Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 24–30 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 26.3% 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 21.1% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
Venstre 19.5% 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.1% 15.8–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 7.8% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 4.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.7%
Alternativet 4.8% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Liberal Alliance 7.5% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 4.2% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Nye Borgerlige 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 47 47 44–52 43–52 43–53 41–55
Dansk Folkeparti 37 33 30–36 29–36 29–37 27–39
Venstre 34 31 28–35 28–36 27–38 27–38
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 14 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
Radikale Venstre 8 12 10–15 10–15 9–15 8–16
Alternativet 9 9 7–11 7–11 6–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 13 8 7–10 7–11 6–11 6–12
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7 8 7–10 7–11 6–12 6–12
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6 7 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
Nye Borgerlige 0 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.5% 99.8%  
42 1.2% 99.4%  
43 4% 98%  
44 8% 94%  
45 13% 86%  
46 21% 73%  
47 10% 53% Last Result, Median
48 9% 43%  
49 5% 34%  
50 5% 29%  
51 13% 24%  
52 7% 11%  
53 2% 4%  
54 1.1% 2%  
55 1.0% 1.4%  
56 0.3% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 1.5% 99.4%  
29 7% 98%  
30 9% 91%  
31 9% 82%  
32 20% 72%  
33 14% 53% Median
34 6% 39%  
35 18% 33%  
36 12% 15%  
37 1.5% 3% Last Result
38 1.0% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.6%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 4% 99.7%  
28 6% 96%  
29 9% 89%  
30 7% 81%  
31 33% 74% Median
32 13% 41%  
33 9% 28%  
34 7% 19% Last Result
35 4% 12%  
36 5% 8%  
37 0.6% 3%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 5% 99.0%  
13 8% 94%  
14 26% 86% Last Result
15 26% 59% Median
16 15% 34%  
17 9% 19%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.5% 100% Last Result
9 1.2% 98.5%  
10 11% 97%  
11 17% 86%  
12 22% 69% Median
13 21% 47%  
14 16% 26%  
15 10% 10%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 3% 99.8%  
7 11% 97%  
8 29% 86%  
9 20% 57% Last Result, Median
10 26% 37%  
11 9% 11%  
12 1.2% 1.4%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9%  
7 25% 97%  
8 27% 72% Median
9 24% 45%  
10 14% 21%  
11 5% 7%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 4% 99.7%  
7 23% 95% Last Result
8 26% 73% Median
9 23% 46%  
10 17% 24%  
11 3% 7%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.2% 0.4%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 14% 98%  
6 30% 84% Last Result
7 37% 54% Median
8 12% 17%  
9 5% 5%  
10 0.3% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0.1% 73%  
4 47% 73% Median
5 16% 25%  
6 8% 9%  
7 1.0% 1.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 85 93 78% 88–97 87–97 85–98 85–100
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 90 82 3% 78–87 78–88 77–90 75–90
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige 90 82 3% 78–87 78–88 77–90 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 76 84 2% 79–88 78–89 77–89 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti 77 80 0.2% 75–84 75–85 73–86 72–88
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne 90 79 0.2% 75–83 74–85 73–86 72–87
Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 90 79 0.2% 75–83 74–85 73–86 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 68 72 0% 67–75 66–76 64–78 64–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 62 69 0% 65–72 64–73 62–74 60–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 55 60 0% 56–64 54–65 54–66 52–67
Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti 53 46 0% 44–52 43–52 42–54 41–54
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 40 38 0% 35–42 34–44 33–44 33–45
Venstre 34 31 0% 28–35 28–36 27–38 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 2% 99.6% Last Result
86 2% 97%  
87 2% 95%  
88 5% 93%  
89 10% 88%  
90 10% 78% Majority
91 6% 68% Median
92 9% 62%  
93 14% 53%  
94 15% 39%  
95 7% 24%  
96 6% 17%  
97 6% 10%  
98 3% 4%  
99 0.7% 1.3%  
100 0.4% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.7% 99.5%  
77 3% 98.7%  
78 6% 96%  
79 6% 90%  
80 7% 83%  
81 15% 76%  
82 14% 61%  
83 9% 47% Median
84 6% 38%  
85 10% 32%  
86 10% 22%  
87 5% 12%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.9%  
76 0.7% 99.4%  
77 3% 98.7%  
78 6% 96%  
79 6% 90%  
80 7% 83%  
81 15% 76%  
82 14% 61%  
83 9% 47% Median
84 6% 38%  
85 10% 32%  
86 10% 22%  
87 5% 12%  
88 2% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3% Last Result, Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.7% 99.6%  
76 0.6% 99.0% Last Result
77 3% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 4% 92%  
80 3% 88%  
81 14% 86%  
82 8% 72% Median
83 8% 64%  
84 19% 56%  
85 13% 37%  
86 11% 23%  
87 2% 12%  
88 4% 10%  
89 4% 6%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 2% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 98%  
74 1.5% 97%  
75 9% 96%  
76 3% 86%  
77 4% 83% Last Result
78 13% 80%  
79 13% 67% Median
80 8% 54%  
81 6% 46%  
82 22% 40%  
83 4% 18%  
84 5% 14%  
85 4% 8%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.2% 2%  
88 0.8% 1.1%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 7% 97%  
75 3% 90%  
76 4% 87%  
77 18% 83%  
78 7% 65%  
79 10% 58% Median
80 3% 48%  
81 9% 45%  
82 20% 36%  
83 7% 16%  
84 3% 9%  
85 4% 6%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 7% 97%  
75 3% 90%  
76 4% 87%  
77 18% 83%  
78 7% 65%  
79 10% 58% Median
80 3% 48%  
81 9% 45%  
82 20% 36%  
83 7% 16%  
84 3% 9%  
85 4% 6%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 3% 99.6%  
65 1.4% 97%  
66 1.2% 96%  
67 12% 94%  
68 3% 83% Last Result
69 8% 79%  
70 15% 71% Median
71 4% 56%  
72 24% 52%  
73 9% 27%  
74 5% 19%  
75 6% 13%  
76 3% 7%  
77 0.7% 5%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.1% 1.5%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.8% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 98.9%  
62 1.2% 98.6% Last Result
63 1.0% 97%  
64 5% 96%  
65 9% 92%  
66 10% 83%  
67 15% 73% Median
68 6% 58%  
69 9% 52%  
70 23% 43%  
71 7% 21%  
72 7% 14%  
73 3% 7%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.2% 0.8%  
76 0.4% 0.6%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.7%  
53 0.9% 99.5%  
54 4% 98.5%  
55 2% 95% Last Result
56 6% 93%  
57 12% 87%  
58 8% 75%  
59 11% 67% Median
60 9% 56%  
61 20% 47%  
62 5% 27%  
63 12% 22%  
64 2% 10%  
65 5% 8%  
66 2% 3%  
67 1.0% 1.1%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Liberal Alliance – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.6% 99.9%  
42 2% 99.4%  
43 6% 97%  
44 13% 92%  
45 21% 78%  
46 21% 57% Median
47 12% 36%  
48 2% 24%  
49 4% 22%  
50 3% 18%  
51 5% 15%  
52 6% 10%  
53 1.0% 4% Last Result
54 3% 3%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.3% 99.9%  
33 4% 99.7%  
34 5% 96%  
35 8% 91%  
36 8% 83%  
37 8% 76%  
38 36% 68% Median
39 9% 31%  
40 8% 22% Last Result
41 3% 15%  
42 3% 12%  
43 3% 9%  
44 4% 6%  
45 2% 2%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 4% 99.7%  
28 6% 96%  
29 9% 89%  
30 7% 81%  
31 33% 74% Median
32 13% 41%  
33 9% 28%  
34 7% 19% Last Result
35 4% 12%  
36 5% 8%  
37 0.6% 3%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations