Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 17–23 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.1% 24.4–27.9% 23.9–28.4% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.7%
Venstre 19.5% 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.2–22.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.7% 15.5–20.1% 14.8–20.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 7.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.5% 3.8–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 45 42–49 42–49 41–51 40–52
Venstre 34 34 30–37 30–38 29–38 28–39
Dansk Folkeparti 37 32 29–34 28–36 27–36 27–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 12–16 12–16 11–16 10–18
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 9–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 9 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 13 9 7–11 7–11 6–12 6–12
Alternativet 9 8 6–10 6–11 6–11 6–11
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Nye Borgerlige 0 5 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 2% 99.9%  
41 2% 98%  
42 8% 96%  
43 5% 88%  
44 7% 83%  
45 26% 76% Median
46 25% 50%  
47 8% 25% Last Result
48 4% 16%  
49 8% 13%  
50 2% 5%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.5% 0.9%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.4% 99.9%  
29 3% 98.5%  
30 7% 96%  
31 15% 89%  
32 7% 73%  
33 4% 66%  
34 22% 62% Last Result, Median
35 9% 40%  
36 6% 32%  
37 20% 25%  
38 3% 5%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0.4% 0.5%  
41 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.7%  
28 3% 97%  
29 6% 94%  
30 24% 88%  
31 8% 64%  
32 23% 56% Median
33 14% 33%  
34 11% 19%  
35 3% 8%  
36 3% 5%  
37 2% 2% Last Result
38 0.7% 0.7%  
39 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.5%  
12 10% 97%  
13 18% 87%  
14 10% 69% Last Result
15 30% 59% Median
16 26% 29%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.7% 1.0%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100% Last Result
9 2% 99.7%  
10 9% 97%  
11 36% 88%  
12 27% 52% Median
13 13% 25%  
14 9% 12%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.9% 1.0%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 2% 99.6% Last Result
8 22% 97%  
9 29% 75% Median
10 20% 46%  
11 21% 27%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.8% 1.0%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 3% 100%  
7 12% 97%  
8 18% 85%  
9 24% 67% Median
10 29% 43%  
11 11% 14%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 15% 99.5%  
7 19% 85%  
8 38% 66% Median
9 17% 28% Last Result
10 5% 11%  
11 6% 6%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 6% 99.5%  
6 27% 93% Last Result
7 36% 66% Median
8 24% 30%  
9 4% 6%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0.1% 82%  
4 22% 81%  
5 35% 60% Median
6 22% 25%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 85 89 44% 86–94 85–95 84–95 83–96
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 86 5% 81–89 80–90 80–91 79–92
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 86 5% 81–89 80–90 80–91 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 80 0.1% 78–85 76–86 76–87 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 0.2% 77–85 76–85 76–86 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 82 0.2% 77–85 76–85 76–86 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 77 77 0% 74–81 73–82 71–83 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 69 0% 66–72 65–74 63–74 62–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 66 0% 64–70 63–71 62–73 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 57 0% 54–61 54–62 53–63 52–65
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 51 0% 45–53 44–54 44–55 43–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 42 0% 36–44 36–45 36–45 35–46
Venstre 34 34 0% 30–37 30–38 29–38 28–39

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.7%  
83 2% 99.6%  
84 0.7% 98%  
85 3% 97% Last Result
86 10% 95%  
87 12% 85%  
88 22% 73%  
89 7% 51% Median
90 17% 44% Majority
91 8% 27%  
92 4% 19%  
93 4% 15%  
94 3% 11%  
95 7% 8%  
96 0.6% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.6% 99.6%  
80 7% 99.0%  
81 3% 92%  
82 4% 89%  
83 4% 85%  
84 8% 81%  
85 17% 73%  
86 7% 56%  
87 22% 49% Median
88 12% 27%  
89 10% 15%  
90 3% 5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.7% 3%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.6% 99.6%  
80 7% 99.0%  
81 3% 92%  
82 4% 89%  
83 4% 85%  
84 8% 81%  
85 17% 73%  
86 7% 56%  
87 22% 49% Median
88 12% 27%  
89 10% 15%  
90 3% 5% Last Result, Majority
91 0.7% 3%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 1.2% 99.5%  
76 4% 98% Last Result
77 1.4% 95%  
78 5% 93%  
79 17% 89%  
80 23% 71%  
81 4% 48% Median
82 8% 44%  
83 7% 36%  
84 17% 29%  
85 2% 12%  
86 6% 9%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 98.8%  
76 7% 98%  
77 5% 91%  
78 4% 86%  
79 4% 82%  
80 6% 79%  
81 8% 73%  
82 30% 66% Median
83 9% 35%  
84 7% 26%  
85 14% 19%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.4% 2%  
89 0.9% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 98.8%  
76 7% 98%  
77 5% 91%  
78 4% 86%  
79 4% 82%  
80 6% 79%  
81 8% 73%  
82 30% 65% Median
83 9% 35%  
84 7% 26%  
85 14% 19%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.4% 2%  
89 0.9% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.7%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 0.5% 97%  
73 3% 97%  
74 7% 94%  
75 7% 87%  
76 10% 80%  
77 27% 70% Last Result, Median
78 17% 44%  
79 6% 27%  
80 5% 20%  
81 8% 16%  
82 3% 7%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.8% 1.3%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.5% 100%  
63 2% 99.5%  
64 2% 97%  
65 1.2% 95%  
66 6% 94%  
67 9% 88%  
68 12% 79% Last Result
69 25% 67% Median
70 4% 42%  
71 8% 38%  
72 22% 30%  
73 3% 9%  
74 4% 6%  
75 1.2% 2%  
76 0.9% 1.2%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.7%  
62 3% 99.1% Last Result
63 2% 96%  
64 24% 94%  
65 9% 70%  
66 11% 60% Median
67 7% 49%  
68 6% 42%  
69 18% 36%  
70 9% 18%  
71 5% 9%  
72 2% 4%  
73 1.5% 3%  
74 0.5% 1.2%  
75 0.5% 0.7%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 1.0% 99.7%  
53 3% 98.7%  
54 9% 95%  
55 6% 86% Last Result
56 23% 81%  
57 15% 58% Median
58 19% 43%  
59 7% 24%  
60 3% 17%  
61 6% 14%  
62 4% 8%  
63 1.5% 3%  
64 1.3% 2%  
65 0.5% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 1.3% 99.9%  
44 6% 98.6%  
45 5% 92%  
46 5% 88%  
47 7% 83%  
48 12% 76%  
49 3% 64%  
50 11% 61% Median
51 4% 50%  
52 24% 47%  
53 15% 23% Last Result
54 5% 8%  
55 1.4% 3%  
56 1.1% 1.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 2% 99.8%  
36 8% 98%  
37 7% 89%  
38 12% 82%  
39 4% 70%  
40 4% 67% Last Result
41 9% 63% Median
42 20% 54%  
43 12% 34%  
44 16% 22%  
45 4% 6%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.4% 99.9%  
29 3% 98.5%  
30 7% 96%  
31 15% 89%  
32 7% 73%  
33 4% 66%  
34 22% 62% Last Result, Median
35 9% 40%  
36 6% 32%  
37 20% 25%  
38 3% 5%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0.4% 0.5%  
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations