Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 3–9 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.1–27.5% 22.7–28.0% 21.9–28.8%
Venstre 19.5% 18.2% 16.8–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.9% 16.5–19.5% 16.1–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 43–47 42–47 40–49 38–50
Venstre 34 33 31–34 29–35 29–36 27–37
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 30–33 28–34 28–35 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 16 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–20
Liberal Alliance 13 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–14
Alternativet 9 9 9–11 8–13 8–13 7–13
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–11 8–12 8–13 7–13
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 6–9 5–9 5–9 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 4–6 4–6 0–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.5% 99.8%  
39 0.5% 99.2%  
40 2% 98.7%  
41 1.1% 96%  
42 3% 95%  
43 9% 92%  
44 24% 84%  
45 29% 60% Median
46 8% 31%  
47 18% 23% Last Result
48 1.4% 5%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.9% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.2%  
29 3% 98%  
30 3% 95%  
31 26% 91%  
32 10% 65%  
33 6% 55% Median
34 44% 50% Last Result
35 1.1% 5%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.8% 1.1%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.8%  
28 3% 98%  
29 1.2% 94%  
30 22% 93%  
31 31% 71% Median
32 26% 40%  
33 9% 15%  
34 3% 6%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.6% 1.3%  
37 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
38 0.3% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.9%  
13 6% 99.3%  
14 26% 93% Last Result
15 7% 67%  
16 29% 60% Median
17 27% 31%  
18 2% 4%  
19 0.8% 1.5%  
20 0.2% 0.7%  
21 0.3% 0.5%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 2% 99.6%  
9 7% 98%  
10 36% 91%  
11 33% 55% Median
12 20% 22%  
13 0.9% 2% Last Result
14 0.6% 1.0%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.9% 100%  
8 6% 99.1%  
9 45% 93% Last Result, Median
10 30% 48%  
11 9% 18%  
12 3% 9%  
13 6% 7%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 6% 99.4% Last Result
9 25% 93%  
10 52% 68% Median
11 10% 16%  
12 3% 6%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100%  
7 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
8 48% 99.4%  
9 31% 51% Median
10 6% 20%  
11 6% 14%  
12 8% 8%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.8% 100%  
5 8% 99.2%  
6 49% 91% Last Result, Median
7 14% 42%  
8 9% 29%  
9 20% 20%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 57% 97% Median
5 14% 41%  
6 23% 27%  
7 3% 4%  
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 89 22% 87–92 86–93 84–94 83–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 3% 83–88 82–89 81–91 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 86 3% 83–88 82–89 81–91 78–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.1% 78–83 77–84 76–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.1% 78–83 77–84 76–85 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 79 0% 77–81 76–84 75–85 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 79 0% 78–82 76–83 75–84 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 68–71 67–73 65–74 62–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 63 0% 63–66 61–68 59–69 57–69
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 55 0% 52–57 51–58 50–58 48–60
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 50 0% 48–52 46–52 46–53 43–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 40 0% 37–41 36–41 35–42 33–45
Venstre 34 33 0% 31–34 29–35 29–36 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 2% 99.7%  
84 2% 98%  
85 0.2% 97% Last Result
86 4% 97%  
87 20% 93%  
88 1.2% 73%  
89 49% 72% Median
90 4% 22% Majority
91 2% 18%  
92 8% 16%  
93 5% 8%  
94 0.7% 3%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 1.2% 1.3%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 1.2% 99.9%  
79 0.5% 98.7%  
80 0.5% 98%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 5% 97%  
83 8% 92%  
84 2% 84%  
85 4% 82% Median
86 49% 78%  
87 1.2% 28%  
88 20% 27%  
89 4% 7%  
90 0.2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 1.2% 99.9%  
79 0.5% 98.7%  
80 0.5% 98%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 5% 97%  
83 8% 92%  
84 2% 84%  
85 4% 82% Median
86 49% 78%  
87 1.2% 28%  
88 20% 27%  
89 4% 7%  
90 0.2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 1.5% 2%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 2% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 98%  
76 1.0% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 6% 94%  
79 7% 88%  
80 3% 81%  
81 4% 78% Median
82 64% 74%  
83 2% 11%  
84 5% 8%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.4% 2%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 2% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 98%  
76 1.0% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 6% 94%  
79 7% 88%  
80 3% 81%  
81 4% 78% Median
82 64% 74%  
83 2% 11%  
84 5% 8%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.4% 2%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.5%  
73 1.0% 99.4%  
74 0.6% 98%  
75 2% 98%  
76 1.0% 96% Last Result
77 5% 95%  
78 16% 90%  
79 36% 74%  
80 27% 38% Median
81 2% 11%  
82 3% 10%  
83 0.5% 6%  
84 3% 6%  
85 1.4% 3%  
86 1.5% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.9% 99.8%  
74 1.2% 98.9%  
75 1.2% 98%  
76 4% 96%  
77 2% 93% Last Result
78 26% 91%  
79 45% 66% Median
80 3% 21%  
81 2% 18%  
82 7% 16%  
83 4% 9%  
84 3% 5%  
85 0.8% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.8%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.5% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.5%  
63 0.1% 99.4%  
64 0.7% 99.3%  
65 2% 98.6%  
66 0.8% 96%  
67 4% 95%  
68 10% 92% Last Result
69 40% 82%  
70 30% 41% Median
71 3% 12%  
72 0.8% 9%  
73 4% 8%  
74 3% 5%  
75 0.6% 1.4%  
76 0.6% 0.9%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.7%  
58 2% 99.3%  
59 0.9% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 0.9% 95%  
62 4% 94% Last Result
63 49% 91%  
64 18% 42% Median
65 11% 24%  
66 6% 13%  
67 1.1% 7%  
68 3% 6%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.8%  
48 0.7% 99.6%  
49 0.6% 98.9%  
50 2% 98%  
51 4% 97%  
52 4% 93%  
53 7% 89%  
54 22% 83%  
55 25% 60% Last Result, Median
56 25% 36%  
57 4% 11%  
58 4% 6%  
59 0.7% 2%  
60 1.4% 2%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 0.9% 99.4%  
45 0.9% 98%  
46 3% 98%  
47 2% 94%  
48 9% 92%  
49 6% 83%  
50 28% 76% Median
51 29% 49%  
52 16% 19%  
53 2% 4% Last Result
54 1.5% 2%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.2% 99.4%  
35 1.3% 98%  
36 3% 97%  
37 9% 94%  
38 8% 85%  
39 4% 77% Median
40 58% 72% Last Result
41 10% 15%  
42 3% 5%  
43 0.6% 2%  
44 0.3% 1.2%  
45 0.7% 0.9%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.2%  
29 3% 98%  
30 3% 95%  
31 26% 91%  
32 10% 65%  
33 6% 55% Median
34 44% 50% Last Result
35 1.1% 5%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.8% 1.1%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations