Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 20–26 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.6% 24.9–28.4% 24.4–28.9% 24.0–29.4% 23.2–30.3%
Venstre 19.5% 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.4% 17.0–21.8% 16.3–22.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.3% 16.8–19.9% 16.4–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.9% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 49 43–50 43–50 43–52 42–53
Venstre 34 35 30–36 30–37 30–38 29–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 30–35 29–36 28–37 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 8 11 9–13 8–13 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 13 8 8–10 7–11 7–12 6–12
Alternativet 9 9 8–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 7 7–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.7%  
42 2% 99.5%  
43 9% 98%  
44 2% 89%  
45 8% 87%  
46 7% 79%  
47 4% 72% Last Result
48 6% 68%  
49 23% 62% Median
50 34% 39%  
51 2% 5%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.6% 0.8%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 15% 98%  
31 12% 83%  
32 4% 71%  
33 3% 67%  
34 12% 64% Last Result
35 36% 53% Median
36 7% 16%  
37 6% 9%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.1% 0.5%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.7% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.3%  
28 2% 99.1%  
29 6% 97%  
30 4% 91%  
31 6% 87%  
32 34% 81% Median
33 8% 47%  
34 23% 39%  
35 9% 16%  
36 3% 7%  
37 4% 4% Last Result
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 4% 98%  
14 41% 94% Last Result
15 6% 53% Median
16 33% 47%  
17 10% 14%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.1% 1.4%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100%  
8 6% 99.3% Last Result
9 9% 93%  
10 33% 84%  
11 14% 51% Median
12 25% 37%  
13 10% 11%  
14 1.1% 1.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.3% 100%  
7 7% 98.7%  
8 47% 91% Median
9 26% 44%  
10 9% 18%  
11 6% 9%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 0.6% 99.7%  
7 6% 99.2%  
8 30% 93%  
9 24% 63% Last Result, Median
10 28% 39%  
11 9% 11%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.5% 0.5%  
14 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 5% 98%  
7 55% 93% Last Result, Median
8 17% 38%  
9 17% 21%  
10 3% 4%  
11 1.2% 1.3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 3% 99.8%  
6 10% 97% Last Result
7 47% 87% Median
8 33% 40%  
9 5% 8%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0.2% 50%  
4 36% 50% Median
5 12% 14%  
6 1.2% 1.5%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 91 67% 86–93 84–93 84–94 83–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 84 7% 82–89 82–91 81–91 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 84 7% 82–89 82–91 81–91 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.8% 80–86 78–86 78–87 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.8% 80–86 78–86 78–87 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 0.1% 77–85 76–85 75–86 73–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 80 0.1% 77–82 75–82 74–84 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 71 0% 67–73 67–74 66–75 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 61–70 61–71 61–71 59–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 59 0% 53–63 53–63 52–63 51–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 46–53 46–54 45–55 43–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 37–43 37–44 36–46 35–47
Venstre 34 35 0% 30–36 30–37 30–38 29–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.3% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.6%  
83 0.4% 99.5%  
84 4% 99.1%  
85 2% 95% Last Result
86 3% 93%  
87 2% 90%  
88 9% 88%  
89 11% 79%  
90 6% 67% Majority
91 14% 61% Median
92 22% 47%  
93 21% 24%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 1.2% 2%  
97 0.4% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 1.2% 99.4%  
80 0.5% 98%  
81 1.1% 98%  
82 21% 97%  
83 22% 76%  
84 14% 53%  
85 6% 39%  
86 11% 33% Median
87 9% 21%  
88 2% 12%  
89 3% 10%  
90 2% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 4% 5%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 1.2% 99.4%  
80 0.5% 98%  
81 1.1% 98%  
82 21% 97%  
83 22% 76%  
84 14% 53%  
85 6% 39%  
86 11% 33% Median
87 9% 21%  
88 2% 12%  
89 3% 10%  
90 2% 7% Last Result, Majority
91 4% 5%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 1.4% 99.6%  
78 3% 98%  
79 4% 95%  
80 15% 91%  
81 8% 76%  
82 21% 68% Median
83 27% 47%  
84 2% 19%  
85 5% 17%  
86 8% 12%  
87 3% 5%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.7% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 1.4% 99.6%  
78 3% 98%  
79 4% 95%  
80 15% 91%  
81 8% 76%  
82 21% 68% Median
83 27% 47%  
84 2% 19%  
85 5% 17%  
86 8% 12%  
87 3% 5%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.7% 0.8% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.5% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 2% 99.3%  
76 2% 97% Last Result
77 10% 95%  
78 5% 85%  
79 6% 80%  
80 5% 74%  
81 7% 69%  
82 21% 61% Median
83 16% 40%  
84 13% 24%  
85 8% 11%  
86 1.3% 3%  
87 0.2% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.5%  
89 1.0% 1.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.5% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.5%  
73 0.5% 99.4%  
74 3% 98.9%  
75 1.3% 96%  
76 4% 95%  
77 4% 91% Last Result
78 12% 87%  
79 20% 75%  
80 14% 55% Median
81 13% 40%  
82 22% 27%  
83 2% 5%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.6% 1.2%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.5%  
65 0.9% 99.3%  
66 2% 98%  
67 10% 96%  
68 8% 86% Last Result
69 6% 78%  
70 7% 73%  
71 25% 65% Median
72 24% 41%  
73 10% 17%  
74 4% 7%  
75 0.9% 3%  
76 0.7% 2%  
77 1.1% 1.4%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.8% 99.8%  
60 1.0% 98.9%  
61 11% 98%  
62 3% 87% Last Result
63 5% 84%  
64 7% 79%  
65 7% 72%  
66 21% 65%  
67 4% 44% Median
68 7% 40%  
69 14% 33%  
70 11% 19%  
71 8% 9%  
72 0.1% 1.1%  
73 0.9% 1.0%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0.8% 99.8%  
52 3% 98.9%  
53 7% 96%  
54 4% 90%  
55 3% 86% Last Result
56 11% 83%  
57 6% 72%  
58 3% 66%  
59 25% 63%  
60 1.3% 38% Median
61 6% 37%  
62 21% 31%  
63 9% 11%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.8% 0.8%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.9% 100%  
44 0.7% 99.1%  
45 1.4% 98%  
46 14% 97%  
47 9% 83%  
48 3% 74%  
49 15% 71%  
50 12% 55% Median
51 23% 43%  
52 9% 20%  
53 5% 12% Last Result
54 2% 6%  
55 3% 4%  
56 0.7% 1.3%  
57 0.5% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100%  
35 0.9% 99.9%  
36 2% 99.0%  
37 14% 97%  
38 3% 84%  
39 10% 80%  
40 7% 71% Last Result
41 11% 64%  
42 19% 53% Median
43 24% 34%  
44 6% 10%  
45 0.8% 4%  
46 3% 3%  
47 0.3% 0.6%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 15% 98%  
31 12% 83%  
32 4% 71%  
33 3% 67%  
34 12% 64% Last Result
35 36% 53% Median
36 7% 16%  
37 6% 9%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.1% 0.5%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations