Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 10–16 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.8% 23.9–29.2% 23.1–30.1%
Venstre 19.5% 19.2% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.9–21.7% 16.2–22.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.2% 15.8–18.8% 15.4–19.3% 15.0–19.6% 14.4–20.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Alternativet 4.8% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.0–4.9%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 46 43–49 43–50 42–52 40–54
Venstre 34 34 31–38 30–38 29–39 29–40
Dansk Folkeparti 37 31 28–33 27–34 26–34 25–36
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 14–17 13–17 12–17 11–19
Radikale Venstre 8 10 9–12 9–13 8–13 7–14
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 12 9–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
Alternativet 9 10 8–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–10 7–10 7–11 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 6 4–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 4–6 3–7 0–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.3% 100%  
40 1.2% 99.6%  
41 0.9% 98%  
42 3% 98%  
43 5% 95%  
44 9% 90%  
45 30% 80%  
46 17% 50% Median
47 3% 33% Last Result
48 13% 30%  
49 11% 17%  
50 1.4% 6%  
51 1.3% 5%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.4% 1.4%  
54 0.9% 1.0%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.4% 100%  
29 4% 99.6%  
30 4% 95%  
31 5% 91%  
32 4% 86%  
33 29% 83%  
34 26% 54% Last Result, Median
35 12% 28%  
36 2% 16%  
37 1.1% 14%  
38 10% 13%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0.5% 99.9%  
26 2% 99.4%  
27 7% 97%  
28 10% 90%  
29 17% 80%  
30 7% 63%  
31 27% 56% Median
32 11% 29%  
33 12% 18%  
34 4% 7%  
35 1.0% 2%  
36 1.2% 1.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.1%  
13 6% 96%  
14 20% 90% Last Result
15 24% 71% Median
16 37% 47%  
17 8% 10%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 3% 99.5% Last Result
9 40% 97%  
10 22% 57% Median
11 13% 35%  
12 14% 21%  
13 7% 7%  
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
8 9% 99.3%  
9 14% 90%  
10 12% 77%  
11 11% 65%  
12 51% 54% Median
13 2% 3%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.9% 100%  
7 9% 99.1%  
8 21% 90%  
9 14% 69% Last Result
10 37% 55% Median
11 14% 18%  
12 2% 4%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.8%  
7 22% 98%  
8 38% 76% Median
9 20% 38%  
10 15% 18%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.5% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 12% 99.7%  
5 37% 88%  
6 27% 51% Last Result, Median
7 19% 24%  
8 5% 5%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0.9% 96%  
4 17% 95%  
5 38% 78% Median
6 34% 40%  
7 6% 6%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 92 86% 89–95 87–95 86–97 85–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 83 1.5% 80–86 80–88 78–89 77–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 83 1.5% 80–86 80–88 78–89 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 82 0.2% 79–85 78–86 77–87 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 83 0.1% 78–84 77–85 75–86 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 77 0% 75–82 74–83 74–84 72–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 77 0% 75–82 74–83 74–84 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 68–75 67–77 66–77 65–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 67 0% 65–70 63–71 62–72 61–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 55 0% 54–60 53–61 51–62 50–64
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 48 0% 45–52 44–52 42–53 42–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 39 0% 37–44 36–44 35–44 34–46
Venstre 34 34 0% 31–38 30–38 29–39 29–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.4% 99.9%  
85 1.0% 99.5% Last Result
86 3% 98.5%  
87 1.5% 96%  
88 4% 94%  
89 4% 90%  
90 17% 86% Majority
91 6% 69%  
92 26% 63%  
93 20% 36% Median
94 5% 16%  
95 7% 11%  
96 1.2% 4%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.6% 0.9%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 2% 99.1%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 7% 96%  
81 5% 89%  
82 20% 84%  
83 26% 64%  
84 6% 37% Median
85 17% 31%  
86 4% 14%  
87 4% 10%  
88 1.5% 6%  
89 3% 4%  
90 1.0% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 2% 99.1%  
79 1.2% 97%  
80 7% 96%  
81 5% 89%  
82 20% 84%  
83 26% 64%  
84 6% 37% Median
85 17% 31%  
86 4% 14%  
87 4% 10%  
88 1.5% 6%  
89 3% 4%  
90 1.0% 1.5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 1.4% 99.5% Last Result
77 3% 98%  
78 2% 95%  
79 6% 93%  
80 7% 87%  
81 4% 81%  
82 32% 77%  
83 24% 45% Median
84 4% 21%  
85 6% 16%  
86 6% 10%  
87 1.3% 4%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 1.1% 1.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.5%  
76 1.2% 97%  
77 4% 96% Last Result
78 13% 92%  
79 4% 79%  
80 12% 75%  
81 7% 63%  
82 4% 56%  
83 27% 52% Median
84 15% 25%  
85 7% 10%  
86 0.9% 3%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 1.0% 99.6%  
73 0.5% 98.7%  
74 6% 98%  
75 5% 92%  
76 3% 86%  
77 36% 83%  
78 8% 47%  
79 5% 39% Median
80 11% 35%  
81 12% 24%  
82 5% 12%  
83 4% 7%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 1.1% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 1.0% 99.6%  
73 0.5% 98.7%  
74 6% 98%  
75 5% 92%  
76 3% 86%  
77 36% 83%  
78 8% 47%  
79 5% 39% Median
80 11% 35%  
81 12% 24%  
82 5% 12%  
83 4% 7%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 1.1% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 1.0% 99.6%  
66 2% 98.6%  
67 4% 97%  
68 3% 92% Last Result
69 5% 90%  
70 6% 84%  
71 11% 79%  
72 19% 68%  
73 23% 49% Median
74 12% 25%  
75 4% 13%  
76 4% 9%  
77 3% 5%  
78 0.8% 2%  
79 1.1% 1.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 1.2% 99.6%  
62 2% 98% Last Result
63 2% 97%  
64 4% 94%  
65 5% 90%  
66 27% 85%  
67 19% 58%  
68 13% 39% Median
69 14% 26%  
70 6% 12%  
71 3% 6%  
72 1.4% 3%  
73 1.5% 2%  
74 0.1% 0.5%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 1.3% 99.9%  
51 2% 98.6%  
52 1.4% 97%  
53 2% 95%  
54 24% 94%  
55 22% 70% Last Result
56 10% 48% Median
57 6% 38%  
58 11% 32%  
59 4% 21%  
60 11% 17%  
61 1.1% 5%  
62 2% 4%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 1.2% 2%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.3% 0.3%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 3% 99.8%  
43 0.6% 97%  
44 5% 96%  
45 7% 91%  
46 22% 84%  
47 9% 62%  
48 21% 54% Median
49 7% 32%  
50 4% 26%  
51 9% 22%  
52 9% 13%  
53 2% 4% Last Result
54 2% 2%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.9% 99.7%  
35 4% 98.8%  
36 5% 95%  
37 4% 90%  
38 33% 86%  
39 11% 53%  
40 8% 42% Last Result, Median
41 13% 34%  
42 7% 21%  
43 2% 14%  
44 11% 13%  
45 0.4% 2%  
46 1.1% 1.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.4% 100%  
29 4% 99.6%  
30 4% 95%  
31 5% 91%  
32 4% 86%  
33 29% 83%  
34 26% 54% Last Result, Median
35 12% 28%  
36 2% 16%  
37 1.1% 14%  
38 10% 13%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.6% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations