 0% 74–81 73–81 72–82 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 66–72 64–73 64–73 63–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 63 0% 60–65 58–65 58–67 58–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 55 0% 51–57 51–57 51–59 50–62
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 48–53 48–55 46–56 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 43 0% 41–44 40–46 38–47 37–49
Venstre 34 36 0% 34–38 34–39 33–40 32–42

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.8%  
81 0.8% 99.5%  
82 0.4% 98.7%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 1.1% 97%  
85 7% 96%  
86 40% 89%  
87 10% 49% Median
88 4% 39%  
89 0.8% 35%  
90 0.8% 34% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 33%  
92 22% 30%  
93 4% 8%  
94 4% 4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.8%  
81 0.8% 99.5%  
82 0.4% 98.7%  
83 0.9% 98%  
84 1.1% 97%  
85 7% 96%  
86 40% 89%  
87 10% 49% Median
88 4% 39%  
89 0.7% 35%  
90 0.8% 34% Last Result, Majority
91 3% 33%  
92 22% 30%  
93 4% 8%  
94 4% 4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 4% 99.9%  
82 4% 96%  
83 22% 92%  
84 3% 70%  
85 0.8% 67% Last Result
86 0.8% 66% Median
87 4% 65%  
88 10% 61%  
89 40% 51%  
90 7% 11% Majority
91 1.1% 4%  
92 0.9% 3%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 0.8% 1.3%  
95 0.4% 0.5%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.4% 99.4%  
79 2% 99.0%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 39% 93%  
83 10% 54% Median
84 2% 44%  
85 7% 42%  
86 2% 36%  
87 23% 34%  
88 2% 11%  
89 4% 10%  
90 4% 6% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.4% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.4% 99.4%  
79 2% 99.0%  
80 2% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 39% 93%  
83 10% 54% Median
84 2% 44%  
85 7% 42%  
86 2% 36%  
87 23% 34%  
88 2% 11%  
89 4% 10%  
90 4% 6% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 4% 99.9%  
73 1.0% 96%  
74 4% 95%  
75 21% 91%  
76 2% 70% Last Result
77 9% 68% Median
78 2% 59%  
79 29% 58%  
80 14% 28%  
81 10% 14%  
82 1.1% 4%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 1.0% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 3% 99.7%  
73 5% 96%  
74 24% 91%  
75 4% 68%  
76 2% 64%  
77 2% 63% Last Result, Median
78 2% 61%  
79 44% 59%  
80 2% 15%  
81 8% 12%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.4% 2%  
84 0.3% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.7% 99.7%  
64 6% 99.0%  
65 2% 93%  
66 22% 91%  
67 5% 69%  
68 8% 64% Last Result, Median
69 26% 56%  
70 13% 29%  
71 4% 16%  
72 7% 12%  
73 3% 5%  
74 1.0% 2%  
75 0.4% 1.0%  
76 0.5% 0.6%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100%  
58 6% 99.8%  
59 3% 94%  
60 22% 91%  
61 9% 69%  
62 3% 60% Last Result, Median
63 18% 57%  
64 7% 39%  
65 28% 32%  
66 2% 5%  
67 0.7% 3%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.3% 1.2%  
70 0.6% 0.9%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 2% 99.8%  
51 8% 98%  
52 0.7% 89%  
53 28% 89%  
54 2% 60% Median
55 20% 58% Last Result
56 5% 38%  
57 29% 33%  
58 2% 4%  
59 1.2% 3%  
60 0.4% 1.3%  
61 0.1% 0.9%  
62 0.6% 0.8%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.9% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 99.0%  
46 0.9% 98%  
47 1.0% 97%  
48 28% 96%  
49 5% 68% Median
50 21% 63%  
51 28% 42%  
52 0.9% 14%  
53 6% 13% Last Result
54 2% 7%  
55 1.2% 5%  
56 4% 4%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.5% 99.8%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 0.8% 97%  
40 2% 97% Last Result
41 35% 94%  
42 5% 59% Median
43 18% 54%  
44 26% 36%  
45 3% 10%  
46 2% 7%  
47 3% 4%  
48 0.7% 1.3%  
49 0.5% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.9%  
32 2% 99.5%  
33 2% 98%  
34 12% 96% Last Result
35 6% 84%  
36 29% 78% Median
37 24% 50%  
38 17% 26%  
39 6% 9%  
40 1.0% 3%  
41 0.4% 2%  
42 1.1% 1.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations