Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 27 August–2 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.1–28.5% 23.6–29.0% 22.8–29.9%
Venstre 19.5% 18.7% 17.2–20.3% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.8–22.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.7% 16.3–19.3% 15.9–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.9–21.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Alternativet 4.8% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.7–7.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 43–49 42–50 42–51 40–53
Venstre 34 34 30–36 30–37 28–38 28–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 29–35 28–36 27–36 26–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–19 14–19 13–20 12–20
Alternativet 9 11 9–12 9–13 8–13 7–14
Radikale Venstre 8 10 8–12 7–12 7–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 7–10 7–11 6–12 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 8 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.9%  
41 1.3% 99.5%  
42 4% 98%  
43 7% 94%  
44 11% 88%  
45 13% 77%  
46 31% 64% Median
47 7% 33% Last Result
48 16% 27%  
49 5% 10%  
50 1.4% 5%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.5% 2%  
53 0.2% 0.6%  
54 0.4% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 4% 99.8%  
29 0.6% 96%  
30 10% 95%  
31 9% 85%  
32 12% 76%  
33 7% 64%  
34 12% 58% Last Result, Median
35 30% 45%  
36 6% 15%  
37 6% 9%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.4% 0.7%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0.9% 99.8%  
27 2% 99.0%  
28 6% 97%  
29 9% 91%  
30 6% 83%  
31 8% 77%  
32 33% 69% Median
33 10% 37%  
34 7% 26%  
35 13% 19%  
36 4% 6%  
37 1.0% 1.3% Last Result
38 0.3% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 2% 98%  
14 35% 96% Last Result
15 7% 61%  
16 15% 54% Median
17 9% 39%  
18 18% 30%  
19 9% 12%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100%  
8 4% 99.2%  
9 13% 96% Last Result
10 25% 83%  
11 16% 57% Median
12 33% 42%  
13 7% 9%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 7% 99.8%  
8 14% 93% Last Result
9 8% 80%  
10 47% 72% Median
11 10% 25%  
12 14% 15%  
13 1.0% 1.4%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 2% 99.6%  
8 39% 98%  
9 18% 59% Median
10 26% 41%  
11 8% 15%  
12 6% 7%  
13 0.6% 0.8% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 3% 100%  
7 13% 97% Last Result
8 18% 84%  
9 21% 66% Median
10 36% 45%  
11 7% 10%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 3% 99.7%  
6 22% 97% Last Result
7 19% 75%  
8 48% 56% Median
9 5% 7%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 25%  
2 0% 25%  
3 0% 25%  
4 18% 25%  
5 7% 7%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 92 79% 88–96 87–96 86–97 84–100
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 2% 79–87 79–88 78–89 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 2% 79–87 79–88 78–89 75–91
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 2% 78–86 78–87 76–88 74–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 83 2% 78–86 78–87 76–88 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 82 0.9% 78–85 76–87 75–88 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 80 0.3% 78–85 77–86 75–87 73–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 70 0% 68–75 66–76 65–77 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 62–68 60–69 60–70 58–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 56 0% 53–59 51–60 51–61 50–63
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 46–53 45–54 43–55 43–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 41 0% 38–44 36–44 35–45 35–47
Venstre 34 34 0% 30–36 30–37 28–38 28–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.6% 99.9%  
85 2% 99.3% Last Result
86 2% 98%  
87 4% 96%  
88 3% 92%  
89 10% 89%  
90 4% 79% Majority
91 6% 75%  
92 38% 69% Median
93 10% 30%  
94 7% 21%  
95 3% 13%  
96 6% 10%  
97 1.3% 4%  
98 1.0% 2%  
99 0.2% 1.3%  
100 1.0% 1.1%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 1.0% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 98.9%  
77 1.0% 98.7%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 6% 96%  
80 3% 90%  
81 7% 87%  
82 10% 79%  
83 38% 70% Median
84 6% 31%  
85 4% 25%  
86 10% 21%  
87 3% 11%  
88 4% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.6% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 1.0% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 98.9%  
77 1.1% 98.7%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 6% 96%  
80 3% 90%  
81 7% 86%  
82 10% 79%  
83 38% 69% Median
84 6% 31%  
85 4% 25%  
86 10% 21%  
87 3% 11%  
88 4% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0.6% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 1.1% 99.4%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 8% 95%  
79 10% 87%  
80 5% 77%  
81 8% 72%  
82 7% 64%  
83 35% 57% Median
84 7% 22%  
85 2% 15%  
86 7% 13%  
87 2% 7%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.2% 2%  
90 2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 1.1% 99.4%  
76 0.9% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 9% 95%  
79 10% 87%  
80 5% 77%  
81 8% 71%  
82 7% 64%  
83 35% 57% Median
84 6% 22%  
85 2% 15%  
86 7% 13%  
87 2% 7%  
88 3% 5%  
89 0.2% 2%  
90 2% 2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 3% 99.7%  
76 2% 97%  
77 1.3% 95% Last Result
78 5% 93%  
79 8% 88%  
80 5% 80%  
81 6% 75%  
82 34% 70% Median
83 9% 36%  
84 13% 27%  
85 5% 13%  
86 1.4% 8%  
87 4% 7%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.5% 0.9% Majority
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.6% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.2%  
75 2% 99.0%  
76 2% 97% Last Result
77 4% 95%  
78 4% 91%  
79 4% 87%  
80 40% 83%  
81 16% 43% Median
82 4% 27%  
83 3% 23%  
84 8% 20%  
85 3% 13%  
86 6% 10%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.6% 1.1%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 3% 99.8%  
66 3% 96%  
67 2% 94%  
68 2% 92% Last Result
69 11% 89%  
70 33% 79%  
71 11% 46% Median
72 6% 35%  
73 10% 29%  
74 7% 19%  
75 4% 12%  
76 4% 8%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.5% 1.4%  
79 0.5% 1.0%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.7%  
59 2% 99.4%  
60 4% 98%  
61 2% 94%  
62 15% 92% Last Result
63 6% 77%  
64 10% 72%  
65 8% 61% Median
66 36% 54%  
67 3% 18%  
68 7% 15%  
69 3% 8%  
70 3% 5%  
71 0.7% 1.5%  
72 0.5% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.9%  
50 1.4% 99.5%  
51 4% 98%  
52 2% 94%  
53 10% 93%  
54 6% 83%  
55 14% 77% Last Result
56 32% 63% Median
57 9% 31%  
58 8% 22%  
59 4% 14%  
60 7% 10%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.7% 1.3%  
63 0.3% 0.7%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 3% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 97%  
45 4% 96%  
46 4% 93%  
47 5% 89%  
48 12% 85%  
49 7% 72%  
50 7% 65%  
51 34% 57% Median
52 11% 23%  
53 2% 12% Last Result
54 6% 10%  
55 3% 4%  
56 0.7% 1.1%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 3% 99.6%  
36 2% 96%  
37 5% 95%  
38 17% 90%  
39 4% 73%  
40 13% 69% Last Result
41 9% 57%  
42 7% 48% Median
43 31% 41%  
44 6% 10%  
45 3% 4%  
46 0.7% 1.3%  
47 0.4% 0.6%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 4% 99.8%  
29 0.6% 96%  
30 10% 95%  
31 9% 85%  
32 12% 76%  
33 7% 64%  
34 12% 58% Last Result, Median
35 30% 45%  
36 6% 15%  
37 6% 9%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.4% 0.7%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations